The State of the Art in Global Modeling

NOT FOR QUOTATION WITHOUT PERMISSION OF THE AUTHOR

THE STATE OF THE ART I N GLOBAL MODELING

G e r h a r t Bruckrnann, e d .

J u n e 1980 CP-80-11

P a p e r s p r e s e n t e d a t t h e 6 t h IIASA G l o b a l M o d e l i n g C o n f e r e n c e

17-20 O c t o b e r 1978

C o Z Z a b o r a t i v e P a p e r s r e p o r t work w h i c h h a s n o t b e e n p e r f o r m e d s o l e l y a t t h e I n t e r n a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t e f o r A p p l i e d S y s t e m s A n a l y s i s a n d w h i c h h a s r e c e i v e d o n l y

l i m i t e d r e v i e w . V i e w s o r o p i n i o n s e x p r e s s e d h e r e i n d o n o t n e c e s s a r i l y r e p r e s e n t t h o s e o f t h e I n s t i t u t e , i t s N a t i o n a l Member O r g a n i z a t i o n s , o r o t h e r o r g a n i - z a t i o n s s u p p o r t i n g t h e work.

INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS A-2361 L a x e n b u r g , A u s t r i a

THE AUTHOR

G e r h a r t BRUCKMANN i s P r o f e s s o r a t t h e U n i v e r s i t y o f V i e n n a a n d C o n s u l t a n t t o t h e I n t e r n a t i o n a l I n s t i t u t e f o r A p p l i e d S y s t e m s A n a l y s i s , S c h l o s s L a x e n b u r g , L a x e n b u r g , A u s t r i a , r e s p o n s i b l e f o r t h e IIASA c o n f e r e n c e s e r i e s on g l o b a l m o d e l i n g .

FOREWORD

Ever s i n c e i t s f o u n d a t i o n , IIASA h a s assumed a m o n i t o r i n g r o l e i n t h e f i e l d o f G l o b a l M o d e l i n g . Whenever a m a j o r model r e a c h e d a s t a t e o f c o m p l e t i o n , a IIASA c o n f e r e n c e was convened i n w h i c h t h i s model was p r e s e n t e d a n d d i s c u s s e d by a ( r a p i d l y e m e r g i n g ) " G l o b a l M o d e l i n g Community" o f s c h o l a r s a c t i v e l y o r p a s s i v e l y w o r k i n g o n g l o b a l m o d e l s o r p r o b l e m s o f g l o b a l

m o d e l i n g .

The 6 t h IIASA G l o b a l Modeling C o n f e r e n c e , h e l d a t IIASA 17-20 O c t o b e r 1 9 7 8 , was d i f f e r e n t i n s c o p e i n a s f a r a s it was m a i n l y d e v o t e d t o a n a s s e s s m e n t o f t h e s t a t e - o f - t h e - a r t . The

f i r s t ( m a j o r ) p a r t o f t h e c o n f e r e n c e was o r g a n i z e d a r o u n d s e v e n m a j o r t o p i c s ( r a t h e r t h a n m o d e l s ) ; a l l c o n t r i b u t i o n s and p a p e r s p e r t a i n i n g t o t h i s f i r s t p a r t h a v e b e e n i n c o r p o r a t e d i n t o a

book, p r o b a b l y t o a p p e a r u n d e r t h e t i t l e " G r o p i n g i n t h e D a r k " . The s e c o n d p a r t o f t h e C o n f e r e n c e w a s , a s u s u a l l y , d e v o t e d t o a p r e s e n t a t i o n and d i s c u s s i o n o f o n g o i n g m o d e l i n g work. I t i s t h e p a p e r s b e l o n g i n g t o t h i s s e c o n d p a r t w h i c h s h o u l d h a v e b e e n a s s e m b l e d i n a s e p a r a t e volume. I t d e s e r v e s t o b e empha- s i z e d t h a t t h e s e p a p e r s s h o u l d n o t m e r e l y be c o n s i d e r e d a n

