Munich Personal RePEc Archive
The Cultural Dimensions of International Trade: The Case of AGADIR Agreement countries
Shaker, Saber Adly
2017
Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/81761/
MPRA Paper No. 81761, posted 14 Oct 2017 17:45 UTC
ـــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــ ـــــــــــــــ
ﻟ ﺔﻴﻓﺎﻘﺜﻟﺍ ﺩﺎﻌﺑﻷﺍ ﺔﻴﻟﻭﺪﻟﺍ ﺓﺭﺎﺠﺘﻠ
: ﺮﻳﺩﺎﻏﺃ ﺔﻴﻗﺎﻔﺗﺇ ﻝﻭﺩ ﺔﻟﺎﺣ
The Cultural Dimensions of International Trade: The Case of AGADIR Agreement
countries
ـــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــــ ـــــــــــــــ
ﺭﻮﺘﻛﺩ
ﻦﲪﺮﻟﺍ ﺪﺒﻋ ﺮﻛﺎﺷ ﱃﺪﻋ ﺮﺑﺎﺻ
Saber_abdelrahman@commerce.helwan.edu.eg
ﻂﺑﺍﺮﻟﺍ ﱪﻋ ًﺎﻀﻳﺃ ﺮﻓﺍﻮﺘﻣ ﺚﺤﺒﻟﺍ
http://www.agadiragreement.org/DetailsPage/Agha dirAr/StudiesDetailsAr.aspx?PID=46
2
ﺺﺨﻠﻣ
ﺚﺤﺒﻟﺍ ﺕﺎﻤﻠﻛ :
– –
3
The main aim of this paper is to discuss the cultural dimensions of international trade in case of AGADIR agreement countries. The main finding is that although there is a weak correlation between genetic distance as an indicator of cultural distance and both of total visible exports and cultural goods exports. But Egypt is in the first rank in the degree of correlation. Thus, the paper analyzed the impact of cultural distance on the Egyptian exports of both total visible exports and cultural goods exports with the major trade partners which categorized into income criterion. The main results are: first, genetic distance as an indicator of cultural distance has a negative significant impact in the case of low-income partners. Second, the Egyptian exports increase with Islamic countries.
: Cultural goods – Ginatic distance – AGADIR agreement
4
.1 ﺔﻣﺪﻘﻣ
) .(
5
) (
6
) (
.
"
."
.
"
."
.
"
."
7
Cross-
Sectional Data .OLS
8
.2 ﺔﻴﻓﺎﻘﺜﻟﺍ ﻊﻠﺴﻟﺍ ﻒﻴﻨﺼﺗﻭ ﻡﻮﻬﻔﻣ
) . (
) .(
) .(
)
.(
9
Central Product Classification ،
CPC 322 CPC
323,324 CPC 389
CPC 3850
CPC 47520 )
. ( The Standard International Trade
Classification System ،
) .(
UNESCO ،
Headings Subheadings
(
()H.S .
) .(
HS .
HS
Sections
Chapters
http://www.wcoomd.rg .
10
.3 ﻖﺋﺎﻘﺣ ﺔﻴﻓﺎﻘﺜﻟﺍ ﻊﻠﺴﻟﺍ ﻰﻓ ﺔﻴﻟﻭﺪﻟﺍ ﺓﺭﺎﺠﺘﻟﺍ
) .(
) .(
) . (
) (
Concentration
.
11
)
69 (
%
) .(
60 % HS 8528 HS 3926
HS 8523 ) .(
Intra-Industry Trade
Grubel-Lloyd ،
) .(
) .(
.4 ﺮﻳﺩﺎﻏﺃ ﺔﻴﻗﺎﻔﺗﺇ ﻝﻭﺪﻟ ﺔﻳﺩﺎﺼﺘﻗﻻﺍ ﺺﺋﺎﺼﳋﺍ
12
http://www.agadiragreement.org/Pages/viewpage.aspx?pageID=184
13
14
15
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database.
