Research Collection
Presentation
Did COVID19 teach cycling?
Author(s):
Axhausen, Kay W.
Publication Date:
2020-12
Permanent Link:
https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000456223
Rights / License:
In Copyright - Non-Commercial Use Permitted
Preferred citation style
Axhausen, K.W. (2020) Did COVID19 teach cycling?, Kolloquium
„Public Transport as Urban Generator“, TU München, zoom, December 2020.
TU München 20/12
Did COVID19 teach cycling ?
KW Axhausen IVT
ETH
Acknowledgements
ETH Zürich
• J Molloy
• C Tchervenkov
• T Schatzmann
WWZ, Universität Basel
• B Hintermann
• B Schoeman
TU München 20/12
Excess deaths in Switzerland since 2010
.b ag .a dm in .c h
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800
Deaths
Lower bound
Expected
Upper bound
MOBIS Sample
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MOBIS sample of fall 2019
• A virtual mobility pricing study with car and transit users
• Yes, the traveller respond substantially
• Agglomerations of the German and French speaking Switzerland
• 3750 participants for 8 weeks; 100 Franks incentive
• Catch-a-day app (motion-tag, Berlin)
MOBIS PKm fall/winter 2019/2020
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MOBIS COVID19 sample
MOBIS/COVID19 sample
• 1300+ started to track again after our invitation
• No incentives; just volunteers
• 3 short surveys addressing work and work location, deliveries, and health
• Second invite for the second wave
• Further recruitment of new participants with LINK
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MOBIS/COVID19 sample since March 2020
MOBIS/COVID19: Out-of-home share
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Mobile person by day
MOBIS/COVID19: PKm, trips and activity spaces
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PKm nach Geschlecht
Δ% change in VMT for “furloughed” participants
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Δ% change in trips by work location: WFH impact?
Δ% of number of trips and size of activity space
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0 1 2 3 4 5
0 100 200 300 400 500
Baseline-2019 Mar.09 Mar.23 Apr.06 Apr.20 May.04 May.18 Jun.01 Jun.15 Jun.29 Jul.13 Jul.27 Aug.10 Aug.24 Sep.07 Sep.21 Oct.05 Oct.19 Nov.02 Nov.16
N um be r o f tr ip s/ da y
Ac tiv ity sp ac e [ km 2]
Week starting with Monday
Weekday - Activity space Weekend ..
Weekday - Trips Weekend ..
MOBIS/COVID19: Mode choice
Working day Pkm by mode and phase of the pandemic
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MOBIS/COVID19: PKm change by mode
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
% c han ge
BikeWalking Bus Tram Train Car All
MOBIS/COVID19: PKm cycling change by (imputed) purpose
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COVID19 door-to-door car speeds
Dilemma of transport policy and long term changes
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Dilemma of transport policy
Accessibility ∼ Productivity ∼ Social welfare
Car accessibility ∼ Car ownership ∼ 1/Committment to transit use
Accessibility ∼ VMT ∼ CO
2emission for current fleet technology
Accessibility ∼ Sprawl ∼ VMT
Challenge of COVID19 for spatial policy making
Pandemic threat ∼ Sprawl ∼ VMT
Pandemic threat ∼ WFH ∼ VMT without control (reorganisation of time) Pandemic threat ∼ WFH ∼ 1/productivity without household
reallocation of tasks
Sprawl and WFH ∼ 1/commitment to transit use ∼ congestion Sprawl ∼ 1/spatial equity
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Is there a majority for an «e-bike» town?
• Reallocation of street space towards
• Walking
• e-bike/bike
• Express busses
• Tiny cars/e-scooters
• New bridges/tunnels for the slow modes
• Bike/e-scooter parking
• (Showers and rooms for changing)
• (Further investment in fast large vehicle services ?)
Questions ?
ivtmobis.ethz.ch/mobis/covid19/
www.ivt.ethz.ch
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