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TECHNICALLY, EVERYTHING IS POSSIBLE

J

ÜRGEN

S

CHMID WAS THE DIRECTOR OF THE *

F

RAUNHOFER

I

NSTITUTE FOR

W

IND

E

NERGY AND

E

NERGY

S

YSTEM

T

ECHNOLOGY (

IWES

) IN

K

ASSEL UNTIL 2012.

A

LPHA

V

ENTUS, OFFSHORE TEST FACILITY FOR WIND TURBINES, 45 KM OFF

B

ORKUM IN THE

N

ORTH

S

EA.

T

HE DECARBONIZATION OF THE ENERGY SYSTEMS HAS BEEN

TECHNICALLY POSSIBLE FOR SOME TIME NOW.

O

NE OF THE

SOLUTIONS IS WIND ENERGY.

I

N THIS TEST FIELD MORE THAN 150 SCIENTISTS ARE EXAMINING THE EFFECTS OF WIND, *WEATHER AND WAVES ON THE NACELLES, STEEL TOWERS AND ROTOR BLADES OF THE TURBINES, AND WHETHER THEY CAN WITHSTAND THE STRESSES FAR OUT TO SEA FOR 20 YEARS.

62

T

HE TECHNOLOGIES FOR THE USE OF

*RENEWABLE ENERGIES AND FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY HAVE DEVELOPED MORE QUICKLY

THAN EXPECTED.

S

INCE WE ARE PURSUING VARIOUS DIFFERENT TECHNIQUES – I.E.

SOLAR, WIND, HYDROPOWER AND GEOTHERMAL ENERGY – AND THEIR

OVERALL POTENTIAL IS MUCH HIGHER THAN THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF ENERGY THAT IS NEEDED, WE CAN STILL ENSURE A 100% POWER SUPPLY EVEN IF ONE TECHNOLOGY CONTRIBUTES LESS OR NOTHING AT TIMES.

W

E CAN ACHIEVE THIS WITH SMART POWER GRIDS AND BY

STORING THE ELECTRICITY.

S

MART GRIDS CONTROL COMMUNICATION BETWEEN POWER GENERATORS, STORAGE FACILITIES AND ELECTRICAL CONSUMERS.

C

ONSUMERS

S

TORAGE POWER

P

LANT

C

ONTROL

*

R

ENEWABLE ENERGY

I

F THIS INNOVATION DYNAMIC CAN BE SUSTAINED, AND RENEWABLES ARE GIVEN PRIORITY, THEN AN ENERGY SYSTEM THAT IS 100% BASED ON RENEWABLES COULD BE IMPLEMENTED AS EARLY AS 2050 – NOT ONLY IN

G

ERMANY, BUT ALL OVER THE WORLD.

V

ISION OF A GLOBAL RENEWABLE ENERGY SUPPLY BY 2050

500

GAS FROM WIND AND SOLAR SOLAR POWER WIND SOLAR HEAT GEOTHERMAL POWER HYDROPOWER HEAT FROM BIOMASS POWER FROM BIOMASS NUCLEAR ENERGY NATURAL GAS CRUDE OIL COAL E-MOBILITY CHP AND HEAT PUMPS DIRECT POWER GENERATION (WIND, SOLAR, HYDROPOWER)

PRIMARY ENERGY (EXAJOULES/YEAR)

Source: WBGU 2011

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

T

HERE ARE TWO VIABLE TECHNOLOGIES FOR STORAGE.

O

NE OF THESE IS PUMPED STORAGE POWER

P

LANTS, WHICH HAS BEEN IN USE FOR SOME TIME.

T

HE OTHER IS STORING THE ELECTRICITY IN THE FORM OF GAS.

T

OGETHER WITH THE

C

ENTRE FOR

S

OLAR

E

NERGY AND

H

YDROGEN

R

ESEARCH

B

ADEN-

W

ÜRTTEMBERG WE‘RE DEVELOPING AN IDEA FOR COUPLING ELECTRICITY AND GAS.

Y

OU TAKE THE EXCESS ENERGY FROM RENEWABLE SOURCES AND MAKE METHANE OUT OF IT.

T

HIS GAS CAN BE USED TO GENERATE HEAT, OR AS A FUEL, OR BE STORED IN NATURAL GAS NETWORKS.

T

HE NATURAL GAS NETWORKS ALREADY EXIST.

T

HE METHANE CAN BE CONVERTED BACK INTO

ELECTRICITY WHENEVER NECESSARY.