ﺮﻳﺩﺎﻏﺃ ﺔﻴﻗﺎﻔﺗﺇ ﻝﻭﺪﻟ ﺔﻴﻓﺎﻘﺜﻟﺍ ﻊﻠﺴﻟﺍ ﻰﻓ ﺓﺭﺎﺠﺘﻟﺍ لﻴﻠﲢ
16
ﺮﻳﺩﺎﻏﺃ ﺔﻴﻗﺎﻔﺗﺇ ﻝﻭﺪﻟ ﺔﻴﻓﺎﻘﺜﻟﺍ ﻊﻠﺴﻟﺍ ﻰﻓ ﺓﺭﺎﺠﺘﻟﺍ لﻴﻠﲢ.5 ﺮﻳﺩﺎﻏﺃ ﺔﻴﻗﺎﻔﺗﺇ ﻝﻭﺪﻟ ﺔﻴﻓﺎﻘﺜﻟﺍ ﻊﻠﺴﻟﺍ ﻰﻓ ﺓﺭﺎﺠﺘﻟﺍ لﻴﻠﲢ
17
HS 8528
HS 3926 HS 8523
98772 79445 968406 601554
1748177 347378118
0.50
18
206699 586910 481922 352902 1628433 346206748
0.47
7832977 22036820 21967323 14073488 65910608 16235512034
0.41
20474909 37545666 74361267 20222503 152604345 16473390841
0.93
1.26 0.36
4.41 4.27
3 -
-
1.01 1.56
0.65 1.75
1 -
-
H.S code 8523
3926 8528
8528 -
8528 -
H.S 8528
8528 3926
3926 -
8528 -
1670 1784
64315 2170
69939 -
-
23119 29875
971 9674
63639 -
-
148656 385078
1072252 260967
1866953 -
-
523241 602034
505146 306230
1936651 -
-
19
1.12 0.46
6.00 0.83
- 3.75 -
4.42 4.96
0.19 3.16
3.29
Source: International Trade Center (2017), ITC calculations based on UN COMTRADE statistics.
.6 ﺔﻓﺎﻘﺜﻟﺍ ﻟ ﺩﺪﺤﻤﻛ
ﺔﻴﻟﻭﺪﻟﺍ ﺓﺭﺎﺠﺘﻠ
،
20
21
Cultural Distance .
.
Genetic distance
22
) (.
–
Trust
23
Source: Spolaore E, Wacziarg R (2009), “The diffusion of development”, Quarterly
24 Journal of Economics, Vol 124.
.7 ﺔﻴﻘﻴﺒﻄﺘﻟﺍ ﺔﺳﺍﺭﺪﻟﺍ
ﺮﻳﺩﺎﻏﺃ ﺔﻴﻗﺎﻔﺗﺇ ﻝﻭﺪﻟ ﺓﺭﺎﺠﺘﻟﺍﻭ ﺔﻴﺛﺍﺭﻮﻟﺍ ﺔﻓﺎﺴﳌﺍ ﲔﺑ ﺔﻗﻼﻌﻟﺍ1.7
Spearman
Source:
- International Trade Center (2017), ITC calculations
- Spolaore E, Wacziarg R (2009), “The diffusion of development”
25
International Trade Center (2017), ITC calculations ……., Opcit. .
Spolaore E, Wacziarg R (2009), “The diffusion of development”….., Opcit.
26
27
28
،
29
ﺔﻴﺑذﺎﳉﺍ جذﻮﳕ ﻦﻋ ﺓذﺒن
Gravity Model Newton
Carey 1865
Ravenstein 1885
.
Tinbergen Poyhonenو
2.7 ﺔﻴﺑذﺎﳉﺍ جذﻮﳕ ﻦﻋ ﺓذﺒن
Model
Carey
30
) .(
ماع
OECD
Seafood .
31
جذﻮﻤﻨﻟﺍ ﻒﻴﺻﻮﺗ 3.7 ﻭ
ﺕﺎنﺎﻴﺒﻟﺍ ﺔﻨﻴﻌﻟﺍﻭ
TEXP CUEXP
Cross-
Sectional Data
.OLS
، ،
.
، ،
،
32
GINATIC
Spolaore E,
Wacziarg R (2009),
“The diffusion of development”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol 124.
RELEGION
GEODIST
www.mapcrow.info
GDP World
development indicators database, World
Bank
Log_TEXP = α + β1 GINATIC + β2 RELEGION + β3LOG_GEODIST + β4 LOG_GDP + ε
33
Log_CUEXP = α + β1 GINATIC + β2 RELEGION + β3LOG_GEODIST + β4 LOG_GDP + ε
ﺮﻳﺪﻘﺘﻟﺍ ﺞﺋﺎﺘن4.7
e-views .
