J
ÜRGENS
CHMID WAS THE DIRECTOR OF THE *F
RAUNHOFERI
NSTITUTE FORW
INDE
NERGY ANDE
NERGYS
YSTEMT
ECHNOLOGY (IWES
) INK
ASSEL UNTIL 2012.A
LPHAV
ENTUS, OFFSHORE TEST FACILITY FOR WIND TURBINES, 45 KM OFFB
ORKUM IN THEN
ORTHS
EA.T
HE DECARBONIZATION OF THE ENERGY SYSTEMS HAS BEENTECHNICALLY POSSIBLE FOR SOME TIME NOW.
O
NE OF THESOLUTIONS IS WIND ENERGY.
I
N THIS TEST FIELD MORE THAN 150 SCIENTISTS ARE EXAMINING THE EFFECTS OF WIND, *WEATHER AND WAVES ON THE NACELLES, STEEL TOWERS AND ROTOR BLADES OF THE TURBINES, AND WHETHER THEY CAN WITHSTAND THE STRESSES FAR OUT TO SEA FOR 20 YEARS.62
T
HE TECHNOLOGIES FOR THE USE OF*RENEWABLE ENERGIES AND FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY HAVE DEVELOPED MORE QUICKLY
THAN EXPECTED.
S
INCE WE ARE PURSUING VARIOUS DIFFERENT TECHNIQUES – I.E.SOLAR, WIND, HYDROPOWER AND GEOTHERMAL ENERGY – AND THEIR
OVERALL POTENTIAL IS MUCH HIGHER THAN THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF ENERGY THAT IS NEEDED, WE CAN STILL ENSURE A 100% POWER SUPPLY EVEN IF ONE TECHNOLOGY CONTRIBUTES LESS OR NOTHING AT TIMES.
W
E CAN ACHIEVE THIS WITH SMART POWER GRIDS AND BYSTORING THE ELECTRICITY.
S
MART GRIDS CONTROL COMMUNICATION BETWEEN POWER GENERATORS, STORAGE FACILITIES AND ELECTRICAL CONSUMERS.C
ONSUMERSS
TORAGE POWERP
LANTC
ONTROL*
R
ENEWABLE ENERGYI
F THIS INNOVATION DYNAMIC CAN BE SUSTAINED, AND RENEWABLES ARE GIVEN PRIORITY, THEN AN ENERGY SYSTEM THAT IS 100% BASED ON RENEWABLES COULD BE IMPLEMENTED AS EARLY AS 2050 – NOT ONLY ING
ERMANY, BUT ALL OVER THE WORLD.V
ISION OF A GLOBAL RENEWABLE ENERGY SUPPLY BY 2050500
GAS FROM WIND AND SOLAR SOLAR POWER WIND SOLAR HEAT GEOTHERMAL POWER HYDROPOWER HEAT FROM BIOMASS POWER FROM BIOMASS NUCLEAR ENERGY NATURAL GAS CRUDE OIL COAL E-MOBILITY CHP AND HEAT PUMPS DIRECT POWER GENERATION (WIND, SOLAR, HYDROPOWER)
PRIMARY ENERGY (EXAJOULES/YEAR)
Source: WBGU 2011
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
T
HERE ARE TWO VIABLE TECHNOLOGIES FOR STORAGE.O
NE OF THESE IS PUMPED STORAGE POWERP
LANTS, WHICH HAS BEEN IN USE FOR SOME TIME.T
HE OTHER IS STORING THE ELECTRICITY IN THE FORM OF GAS.T
OGETHER WITH THEC
ENTRE FORS
OLARE
NERGY ANDH
YDROGENR
ESEARCHB
ADEN-W
ÜRTTEMBERG WE‘RE DEVELOPING AN IDEA FOR COUPLING ELECTRICITY AND GAS.Y
OU TAKE THE EXCESS ENERGY FROM RENEWABLE SOURCES AND MAKE METHANE OUT OF IT.T
HIS GAS CAN BE USED TO GENERATE HEAT, OR AS A FUEL, OR BE STORED IN NATURAL GAS NETWORKS.T
HE NATURAL GAS NETWORKS ALREADY EXIST.T
HE METHANE CAN BE CONVERTED BACK INTOELECTRICITY WHENEVER NECESSARY.