a p p e n d i x t o " G r o p i n g i n t h e D a r k " ; from w h a t was s a i d a b o v e , i t s h o u l d b e c l e a r t h a t t h e s e c o n d p a r t o f t h e C o n f e r e n c e was

s u f f i c i e n t l y i n d e p e n d e n t from t h e f i r s t p a r t t o w a r r a n t a p u b l i - c a t i o n p e r se. A s t h e 7 t h IIASA G l o b a l Modeling C o n f e r e n c e was d e v o t e d t o a s p e c i a l p r o b l e m ( e n v i r o n m e n t a l a s p e c t s i n g l o b a l m o d e l s ) and t h e 8 t h C o n f e r e n c e w i l l a g a i n b e d e v o t e d t o a s p e c i a l p r o b l e m ( i n t e r n a t i o n a l economic m o d e l i n g ) , t h e s e p a p e r s r e p r e - s e n t a r a t h e r c o m p r e h e n s i v e o v e r v i e w o f a l l m a j o r m e t h o d o l o g i c a l and p r a c t i c a l work r e c e n t l y d o n e i n g l o b a l m o d e l i n g o r , i n o t h e r w o r d s , t h e l a t e s t somewhat c o m p l e t e a s s e m b l y o f r e p o r t s o n

g l o b a l m o d e l i n g work a v a i l a b l e f o r s o m e t i m e t o come.

U n f o r t u n a t e l y , f o r t e c h n i c a l r e a s o n s it h a s b e e n i m p o s s i b l e t o p u b l i s h t h e s e p a p e r s

-

c o v e r i n g some 8 0 0 p a g e s

-

i n t r a d i - t i o n a l form. IIASA m u s t l i m i t i t s e l f t o making a l l p a p e r s n o t p u b l i s h e d e l s e w h e r e a v a i l a b l e t o a n i n t e r e s t e d s c i e n t i f i c

community i n t h e f o r m o f m i c r o f i c h e .

T h i s C o l l a b o r a t i v e . P a p e r , t h e r e f o r e , g i v e s o n l y a l i s t of t h e s e p a p e r s , p l u s b a c k g r o u n d i n f o r m a t i o n a b o u t t h e C o n f e r e n c e . M i c r o f i c h e c o p i e s o f t h e i n d i v i d u a l p a p e r s a r e a v a i l a b l e o n re- q u e s t from t h e IIASA P u b l i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , A-2361 L a x e n b u r g , A u s t r i a , A t t n : R o b e r t McInnes.

L i s t o f P a p e r s

C o n t r i b u t e d t o t h e 6 t h IIASA G l o b a l M o d e l i n g C o n f e r e n c e , 17-20 O c t o b e r 1 9 7 8

A ) Overviews

C o l e S . , G l o b a l M o d e l s : An E v a l u a t i o n o f T h e i r R e l e v a n c e t o P o l i c y . 1 )

Ward, M . D . , a n d H . G u e t z k o w , T o w a r d s I n t e g r a t e d G l o b a l M o d e l s : From E c o n o m i c E n g i n e e r i n g t o S o c i a l S c i e n c e M o d e l i n g . 2 ) A l b i z u r i , G . A . , What F u t u r e ( i f a n y ) May G l o b a l M o d e l l i n g Have?

S l e s s e r , M . , Eow Many Q u e s t i o n s S h o u l d a G l o b a l Model A n s w e r ? L a p i n , N . I . , S o c i a l I n d i c a t o r s i n G l o b a l D e v e l o p m e n t M o d e l s F e d e r w i s c h , J . , P u r p o s e s a n d G o a l s o f G l o b a l M o d e l i n g , a n U s e r

P o i n t o f V i e w

B ) M e t h o d o l o g i c a l P a p e r s

R o b e r t s , P . C . , L e a r n i n g P r o c e s s e s i n G l o b a l M o d e l s

B o s s e l , H . , a n d K.F. M f i l l e r - R e i s s m a n n , N o n n u m e r i c a l S i m u l a t i o n o f C o g n i t i v e P r o c e s s e s o f Human B e h a v i o r