I

N THIS PROCESS YOU ONLY RELEASE AS MUCH

CO

2 INTO THE ATMOSPHERE AS YOU PREVIOUSLY EXTRACTED FROM IT, MAKING THIS TECHNOLOGY

CARBON NEUTRAL.

4H

2

O ž 4H

2

+ 2O

2

4H

2

+ CO

2

ž CH

4

+ 2H

2

O

GENERATED POWER SURPLUS POWER

POWER

SURPLUS POWER

SHORTAGE

COMBINED HEAT AND POWER

GENERATION (CHP)* TRANSPORT

HEAT

GAS STORAGE COMBINED CYCLE

GAS TURBINES ELECTROLYSIS METHANIZATION

CARBON DIOXIDE FROM ATMOSPHERE, INDUSTRY, ETC.

WATER

HYDROGEN

OXYGEN METHANE

NATURAL GAS PIPELINE

LOWER BASIN

UPPER BASIN

POWERHOUSE

POWER GRID

WATERWAY LOWER BASIN

UPPER BASIN

POWERHOUSE

POWER GRID

WATERW AY

Source: www.pskw.atSource: ASUE e. V.

ž 4

2

ž CH

64

H

OWEVER, WE MUST ALSO SAVE ENERGY.

I

N

OTHER WORDS, WE NEED TO WORK ON BECOMING MORE ENERGY EFFICIENT, I.E. GETTING MORE OUT

OF LESS.

T

HE THERMAL IMAGING CAMERA SHOWS THE HEAT LOSS FROM A HOUSE ...

Y

OU CAN ALSO REDUCE THE AMOUNT OF HEAT BEING GIVEN OFF INTO THE ATMOSPHERE BY INSULATING

BUILDINGS BETTER; YOU THEN ALSO NEED LESS ENERGY TO HEAT THEM.

A

LOWER DEMAND FOR ENERGY AND THE USE OF LOW-CARBON OR RENEWABLE

ENERGY CARRIERS LEAD TO A CONSIDERABLE

REDUCTION IN

CO

2 EMISSIONS.

M

ETHANE AND HYDROGEN OBTAINED FROM ELECTRICITY SURPLUSES CAN BE USED FOR GOODS AND LONG-HAUL TRANSPORT, AS WELL AS

FOR AIRCRAFT AND SHIPS.

M

ODERN COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES CAN MAKE PUBLIC TRANSPORT MORE

ATTRACTIVE.

W

E URGENTLY NEED A SHIFT FROM ROAD TO RAIL FOR LONG-HAUL ROUTES, ESPECIALLY FOR FREIGHT

TRAFFIC.

YOUR BUS WILL ARRIVE IN 2 MINUTES.

HIGH ... WITHOUT THERMAL

INSULATION ... WITH THERMAL

INSULATION LOW

H

IGH-SPEED RAILWAY LINES CAN BE A GOOD ALTERNATIVE TO FLYING.

I

N

A

RIZONA THERE’S ALREADY A PROJECT FOR A COMPLETELY SOLAR-POWERED HIGH-SPEED TRAIN: THE SOLAR BULLET TRAIN.

A

ND OF COURSE WE MUST ALSO TRANSFORM PRIVATE TRANSPORT.

A

LL THE MAJOR

CAR MAKERS HAVE – LONG SINCE – DEVELOPED PROTOTYPES FOR

ENERGY-EFFICIENT ELECTRIC CARS AND OTHER CARS THAT USE

LESS CARBON-INTENSIVE FUELS.

T

HINGS MIGHT CHANGE

IN THIS FIELD VERY SOON.

T

HE

T

ESLA

R

OADSTER, THE FIRST FULLY ELECTRIC SPORTS CAR, IS VERY POPULAR, ESPECIALLY AMONG

H

OLLYWOOD STARS.

66

W

HAT MIGHT THE WORLD

LOOK LIKE IN 2050?

M

AGNETIC LEVITATION TRAINS, RUNNING UNDERGROUND OR ACROSS THE OCEANS, WILL WHISK US FROM

B

ERLIN TO

M

OSCOW IN ONE HOUR OR TO

N

EW

Y

ORK IN TWO HOURS.

I

T CAN’T BE DONE ANY QUICKER BECAUSE OTHERWISE THE PASSENGERS WOULD BE PRESSED UP ONTO THE CEILING BY THE CURVATURE OF

THE

E

ARTH.

