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Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Decomposition of the European GDP based on Singular Spectrum Analysis

Leon, Costas

28 July 2015

Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/65812/

MPRA Paper No. 65812, posted 29 Jul 2015 04:25 UTC

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)*/ )>).5)0 .B / 6 )>09 7 .)0+_ 1 *+3* ,+ ( 34 5 .0 < .54/, +7 - 59 ,+3( + @+6 .( 6/>@ )*/ 6> 00 /,-> ( ?+(3 / + 3/ ( )0 + - 5/., .

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(6)

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(7)

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,/.,> ( .56> 7 -> (/ ()M

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þÿšr ƒ ƒ…u~ }| v‹y —ˆy}ww | yƒ~ vwz {y‹~uyyt…y {x yˆ wzuv“”| yƒ~vw…u~ }|‡t w |w| yv|~ y~uy~t vw | yuyˆ z{vw uˆ w yv y~ v z{~ ƒ

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(8)

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0 / 6>(,)04 6 )+(3 . )+ 7/,/ 0+ /, = *+6 * 6>().+(, >(59 )*/ )0 / ( ? .( ? )*/ 6 96 5/M P *+, 6>45? N/ 6> ( ,+?/ 0 /? ., )*/

,/.,> ( .5 59.?B4,)/?)+7/,/ 0+ /,:=+)*> 4 ))*/(> + ,/; MP */,/.,>(.55 9.?B 4 ,)/?D EF,+ 3( .5+,?+ ,- 5.9/?+(o + 340 /fM

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(9)

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)+ 7/ ,/ 0 +/, *., N/ / (@+ 0 ,),/.,>(.55 9 .?B4,)/? N 9 ) */ J G K,/.,> ( .5. ?B 4 ,)7/ ()7/)*> ? M P .N5/ K,*>=, )*/

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(10)

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+)+,( > ),*> =(M8 ,+)+,> N ,/ 0 </?+ (o+34 0/G L 1)*/2 28@+5)/ 0* .,.-/.Q+(.5> =/ 0@0/C4/ ( 6 9:L ML e f6 96 5/,; 1+(

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6 96 5/>N).+( /?N 9)*/2 28@+5)/ 0* .,*+ 3 */ 0=.</5/ (3)*+ (6>7 - .0+,>()>)*/>)*/ 0)= >@+5)/ 0,M

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þÿš, y sw š† †rst ƒwy u!€ ƒ y"‹%&stƒwy u!…uy y {" “-t…|w š† †rst ƒwy u!€ ƒ y"‹#$!… uy y {"“

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(11)

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Having exam ined t he general pat t erns of sect oral w at er int ensit y in t he EU count ries, w e now run an input -out put subsyst em decom posit ion analysis in order t

Table 7 shows that the oil price and total trade value Granger cause the gross domestic product with the exception of the inflation rate in the short run.. Both the

Empirical results through a fixed effects regression model show that government size has a negative effect on growth mainly through hampering capital