M i l l e n d o r f e r , H . , Framework o f U n d e r s t a n d i n g S o c i e t a l M e c h a n i s m s Medow, P . I . , S i m u l a t i n g E v o l u t i o n a r y S h i f t s i n t h e I n t e r n a t i o n a l S y s t e m o f D i v i s i o n o f L a b o u r : E x p e r i m e n t s i n E c o l o g i c a l l y Embedded Programme P l a n n i n g

T o i n e t , J . - M . , G r e y E n e r g y , t h e G e n e r a t i o n o f C o n s u m p t i o n i n a n I n p u t - O u t p u t A p p r o a c h

T i k h o m i r o v , V . , M o d e l i n g o f M u l t i s t a t e Dynamic S y s t e m s : N e w A p p r o a c h a n d A p p l i c a t i o n f o r S t u d y o f t h e World S t r u c t u r e B a n k b v i , G . , J . V e l i c z k y , a n d PI. Z i e r m a n n , Dynamic F a c t o r M o d e l s K u l i k o w s k i , R . , M o d e l i n g o f R e g i o n a l U t i l i t i e s a n d A c c e s s t o

C o n s u m p t i o n a n d S e r v i c e s

G v i s h i a n i , J.M., T h e o r e t i c a l P r o b l e m s o f G l o b a l Y o d e l l i n g

1 ) P u b l i s h e d i n t h e J o u r n a l o f I n t e r d i s c i p l i n a r y M o d e l s a n d S i m u l a t i o n , 1 9 7 9 , V o l . 2 , No. 2

2 ) P u b l i r h e d i n t h e J o u r n a l o f P o l i c y M o d e l i n g , 1 9 7 9 , V o l . I , No. 3

C ) ^-- D e s c r i p t i o n o r C r i t i q u e o f P a r t i c u l a r Models

G u p t a , S . , and R . P a d u l a , A G l o b a l Model f o r I n t e r r e g i o n a l ,

I n t e r t e m p o r a l A n a l y s i s o f T r a d e , C a p i t a l Flows a n d Develop- ment ( A World Bank P r o j e c t )

Kaya, Y . , a n d A . O n i s h i , Development o f FUGI-ESCAP Model

K i l e , F . , and A. R a b e h l , P e r s p e c t i v e s o f t h e World: G e n e r a t i v e N o t i o n s f o r a F l e x i b l e , I n t e g r a t e d World Model

R o b i n s o n , J . , The G l o b a l 2 0 0 0 S t u d y

O n i s h i , A . , T e c h n i c a l D e t a i l s o f G l o b a l Macro-Economic Model C o l e , S . , a n d G . C h i c h i l n i s k y , T e c h n o l o g y , D o m e s t i c D i s t r i b u t i o n

and N o r t h - S o u t h R e l a t i o n s

S a a v e d r a - R i v a n o , N . , A C r i t i c a l A n a l y s i s o f t h e M e s a r o v i c - P e s t e l World Model

B a u e r s c h m i d t , R . , P. M b l l e r , and W. O e s t , The ISP Model System f o r t h e F e d e r a l R e p u b l i c o f Germany

-

S t r u c t u r e a n d R e s u l t s Medow, P . I . , The 1 9 7 8 I n t e r n a t i o n a l Symposium on t h e S i m u l a t i o n

o f E c o l o g i c a l S y s t e m s ( T e l a v i , USSR)

R i e t h m f - i l l e r , C . , DYNAMITE

-

^A Dynamic Model o f t h e Development

o f B e r l i n ( W e s t ) S u p p o r t e d by a n E x p e r i m e n t a l D i a l o g u e System N a g a r , A.L., F o r e c a s t s o n C e r t a i n Economic A g g r e g a t e s o f t h e

I n d i a n Economy

S c o l n i k , H . D . , A C r i t i c a l Review of Some G l o b a l Models BUS, J . , H . Tiemersma, T. Tirnman, W. W i l s a n d A . d e Zeeuw,

MOIRA: A Modular Set-Up

Moiseev, N . N . , S t u d y i n g t h e Dynamics o f t h e N o o s p h e r e

APPENDIX

1 :

