The Economic Transition and Growth of Philippine Regions

(1)

The Economic Transition and Growth of Philippine Regions

Mapa, Dennis S. and Sandoval, Monica Flerida B

School of Statistics, University of the Philippines Diliman

January 2011

Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/28267/

MPRA Paper No. 28267, posted 22 Jan 2011 16:19 UTC

(2)

234556 57 28982832

!"#$%&'&(!)(!#()

+, -./0/12 . 3 4052 6 2 /0 407 83 /96 + /:

;+2 < 2 ==2 0, >,?2 /05

@A

B,002 5 CD E4=4 407 E/02 .4 F< ,3 2 74 GD C407/H4<

I;CC J/3 K2 0? ;4=,3 L/D MNOOP NM Q40R43 A MNOO

C.+//< /: C6 46 2 56 2 .5

>41/0E4?54A54ASH,0R, ID;DB2<2140TUR,V/0W26A

*,<,:4XYZM[PN[P[O -142<YR=75646\A4+//D./1

(3)

!"!^#!$ %&!'()$!*!$%+!(^,

-./0-00

12"!")!""(32&%%4&3)!3%4%$(!$&%%43)&

&%+)5&33")%"%$6782(("!$9(:#;;<=95$!3!%")

&!"3!>)%?5%!(%43&8)%$9&3:@ABBC#;;B=3%$3)4D@E 82("")5%!(&%%4&%+)53%!3!$73!3"!32%+)!

")%$%D3412"!")F"(%)4%$(5!$!!(7G532&%%4&

3)!3%62!+%)%D32)5%?5%!()(!3+3)!3%"!32!) +35!3$3%5)!3!5)!"2&!(%+)+H%D3262!+%)%D32 )5%!(&%%412(%53&%+)5&33IH2&2&%3)9&3$ D)%4!3)!3%$DD)3!($&!74%$(I9$3%3!6(2D!)5%

&%+)53%!3!$73!3"!32%)$+)5D)%4!3!$73!3"!32 12336!&!((7")%+$326!D%)!3"H&(93)5!(5%)324 D$5&%+)5&&(93)!$!!(7G53)!3%62!+%)63H

&(93)12"!")$3D&%+)5&&(96!$$3)4

$+)53)5%!(&%%495!)&9)+")%&$9)32!3)+%(+

!)%9$32(%53&%+)5&33

J7K%)$L (%53&%+)5&33I&%+)5&&(96 MM

NO NP0QRS00NQP

12"!")")%"%3%932&%%4&3)!3%4%$(!$&%%43)&

&%+)5&33$5$6782(("!$9(:#;;<=3%D332)%95282("")5%!(

&%%4&$!3!!$$3D732)5%32!32!+F263$93!$&%%4&5)%H32 32"!3$&!$12H%)T%D32!$!932%)!)324!6!%D3233!$

)9(3")%+$$32"!")125%!(3%4!9)$+$9!(&%45)%H32%D )5%!$3%4!"%934(!)3!$$DD)&&%4%+)3412

$3)4!3%%D9&2"!33)&%43)!3%!$+%(93%H%9($!$%9) )5%!(&%%432)$&%!$"%(&7C4!T5U9)!4D%)323!()9(3

!$&%&(9%%63!$2)3%)+!6!D%)D9)32))!)&2!$39$

32!3H%9($(!$3%H!)$32633)43!$4")%+43%D!&2%D%9))5%!$%9)

!3%!!H2%(12"!")T3%$3)4D82("")5%!(&%%4

&%+)5!3!&%44%3!$73!35)%H32"!3232(%5)9U%D32%6V&3+ 3%(!)!6%9332!&39!(3)!3%!(62!+%)%D)5%6734!35$+$9!("!33) MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM

