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The q -Optimal Absolutely Continuous Mar- Mar-tingale Measure

Portfolio Optimization for Exponential L´ evy Processes

4.3 The q -Optimal Absolutely Continuous Mar- Mar-tingale Measure

In Section 4.6, we see that under condition Cq an equivalent martingale measure does not exists if Cq+ is not satisfied. In this section, we modify and relaxCq again. This is done in a slightly different way as in Section 4.2 leading to theq-optimal absolutely continuous martingale measure, qAMM.

4.3.1 Relaxing Condition Cq

To guarantee that our new candidate is absolutely continuous, we need to guarantee that the new Girsanov parameterh−1, in ¯E(f, h−1),driving the jumps is not smaller than−1 :

Assumption 4.3.1. (CqA, CqE)

CAq :There exists a ξq ∈RN such that

egq(x) :=|(q−1)ξq(ex−1) + 1|q−11 1{(q1)ξ

q(ex1)+10} (4.24) satisfies

σσξq+ Z

RN\{0}

((ex−1)egq(x)−x1kxk≤1)ν(dx) =β (4.25) and

Z

RN\{0}|egq

q(x)−1−q(eg

q(x)−1)|ν(dx)<∞. (4.26) CAqp: CqAp holds if CqA is satisfied but (4.26) is replaced by

Z

RN\{0}

|(q−1)ξq(ex−1) + 1|q−1q −1−q(egq(x)−1)

ν(dx)<∞. (4.27) CEq : CqE is verified if egqq1(x) = (q−1)ξq(ex−1) + 1>0, ν-a.s.

Note, since there is a sphere around zero such that (q−1)ξq(ex−1)+1>0 for values x in this sphere, the above integral is always well defined for x around zero. Our conditions are connected as follows:

Lemma 4.3.1. We have CqAp ⇒CqA and

CqA∧CqE ⇔CqAp∧CqE ⇔Cq∧Cq+⇔Cq.

Note, the aboveCq+/CqE is only seen in combination withCqorCqAresp.

CqAp. If Cq+ does not hold, (q−1)ξq(ex−1) + 1 and (q−1)θq(ex−1) + 1 might be different. IfCq andCqAhold,Cq+and CqE are equivalent. We just mentionCq+ in the sequel.

Theorem 4.3.2. 1 Suppose that CqA holds. Then Zˇ(q)= ¯E(ξqσ,egq−1)

is the density process of theq-optimal absolutely continuous martingale mea-sure, qAMM. If in addition Cq0 holds, then the qAMM is equal to the qSMM and equal to the qEMM under Cq+.

1At this point I would like to thank Walter Schachermayer for the discussion about different types of utility problems. In particular, the reconsideration of the effect of an incorporation of consumption processes initiated the idea to extend the verification pro-cedure for signed measures to the absolutely continuous case.

The proof of Theorem 4.3.2 will be again based on a verification pro-cedure by a superhedging argument and duality. Superhedging means that we also allow for consumption, see Definition 1.2.7 and the discussion at the beginning of the chapter. If the utility function is decreasing it is better to consume. The proof will be given in Section 4.3.2.

We can extend Proposition 4.2.3 and see that CqA is a quite weak as-sumption. Intuitively, CqA means that for the existence of the qAMM we have to guarantee integrability of the density of the qAMM on the positive axis only. Otherwise the density is zero, but roughly on this set the signed measure might be negative. Integrability has to be guaranteed in the signed case. Hence,Cq has to include integrability also on the set ofx, whereCq+ fails:

Proposition 4.3.3. Suppose N = 1, P is not a martingale measure, and (σ >0∨ν((−∞,0))6= 06=ν((0,∞))). Then,

Cq ⇒ Cq ⇔ CqAp ⇔ Z

x1

epxν(dx)<∞

⇒ CqA ⇔ Z

x1

epxν(dx)<∞

or Z

R\{0}

((ex−1)−x1|x|≤1)ν(dx) + (b+1

2)>0

!

where p=q/(q−1) is the conjugate exponent toq.

Before we give an example and state a proof, we present an interesting corollary of Theorem 4.2.2 and 4.3.2:

Corollary 4.3.4. Suppose N = 1, and (σ > 0 ∨ ν((−∞,0)) 6= 0 6= ν((0,∞))). If, for some q > 1, Cq holds and the qSMM is not equivalent, then the qEMM does not exist.