I
N THIS PROCESS YOU ONLY RELEASE AS MUCHCO
2 INTO THE ATMOSPHERE AS YOU PREVIOUSLY EXTRACTED FROM IT, MAKING THIS TECHNOLOGYCARBON NEUTRAL.
4H
2O 4H
2+ 2O
24H
2+ CO
2 CH
4+ 2H
2O
GENERATED POWER SURPLUS POWER
POWER
SURPLUS POWER
SHORTAGE
COMBINED HEAT AND POWER
GENERATION (CHP)* TRANSPORT
HEAT
GAS STORAGE COMBINED CYCLE
GAS TURBINES ELECTROLYSIS METHANIZATION
CARBON DIOXIDE FROM ATMOSPHERE, INDUSTRY, ETC.
WATER
HYDROGEN
OXYGEN METHANE
NATURAL GAS PIPELINE
LOWER BASIN
UPPER BASIN
POWERHOUSE
POWER GRID
WATERWAY LOWER BASIN
UPPER BASIN
POWERHOUSE
POWER GRID
WATERW AY
Source: www.pskw.atSource: ASUE e. V.
4
2
CH
64
H
OWEVER, WE MUST ALSO SAVE ENERGY.I
NOTHER WORDS, WE NEED TO WORK ON BECOMING MORE ENERGY EFFICIENT, I.E. GETTING MORE OUT
OF LESS.
T
HE THERMAL IMAGING CAMERA SHOWS THE HEAT LOSS FROM A HOUSE ...Y
OU CAN ALSO REDUCE THE AMOUNT OF HEAT BEING GIVEN OFF INTO THE ATMOSPHERE BY INSULATINGBUILDINGS BETTER; YOU THEN ALSO NEED LESS ENERGY TO HEAT THEM.
A
LOWER DEMAND FOR ENERGY AND THE USE OF LOW-CARBON OR RENEWABLEENERGY CARRIERS LEAD TO A CONSIDERABLE
REDUCTION IN
CO
2 EMISSIONS.M
ETHANE AND HYDROGEN OBTAINED FROM ELECTRICITY SURPLUSES CAN BE USED FOR GOODS AND LONG-HAUL TRANSPORT, AS WELL ASFOR AIRCRAFT AND SHIPS.
M
ODERN COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES CAN MAKE PUBLIC TRANSPORT MOREATTRACTIVE.
W
E URGENTLY NEED A SHIFT FROM ROAD TO RAIL FOR LONG-HAUL ROUTES, ESPECIALLY FOR FREIGHTTRAFFIC.
YOUR BUS WILL ARRIVE IN 2 MINUTES.
HIGH ... WITHOUT THERMAL
INSULATION ... WITH THERMAL
INSULATION LOW
H
IGH-SPEED RAILWAY LINES CAN BE A GOOD ALTERNATIVE TO FLYING.I
NA
RIZONA THERE’S ALREADY A PROJECT FOR A COMPLETELY SOLAR-POWERED HIGH-SPEED TRAIN: THE SOLAR BULLET TRAIN.A
ND OF COURSE WE MUST ALSO TRANSFORM PRIVATE TRANSPORT.A
LL THE MAJORCAR MAKERS HAVE – LONG SINCE – DEVELOPED PROTOTYPES FOR
ENERGY-EFFICIENT ELECTRIC CARS AND OTHER CARS THAT USE
LESS CARBON-INTENSIVE FUELS.
T
HINGS MIGHT CHANGEIN THIS FIELD VERY SOON.
T
HET
ESLAR
OADSTER, THE FIRST FULLY ELECTRIC SPORTS CAR, IS VERY POPULAR, ESPECIALLY AMONGH
OLLYWOOD STARS.66
W
HAT MIGHT THE WORLDLOOK LIKE IN 2050?
