Die Anatomie des Berufswechsels : eine empirische Bestandsaufnahme auf Basis der BIBB/IAB-Daten 1998/1999

Rechts-, Wirtschafts- und Verwaltungswissenschaftliche Sektion

Fachbereich

Wirtschaftswissenschaften

Diskussionspapiere der DFG-

Forschergruppe (Nr.: 3468269275):

Heterogene Arbeit: Positive und Normative Aspekte der Qualifikationsstruktur der Arbeit

Bernd Fitzenberger, Alexandra Spitz

Die Anatomie des Berufswechsels:

Eine empirische Bestandsaufnahme auf Basis der BIBB/IAB Daten 1998/1999

Februar 2004

Diskussionspapier Nr. 04/02

http://www.wiwi.uni-konstanz.de/forschergruppewiwi/

Diskussionspapier der Forschergruppe (Nr.: 3468269275) “Heterogene Arbeit: Positive und Normative Aspekte der Qualifikationsstruktur der Arbeit“

Nr. 04/02, Februar 2004

Die Anatomie des Berufswechsels: Eine empirische Bestandsaufnahme auf Basis der BIBB/IAB Daten 1998/1999

Zusammenfassung:

Unter dem Stichwort „Patchwork-Biografien“ wird die Tatsache, dass ein großer Teil der abhängig Beschäftigten ihren erlernten Beruf nicht mehr ausüben, in jüngster Zeit viel diskutiert. Diese Studie liefert einen empirischen Beitrag zur Anatomie des Berufswechsel für westdeutsche Männer auf Basis der BIBB/IAB-Daten 1998/1999. Als Grundlage für die empirische Analyse wird ein theoretisches Modell der Wahl zwischen horizontal differenzierten Berufen entwickelt.

Die wichtigsten Ergebnisse sind: Ex post beobachtete Berufswechsel hängen negativ vom Durchschnittslohn im Ausbildungsberuf und positiv vom Durchschnittslohn im Erwerbsberuf ab. Der deskriptiv beobachtete durchschnittliche Entlohnungseffekt eines Berufswechsels ist signifikant positiv, verstärkt sich noch, wenn für den Ausbildungsberuf kontrolliert wird, und ist demgegenüber signifikant negativ, wenn für den Erwerbsberuf kontrolliert wird. Der geschätzte kausale durchschnittliche Entlohnungseffekt ist positiv. Die Ergebnisse sind insgesamt damit konsistent, dass Berufswechsel vor allem damit zusammenhängen, dass Beschäftigte im neuen Erwerbsberuf größere Verdienst- und Karrierechancen wahrnehmen können.

JEL Klassifikation : C21, J24, J31, J62

Schlüsselwörter : Berufswechsel, Lohneffekt, Selektivität, westdeutsche Männer Download/Reference : http://www.wiwi.uni-konstanz.de/forschergruppewiwi/

Alexandra Spitz

ZEW Mannheim mail : spitz@zew.de phone : +49-621-1235-293 fax : +49-621-1235-333

Bernd Fitzenberger

Universität Mannheim, IFS und ZEW Fakultät für VWL

mail : bfitzenberger@uni-mannheim.de phone : +49-621/181-1845

fax : +49-621/181-1841

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