Proof. By Proposition 4.3.3, Cq and CqA hold. We suppose that the qEMM exists. Then the qAMM coincides with the qEMM and consequently egq(x) > 0 ν-almost surely. This implies that the qAMM and the qSMM both coincide with the qEMM and therefore the qSMM is equivalent.

We extend Example 4.2.4:

Example 4.3.5 (Example 4.2.4 (continued)). SupposeN = 1 and (σ >0∨ν((−∞,0))6= 06=ν((0,∞))).

(i) Set:

Z

R\{0}

((ex−1)−x1|x|≤1)ν(dx) + (b+1

2)<0.

If ν(dx) behaves (up to a slowly varying function) as eγ+xdx forx → ∞, thenCqA holds for p:=q/(q−1) < γ+ and fails for p > γ+.

(ii) We next assume that Z

R\{0}

((ex−1)−x1|x|≤1)ν(dx) + (b+1

2)>0,

which is equivalent to the existence of the minimal entropy martingale mea-sure, if R

x1eθexν(dx) =∞ see Fujiwara and Miyahara [54] and Theo-rem 4.4.1 below. Then,

• Cq fails for all q >1.

• Cq holds for q such thatp < γ+ and fails forq such that p > γ+.

• CqAholds for all q >1.

In fact, in this situation ξq from condition CqA is negative. Therefore, the qEMM does not exist, and the qAMM and the qSMM are different in the range ofq, whereCq is satisfied.

We need some preparation to prove Proposition 4.3.3. For N = 1, we modify the function Φ a bit: with

eqξ

q(x) := 1{(q1)ξ(ex1)+10}(ex−1)|(q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1|q−11 , we define

Φ(q, ξ) = −β+σ2ξ+ Z

R\{0}

(eqξq(x)−x1|x|≤1)ν(dx) which are, for fixedq >1, again given on the domain

Dom(a)q =

ξ : Z

x1

(ex−1)((q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1)

1 q−1

+ ν(dx)<∞

. With this modified definition at hand, we are able to extend Lemma 3.2.6.1 and Lemma 4.2.5. Ifσ = 0, we need to assume that positive and negative jumps appear to guarantee strict monotonicity. The only case, we exclude in an arbitrage-free market is the pathological case that we have no diffusion component, only jumps in one direction, and a drift term with the reverse sign.

Lemma 4.3.6. (i) Let N = 1. Suppose σ 6= 0 or ν((−∞,0)) 6= 0 6= ν((0,∞)). Then the mapping Φ(q,·) is continuous and strictly increasing on Dom(a)q .

(ii) Let N = 1. Then we have for all q > 1 that 0 ∈ Dom(a)q ∩Dome and Φ(q,0) = Φ(q,0) = Φe(0).

(iii) LetN = 1 and q= pp1. We have (−∞,0]⊂Dom(a). Suppose further Z

x≥1

epxν(dx)<∞. Then,Dom(a)q =R.

(iv) Suppose conditionCqA is satisfied and there is anˆǫ >0such that σσ ≥ IN×Nˆǫ then kξqk ≤R, where R:= ˆǫ1kR

((ex−1)−x1kxk≤1)ν(dx)−βk. Proof of Lemma 4.3.6. (i)-(iv) are in analogy to Lemma 4.2.5:

(i) We can split up the integral in two parts (−) and (+) on the sets: {x : (q−1)ξ(ex−1)+1} ≤0 and{x: (q−1)ξ(ex−1)+1}>0.The latter integral is strictly increasing in ξ. We thus show that either (+) is different from zero or σ is positive and (−) is increasing to obtain that Φ(q,·) is strictly increasing. There is only one critical point if (q −1)ξ(ex −1) + 1 = 0.