AGENDA

Tuesday, 17 October 1978 09:30-09:45 Welcome

09:45-10.00 Introduction to the Conference

10:OO-13:OO Topic 1: Purposes and Goals of Global Modeling 14:OO-16:OO Topic 2: Methodological

Problems Wednesday, 18 October

09:OO-10:30 Topic 3: Policy Variables and Factors in Global Models

11:OO-12:30 Topic 4: Structural Aspects

14:30-16:OO Topic

5:

Testing a Global Ilodel

16:30-18:OO Topic 6: Internal Organi- zation of Global Model- ing Work

Thursday, 19 October

09:OO-10.30 Topic 7: Relations be- tween Modeler and User 11:OO-12:30 General Evaluation 14:30-18:OO Presentation and Dis-

cussion of ilew Models Friday, 20 October

09:OO-12:30 Presentation and Dis- and cussion of New Models 14: 30-1 8: 00 (continued)

R.E. Levien G. Bruckmann D. H . ^Meadows *

S. Cole, * *

P.C. Roberts M.A. Keyzer *

0.

Rademqker * ,

B. Moore , ,

M.A. Keyzer H. Linnemann ,

S.A. Bremer *

J .M. Richardson *

B.G. Hickmap * ,

J. Fobinson ,

G. Bruckmann

* Introductory Statements

APPENDIX 2 : LIST O F PARTICIPANTS

AUSTRIA

D r . P e t e r Ahamrner

U n i v e r s i t y o f E c o n o m i c s F r a n z - K l e i n - G a s s e 1 A-1190 V i e n n a

D i p l . I n g . W e r n e r H o r n

D e p a r t m e n t o f M e d i c a l C y b e r n e t i c s U n i v e r s i t y o f V i e n n a

S c h w a r z s p a n i e r s t r . 1 7 A-1090 V i e n n a

D i p l - I n g . K a r l H e i n z K e l l e r m a y e r C h a i r o f S y s t e m s T h e o r y

U n i v e r s i t y o f L i n z A l t e n b e r g s t r a s s e A-4045 Linz-Auhof

D i p l . I n g . D r . F . L a n d l e r I n s t i t u t e f o r S o c i o - E c o n o m i c

D e v e l o p m e n t R e s e a r c h F l e i s c h m a r k t 20

A- 1 0 1 0 V i e n n a D r . K u r t P l a u l e r

U n i v e r s i t y o f E c o n o m i c s F r a n z - K l e i n - G a s s e 1 A-1190 V i e n n a

P r o f . J . M i l l e n d o r f e r STUDIA

B e r g g a s s e 16 A-1090 V i e n n a

P r o f . P a u l N e u r a t h

I n s t i t u t e f o r S o c i o l o g y A l s e r s t r a s s e 3 3

A-1090 V i e n n a D r . F r a n z P i c h l e r

D e p a r t m e n t o f S t a t i s t i c s a n d C o m p u t e r S c i e n c e s U n i v e r s i t y o f L i n z

A l t e n b e r g s t r a s s e A-4045 Linz-Auhof D r . I n g o Schrnoranz

I n s t i t u t e f o r Advanced S t u d i e s S t u m p e r g a s s e 56

A-1060 V i e n n a

AUSTRIA ( c o n t I d ) D r . J i r i V . S k o l k a

A u s t r i a n I n s t i t u t e f o r Economic R e s e a r c h

P.O.Box 91 A-1103 V i e n n a

D r . Walter B u c h s t a l l e r

D e p a r t m e n t o f M e d i c a l C y b e r n e t i c s U n i v e r s i t y o f V i e n n a

S c h w a r z s p a n i e r s t r a s s e 17 A-1090 V i e n n a

BELGIUM

P r o f . J a c q u e s F e d e r w i s c h S o c i e t e d e t r a c t i o n e t

d ' e l e c t r i c i t e

Rue d e l a S c i e n c e 3 1 1040 B r u s s e l s

BULGARIA

M r . Rumen D o b r i n s k y

I n s t i t u t e o f S o c i a l Management U 1 . P i o n e r s k i P a t 2 1

S o f i a

BRAZIL

D r . G u i l l e r m o A . A l b i z u r i S . B . I .