M
AGNETIC LEVITATION TRAINS, RUNNING UNDERGROUND OR ACROSS THE OCEANS, WILL WHISK US FROMB
ERLIN TOM
OSCOW IN ONE HOUR OR TON
EWY
ORK IN TWO HOURS.I
T CAN’T BE DONE ANY QUICKER BECAUSE OTHERWISE THE PASSENGERS WOULD BE PRESSED UP ONTO THE CEILING BY THE CURVATURE OFTHE
E
ARTH.T
HESE TRAINS ARE ALSO CALLEDM
AGLEV TRAINS, THE ABBREVIATION FOR MAGNETIC LEVITATION.T
HIS TECHNOLOGY HAS ALREADYPROVED ITS WORTH IN EVERYDAY USE WITH THE
T
RANSRAPID, WHICH RUNS FROMS
HANGHAI CITY CENTRE TO THE AIRPORT.500 -1000 M
1000 -4000 M
TR AN SA TL AN TIC TU NN EL
T
HE SAME PRINCIPLE APPLIES TO CARS IN CITY TRAFFIC.T
HEY ALSO USE MAGNETICFORCES.
D
RIVE ME HOME.T
HE LINES CARRY THE ENERGY SUPPLYAND TRANSFER THE INFORMATION.
T
HAT MEANS WE’RE CONNECTED ONLINE AND DON’T NEED TO STEER THE CAR ANY MORE.T
HE CAR FINDSTHE DESTINATION BY ITSELF, WHICH HAS MANY BENEFITS, AS
WE KNOW.
68
W
HEN IT COMESTO BUILDINGS, THE GLAZING IS THE BIGGEST PROBLEM.
Y
OU LOSE ENERGY IN THE WINTER, AND IN SUMMER YOU ALMOST MELT IN THEHEAT.
W
E SOLVE THE PROBLEM WITH MICROMIRRORS THAT ARE INTEGRATED INTO THE GLASS AND ARE INDIVIDUALLY ADJUST-ABLE.T
HEY FUNCTION IN A SIMILAR WAY TO ATOUCH SCREEN.
T
HE WINDOW PANES LOOK JUST THE SAME AS THEY DO TODAY, EXCEPT THATI
ONLY NEED TO RUN MY FINGER OVER IT TO DIM INDIVIDUAL AREAS OR TO DIRECT THE LIGHT TO A SPECIFIC
PLACE.
I
N ADDITION, THE BUILDINGS ARE VERY WELL INSULATED, SO THEY NO LONGER NEED TO BE HEATED.T
HE WALLS AND ROOFS ARE COVERED WITH PHOTOVOLTAIC PANELS ANDSUPPLY THE HOUSE WITH POWER.
S
OLAR ENERGY WILL SUPPLY MAINLY THE BUILDINGS;WIND TURBINES PROVIDE THE POWER FOR INDUSTRY AND
TRANSPORT.
W
E HAVE BATTERIES IN THE BASEMENT, WHICH STORE ENERGY BY DAY AND PROVIDE POWER ATNIGHT.
70
T
HE WIND TURBINESWILL NO LONGER BE ANCHORED TO THE SEABED, BUT WILL FLOAT FREELY ON THE OCEAN AND LOOK FOR THE BEST WIND.
F
REE-FLOATING WIND TURBINESF
LYING WIND TURBINEW
IND KITEA
ND IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE A COMPLETELY NEW FORM OF WIND POWER PLANTS: KITES THAT HOVER IN THE SKY.*THE PROTESTERS‘ PLACARDS DEMAND A STOP TO THE OFFSHORE TERMINAL AND THE
HARBOUR EXPANSION.
*
T
ELECOMMUNICATIONS WILL ALSO EVOLVE, OF COURSE.T
HIS IS THE MOST DIFFICULT AREA TO PREDICT, BECAUSE40 YEARS IS AN IMMENSELY LONG PERIOD AT THE CURRENT
RATE OF INNOVATION.
W
HAT ISCERTAIN IS THAT SMARTPHO-NES WILL BECOME MUCH MORE
THE FOCUS OF COMMUNICATION.
A
SHIP DOCKS INB
REMERHAVEN.W
E’LL HAVE ALL OUR IMPORTANT INFORMATION ON IT.F
OR EXAMPLE, WE‘LLBE ABLE TO CONTROL THE ENTIRE ENERGY MANAGEMENT OF OUR HOMES FROM OUR MOBILE
PHONE.
O
F COURSE, ALL THIS IS ALSO GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY: BY THE MIDDLE OF THE CENTURY SEVERAL MILLION PEOPLE WILL BE WORKING IN THE NEWLY CREATED RENEWABLE ENERGY SECTOR.B
UT AS ALWAYS, WHENEVER THERE ARE CHANGES,RESISTANCE WILL BE QUICK TO EVOLVE.