In this case if ex−1 > 0, then ξ < 0 and vice versa. So if ex −1 > 0, (ex−1)|(ex−1)((q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1|q−11 increases ifξincreases. Ifex−1<0, (ex−1)|(ex−1)((q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1|q−11 decreases ifξ decreases. If σ = 0, there are ν-a.s. positive and negative jumps. Hence, for ξ ≥ 0 we have ν({x : (q−1)ξ(ex −1) + 1 > 0}) ≥ ν((0,∞)) > 0 and for ξ ≤ 0 we get ν({x : (q −1)ξ(ex −1) + 1 > 0}) ≥ ν((−∞,0)) > 0, thus (+) does not vanish, is strictly increasing, and (−) is increasing, so together Φ(q,·) is strictly increasing. If σ 6= 0 and (q−1)ξ(ex −1) + 1 = 0, σ2ξ is strictly increasing. Hence, Φ(q,·) is strictly increasing for q > 1. The remaining assertions again follow directly from the monotone convergence theorem.

(ii) The assertion is trivial.

(iii) For ξ ≤ 0, eqξq(x) is bounded from above, thus (−∞,0] ⊂ Dom(a) . Since q11 =p−1, there is a constantKp >0 such that forx >1 andξ∈R

(ex−1)|(q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1|q−11 ≤ Kp

p−1|ξ|(ex−1)p+Kp(ex−1), which isν-integrable over (1,∞) as R

x1epxν(dx)<∞. (iv) By a direct calculation, as in proof of Lemma 3.2.5.1,

ξΦ(q, ξ) (4.28)

= Z

RN\{0}

ξ(ex−1)|(q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1|q−11 1{(q1)ξ(ex1)+10}

−ξx1kxk≤1

ν(dx)−ξβ+ξσσξ (4.29)

≥ ξ( Z

RN\{0}

((ex−1)−x1kxk≤1)ν(dx)−β) +ξσσξ

≥ −kξkk Z

RN\{0}

((ex−1)−x1kxk≤1)ν(dx)−βk+kσξk2, (4.30)

as (q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1≥1 forξ(ex−1)>0,

0≤1{(q1)ξ(ex1)+10}|(q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1|q−11 ≤1 forξ(ex−1)<0 and 1{(q1)ξ(ex1)+10} = 1,and

ξ(ex−1)≤0 =ξ(ex−1)1{(q1)ξ(ex1)+10}|(q−1)ξ(ex−1) + 1|q−11 forξ(ex−1)<0 and 1{(q1)ξ(ex1)+10} = 0.

Proof of Proposition 4.3.3. We start considering the first line of assertions of Proposition 4.3.3. By Proposition 4.2.3, it remains to show that CqAp ⇔ (4.11).

⇒: SupposeCqAp holds for some fixed q. Then, by definition R

x>1

|(q−1)ξq(ex−1) + 1|q−1q −1

−q(((q−1)ξq(ex−1) + 1)

1 q−1

+ −1)

ν(dx)<∞.

Note that p=q/(q−1). Hence, for large x the term epx dominates in the above integrand and we conclude that (4.11) holds.

⇐: Suppose that condition (4.11) holds for some fixed q= p−1p >1. Recall that Dom(a)q = R thanks to Lemma 4.3.6, (iii). Now, in view of Lemma 4.3.6, (i), it suffices to show that

ξlim↓−∞Φ(q, ξ) =−∞ and lim

ξ↑∞Φ(q, ξ) =∞. (4.31) By assumption σ 6= 0 or ν((−∞,0)) 6= 0 6= ν((0,∞)). We first treat the case σ 6= 0. Dividing (4.30) by ξ implies (4.31) immediately. If σ = 0, then ν((−∞,0)) 6= 0 6= ν((0,∞)). As shown in the last proof, for every given x, (ex −1)|(q−1)ξ(ex −1) + 1|q−11 1{(q1)ξ(ex1)+1} is monotone in ξ, on the setν((−∞,0)) 6= 0, it converges to−∞ forξ → −∞, and on the set ν((0,∞)) 6= 0, it converges to +∞ forξ →+∞. Hence, the monotone convergence theorem yields (4.31) in the latter case. Obviously, condition (4.11) ensures that (4.27) holds.

It remains to prove the second equivalence. (4.6) holds if and only if, Φ(0, q) < 0. If (4.6) does not hold, then a root ξq exists in (−∞,0] ⊂ Dom(a) as Φq is strictly increasing and continuous and limξ↓−∞Φ(q, ξ) =

−∞. Hence eqξq(x) is bounded from above andCqAfollows (see also Lemma 4.3.6, (iii)). If (4.6) is satisfied, we have R

x1epxν(dx) < ∞. In view of (4.31), we just need to prove sufficient integrability. The last step of “⇐” follows from Lemma 4.3.6, (iii), implying Dom(a) =R.