-

G r o u p ASDELA C a n d i d o Mendes U n i v e r s i t y Rua V i s c o n d e d e P i r a j a 351

A n d a r 7O R i o d e J a n e i r o

D r . N e a n t r o S a a v e d r a - R i v a n o S . B . I .

-

G r o u p ASDELA

C a n d i d o Mendes U n i v e r s i t y Rua V i s c o n d e d e P i r a j a 351

A n d a r 7O R i o d e J a n e i r o D r . C a r l o s A . R u i z S . B . I .

-

G r o u p ASDELA C a n d i d o Mendes U n i v e r s i t y Rua V i s c o n d e d e P i r a j a 351

A n d a r 7O R i o d e J a n e i r o

BRAZIL (cont'd) Dr. Hugo D. Scolnik S.B.I. - Group ASDELA Candido Mendes University Rua Viscosde de Piraja 351

Andar 7

Rio de Janeiro

CANADA

Prof. Paul Medow York University 4700 Keele St.

Toronto

C S S R

Dr. Jiri Sliva

Institute of Philosophy and Sociology

Academy of Sciences of the CSSR Jilska 1

Prague

FINLAND

Dr. Pol.Sc. Pekka Kuusi

The Finnish Committee for IIASA Oy Alko

Ab

P1 350

SF-001 01 Helsinki 10

BERLIN (WEST)

Dr. habil. Helmut Arnaszus Institute for Philosophy Free University of Berlin Gelfertstrasse 1 1

D-1000 Berlin (West) 33 Dr. Stuart Bremer

Science Center Berlin Steinplatz 2

D-1000 Berlin (West) 12 Dr. Thomas Cusack

International Institute for Comparative Social Research Science Center Berlin

Steinplatz 2

D-1000 Berlin (West) 12

BERLIN (WEST) (cont'd) Dipl-Math. Peter Otto Science Center Berlin Steinplatz 2

D-1000 Berlin (West) I2 Dr. Brian Pollins

Science Center Berlin Steinplatz 2

D-1000 Berlin (West) 12 Dr. ~hristian Riethmtlller

IFZ - Institute for Future Research Technical University of Berlin

Giesebrechtstrasse 15 D-1000 Berlin (West) 42 Dr. Ulrich Widmaier Science Center Berlin Steinplatz 2

D-1000 Berlin (West) 12 Mr. Peter Haas

Free university of Berlin Gelfertstrasse 1 1

D-1000 ~ e r l i n (West) 33

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY Dr. Hartmut Bossel

ISP - Institute for Applied Systems Research and Prognosis

School of Medicine

Haus W3G - Karl-Wiechert-Allee

9

D-3000 Hannover

Dr. Siegfried Dickhoven Society for Mathematics and

Computer Processing (GIID) Schloss Birlinghoven

D-5205 St. Augustin 1 Dipl-Math. Wolfgang Oest

ISP - Institute for Applied Systems Research and Prognosis

School of Medicine

Haus W3G - Karl-Wiechert-Allee 9

D- 3 0 0 0 Hannover.

GERMAN DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC P r o f . Hans Knop

B e r l i n S c h o o l o f E c o n o m i c s Hermann D u n c k e r s t r a s s e 8 DDR-1157 B e r l i n

P r o f . M a n f r e d P e s c h e l

D e p a r t m e n t o f M a t h e m a t i c s a n d C y b e r n e t i c s

Academy o f S c i e n c e s R u d a w e r C h a u s s e e 5 DDR-1199 B e r l i n P r o f . A . Sydow

C e n t r a l I n s t i t u t e f o r C y b e r n e t i c s a n d I n f o r m a t i o n P r o c e s s e s