W)!D3"!")I&%443!)H(&%412+H!$%"%F")$32"!")!)32

!932%)X!$$%%3&!)(7)D(&332%%D32))"&3+3393%

#Y%&!38)%D%)!$)&3%)D%)?!)&2I&2%%(%D3!33&!$YDD(!3Y%&!3 8)%D%)I &2%%( %D Z&%%4&I[+)37 %D 32 82(""I (4! Z4!(L

&4!"!\9"$9"2I&$4!"!\7!2%%&%4

,'%)5ZF&2!5UDD&)]]]I*!5T%3)!(58("!:*8=I !(!3I !(!Z4!(L

!$%+!(46\6"5%+"2I4%&!^D()$!\7!2%%&%4M

(4)

1 23567895282825678952892562578752823556789528 87923267576299287295625236289 675 5678952876756!7938"978#$%%&!96 797796 23282567895289675 56789528767567969556789528237 87628675 5257 676757255237628976756! 59!756987282567895289'579262 97796237628(9 675 76563625228957957562)575

767928 957595285662)5755689762996289

*25+28 689523978#$%%&96 79526"7998 957"987867 832662)528 687629962897885 56875282328 68"9)686289)587"7679952 2999997628 687675695925 752895259552599575 723586287282928 62 65'8526!5697 299"55759)825267859!57662 9759532628 68 )589"629236289595)79292)35628976 685 685"7 26992)62)567578282632678675 525 7 67632678978998378582782559765"5)85 6856287856952356289)528 685"7 26928528 7929575529 68562897667825"556233578569578768 82357755852832628262 85

799375282328 68578 6856289)2798558 299"67928978375269"8596289(695 "7 2699)2 96 795"799326853859592325857922,2827675695923 562895757688526296592 62359922,282 76756959)258"569385 28523628778 87528728229853752823-89569)6255 6928 23628769269852587 2697889569575)286755295 28262)58537528238567895552897862679)87"

62872829528529575)29957828262)5 8537528239875269)272)52585723762852"67.

7692678.79322)9#528$69859575797892 965 9769235757/8672 6)235"7 262356757 255236289962 52957"9 82828 687862)5236289 2 655622357570267.7528232825678952878*25 +28 68595969858#5281695923559525853 28 68"92765862 8#528#5283972553265 2892897892628752897825 75283263656697678 8 957528

44 44 44 4

56789:;<=:>?@6<A;:8=BC=D7EFGHIJKLMNOOIPJQRM=D:=S7:AT87AU7V7UBC79BWBS<9X7V7UB;S7W=BC:

87Y<BWZ

(5)

223 56272552899287928

!"#$^%

& '()$ !"*++,--+.^/! 012".³4"5!$&"#

.

6789:;5<=8=>>=?99@=A?B =?C8DE9E=?F<9BFDEG 928 8H9 928 8H9

" I ( + JK0 , L0K0 * MN O LPQ "- RN

# ST "" SN

% U ( ", LNTT / MK0 "O RL(

VRL(W

3 LK0 "# LX51 VLX(W

T(IKVSW& 5!&Y(IKZXIKZU TTN!LN&2X5(!N5NVX(NNW

S 2[ 15&!5 !! 15\&!]]! 2! '()$!"#1"*++,--+.4,&

! '()$! 5.01! 2&RL(! "*++\

!! 5.I 2 1!5 !RL( 201!5

!.5 \ 10\

1!5 .

^_`abcdceadfgheiedegjklmanigheoihedacbgjd`afpmmahdkqmanigheojgmbcdcfgheiedahfrs

tuinpmaecmaihkvw^xmifaesybzped{ahde|ama{cbadgc}}~ihbchcgmanighejgmd`aracmekvvlwbpa dgf`chnaeihmanighc}f}ceeijifcdigh

qgpmfagjceifbcdckvwwdgw

(6)

234567894

! "#$^%

&

(7)

234567976367439

!"# $ %#"&'(! %&"' # $!#!%)&%%!*(+&$# (&',!"-&. $ /!&"%#&-0#- 1)'!## !/,!"-&. &" %2-! +(345620"70-! 8 %1%#0!" 7!"-&. /$&'#!"# (&"/$1"9# )&%%!*!(!#3#0#!"-&. 7!%)0$!#3* #' "#0#&+# .0:&$!#3&+#3)!-0(