⇒: SupposeCqAholds for some fixed q. As before, (4.6) holds if and only if

ξq > 0.If ξq >0, then CqA and CqAp are equivalent as ((q−1)ξq(ex−1) + 1)

1 q−1

+ =|(q−1)ξq(ex−1)+1|q−11 for largex. Hence, (4.11) holds. Otherwise, (4.6) does not hold, i.e.R

R\{0}((ex−1)−x1|x|≤1)ν(dx) + (b+12σ2)>0.

We continue Example 4.2.6 focusing on the case q= 2:

Example 4.3.7. Setb6= 0. We need to solve:

σ2ξq+γ(ea−1)((ea−1)ξq+ 1)1{(ea−1)ξq+1≥0} =−µ

We start with Case 2: setσ = 0 and q = 2,i.e. the variance case, then we have one unique solution of (4.16):

ξq=

b γ(ea−1) −1

ea−1 and eg2(a) =ξq(ea−1) + 1 = −b γ(ea−1),

if and only if ξq(ea−1) + 1 = γ(e−ba1) > 0 which holds true if and only if sgn(a) =−sgn(b).

• Cq always holds and a unique solution θ2 exists. In the case b 6= 0, Cq+ and CqA hold if and only if sgn(a) = −sgn(b). Ifsgn(a) = sgn(b), we have arbitrage although the qSMM still exists by Cq. CqA does not hold. Proposition 4.3.3 cannot be applied as we have arbitrage, in particular σ = 0 and there do not exist positive and negative jumps.

• Ifb= 0, we have arbitrage, butCqandCqAstill hold, Cq+fails. ξqq. We have Me = ∅. Note that this case is not covered in Proposition 4.3.3.

We continue with Case 4: setσ 6= 0 andb=−12σ2+µ, and q= 2. Hence, ξq= −(µ+γ(ea−1))

σ2+γ(ea−1)2 if

eg2(a) = (ea−1)ξq+ 1 = −µ(ea−1) +σ2

σ2+γ(ea−1)2 >0⇔σ2 > µ(ea−1).

Thus, ifσ2≤µ(ea−1),then ξq=−µ/σ2 and−(ea−1)µ/σ2+ 1≤0:

• CqA always holds and a unique solution ξ2 exists. We do not have arbitrage in all cases as σ2 >0.

• Cq+ holds if and only if σ2> µ(ea−1). θqq.

• If σ2 ≤ µ(ea−1), then θq 6= ξq. −ξq = µ/σ2, which is equal to the optimal exponential portfolio in a Brownian setting.

4.3.2 Verification of the q-Optimal Absolutely Continuous Solution

This section is devoted to the proof of Theorem 4.3.2. As a first step we derive a verification theorem for the q-optimal absolutely continuous mar-tingale measure. Again this theorem does not rely on the L´evy setting, but holds for general semimartingale models.

Theorem 4.3.8. Suppose Z¯ ∈ Daq, q = pp1 and, for some x < p, the˜ contingent claim

X(p,˜x)( ¯Z) :=p− sgn( ¯ZT)|Z¯T|p−11

p−x˜ E(|Z¯|

p p−1

T )

 (4.32)

is superreplicable with initial wealth x˜ and superhedging strategy (ϑ, C) in Ap×Cp or A(p,c) in the sense of Definition 1.2.7, i.e. X(p,˜x)( ¯Z) is super-replicable with respect to Wi(˜x) for i=C or i=AT.

Then Z¯ is the density process of the q-optimal absolutely continuous mar-tingale measure.

Before we proceed with a proof we like to mention a property similarly applied in the proof of Lemma 1.2.8, Lemma 3.3.2, and Remark 4.2.8:

Remark 4.3.9. Suppose q = p−1p , ϑ ∈ Ap, and x ∈ R, then we know from Remark 4.2.8 that

E[ZT(x+ Z T

0

ϑudSu)] =E(Z0x) =x.

AsZ ∈ Daq is non-negative and so E(ZTCT)≥0,we have E[ZT(x+

Z T 0

ϑudSu−CT)] =x−E(ZTCT)≤x.

