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Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Diaspora remittances and reduction of unemployment

Jellal, Mohamed

Al Makrรฎzi Institut Dโ€™รฉconomie, rabat , Morocco

25 August 2014

Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/58114/

MPRA Paper No. 58114, posted 25 Aug 2014 13:38 UTC

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๐‘1,๐‘ก +๐‘ ๐‘ก = ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1โˆ’ ๐‘ข๐‘ก +๐‘ข๐‘ก(๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€) ๐‘1,๐‘ก ๐‘ ๐‘ก ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ ๐‘ข๐‘ก ๐‘ค๐‘– ๐‘€

๐‘คโˆ—

๐‘ค๐‘– < ๐‘คโˆ— < ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

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๐‘2,๐‘ก+1 = 1 + ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก+1 ๐‘ ๐‘ก ๐‘2,๐‘ก+1 ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก+1

๐‘๐‘ก ๐‘›

๐‘ˆ๐‘ก = ๐‘™๐‘œ๐‘” ๐‘1,๐‘ก +๐›ฝ๐‘™๐‘œ๐‘” ๐‘2,๐‘ก+1

๐›ฝ

๐‘€๐‘Ž๐‘ฅ ๐‘ˆ๐‘ก = ๐‘™๐‘œ๐‘” ๐‘1,๐‘ก +๐›ฝ๐‘™๐‘œ๐‘” ๐‘2,๐‘ก+1

๐‘1,๐‘ก +๐‘ ๐‘ก = ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1โˆ’ ๐‘ข๐‘ก +๐‘ข๐‘ก(๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€) ๐‘2,๐‘ก+1 = 1 +๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก+1 ๐‘ ๐‘ก

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๐‘ ๐‘ก(๐‘€) = ๐›ฝ

1 +๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1โˆ’ ๐‘ข๐‘ก +๐‘ข๐‘ก(๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€

๐‘€

๐‘€ ๐‘€โ€ฒ ๐‘ค๐‘– < 0

๐‘†๐‘–๐‘”๐‘› ๐‘‘๐‘ ๐‘ก(๐‘€)

๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘ก = ๐‘†๐‘–๐‘”๐‘› ๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐‘‘๐‘ ๐‘ก(๐‘€)

๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘ก > 0 ๐‘€ > ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘–

๐‘‘๐‘ ๐‘ก(๐‘€)

๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘ก โ‰ค 0 ๐‘€ โ‰ค ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘–

๐‘‘ยฒ๐‘ ๐‘ก(๐‘€) ๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘ก๐‘‘๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ โ‰ค 0

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๐ฟ๐‘ก ๐พ๐‘ก

๐‘Œ๐‘ก = ๐ด๐พ๐‘ก๐›ผ๐ฟ1๐‘กโˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด

ฮ ๐‘ก = ๐ด๐‘˜๐‘ก๐›ผ 1 โˆ’ ๐‘ข๐‘ก 1โˆ’๐›ผ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1 โˆ’ ๐‘ข๐‘ก โˆ’(1 +๐‘Ÿ๐‘ก)๐‘˜๐‘ก ๐‘˜๐‘ก = ๐พ๐‘ก

๐‘๐‘ก ๐‘ข๐‘ก = 1โˆ’๐‘๐ฟ๐‘ก

๐‘ก

๐‘ข๐‘ก = 1โˆ’ 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐›ผ1

.๐‘˜๐‘ก

๐‘™๐‘ก = 1โˆ’ ๐‘ข๐‘ก

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๐‘ข๐‘ก = 1โˆ’ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1 ๐›ผ .๐‘˜๐‘ก

๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘ก

๐‘‘๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ > 0 ๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘ก

๐‘‘๐ด < 0 ๐‘‘๐‘ข๐‘ก

๐‘‘๐‘˜๐‘ก < 0

๐พ๐‘ก+1 = ๐‘๐‘ก๐‘ ๐‘ก = ๐‘๐‘ก+1

๐‘› ๐‘ ๐‘ก

๐‘˜๐‘ก+1 = ๐›ฝ

๐‘› 1+๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1โˆ’ ๐‘ข๐‘ก +๐‘ข๐‘ก(๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€