$ /!&"%0"7#0#&+# ' 0(#! %#$ /!&"%7 -(!" %&8 $#!. 20"7# &77%#0## )&&$ %#$ /!&"%)$&/$ %%0"7-0#-1)'!## $ %#;< # "!"8 %#!/0# # /$&'#

#$0"%!#!&"&+ 0-$ /!&";&.&7 ( -&"&.!-#$0"%!#!&"2# #$0"%!#!&"73"0.!-%&+(&/) $ -0)!#0=6>?&+# $ /!&"%' $ @0.!" 7&8 $# #!. ) $!&7&+# 70#0;A"&$7 $#&

/ " $0# 0/$0)!-0(&8 $8! '&+# -&"8 $/ "- * 08!&$0"7#$0"%!#!&"/$&'#&+

?!(!))!" $ /!&"0( -&"&.! %2' )(&#(&/) $-0)!#0=6>?0/0!"%##!. 0%%&'"!"

B!/1$C;

(8)

1

2345679333774336

!

"#$%$&'()*!+%$!*,-.'/'.$.!')0(!0#%$$!&%(,1*!+22(%.')&!0(!')'0'+3!1$%!2+1'0+!4567!

89:;;!.+0+<!=#$%$!0#$!>'%*0!0=(!*,-&%(,1*!2()*'*0!(>!>'/$!%$&'()*!=#'3$!0#$!0#'%.!&%(,1?! 2()*'.$%$.!+*!0#$!%'2#$*0!&%(,1?!#+*!>(,%!%$&'()*@!"#$!13(0!*#(=*!2%(**!*$20'()+3! +/$%+&$*!(>!3(&!1$%!2+1'0+4567!(>!0#$!9A!%$&'()*!(/$%!9:;;0(!BCC;@!D0!.'*13+E*!0#$!

0#%$$!&%(,1')&*!+).!.$1'20*!0#$!0'F$!1+0#!(>!*,-&%(,1!+/$%+&$*!>(%!$+2#!&%(,1@G(0$!

0#+0!0#$!+%%+)&$F$)0!(>!0#$!1+)$3*!1%(.,2$*!+)!$*2+3+0(%!$>>$20!>%(F!=#'2#!=$!2(,3.!

23+**'>E!0#$!&%(,1*!+*!1((%$*0!0(!%'2#$*0@!"#(,&#!*,-.'/'.$.?!0#$!1(')0*!>%(F!()$!&%(,1!

0(!+)(0#$%!*$$F!0(!-$!2())$20$.!')!>(%F@!"#$!*3(1$*!(>!0#$!1+0#*!*,&&$*0!*1$$.!(>!

&%(=0#!(>!0#$!%$&'()*!='0#')!+!&%(,1@!"#$!>'%*0!&%(,1!$H#'-'0*!*0$$1$%!*3(1$?!=#'2#!

').'2+0$*>+*0$%!&%(=0#!%+0$!+*!0#$!%$&'()*!-$2(F$!%'2#$%@I3*(?!)(0'2$!#(=!0#$!*#+1$!

-$2(F$*!>3+00$%!+*!=$!&(!>%(F!0#$!1((%$*0!0(!0#$!%'2#$*0!&%(,1@!"#'*!-$#+/'(%!*,&&$*0*!

0#+0!+*!%$&'()*!0%+)*'0'()!>%(F!+!3(=$%!3$/$3!0(!+!#'&#$%!3$/$3!&%(,1?!&%(=0#!-$2(F$*!

*3(=$%!()!0#$!+/$%+&$@D>!0#$!3(=$*0!&%(,1!2()0'),$*0(!&%(=!>+*0$%!+).!0#$!#'&#$*0!

&%(,1J*!&%(=0#!.$23')$*!(%!*3(=*!.(=)!+0!*(F$!1(')0?!0#$)!$/$)0,+33E!0#$!.'>>$%$)2$*!')!

1$%!2+1'0+!(,01,0!+2%(**!%$&'()*!=(,3.!)+%%(=?!=#'2#!')!0,%)!F'&#0!3$+.!0(!2()/$%&$)2$!

