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ENERGY

USE

IN THE POST-HARYEST FOOD (PEIF) SYSTEM OF DEXJ3LOPING COUNTRIES

J.K.

P a r i k h S. Syed

June 1986 CP-86-21

C o l l a b o r a t i v e P a p e r s r e p o r t work which h a s not been performed solely a t t h e International Institute f o r Applied Systems Analysis and which h a s r e c e i v e d only limited review. Views o r opinions e x p r e s s e d h e r e i n d o not necessarily r e p r e s e n t t h o s e of t h e Insti- t u t e , i t s National Member Organizations, o r o t h e r organizations supporting t h e work.

INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS 2361 Laxenburg, Austria

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PREFACE

The extension of t h e food production system beyond t h e f a r m g a t e h a s been a matter of c o n c e r n t o t h e Food and Agriculture P r o g r a m of IIASA.

This post-harvest-food (PHF) system includes food processing, food t r a n - s p o r t , s t o r a g e and cooking s o as t o r e a c h t h e consumer in t h e final s t a g e .

I t i s c l e a r t h a t self-sufficiency in food would r e q u i r e e f f o r t s and investments not only in t h e food production b u t a l s o in t h e PHF system.

What are t h e r e s o u r c e requirements, in p a r t i c u l a r e n e r g y requirements, of t h e PHF system, is a question t h a t is addressed in t h i s p a p e r by J.Parikh and S.Syed f o r 90 developing c o u n t r i e s of Africa, Asia, and Latin America.

The r e s u l t s indicate t h a t t h e e n e r g y r e q u i r e d in t h e PHF system, depending on t h e national c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s , is 2 t o 4 times l a r g e r than t h e e n e r g y r e q u i r e d t o produce t h e food on t h e farm. T h e r e are o t h e r evidences which show t h a t l a b o r , investment and value added follow similar p a t t e r n s . Recent e x p e r i e n c e s in tackling t h e famine in Africa a l s o show t h a t t h e PHF system could b e a bottleneck.

I t i s hoped t h a t cross-country variations shown h e r e a s well as t h e v a r i a b l e s affecting t h e s e variations, e.g. income levels, urbanization, c r o p - ping p a t t e r n s , d i e t a r y p a t t e r n s , f o r e s t and fossil fuel availability and t h e like, will b e of i n t e r e s t t o a l l concerned with t h e food problem.

F e r e n c R a b a r

Food and Agriculture P r o g r a m

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ABSTRACT

This a r t i c l e r e p o r t s on t h e methodology and r e s u l t s of t h e study on estimation of e n e r g y consumption in post-harvest-food system in developing c o u n t r i e s . The components of t h e PHF system are: food p r o c e s s i n g , t r a n - s p o r t a t i o n , s t o r a g e a n d cooking. The s t u d y h a s r a t h e r ambitious c o v e r a g e f o r 7 0 p r o c e s s e d commodities in 90 c o u n t r i e s of Africa, Latin America, F a r E a s t and N e a r E a s t . This was possible b e c a u s e of c o m p u t e r t a p e s a v a i l a b l e at FA0 f o r a wide v a r i e t y of d a t a r e q u i r e d f o r s u c h a n analysis. Of c o u r s e , e x t e n s i v e c h e c k i n g w a s r e q u i r e d f o r e a c h c o u n t r y b u t much of t h e a p p r o x i - mations remain, leading only t o b r o a d implications. Despite t h e difficulties with p r e c i s e d a t a , i t s e e m s r e a s o n a b l e t o draw t h e following conclusions from t h e a v a i l a b l e information: The post-harvest-food system r e q u i r e s 2 t o 4 times more e n e r g y t h a n t h e e n e r g y on f a r m s . Commercial e n e r g y i s o f t e n used f o r food p r o c e s s i n g , s u c h as milling, c r u s h i n g , and f w d t r a n s p o r t , a n d t o some e x t e n t f o r cooking. The s h a r e of commercial e n e r g y in t o t a l e n e r g y used in t h e PHF system r a n g e s between 22% in Africa t o 80% in Near East.