The last assertion is obvious if (ϑ, C)∈ A(p,c).

Proof of Theorem 4.3.8. Letq =p/(p−1). We consider the following max-imization problems with utility functionup(x) =−|1−xp|p:

Max1: X(1) := arg max{E(up(X))|X ∈Lp s.t. E( ¯ZTX)≤x˜}

Max2: X(2) := arg max{E(up(X))|X ∈Lp s.t. ∀Z ∈ Daq: E(ZTX)≤x˜} Max3: X(3) := arg max{E(up(X))|X ∈ GCp(˜x)}

Max4: X(4) := arg max{E(up(X))|X ∈ GATp (˜x)}

where GCp(˜x) =

X∈Lp(FT) : ∃ϑ∈ Ap, C ∈Cp s.t. X= ˜x+ Z T

0

ϑudSu−CT

and GATp (˜x) =

X∈Lp(FT) : ∃(ϑ, C) ∈ A(p,c) s.t. X= ˜x+ Z T

0

ϑudSu−CT

. From Lemma 1.2.8, we know that Max2 dominates Max4,which further dominates Max3,i.e.V(˜x)C,dyn≤ V(˜x)AT,dyn ≤ V(˜x)a,stat.If the superhedg-ing strategy is inAp×Cp, thanks to Remark 4.3.9 we derive that

E(up(X(1))) ≥ E(up(X(2)))≥E(up(X(4)))

≥E(up(X(3)))≥E(up(X(p,˜x)( ¯Z))).

If the superhedging strategy is not inAp×Cp,but in A(p,c),we still have E(up(X(1)))≥E(up(X(2)))≥E(up(X(4)))≥E(up(X(p,˜x)( ¯Z))).

In both cases inequalities turn into equalities and the remaining assertions follow exactly as in the proof of Theorem 4.2.7.

We next suppose thatCqAholds for some q >1. We can therefore define Z¯= ¯E(ξqσ,egq−1).

Z¯ is q-integrable due to (4.26), i.e. E|Z¯|q < ∞. Moreover, applying the Dol´eans-Dade formula and integration by parts, one easily verifies that ¯ZS is a local martingale thanks to (4.25).

In order to prove Theorem 4.2.2, it remains to show that X(p,˜x)( ¯Z) is superreplicable within the class A(p,c) or Ap ×Cp for q = p/(p −1) and some ˜x < p. We will again derive a superreplicating strategy constructively.

This closely follows the approach in Section 4.2, but we need to balance out terms that cannot be included into the strategy ϑ. Roughly speaking, we plug them into a new consumption component. The strategy will be inA(p,c) under CqA. This is perfectly fine for deriving the qAMM. For our portfolio problem, we also like to know when the strategy is inAp×Cp. A sufficient condition is given byCqAp.

As before at first, we have to find an appropriate wealth process that reaches the claimX(p,˜x)( ¯Z).We fix some ˜x < p and get:

Lemma 4.3.10. We have X(p,˜x)( ¯Z) = ¯YT, where Y¯t := p−(p−x) ¯˜ Et((q−1)ξqσ,egq1

q −1) (4.33)

×e(q1)ξqR0tS−1u−dAuet

R

RN\{0}((q1)ξq(ex1)+1)ν(dx)

=: p−(p−x) ¯˜ Mtt=:p−(p−x) ¯˜ Mt(1)t Gt.

Proof. We easily see thatX(p,˜x)( ¯Z) = ˜YT,where

by applying Lemma 4.2.1 twice. With eg

q(x) = ((q−1)ξq(ex−1) + 1)1/(q+ 1)

Hence, applying the Dol´eans-Dade formula to ¯M and integration by parts, we get

Thus, is positive andC(p,C) is therefore increasing. 1τt is furthermore an RCLL process. Thanks to Lemma 4.3.10: P-supermartingale for every Z ∈ Dqa.

Proof. Set without loss of generality ˜x = 0. We fix Z ∈ Daq and define dQ = ZTdP. Then, Rt

0(p,C)u )dSu is a local martingale under Q. We denote by τn a localizing sequence of stopping times. Then, the stopped processes ¯Ytτn are supermartingales under Q. Due to Bayes formula, for s≤t, we thus have

E(Ztτntτn|Fs) =ZsτnEQ( ¯Ytτn|Fs)≤Zsτnsτn →Zss, n→ ∞.