Academy o f S c i e n c e s R u d a w e r C h a u s s e e 5 DDR-1199 B e r l i n

HUNGARY

D r . Z s u z s a B e k k e r

N a t i o n a l P l a n n i n g O f f i c e A r a n y J a n o s u . 6-8

B u d a p e s t V

D r . E r n o e Z a l a i

D e p a r t m e n t o f N a t i o n a l E c o n o m i c P l a n n i n g

K a r l - M a r x U n i v e r s i t y o f E c o n o m i c S c i e n c e s

D i m i t r o v t e r 8 1 0 9 3 B u d a p e s t I X

I N D I A

P r o f . A n i r u d h L. N a g a r D e l h i S c h o o l o f E c o n o m i c s U n i v e r s i t y o f D e l h i

D e l h i

-

1 1 0 0 0 7

ITALY

D r . G i o r g i o R o n c o l i n i

S y s t e m s A n a l y s i s

-

R e s e a r c h U n i t F i a t R e s e a r c h C e n t r e

S t r a d a d e l Drosso 1 4 5 T u r i n

JAPAN

P r o f . Y o i c h i Kaya

E l e c t r i c a l E n g i n e e r i n g D e p t . F a c u l t y o f E n g i n e e r i n g

U n i v e r s i t y o f Tokyo Hongo 7-3-1, B u n k y o l k u Tokyo 1 1 3

P r o f . A k i r a O n i s h i

D e p a r t m e n t o f E c o n o m i c s Soka U n i v e r s i t y

1-236 T a n g i - m a c h i H a c h i o j i - s h i

Tokyo 192

P r o f . Y u t a k a S u z u k i

D e p a r t m e n t o f E l e c t r i c a l E n g i n e e r i n g O s a k a U n i v e r s i t y

Yamada-Kami, S u i t a O s a k a

NETHERLANDS

P r o f . J e r r i e d e Hoogh A g r i c u l t u r a l U n i v e r s i t y

Wageningen D e L e e u w e n b o r c h Wageningen

D r . M i c h i e l K e y z e r

C e n t e r f o r World Food S t u d i e s F r e e U n i v e r s i t y Amsterdam Amsterdam

D r . Hans L i n n e m a n n

F r e e U n i v e r s i t y Amsterdam Amsterdam

P r o f . i r . Onno Rademaker E i n d h o v e n u n i v e r s i t y o f

T e c h n o l o g y

S y s t e m s a n d C o n t r o l E n g i n e e r i n g G r o u p

P.O.Box 513 E i n d h o v e n 5600 D r . W . J . M . W i l s

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POLAND

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00-507 Warsaw

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S-10310 S t o c k h o l m

SWITZERLAND

D r . G e r n o t R u t h s

C e n t e r f o r Economic R e s e a r c h S w i s s F e d e r a l I n s t i t u t e o f

T e c h n o l o g y

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D i p l . I n g . J e a n - P l i c h e l T o i n e t I n s t i t u t e o f E n e r g y P r o d u c t i o n S w i s s F e d e r a l I n s t i t u t e o f

T e c h n o l o g y 1 7 , A v . D a p p l e s CH-1007 L a u s a n n e

UNITED K I N G D O M D r . Sam C o l e SPRU

U n i v e r s i t y o f S u s s e x B r i g h t o n

M r . P.C. R o b e r t s

S y s t e m s A n a l y s i s R e s e a r c h U n i t D e p a r t m e n t o f t h e E n v i r o n m e n t 2 , Marsham S t r e e t

London

U S A

P r o f . Anne P . C a r t e r D e p a r t m e n t o f E c o n o m i c s B r a n d e i s U n i v e r s i t y Waltham, Mass. 02154

u

S A

(cont'd)

Prof. Bert

G.

Hickman Department of Economics Stanford University Stanford, Ca. 94305 Dr. Frederick Kile

Aid Association for Lutherans Appleton, Wisc. 54919

Mr. William T. flarin

a1 Dir'iyyah Institute of Geneva, Switzerland 1925, ?lorth Lynn St.

Arlington, Va. 22209 Prof. Donella Meadows Dartmouth College

Hanover, New Haven 03755 Dr. Berrien Moore I11 Center for the Study of

Complex Systems

University of New Hampshire Durham, N.H. 03824

Prof. John M. Richardson, Jr.