The l e v e l s of e n e r g y consumption in t h e PHF system d e p e n d s o n income lev- e l s and e x t e n t of urbanization and w h e t h e r a c o u n t r y h a s locally a v a i l a b l e fossil f u e l s or f o r e s t s . In addition, d i f f e r e n t components of t h e

PHF

system are s e n s i t i v e t o d i f f e r e n t p a r a m e t e r s . F o r example, e n e r g y in food pro- c e s s i n g d e p e n d s o n c r o p p i n g a n d d i e t a r y p a t t e r n s , w h e t h e r food i s e x p o r t e d o r imported, w h e r e a s food t r a n s p o r t d e p e n d s on t h e s i z e of t h e c o u n t r i e s a n d location of u r b a n areas with r e s p e c t to f a r m s . These p a r a m e t e r s are discussed h e r e f o r t h e f o u r world r e g i o n s as w e l l as f o r t h e 9 0 developing c o u n t r i e s as a whole. Country-specific insights are given g r a p h i c a l l y d u e t o l a c k of s p a c e t o r e p o r t a l l d a t a individually.

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W e a r e g r a t e f u l t o D r . J. Hrabovszky, f o r m e r l y s e n i o r a d v i s o r t o t h e A g r i c u l t u r e Department, who initiated t h i s study at FA0 a n d i s a co-author of t h e FA0 document on t h i s s u b j e c t , a n d t o G. Konda of FA0 f o r computeriz- ing t h e method of estimation. We are g r a t e f u l t o FA0 f o r t h e i r permission t o publish t h i s work.

Lilo Roggenland h a s kindly typed t h i s m a n u s c r i p t d e s p i t e much o t h e r p r e s s i n g work.

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vii

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1.

Introduction

A comprehensive food system is not r e s t r i c t e d t o f a r m level production alone but extends beyond t h e farm g a t e t o include food processing, food t r a n s p o r t , s t o r a g e and cooking, r e f e r r e d t o in t h i s p a p e r as post-harvest-food (PHF) system.

The energy consumption as w e l l as employment and value added by t h e PHF system i s s e v e r a l times g r e a t e r than t h e farm level activities. Analyses from s e v e r a l developed c o u n t r i e s (Stout et al., 1979) indicate t h a t t h e t o t a l food system uses around 17-20 p e r c e n t of t o t a l energy use in t h e economies. Of this, usually around one-fifth t o one-quarter i s s p e n t on production on t h e f a r m and t h e remainder goes into post-harvest operations. Given t h i s substantial s h a r e of t h e PHF system in t h e t o t a l energy use, coming t o around 13-15 p e r c e n t of t o t a l energy use in developed countries, t h e question w a s raised: A r e t h e p a t t e r n s in t h e developing countries different? The arguments f o r less importance of t h e PHF system as compared t o t h e farm system r e s t e d on t h e f a c t s t h a t a l a r g e s h a r e of t h e food in developing countries i s consumed locally by t h e v e r y same people who produce i t and t h a t i t undergoes much less processing, packaging and cooling as compared t o t h e situa- tion in t h e developed countries.

The post-harvest food system i s dispersed in various economic s e c t o r s of t h e economy and t h e r e f o r e s t a n d a r d national accounts and energy accounts d o not provide directly available statistics. I t i s necessary t o s e p a r a t e out from t h e energy accounts of a number of economic s e c t o r s t h e s h a r e t h a t goes into t h e PHF system. Moreover, t h e differences t h a t exist between t h e developing countries in t h i s r e s p e c t and t h e f a c t o r s which c a u s e t h e s e differences are also of g r e a t i n t e r e s t . Once such knowledge i s available, i t should b e possible

to

improve

energy u s e planning, develop technologies f o r subsectors, and achieve more optimal energy u s e in a manner a p p r o p r i a t e t o national needs.