Finally, E(Zt∧τntτn|Fs)→E(Ztt|Fs) by dominated convergence, since

|Ztτnt∧τn| ≤ sup

0≤u≤T|Zu| sup

0≤u≤T|Y¯u| and

E( sup

0uT|Zu| sup

0uT|Y¯u|)≤E( sup

0uT|Zu|q)1/qE( sup

0uT|Y¯u|p)1/p. The first factor is finite, since Z is a q-integrable martingale. For the sec-ond one, we observe that ¯At is deterministic and bounded and ¯Mt is a p-integrable martingale due to (4.26), (following the same argument as in Lemma 4.2.11 or also see the proof of Lemma 1.2.8). Therefore, the second factor is finite as well.

Thus, we have proved the following lemma establishing Theorem 4.3.2:

Lemma 4.3.12. Suppose CqA holds. Define ϑ(p,C)t = −p−x˜

p−1E¯t−((q−1)ξqσ,((q−1)ξq(e·−1))+−1)

×et(q1)ξq

β+R

RN\{0}(ex1x1kxk≤1)ν(dx)

St1ξq

and

Ct(p,C) = 1τ≤t(p−x) ¯˜ Mτ−τ((q−1)ξq(e∆ ˇXτ −1) + 1) (4.34) where τ = inf{t : ((q −1)ξq(e∆ ˇXt −1) + 1) > 0}. Then for x < p˜ and Z¯ = ¯E(ξqσ,egq−1) the contingent claim

X(p,˜x)( ¯Z) :=p−sgn( ¯ZT)|Z¯T|p−11 p−x˜ E(|Z¯T|p−1p )

!

, q= p p−1

is superreplicable with initial wealth x˜and the predictable strategy ϑ(p,C) and increasing RCLL process C(p,C) with (ϑ(p,C), C(p,C))∈ A(p,c).

Remark 4.3.13. (i) For t > τ, ϑ(p,C)t = 0 and Ct(p,C) changes at most once at τ. Once the investment in the stocks has overshot p, we consume the rest and stop all investments into the stocks. Until the end of the period, expected utility then keeps constant atp.

(ii) If ˜x≥p,we just consume ˜x−p,the investment into the stocks is zero. As the scaling component of the dual problemYp(˜x) is zero, the dual measure can be chosen arbitrarily. Hence the optimization problem does not help to find the qAMM, if ˜x≥p.

Finally, we like to prove that the superhedging strategy is also inAp×Cp. As

t = p−(p−x) ¯˜ Mt(1)t Gt=p−(p−x) ¯˜ Mtt

and ¯Mt is p-integrable, it remains to show that ϑ ∈ Ap, since then CT is automatically inLp:

Lemma 4.3.14. Suppose CqAp holds. Then ϑ(p,C) constructed in Lemma 4.3.12 belongs to the classAp.

Proof. Recall that by the definition of egq and the proof of Lemma 4.2.11:

E|E¯t((q−1)ξqσ,(((q−1)ξq(e·−1) + 1)+)−1)|p thanks to Taylor’s formula for small jumps and due to (4.3) for large jumps.

Hence, ¯Et((q−1)ξqσ,(q−1)ξq(e·−1)) and ¯Et((q−1)ξqσ,(((q−1)ξq(e·−1) + 1)+)−1) arep-integrable martingales underCqAp thanks to (4.27) (also see Lemma 4.2.1).

By Doob’s inequality, we immediately observe thatϑ(p,C)satisfies (4.19).

To prove (4.18), we first notice that, for some constant Kq>0, E

applying the Dol´eans-Dade formula for the last identity. By the Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequality and since ¯E((q − 1)ξqσ,(q − 1)ξq(e· − 1)) is p-integrable, the term on the right hand side is finite.

At the end of this section, it should be noted that the above (su-per)replicating strategies can exist, although there exists no equivalent mar-tingale measure. That means a (super)replicating strategy exists and we have arbitrage, see Example 4.2.6/4.3.7 and 4.4.7 and Section 4.5.

4.4 Convergence to the Minimal Entropy