(>!0#$!%$&'()*!(/$%!0'F$@"#$!+-(/$!%$*,30*!+%$!K,*0!1%(/'.$.!0(!$*0+-3'*#!0#$!1(**'-'3'0E!(>! 2()/$%&$)2$!+).!&%(=0#!0%+)*'0'()*!+F()&!7#'3'11')$!%$&'()*@!L$!)(=!1%(/'.$!

M,+)0'0+0'/$!$/+3,+0'()*!(>!0#$!0%+)*'0'()+).!2()/$%&$)2$@!!

(9)

2223 5678792682278867855865

!"#$$%&'()!*)*+(,-+

!++*,./010,*,./0236₄₅'78'#98:,78'#9#81

;,'*,./0-+4,351<',-')!,,,-

45

6

=>? 1@!,',,A!,),,-,*+!,,,,,-,*!+ ,)1;),,(,*!+,!+,), ,,,+,12,,*',-',)!,,, ,,-+1<)3,+)*),,)*)*,,

!+,BCDEFGHCIFBEJKGFGLJIMLCNNGMGCJFI

O

^P

P Q _R

4 45 45 45

6 R

S 6

T T =>?

=>?

UTV

-23 !"#$$%&1;2S₄₅)!,,,-+4 ,,,+1W,'-*,',*!,,X,,*!Y-+41W, )!+Y,,!-),*)),3,,+(,,1

;!'*+*+*-+*2-*,,!+,2-S45

1W-!,),+(,*+*',

S45[TZ\>]^==Z4^_5[` UaV

;),,'!*+*',**,*-S₄₅ *b5[`1;,',+!',,-,, ,,*1 -(,*!,,,,2,, 2),+-)-,,,,*--*,',)+,!++,,,

*+*-*1 !"#$$c&+!,,*+2-,

**,*-S₄₅,)3*+*1;)3A!,2 !,-,*-*+*(,!2+!-* +*1d+!:2(,,-,,,,*--*,-, 8:+1;,,,-ef/)b,+Y,3*,) ,,,+*)*-)*-,1

(10)

1

234567973763367933376743

!"#! $%"!"&$' !%&(%&( )"&$*%+&$&,"+'-&, $+#&#%

!&.)!", !"#!&! # )'-&, $+&-)"&$%"$!' $/&.)! '&!"$0").12&%$&!%.''&! $3#"2$+&-+&$#)$+4"//!' !%2&$&!

+.%! &.$2 +&,,&$","!&#!",4"!"%$&!%.--"+"$!!&5 %!+&$6+!.&- '%$+&-+&$#)$+&2"#)$+, "$3-&,!'&!/7!-&'-&,!

-&, !%!'&'&%2538""'% $29.:;<<=>?$&($ %!@&)!A&$#)$+%!/ , "$&56+!"#"%!&!%!!$.3'&!%"%&--.' $+&$#)$+B! !

"%4&#+&$#)$+&-!C1)"&$%/D-!$.3'&!%"%"%6+!24(+&$+.2

! !!)"&$% 2"#)$!5.!!"%2&%$&!",'3! !!"% 23 +?&- +&$#)$+/, 35'%$+&-&+ +&$#)$+("!"$%.5)&.'%&-)"&$%

B!&%)"&$%("!%","+&$#)$++ +!"%!"+%/7!-&E'&! '&%%"5""!3&--&,"$)+&$#)$++.5%("$!,&%! --.$!&-!)"&$%%&.2 5&$)!&!-"%!+.54!$E!"+%!!&!%+&$2+.54 $2%&&$/'&&%!

%&.2!-&5+ %%"-"2"$ !!+.5%/D!"% %&'&%%"5! !!'&&%! ,&$)

!)"&$% 2"#)$! $22&$&!5&$)"$ $3&-!+.5%/"%+&$2"!"&$"% $

"$2"+ !"&$! !%.+)"&$%'&%%%%$&+ +!"%!"+%! ! '' !&5%","! $! %!4&$! # )4 $2! !!3, 35 ))"$)5"$2"$!,%&-"$+&,)&(!/

(11)

3456576896459486457788955958579865899776897 895997668968989766896864585779853458665767 758957566576677589657557955577898645877 756899568 898!455

"

_# ^$

# ^%

& &

'

% * )⁽

"

^#

# $ _%

& &

&

+

% ' +

,-.