Consequently, t h e objectives of t h i s study are t o bring t o g e t h e r information

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from various s o u r c e s within a n internally consistent accounting framework, t o identify t h e socio-economic v a r i a b l e s t h a t determine t h e s t r u c t u r e of t h e PHF sys- tem, and t o fill t h e gaps of knowledge a b o u t t h e energy used in t h e PHF system.

The choice of t h e c o u n t r i e s f o r detailed t r e a t m e n t w a s based on t h e need t o obtain information from l a r g e , developing c o u n t r i e s (India, Brazil, Indonesia, Mex- ico, Pakistan, etc.) and, simultaneously, from a much l a r g e r g r o u p of small but typ- ically r e p r e s e n t a t i v e c o u n t r i e s (Cameroon, Kenya, Nicaragua, etc.) s o as t o cap- t u r e t h e i r common c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s .

In t h e second p h a s e a simple accounting model was developed t h a t could b e applied t o all t h e 9 0 developing c o u n t r i e s in g e n e r a l , including t h e additional 66 c o u n t r i e s r e q u i r e d f o r t h e planned 90-country c o v e r a g e and to standardize t h e s o u r c e s and n a t u r e of t h e d a t a r e q u i r e d .

The t h i r d p h a s e w a s t o apply t h e model and analyze t h e r e s u l t s f o r 9 0 develop- ing c o u n t r i e s F o r t h e s a k e of consistency among countries, t h e study had t o b e done with international s t a t i s t i c s , b u t care w a s t a k e n t o e n s u r e t h a t t h e rigidity introduced in handling such a l a r g e g r o u p should not compromise t h e e a r l i e r esti- mates made from country statistics. The p r e s e n t a r t i c l e r e p o r t s a summary of t h i s l a s t p h a s e f o r which a full description i s available in Hrabovszky et al. (1984).

The 9 0 c o u n t r i e s c o v e r e d h e r e are t h e same as t h o s e chosen f o r t h e FA0 study entitled "Agriculture: Toward 2000", f o r which e n e r g y used in food production sys- tems had been estimated e a r l i e r .

While admitting t h a t t h i s e f f o r t will yield only a r e l a t i v e l y rough f i r s t approx- imation, i t should help t o draw attention t o t h e sensitive f a c t o r s f o r a v e r y impor- t a n t chain of t h e food system. Furthermore, such a n approximation will identify additional information which needs t o b e collected and analyzed f o r improved e n e r g y planning and management f o r t h e food system, and by implication f o r r u r a l e n e r g y systems and o v e r a l l e n e r g y systems. This will c a l l f o r more r e s e a r c h ,

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special surveys and better categorization of general statistics.

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2. Conceptual Framework and Overall Methodology

2.1. Description of the System

A l a r g e number of o p e r a t i o n s t a k e place a f t e r food commodities leave t h e farmgate and b e f o r e they r e a c h tho consumer's plate. They r a n g e from drying, milling, sorting, t r a n s p o r t i n g , packaging, storing, sometimes again t r a n s p o r t i n g and processing, marketing and finally cooking. They o c c u r in d i f f e r e n t o r d e r for d i f f e r e n t commodities and t h e o p e r a t i o n s also d i f f e r according t o d i e t a r y p a t t e r n s , income levels, locations and s o on. To simplify t h i s p i c t u r e , most of t h e activities are included in f o u r main components defined in t h e p r e s e n t study:

-

food processing

-

food t r a n s p o r t

-

food s t o r a g e

-

household cooking

The methodology, t o some e x t e n t , i s a l r e a d y d e s c r i b e d in P a r i k h (1985) which r e p o r t s on t h e r e s u l t s at detailed national level f o r f o u r c o u n t r i e s of South Asia.

However, s i n c e t h e p r e s e n t study deals with 90 countries, t h e p r o c e d u r e had t o b e d i f f e r e n t and needs t o b e illustrated briefly again.

