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Robert Ricker1, S. Hendricks1, S. Paul1, L. Kaleschke2, X. Tian-Kunze2 1 Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research

2 University of Hamburg

Sea ice thickness derived from radar

altimetry: achievements and future plans

(2)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Data: NCEP

(3)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(4)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(5)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(6)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(7)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(8)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(9)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(10)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(11)

How do anomalous warm winter temperatures affect the thermodynamic ice growth, the sea-ice thickness

distribution and ice volume in spring?

How do longer melting periods affect the Arctic ice mass balance?

Rationale

Satellite ENVISat SMOS CryoSat-2 Sentinel-3

Sensor Ku-Band Radiometer Ku-Band Ku-Band

Max Latitude 81.45° 81.6° 88° 81.35

Footprint 10 km ~40 km 300 x1650 m 300 x1650 m

CryoSat-2

2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

ENVISat SMOS

2017

Sentinel-3

2002

Data: NCEP

sea ice thickness derived from satellite observations

(12)

CryoSat-2 sea ice thickness and volume

(13)

CryoSat-2 sea ice thickness and volume

(14)

Airborne validation

Polar-5 with EM-Bird

(15)

Running mean

14-20 March 2016

+

CryoSat-2/SMOS merged ice thickness product

Radiometry

Radar Altimetry

First-Year Ice Multiyear Ice

(16)

=

Ricker et al. (2017), A weekly Arctic sea-ice thickness data record from merged CryoSat-2 and SMOS satellite data, The Cryosphere

Running mean

14-20 March 2016

+

CryoSat-2/SMOS merged ice thickness product

Radiometry

Radar Altimetry

First-Year Ice Multiyear Ice

(17)

=

Ricker et al. (2017), A weekly Arctic sea-ice thickness data record from merged CryoSat-2 and SMOS satellite data, The Cryosphere

Frequency

Sea Ice Thickness (m)

Running mean

14-20 March 2016

+

CryoSat-2/SMOS merged ice thickness product

Radiometry

Radar Altimetry

First-Year Ice Multiyear Ice

(18)

2015/2016 Sea ice thickness anomaly

(19)

2015/2016 Sea ice thickness anomaly

Mar 2016- MEAN

Sea Ice thickness anomaly for March 2016, referred to 2010-2016

(20)

2015/2016 Sea ice thickness anomaly

Mar 2016- MEAN

Sea Ice thickness anomaly for March 2016, referred to 2010-2016

Sea Ice volume 2010-2016

(21)

2015/2016 Sea ice thickness anomaly

Mar 2016- MEAN

Sea Ice thickness anomaly for March 2016, referred to 2010-2016

Sea Ice volume 2010-2016

[Nov 2015, Mar 2016] - MEAN

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Sea-Ice Thickness

Cumulative Freezing Degree Days

a

c

b

Cumulative Freezing degree days anomaly

Ricker et al. (2017),

Satellite-observed drop of Arctic sea ice growth in winter 2015–2016, GRL

Cumulative Freezing degree days = (-1.8 - T(°C) ) * #days

(22)

Combining Envisat and Cryosat-2

Minimize inter-mission biases between subsequent satellite missions

Consistent surface-type classification scheme

Adaptive retracker threshold that depends on waveform-characteristics

Paul et al., in preparation

(23)

First Sentinel-3 freeboard retrieval

First Sentinel-3 sea ice freeboard retrievals look promising and show a similar pattern as CryoSat-2

Sentinel-3 data are not suitable to solely maintain the sea ice thickness CDR

(24)

Providing operational sea ice thickness retrievals

Daily NetCDF vector data of sea ice thickness, freeboard and corresponding uncertainties are provided

March 2011

(25)

Providing operational sea ice thickness retrievals

(26)

Providing operational sea ice thickness retrievals

Monthly NetCDF with mean sea ice thickness, freeboard and corresponding uncertainties are provided

Average uncertainty computed by error propagation:

Maximum retrieval uncertainty

(27)

Providing operational sea ice thickness retrievals

Monthly NetCDF with mean sea ice thickness, freeboard and corresponding uncertainties are provided

Average uncertainty computed by error propagation:

Maximum retrieval uncertainty

Retrieval Status Flag indicates whether thickness retrieval in grid cell was successful or not

Retrieval Quality Flag informs on the quality of the retrieved thicknesses

(28)

Application of satellite sea ice thickness records

• Reduced first-year ice growth linked with anomalous warm winter 2015/16

• Application in model assimilation, model evaluation, and reanalysis data records (e.g. Mu et al. (2017), accepted)

• Impact of Fram Strait ice volume export on Arctic ice mass balance

Summary & Conclusions

(29)

Application of satellite sea ice thickness records

• Reduced first-year ice growth linked with anomalous warm winter 2015/16

• Application in model assimilation, model evaluation, and reanalysis data records (e.g. Mu et al. (2017), accepted)

• Impact of Fram Strait ice volume export on Arctic ice mass balance

Summary & Conclusions

r2 = 0.50

Multiyear ice

Dec Jan Feb Mar

r2 = 0.15

First-year ice

Export through Fram Strait (km3 /month)

Arctic sea-ice volume growth rate (km3/month)

Ricker et al., in preparation

(30)

Application of satellite sea ice thickness records

• Reduced first-year ice growth linked with anomalous warm winter 2015/16

• Application in model assimilation, model evaluation, and reanalysis data records (e.g. Mu et al. (2017), accepted)

• Impact of Fram Strait ice volume export on Arctic ice mass balance

Summary & Conclusions

Future Plans

• providing sea ice thickness products by a service that meets the requirements for climate applications and operational systems

• 25 years time series of sea ice thickness data records from radar altimetry

r2 = 0.50

Multiyear ice

Dec Jan Feb Mar

r2 = 0.15

First-year ice

Export through Fram Strait (km3 /month)

Arctic sea-ice volume growth rate (km3/month)

Ricker et al., in preparation

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