/01 265645877756899568599/015865!59645 88!9557789

3

77$ #565 64 8

: 9 :;

< (,-.*,-.*)) ,-.

,-. 8^#

= >= >

^@?^{A 6}^@? ^A^B^B^B^A^?^/^C1

!455

= >

^@?⁷⁶⁴⁵⁹⁶⁵⁵⁶⁸^@?⁹^D^E⁰⁷⁵⁸⁵⁹⁵^F4⁷⁹

G/HEEI1J5!56576964594864577

3L5MK /N1

34775O5764664557665855965P9/C1587658645 48645779/N16848Q645!75674855R56598864565965 486457785595

_TL5SK

G9564565767R767589895756657664596645NU55!55R56 6459486457788955959/N1₅_PS$BVWX5R5689864594864577 48!55759764664557985595895895595Y6647 78688895595978!5896955Z996455897 857596895886596895595734778956484 57568986458557789657697964576599 86485578875F479G/HEEI13457776897646 64557[98!9\8578]__^896996576`557646877577 895595548F8558!7578948!685659564585 89645865965897646468955!64645858565

!44!57668896458955957 a

b cdefbghb G86645iC58979557985895856 jXkFlHEEm56866

F479G/HEEn19865646559586589559579645 89977876596964596575578756897

1opqprs-tuv,,vwxyz{|},*(KK~)q-rspuzvy,yxwpsx-qsup-.sspxs

(12)

12 45679

!"#$%&'(

()*&'+!,-./

0 1 2

3 !((4!!+5' 6(((51:1978& ! ((((+'+!++!(((

' ;5!!<'=( ! (' 5>:19786!! +(!!<6'(( ?

4567@ )+( !''

A((& ;'+

!++B'!

+ !((

'C!!C(&

5_D₁!(5_D₁ +6!FE₁>2(G +&+ (&!!!++!'

4567H #(!

A+!'& + !!''(+((!'&

!!+G =(+!'I(& + +!'A& )*JG& +&)K&

< 5>:1978& !(;!((+&&

<LK&51:1978 (+(+'+

6(& +&!!((

+!6(!'!!( +!(M+!(I

;' (!! <

%!!()!-KNNO/&+'!,!!' + !'+ (!'&+ ' '(!'!%'!

<('+('%!!()!-KNNO/A'! !''! !+ (I ( !';' ( ! !'&!(= !'6! !!?(!! +(('%!!( )!-KNNO/<((+!'& '! +!'+6!'((' (+(( 6'! !-'(!"#$%/

!''( '!-'(!

(13)

2345638962666564564 564652254466236366 32655562336262566365644 252355635523656365253236254 56552656354234563646523 5556534234563895

!626546666"6#26$3 423456389$6%&554455

'()* +,-./0-*

** 352535666646543226%&

5653613656653655$

2 3 2

3

2

456 789:;

<

78=>?

@@ 456A456A B

456 ¹EED C F

H G HI

J

K%&LMMNO

5436366L63656526653625256 623P26646522366KQ!6645 6565366455562222466625 666356663432$623166 36R526265S655653653653 243656222

T664455645265$35U65 32256MNNV423456389$655665642345636465 6565656R6356556656534234563893 63565W#956523R63625$#X9$6W#9 365SYM56L6365652655LMKZ$52555 636W#93#X93365565642664234563646W#956 25$6P656355655565342$63362 533655656222[5654 545636W#9\36552432533363666 5\]566255656$#X9$6536256W#95 64234563646

(14)

12

456657898568885958598955996 !" #$%&%#'%"()* !+,-(-..-#%%&- #* $%/01123441 "567/ "5673