For some commodities, packaging and marketing are important components which are included in t h e food processing f o r convenience. Two of t h e s e varia- tions are schematically illustrated in Figure 1 , which shows t h a t a portion of t h e commodities are d i r e c t l y k e p t by t h e r u r a l consumers who may t r a n s p o r t them through informal t r a n s p o r t such a bullock c a r t s , headloads, o r even s m a l l t r u c k s , involving no e n e r g y worth mentioning. The remaining food

-

t h e marketable s u r p l u s

-

will b e c a r r i e d formally by railways o r t r u c k s o r by water t r a n s p o r t , often o v e r long distances. I t may b e s t o r e d a t convenient points and again t r a n - s p o r t e d by smaller vehicles to t h e r e t a i l e r s f o r urban and town consumers. The

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o r d e r in which t h e s e o p e r a t i o n s t a k e place, a s shown in Figure 1 f o r two different variations, h a s little impact on energy accounting.

In t h i s p a p e r , t h e treatment of each component, r e g a r d l e s s of i t s importance in o t h e r r e s p e c t s , i s detailed only to t h e e x t e n t t h a t i t consumes e n e r g y .

A s f a r as e x p o r t s and imports of food commodities are concerned, two dif- f e r e n t a p p r o a c h e s are possible:

(a) consider t h e total e n e r g y s p e n t f o r food consumed by t h e people: in t h i s case food consumed within t h e country, including imported food, t h a t is, t r a n s p o r t of imported food and i t s processing done elsewhere, but excluding e x p o r t e d food and i t s processing and t r a n s p o r t ;

(b) consider t o t a l e n e r g y s p e n t within t h e b o r d e r s of t h e country: in t h i s case food processed within t h e country i s t o b e taken into account. This means t h e exclusion of t h e e n e r g y used a b r o a d t o p r o c e s s imported food but includes t r a n s p o r t within t h e importer country and t h e e n e r g y s p e n t on e x p o r t e d food.

W e have chosen t h e second a p p r o a c h , r a t h e r t h a n t h e f i r s t , because i t i s more r e l e v a n t t o decisions at a national level on energy allocations.

In o r d e r t o a r r i v e at broad o r d e r s of magnitude, a number of generalizations and estimates had t o b e made while dealing with 90 countries and 70 commodities.

Some of t h e estimates had t o b e derived from limited and weak d a t a , along with indirect estimations o r inference. Even t h e d a t a r e p o r t e d in l i t e r a t u r e varied widely. T h e r e f o r e , when d i f f e r e n t s o u r c e s were consulted, judgements had t o b e made in selecting them and consistency c h e c k s had t o b e applied.

2.2. Procedures Adopted for Energy Accounting

The following a r e t h e assumptions and p r o c e d u r e s adopted:

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PROCESSING PRECEDES TRANSPORT TRANSPORT PRECEDES PROCESSING

VARIATION A VARIATION 8

Farmgate

v Rural Consumers

Rural I Transport Processing Cooking I

Consumers

I

I

Transport

Storage and Partial Processing

1J

L r

Processing

e.g.

milled rice, coru, some cooking

oil, sugar, milk products, co

e.g.

wheat

Variation A: Processing of imported food is excluded and of exported food

included,

e.g.

milling paddy.

Variation B: Processing of imported food included, and of exported food excluded, e.4. milling wheat

Figure 1. Sc:homntlc cllngram o f flows of

two

different types of food comnodltles

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(a) t h e quantities of energy considered were estimated as "final t?nc:c.gy use level"

n e t of losses in conversion and t r a n s p o r t :

(b) t h e energy considered was only d i r e c t energy (e.g. diesel oil used by machinery but not t h e energy embodied in t h e machinery). Energy consumed in t h e manufacture of bottles and cans, however, w a s included as this is a necessary ingredient of packaging and marketing and depends on technology choices;

(c) energy s o u r c e s used were divided into commercial and non-commercial energy sources. Commercial s o u r c e s included liquid fuels, gas, coal and electricity;

non-commercial s o u r c e s included wood and charcoal, bagasse, animal and o t h e r agricultural wastes;