๐‘คโˆ— = ๐›ฝ

๐‘› 1+๐›ฝ ๐›ผ

1โˆ’๐›ผ 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด 1โˆ’๐›ผ1

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๐‘ข๐‘ก = 1โˆ’ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1

๐›ผ .๐‘˜๐‘ก = 0 ๐‘คโˆ— = 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘˜๐‘ก๐›ผ

๐‘˜๐‘ก+1 = ๐›ฝ

๐‘› 1 +๐›ฝ 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘˜๐‘ก๐›ผ

๐‘˜ = 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด ๐›ฝ ๐‘› 1 +๐›ฝ

1 1โˆ’๐›ผ

๐‘คโˆ— = 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด ๐›ฝ ๐‘› 1 +๐›ฝ

1 1โˆ’๐›ผ

๐›ผ

๐‘˜๐‘ก+1 = ๐›ฝ

๐‘› 1+๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ + 1 โˆ’ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1

๐›ผ .๐‘˜๐‘ก (๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ)

๐‘ข๐‘ก+1 = 1โˆ’ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1

๐›ผ .๐‘˜๐‘ก+1

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๐‘ข(๐‘€) = 1 โˆ’ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1

๐›ผ . ๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘–+๐‘€

1+๐›ฝ ๐‘›+๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘–+๐‘€โˆ’๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค ๐‘Ÿ 1 ๐›ผ

๐‘ข๐‘ก = 1โˆ’ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1 ๐›ผ .๐‘˜๐‘ก ๐‘˜๐‘ก+1 = ๐›ฝ

๐‘› 1+๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ + 1 โˆ’ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1

๐›ผ .๐‘˜๐‘ก (๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ)

๐‘˜๐‘ก+1 = ๐‘˜๐‘ก = ๐‘˜ โˆ€๐‘ก

๐‘˜(๐‘€) = ๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€

1 +๐›ฝ ๐‘›+๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐›ผ1

๐‘ข(๐‘€) = 1โˆ’ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1

๐›ผ ๐‘˜(๐‘€)

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๐‘ขโ€ฒ ๐‘€ = โˆ’ 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐›ผ1

๐‘˜โ€ฒ ๐‘€ < 0

๐‘˜โ€ฒ ๐‘€ > 0.

๐‘˜(๐‘€) = ๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€

1 +๐›ฝ ๐‘›+๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐›ผ1

๐‘†๐‘–๐‘”๐‘› ๐‘˜โ€ฒ ๐‘€ = ๐‘†๐‘–๐‘”๐‘› 1 +๐›ฝ ๐‘› โˆ’ ๐›ฝ 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐›ผ1

.๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐‘˜โ€ฒ ๐‘€ > 0

๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ > ๐›ฝ ๐‘› 1 +๐›ฝ

๐›ผ 1โˆ’๐›ผ

1 โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด 1โˆ’๐›ผ1

๐‘คโˆ— = ๐›ฝ ๐‘› 1 +๐›ฝ

๐›ผ 1โˆ’๐›ผ

1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด 1โˆ’๐›ผ1 ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ > ๐‘คโˆ— ๐‘˜โ€ฒ ๐‘€ > 0

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โˆ€ 0 < ๐‘€ < +โˆž

๐‘ข ๐‘€ =

1 + ๐›ฝ ๐‘› โˆ’ ๐›ฝ 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐›ผ1

.๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1 +๐›ฝ ๐‘›+๐›ฝ ๐‘ค๐‘– +๐‘€ โˆ’ ๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ 1โˆ’ ๐›ผ ๐ด

๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ

๐›ผ1

> 0

๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ > ๐‘คโˆ— 1 +๐›ฝ ๐‘› โˆ’ ๐›ฝ 1โˆ’๐›ผ ๐ด๐‘ค

๐‘Ÿ 1

๐›ผ .๐‘ค๐‘Ÿ > 0 ๐‘ข ๐‘€ > 0 โˆ€๐‘€ < +โˆž

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