89:;<89=>9?;:9=@AB;<8 ><@C;==A@9 9CD;8;E:@9:;FA

"567G "567H

E<I:JA@8D;8C989< 8<@:JA@8D;8C989<

>A8:@9=F;E9K9E >A8:@9==IL<8

MAE:A@8F;E9K9E MAE:A@8D;8C989<

E<I:JA@8:9B9=<B >9B9K98F9==AK ;=<><E@AB;<8

"567N O;><=@AB;<8

A9E:A@8F;E9K9E

>A8:@9=D;8C989<

48P5QR968988595859R6S 78948Q576898859R58>@9T>9@8UVU85 5996

W W W W W W W W W W W W W

(15)

345678 848 744 854 46

(16)

12 345678 848 744 854 46

345678 848 744 8 6

(17)

345638948845588986 5495545566586854868 8858544985488589548648

66455954468855549 54984588

!"#$%&%'%()*+$,-$*.$%(#/"0%!*1%()*+$,-$*.$%"$23$$*%(#/"04%5677%2)%&887%

2902!2%% 2902!2%% :;<;=^> ?54 :;@<;@;= ABCDB :<;= ?54 :@E<;@= AEDB :E<F= EDFF :E@F<@E=F;B>>

:F<B= DDGE :F@B<E@= AGFFEC :B<E= D;CHC %

IJKLMNOPQRSTONRUVNPNPTONUVNRKLMNOWXONYQWRPQRUVNZ[KM IIJK[[V\SWUVNPQPWXZWR]NOYNRZNRWUON^NZUN_

`889894885895495584 55886545894544588 4896545585549854a54 :EF8546884985456:F<54=6 548855:E<894=84845899 484546555A85649858465485 6898b4c588554864585544854 84845584546

% %

%de% (fg(hijkfg%lgm%no(fppogml kfg%

% 455q55684546549858r888 8658556845468948stur45 49454654985488v48594548 54948555484885 46468955484885984 w888554985x94558545986y848 48854646448594554985485 494858458684854545568488589 549455q85588855449854594 5486585z488985568 94548954458948584848 85694554498554458854685 468855549488584985865454 8684448885899458888559455 594854565585568588555 94558884985

4888859854985{:t 54664584:|t54664554 4998988848848545465r888 4985

(18)

12 456789878866988858588855685 67875866598656667888888 67869687588888856768586886587 566756868865556696855666978856 6876998865558656898859865666 5887888575669685788566876998865 558656856756565989698899868 8666855886 586567788 8

885585887888566668558588 88757!998685667858"8696 76786966995998686887866 6588678696698895698656675 568767#$88767568578678696877 8565878668%8768885568568595 88%856578768598588567876889&665 7'()**+,6578978669788587 57685

-./01234056.78.97203:.-.;<87=7>?.5:3.@>57=>.ABCD.E3F:3782G.

.886587887587HIJJ86KLM&N6L865885 7OL586856HIJJ

/0123405.PQN6"58R655#5L86R8S858 T67

./0123405.UQS858R6558T678R655O8 T678VW

./0123405.-Q.7684766568'8T67'8 O66L86

(19)

3454647849

!"# ""$%&%'#%

%()*+,)-.-//-0*+12303456+7*8*.3/4*09:+,3.-2-*;+<0=+

>)<..*0?*;@+A%BC"!DEFGH"!IJ%!'K!%

LMNOP# H'Q$%RL "HK"L#""S""R T!"B $K"J%!'EU$%K$LL%S V" %G WX%JY %"!,3/Z.<9-30+<0=+7*8*.3/4*09+-0+9)*+,)-.-//-0*;6+()*+(-*;+()<9+[-0=@+ K"'V% %!

LMX!"%&X\O]"^# M% %!R "H"R%

T!"B $ $%K$LL%WK$LL%_"#!"HM%J%"LR% K_M`"#R%

aaaA"bcLLbc

K$LKVX#M\OS""RU!"T!"B $WKL%!L!%% % $%N^$S""R% !X #'T!"#L%% QXQL"!%Q%R% IJ%!' XQL"!%

K$LKVX#MdOU!""%QS""R% !V"J%!Q%%

U% WM#"KL%!V"B%e"# "

f"!M%J%"LR% "!f"!D A "X V""! ""!AXV BBBLLQ"JL$

The Economic Transition and Growth of Philippine Regions