(d) animate energy provided by humans and animals w a s not considered, p a r t l y because of s e v e r a l conceptual difficulties in adding animate biological energy t o inanimate energy, also because of i t s r e s t r i c t e d relevance f o r policy pur- poses;

(e) Once t h e different energy s o u r c e s used were accounted in t h e i r own physical units, i.e. kilo-watt-hours (kwh), tons of wood, l i t r e s of kerosene, e t c . , they were converted into a common unit in useful energy t e r m s taking into account t h e conventional efficiencies of each energy s o u r c e . For this purpose t h e unit of account chosen w a s t h e ton of oil replacement o r oil substitution units (TOR), r a t h e r than Joules, s o as t o r e l a t e t h e levels of energy consumption t o actual supply necessary. This is explained in detail below.

2.2.1.

Oil replacement units or oil substitution units

Estimating t h e use of energy in terms of primary energy content

-

without

considering i t s utilization efficiency

-

is likely t o give a wrong impression, espe- cially when a substantial portion comes from non-commercial (n.c.e.) s o u r c e s (J.

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P a r i k h , 1986). I t i s t h e r e f o r e b e t t e r t o compare and estimate in terms of useful energy. To account f o r especially low efficiencies of non-commercial e n e r g y s o u r c e s in useful e n e r g y t e r m s and y e t maintain physical units, t h e r e l a t i v e effi- ciencies were compared t o k e r o s e n e use. These conversion units, known as oil sub- stitution units are c o n s t r u c t e d to answer t h e question: how much k e r o s e n e would h a v e been used, if t h i s cooking had been done on k e r o s e n e s t o v e s ? Since t h e effi- ciencies of s t o v e s using n.c.6. and k e r o s e n e s t o v e s e n t e r into t h e p i c t u r e , t h e t a b l e h a s limited validity r e s t r i c t e d t o p r a c t i c e s in f u e l use in t h e developing coun- t r i e s . F o r example, if wood i s used f o r cooking, t h e oil r e q u i r e d is obtained by t h e following formula:

amount of wood used x h e a t value p e r unit of wood x wood-efficiency efficiency of oil use X h e a t value of oil

Table 1 below i s c o n s t r u c t e d f o r a v a r i e t y of non-commercial u s e s assuming a v e r a g e efficiencies as t h e y are used in t h e households of t h e developing coun- t r i e s . Thus, t h e c o n c e p t of useful e n e r g y u s e s a b s o l u t e efficiency, and t h e oil replacement c o n c e p t u s e s r e l a t i v e efficiencies (with r e s p e c t to oil). 1

Having discussed principles and p r o c e d u r e s concerning e n e r g y accounting, w e resume discussion on t h e f o u r components of t h e post h a r v e s t food system.

2.3. Food Processing

Food processing i s a n e c e s s a r y s t e p p r i o r to food consumption f o r s e v e r a l reasons:

-

-

to make food edible: Under t h i s c a t e g o r y come primary processing a c t i v i t i e s s u c h as f l o u r making, paddy husking, oil s e e d pressing, etc. In t h i s case, a l l t h e primary food commodities h a v e to b e p r o c e s s e d ;

'1t should be stressed that this notion i s different from coal replacement units used in In- dia, where all sectors, 1.e. transport, industries, household, are assumed to have the same relative efficiencies and these efficiencies were those that prevailed two t o three de- cades ago.