34
35
Autocorrelation 1 Durbin–Watson
Breusch – Godfrey
correlation LM
Heteroscedasticity 2
Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey Harvey و
5
Homoscedasticity Multicollinearity 3
cumulative sum control 4
chart CUSUM
36
GINATIC -3.92
) - 0.7 ( - 10.2
) -0.98 ( - 7.49
) - 1.48 ( 0.6
) 0.07 ( 12.07
) 2.6 ( 11.18
) 2 (
RELEGION 1.68
) 3.23 ( 3.29
) 3.35 ( 0.97
) 1.38 ( 2.12
) 1.8 ( 0.36
) 0.64 ( 1.65
) 2.44 (
LOG_GEODIST -1.41
) - 4.74 ( -1.33
) -2.38 ( - 1.04
) - 3.1 ( - 1.55
) - 2.76 ( - 2.17
) - 4.19 ( - 2.15
) - 3.46 (
LOG_GDP 0.88)
8.59 ( 0.67
) 3.49 ( 0.93
) 6.85 ( 0.57
) 2.52 ( 1.02
) 5.81 ( 1.11
) 5.26 (
R2 0.80
0.57 0.76
0.54
0.49
0.48
Adj- R2 0.79
0.53 0.72
0.47
0.45
0.44
Durbin Watson 2.09
1.97 2.28
1.79
1.82
1.66
t
37
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42
ﻖﺤﻠﳌﺍ
قسنملا ماظنلل ًاقفو ةيفاقثلا علسلا ةمئاق HS
3701 8527
3702 8528
3703 9006
3704 9007
3705 9008
3706 9010
3926 9201
4901 9202
4902 9203
4903 9204
4904 9205
4905 9206
4906 9207
4909 9208
4910 9209
4911 9504
6913 9601
8306 9701
8519 8520 8521 8523 8524
ﻰﺋﺎﺼﺣﻹﺍ لﻴﻠﺤﺘﻟﺍ ﺞﺋﺎﺘن
43
9702 9703 9704 9705 9706
ﻰﺋﺎﺼﺣﻹﺍ لﻴﻠﺤﺘﻟﺍ ﺞﺋﺎﺘن
44
45
ﺓﺭﺪﻘﳌﺍ جذﺎﻤﻨﻟﺍ ﺭﺍﺮﻘﺘﺳﺇ ﺭﺎﺒﺘخﺇ SUSUM
46
ﺓﺭﺪﻘﳌﺍ جذﺎﻤﻨﻟﺍ ﺭﺍﺮﻘﺘﺳﺇ ﺭﺎﺒﺘخﺇ
ةيلامجﻹا تارداصلل ةبسنلاب
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةضفخنم
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةطسوتم
1 . ةيلامجﻹا تارداصلل ةبسنلاب
1.1 ةلاح
2.1 ةلاح
47
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةعفترم
ةيفاقثلا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةضفخنم
3.1 ةلاح
2 . ةيفاقثلا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
1.2 ةلاح
48
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةطسوتم
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةعفترم
2.2 ةلاح
3.2 ةلاح
أﻄﳋﺍ ﺪﺣ ﻦﻳﺎﺒﺗ ﺕﺎﺒﺛ ﻡﺩ ﺔﻠكشﻣ ﻦﻋ ﻒشكﻟﺍ
49
أﻄﳋﺍ ﺪﺣ ﻦﻳﺎﺒﺗ ﺕﺎﺒﺛ ﻡﺩ ﺔﻠكشﻣ ﻦﻋ ﻒشكﻟﺍ
ةيلامجﻹا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةضفخنم
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةطسوتم
1 . ةيلامجﻹا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
1.1 ةلاح
2.1 ةلاح
50
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةعفترم
ةيفاقثلا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةضفخنم
3.1 ةلاح
2 . ةيفاقثلا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
1.2 ةلاح
51
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةطسوتم
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ىعفترم
2.2 ةلاح
3.2 ةلاح
ﻰﺗﺍذﻟﺍ طﺎﺒﺗﺭﻹﺍ ﺔﻠكشﻣ ﻦﻋ ﻒشكﻟﺍ
52
ﻰﺗﺍذﻟﺍ طﺎﺒﺗﺭﻹﺍ ﺔﻠكشﻣ ﻦﻋ ﻒشكﻟﺍ
ةيلامجﻹا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةضفخنم
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةطسوتم
1 . ةيلامجﻹا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
1.1 ةلاح
2.1 ةلاح
53
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ىعفترم
ةيفاقثلا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
3.1 ةلاح
2 - ةيفاقثلا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلاب
2.2 ةلاح
54
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةضفخنم
ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةطسوتم
1.2 ةلاح
ءاكرشلا
55
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةعفترم
3.2 ةلاح
ﺩﺪﻌﺘﳌﺍ طﺎﺒﺗﺭﻹﺍ ﺔﻠكشﻣ ﻦﻋ ﻒشكﻟﺍ
56
ﺩﺪﻌﺘﳌﺍ طﺎﺒﺗﺭﻹﺍ ﺔﻠكشﻣ ﻦﻋ ﻒشكﻟﺍ
ةيلامجﻹا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلا
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةضفخنم
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةطسوتم
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةعفترم
ةيفاقثلا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلا
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةضفخنم
1 . ةيلامجﻹا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلا
1.1 ةلاح
2.1 ةلاح
3.1 ةلاح
2 . ةيفاقثلا علسلا تارداصل ةبسنلا
1.2 ةلاح
57
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةطسوتم
ةلاح ءاكرشلا لخدلا ةعفترم
2.2 ةلاح
3.2 ةلاح