T

HESE TRAINS ARE ALSO CALLED

M

AGLEV TRAINS, THE ABBREVIATION FOR MAGNETIC LEVITATION.

T

HIS TECHNOLOGY HAS ALREADY

PROVED ITS WORTH IN EVERYDAY USE WITH THE

T

RANSRAPID, WHICH RUNS FROM

S

HANGHAI CITY CENTRE TO THE AIRPORT.

500 -1000 M

1000 -4000 M

TR AN SA TL AN TIC TU NN EL

T

HE SAME PRINCIPLE APPLIES TO CARS IN CITY TRAFFIC.

T

HEY ALSO USE MAGNETIC

FORCES.

D

RIVE ME HOME.

T

HE LINES CARRY THE ENERGY SUPPLY

AND TRANSFER THE INFORMATION.

T

HAT MEANS WE’RE CONNECTED ONLINE AND DON’T NEED TO STEER THE CAR ANY MORE.

T

HE CAR FINDS

THE DESTINATION BY ITSELF, WHICH HAS MANY BENEFITS, AS

WE KNOW.

68

W

HEN IT COMES

TO BUILDINGS, THE GLAZING IS THE BIGGEST PROBLEM.

Y

OU LOSE ENERGY IN THE WINTER, AND IN SUMMER YOU ALMOST MELT IN THE

HEAT.

W

E SOLVE THE PROBLEM WITH MICROMIRRORS THAT ARE INTEGRATED INTO THE GLASS AND ARE INDIVIDUALLY ADJUST-ABLE.

T

HEY FUNCTION IN A SIMILAR WAY TO A

TOUCH SCREEN.

T

HE WINDOW PANES LOOK JUST THE SAME AS THEY DO TODAY, EXCEPT THAT

I

ONLY NEED TO RUN MY FINGER OVER IT TO DIM INDIVIDUAL AREAS OR TO DIRECT THE LIGHT TO A SPECIFIC

PLACE.

I

N ADDITION, THE BUILDINGS ARE VERY WELL INSULATED, SO THEY NO LONGER NEED TO BE HEATED.

T

HE WALLS AND ROOFS ARE COVERED WITH PHOTOVOLTAIC PANELS AND

SUPPLY THE HOUSE WITH POWER.

S

OLAR ENERGY WILL SUPPLY MAINLY THE BUILDINGS;

WIND TURBINES PROVIDE THE POWER FOR INDUSTRY AND

TRANSPORT.

W

E HAVE BATTERIES IN THE BASEMENT, WHICH STORE ENERGY BY DAY AND PROVIDE POWER AT

NIGHT.

70

T

HE WIND TURBINES

WILL NO LONGER BE ANCHORED TO THE SEABED, BUT WILL FLOAT FREELY ON THE OCEAN AND LOOK FOR THE BEST WIND.

F

REE-FLOATING WIND TURBINES

F

LYING WIND TURBINE

W

IND KITE

A

ND IN ADDITION THERE WILL BE A COMPLETELY NEW FORM OF WIND POWER PLANTS: KITES THAT HOVER IN THE SKY.

*THE PROTESTERS‘ PLACARDS DEMAND A STOP TO THE OFFSHORE TERMINAL AND THE

HARBOUR EXPANSION.

*

T

ELECOMMUNICATIONS WILL ALSO EVOLVE, OF COURSE.

T

HIS IS THE MOST DIFFICULT AREA TO PREDICT, BECAUSE

40 YEARS IS AN IMMENSELY LONG PERIOD AT THE CURRENT

RATE OF INNOVATION.

W

HAT IS

CERTAIN IS THAT SMARTPHO-NES WILL BECOME MUCH MORE

THE FOCUS OF COMMUNICATION.

A

SHIP DOCKS IN

B

REMERHAVEN.

W

E’LL HAVE ALL OUR IMPORTANT INFORMATION ON IT.

F

OR EXAMPLE, WE‘LL

BE ABLE TO CONTROL THE ENTIRE ENERGY MANAGEMENT OF OUR HOMES FROM OUR MOBILE

PHONE.

O

F COURSE, ALL THIS IS ALSO GOOD FOR THE ECONOMY: BY THE MIDDLE OF THE CENTURY SEVERAL MILLION PEOPLE WILL BE WORKING IN THE NEWLY CREATED RENEWABLE ENERGY SECTOR.

B

UT AS ALWAYS, WHENEVER THERE ARE CHANGES,

RESISTANCE WILL BE QUICK TO EVOLVE.

CHAPTER 6

A TASK FOR THE