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Table 1 . Oil equivalent and replacement units f o r fuels f o r household cook- ing

1 lo9 1

Assumed efficiency

1

Metric ton Tons of oil

1

Joules

1

in cooking

1

oil equivalent* replacement Coal and Charcoal

Fuelwood solid 20-30% MC Bagasse

Dung Cakes Sawdust Agri-waste Kerosene LPG

Natural Gas

The above table was based on the following:

1 ton oil equivalent

-

10,180 ~ 1kcal* 0 ~

1 calorie

-

4.1868 Joules Fuelwood: 1 M3

-

725 kg

Charcoal: 1 M3

-

167 kg

1 ton coal equivalent

-

7000 x103 kcal

*Source: Yearbook of World Energy S t a t i s t i c s (1979) and Hrabovszky e t el. (1984)

-

to preserve food: s o as t o s t o r e perishable food f o r longer periods, e i t h e r f o r t r a n s p o r t i n g i t elsewhere o r f o r consuming i t a t a l a t e r s t a g e

-

t h e r e b y extending i t s use o v e r s p a c e and time.

-

to make a l t e r n a t i v e d e r i v a t i v e s : p a r t l y f o r consumer p r e f e r e n c e s , p a r t l y f o r using all by-products, and p a r t l y f o r preservation purposes. More than one derivative may b e e x t r a c t e d from primary commodities, such as cheese, b u t t e r , e v a p o r a t e d milk and t h e like. Secondary processing activities, such as baking b r e a d , making noodles, and t h e like a l s o come under this category.

The importance of t h e s e activities depends on income levels, consumers' p r e f e r e n c e , t h e volume of t h e commodity and t h e distance i t i s t o b e t r a n - s p o r t e d .

A p a r t i c u l a r plant may use various s o u r c e s , such as e l e c t r i c i t y , gas, o r oth- e r s simultaneously t o p r o c e s s a p a r t i c u l a r commodity. These a r e a l l e x p r e s s e d in terms of oil equivalent units. Thus, t h e method f o r deriving t h e estimates consisted

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of t h e following steps: (a) S t a r t i n g from FA0 Supply Utilization Accounts (1980), which give amounts of processed commodities for e a c h country f o r 70 commodities, t h e s h a r e of t h e food commodity volume processed outside households is estimated;

(b) t h e volume of e a c h of t h e commodities p r o c e s s e d is t h e n multiplied by i t s r e s p e c t i v e a v e r a g e e n e r g y requirement coefficients; ( c ) f o r e a c h commodity t h e estimated e n e r g y use volume is n e x t converted into oil replacement units as d e s c r i b e d e a r l i e r ; (d) t h e e n e r g y used by t h e 70 commodities i s t h e n a g g r e g a t e d into eight major groups. F o r example, f o r milk n e a r l y e i g h t d e r i v a t i v e s are included. A number of technical r e p o r t s are studied a n d e x p e r t s consulted, b e f o r e selecting e n e r g y consumption norms f o r e a c h commodity.

70

EPROC

=

(PC)lx(EFP), i =1

where EPROC i s e n e r g y f o r food processing in TOR, (PC)* i s volume of t h e pro- c e s s e d commodity in tons, (EFP)I is t h e e n e r g y consumption r e q u i r e d t o p r o c e s s one unit of commodity.

Most food processing activities utilize commercial e n e r g y , i.e. coal, oil, g a s o r e l e c t r i c i t y , e x c e p t s u g a r c a n e processing o r paddy drying, where b a g a s s e 2 or r i c e husks may b e burned to provide all o r most of t h e r e q u i r e d energy. These bio- fuels are accounted s e p a r a t e l y and added only at t h e end using oil substitution units. Commodities p r o c e s s e d p r i o r to e x p o r t have b e e n included (fruit juice) as w e l l as imported commodities p r o c e s s e d after importing (wheat). The e n e r g y con- sumption norms are given in Table 2.

