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Goldschmidt2017 Abstract

Deoxygenation of the ocean

L.STRAMMA1*,S.SCHMIDTKO1 AND M.VISBECK1,2

1GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research, 24105 Kiel, Germany (*correspondance lstramma@geomar.de)

2Kiel University, 24098 Kiel, Germany

The amount of oceanic oxygen has varied on time scales of milennia to seasons. For recent decades, as well as for the future, a rather rapid change in dissolved ocean oxygen (DO) is shown in observations and numerical models respectively.

Subsurface low oxygen layers – oxygen deficient zones (ODZ) – exist in all ocean basins. In recent decades tropical [1] and subtropical DO decreased in most regions of the world ocean [2]. These DO trends are a combination of long- term trends superimposed with (multi-) decadal and short- term variability. The expansion of ODZs reduces the available habitat of pelagic fishes [3] and strongly effects the coastal ecosystems [4] and species distribution. Observed nutrient changes seem to be related to oxygen changes modified by local and eddy processes. An oxygen budget of available oxygen measurements revealed a world ocean oxygen loss of about 2% over the last 50 years [5]. While the exact processes at play remain elusive, causes of the oxygen variability involve climate-change related ocean warming, variations in the supply paths of oxygen-rich water via zonal current bands, changes in the expansion and speed of the subtropical gyres, and climate related signals like the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). On the large scale the observational results are consistent with model results which predict a further oxygen decline in the future. However, causes of descrepencies on local scales between observed and modelled oxygen changes are still unresolved. For the year 2100 a further decrease in the total ocean inventory of dissolved oxygen is projected [6] which is likely caused by global warming. In case of continuing deoxygenation ecological impacts as described for the geological past [7] are expected with consequences for fisheries [8] and coastal economics.

[1] Stramma et al. (2008), Science 320, 655-568. [2] Keeling et al. (2010), Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci. 2, 199-229. [3] Stramma et al. (2012) Nature Clim. Change 2, 33-37. [4] Vaquer- Sunyer and Duarte (2008) PNAS, 105, 15452-15457. [5]

Schmidtko et al. (2017), Nature 542, 335-339. [6] Cocco et al. (2013), Biogeosciences 10, 1849-1868. [7] Benton &

Twitchett (2003), Trends in Ecology and Evolution 18, 358- 365. [8] Cheung et al. (2013), Nature Clim. Change 3, 254- 258.

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