College of Public Affairs Center for Technology and

Administration

The American university Washington, D.C. 20016 Dr. Michael D. Ward

Department of Political Science Northwestern University

Scott Hall

1890, Sheridan Road Evanston, Ill. 60201

U S S R

Dr. Sergey Dubovsky

All-Union Institute for Systems Studies

Ryleyev Str. 29 Moscow 119034

Prof. Alexandr Granberg

Novosibirsk Institute of Economics and Organization of Industrial Production

Prospekt Nauki

Novosibirsk

U S S

R

(cont'd)

Prof. Vladilen Clockoff

All-Union Institute for Systems Studies

Ryleyev Str.

29

Moscow

119034

Prof. Nicolaj Lapin

All-Union Institute for Systems Studies

Ryleyev Str.

29

Moscow

1 1 9034

INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS EURATOM - ^ECE

Ispra

21020

Italy

Dr. Yalcolm Slesser

Systems Analysis Division Joint Research Centre

ILO - International Labour Orqanisation

CH-1211

Geneva

22

Switzerland

Mr. Michael Hopkins

Population and Labour Policies Department

UNITED NATIONS

New York, N.Y.

10017

USA

Mr. Douglas Walker

Centre for Development Planning, Projections and Policies

Department of International Economic and Social Af fairs

IESA/CDPP

UNITAR - United Nations Institute for Training and Research

New York, N.Y.

10017

USA

Prof. Vladislav Tikhomirov

INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS ( c o n t ' d ) U N I D O

-

U n i t e d N a t i o n a l I n d u s t r i a l

D e v e l o p m e n t O r g a n i z a t i o n L e r c h e n f e l d e r s t r a s s e

1 0 8 0 V i e n n a , A u s t r i a M r . E o i n Gahan M r . Young Cho

M r . Y u r i Z e l e n t s o v WORLD BANK

W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . , USA

D r . Syama P r a s a d G u p t a

Economic A n a l y s i s a n d P r o j e c t s D e p a r t m e n t

IIASA

C . Almon

S y s t e m 6 D e c i s i o n S c i e n c e s A . A n d e r s s o n

G e n e r a l R e s e a r c h T. B a l a b a n o v E n e r g y S y s t e m s G . Bruckmann

G e n e r a l R e s e a r c h

-

G l o b a l M o d e l i n g R e v i e w A . Bykov

S e c r e t a r y t o IIASA V . C h a n t

E n e r g y S y s t e m s C . C s a k i

Food & A g r i c u l t u r e C . Clemens

R a p p o r t e u r J . E d d i n g t o n

Management & T e c h n o l o g y G . F i s c h e r

S y s t e m a n d D e c i s i o n S c i e n c e s P . F l e i s s n e r

Human S e t t l e m e n t s & S e r v i c e s

IIASA ( c o n t ' d ) K . F r o h b e r q

Food & A g r i c u l t u r e P . d e J a n o s i

S y s t e m & D e c i s i o n S c i e n c e s

A.M. Khan

E n e r g y S y s t e m s R . K u l i k o w s k i G e n e r a l R e s e a r c h R. L e v i e n

D i r e c t o r H . E l a i e r

Management & T e c h n o l o g y C . M a r c h e t t i

E n e r g y S y s t e m s D . Nyhus

S y s t e m s & D e c i s i o n S c i e n c e s R . P e s t e l

Management & T e c h n o l o g y A . P r o p o i

S y s t e m s & D e c i s i o n S c i e n c e s F . R a b a r

Food & A g r i c u l t u r e J . R o b i n s o n

Food & A g r i c u l t u r e A . Timrnan

Food & A g r i c u l t u r e R. T o m l i n s o n

Management & T e c h n o l o g y R . V e n t u r e l l i

R e s o u r c e s & E n v i r o n m e n t A . W i e r z b i c k i

S y s t e m & D e c i s i o n S c i e n c e s I . Z i m i n

E n e r g y S y s t e m s