HCRS Census Coef Odds
Ratio
Std.
Err.
[95% Conf.
Interval]
Coef Odds Ratio
Std.
Err.
[95% Conf.
Interval]
Age
Ref: 55-64 1.000 1.000
16-24 1.645 5.181 0.041 4.781 5.615 2.264 9.621 0.043 8.844 10.468
25-34 1.634 5.124 0.035 4.785 5.488 2.001 7.396 0.039 6.852 7.984
35-44 1.023 2.782 0.035 2.597 2.979 1.251 3.494 0.039 3.237 3.771
45-54 0.453 1.573 0.036 1.466 1.688 0.571 1.770 0.04 1.637 1.914
65-74 -0.321 0.725 0.047 0.662 0.795 -0.402 0.669 0.055 0.601 0.745
Gender
Ref: Male 1.000 1.000
Female 0.088 1.092 0.016 1.058 1.127 -0.018 0.982 0.016 0.952 1.013
Marital status
Ref: Married 1.000 1.000
Single -0.400 0.670 0.026 0.637 0.705 -0.369 0.691 0.026 0.657 0.728
Separated,
Divorced,Widowed
0.342 1.408 0.027 1.335 1.484 0.365 1.441 0.029 1.361 1.525
CoB
Ref: UK/RoI 1.000 1.000
Non-UK/ROI 0.340 1.405 0.029 1.327 1.487 0.029 1.029 0.03 0.971 1.092
NS-Sec
Ref: Intermediate 1.000 1.000
Prof 0.075 1.078 0.022 1.032 1.125 0.158 1.171 0.023 1.120 1.225
Rtine -0.033 0.968 0.021 0.929 1.008 -0.087 0.917 0.022 0.878 0.957
Not wrking 0.071 1.074 0.029 1.014 1.136 -0.194 0.824 0.032 0.774 0.877
Stud -0.499 0.607 0.037 0.565 0.653 -0.581 0.559 0.036 0.521 0.600
Housing tenure
Ref: Owner occ 1.000 1.000
Soc rent 0.935 2.547 0.025 2.425 2.675 1.011 2.748 0.027 2.607 2.898
Priv rent 1.523 4.586 0.02 4.410 4.769 1.942 6.973 0.02 6.705 7.251
1
CE Other 0.852 2.344 0.059 2.088 2.632 1.021 2.776 0.061 2.463 3.129 Household composition
Ref: Family, dep chldrn 1.000 1.000
Other 0.388 1.474 0.024 1.406 1.545 0.737 2.090 0.026 1.986 2.199
Cohab 0.753 2.123 0.033 1.990 2.265 1.262 3.532 0.034 3.305 3.776
Lone par 0.299 1.349 0.031 1.269 1.433 0.355 1.426 0.033 1.337 1.521
Stud HH 0.287 1.332 0.102 1.091 1.627 2.867 17.584 0.095 14.597 21.183
CE/vacant 1.433 4.191 0.095 3.479 5.049 2.89 17.993 0.092 15.024 21.549
Area type
Ref: Rural 1.000 1.000
Urban 0.042 1.043 0.024 0.995 1.093 0.136 1.146 0.029 1.082 1.213
Social deprivation
Ref: 1 - least deprived 1.000 1.000
2 0.012 1.012 0.029 0.956 1.071 -0.043 0.958 0.037 0.891 1.030
3 -0.017 0.983 0.029 0.929 1.041 -0.192 0.825 0.036 0.769 0.886
Most deprived -0.035 0.966 0.029 0.912 1.022 -0.26 0.771 0.036 0.719 0.827
Constant 0.007 0.000 0.006 0.000
Table S1: Full model coefficients, address changing 2010-11, according to counts derived from the Healthcard Register and the One Year-Ago Address Question
Source: NILS
2
Figures
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
R² = 0.01
Outflow (Census)
Outflow (HCR)
Figure S1: Aggregate outflows between 2010 and 2011, Census compared with Healthcard (N = 890 SOAs)
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
R² = 0.01
Inflows (Census)
Inflows (HCR)
Figure S2: Aggregate flows to SOAs between 2010 and 2011, Census and Healthcard (N=890 SOAs)
3
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200
R² = 0
Net flow (Census)
Net flow (HCR)
Figure S3: Net flows between 2010 and 2011, gross migrant inflows minus gross migrant outflows, Census and Healthcard Register (N=890 SOAs)
Figure S4: Address changes in 2010-11 in the census and the healthcard register: Binary logistic regression model, n=340,647
Source: NILS
4