2.4. Food Transport

A s indicated in Figure 1, t h e t r a n s p o r t of t h e same food t a k e s place s e v e r a l times and quite often by d i f f e r e n t modes. These r a n g e from bullock c a r t s and bicy- cles to railways and t r u c k s . However, w e consider only t r a n s p o r t of long 'waste from sugar cane processing

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Table 2. Energy consumption norms f o r food processing L i t r e s oil/

ton of pro- cessed p r o d u c t C e r e a l s : Rice milled

Wheat f l o u r Rye f l o u r Maize f l o u r Sorghum f l o u r Millet f l o u r

Other cereal flour Cassava f l o u r Pulses f l o u r V e g e t a b l e Soya oil

oils: Groundnut oil Sunflower oil Rapeseed oil Safflower oil Sesame oil Mustard oil Cotton oil Maize oil Ricebran oil Coconut oil Palm oil Olive oil F r u i t s and Tomato juice V e g e t a b l e s : Tomato p a s t e

Tomato peeled Vegetable p r o c . Vegetable f r o z e n Orange juice Orange juice conc.

G r a p e f r u i t juice Citrus juice Pineapple canned Pineapple juice Other f r u i t juice Fruit p r o c e s s e d Wine

L i v e s t o c k and Meat s l a u g h t e r e d milk p r o d u c t s : Meat p r o c e s s e d

Meat canned Pig s l a u g h t e r e d Bacon

Sausage

P o r k processed Lard

P o u l t r y

Poultry canned Milk past.

Milk ster.

Butter

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Fish:

Sugar:

Other:

Cheese Skim milk

E v a p o r a t e d milk Canned milk Powdered milk Fish f r o z e n Frozen fillet F r e s h Fillet Fish canned Smoked fish S u g a r c e n t r . S u g a r non-centr.

B a k e r y b r e a d Bakery c a k e s Tea

Coffee cas.

Paddy d r y Paddy p a r b o i l e d Dry p a r b . paddy Alcoholic bev.:

o r 3 t o n s of wood o r 2.5 t o n of b a g a s s e 2.5 t o n of b a g a s s e o r 0.25 t o n s of wood o r 0.70 t o n s of wood o r 5 t o n s o f w o o d

o r 0.05 t o n s of r i c e h u s k s o r 0.15 t o n s of r i c e husks o r 0.14 t o n s of r i c e husks

- -

Som-cc: Hrabovszky e t al. (1984)

distances.

A method of estimation is developed based o n v a r i o u s assumptions including t h e following:

1. Estimation of volume t r a n s p o r t e d 2. Estimation of a v e r a g e d i s t a n c e s 3. Estimation of modes of t r a n s p o r t

4. Multiplication by e n e r g y coefficients t o o b t a i n e n e r g y used in food t r a n s p o r t . Figures f o r t o t a l and p e r c a p u t consumption of t h e s e commodities were t a k e n from FA0 Supply Utilization Account (1982). Data on non-agricultural populations are from t h e FA0 Production Yearbook (1983). Data on e x p o r t s are from FA0 T r a d e S t a t i s t i c s (1983).

The c a l c u l a t e d volume of food t r a n s p o r t e d i s t h e n multiplied by t h e a v e r a g e d i s t a n c e s t r a v e l e d t o c o n v e r t them into ton-km t r a n s p o r t e d by e a c h sub-mode.

Some c o u n t r i e s d o include in t h e i r published national s t a t i s t i c s d i r e c t o r i n d i r e c t information on t h e a v e r a g e d i s t a n c e and a l s o on e a c h t y p e of goods t r a n s p o r t e d by

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different modes. Although food commodities may not t r a v e l t h e same distance as o t h e r commodities, such a n approximation is essential due t o lack of data. How- e v e r , in t h e absence of such information, t h e e x t e n t of a v e r a g e distance was assumed based on t h e following information:

-

t h e distance between t h e main food producing regions and consuming regions;

-

t h e distance from t h e p o r t of e n t r y of imported food t o t h e main consuming c e n t r e s of imported food;

-

t h e distance of p o r t of e x i t f o r e x p o r t from t h e main c e n t r e s growing those e x p o r t e d commodities;

-

t h e t o t a l length of t h e r o a d and railway network;

-

t h e a r e a of t h e country

The t h i r d s t e p identifies modes of t r a n s p o r t and t h e i r s h a r e s in t h e t o t a l national network. Road, railway and water are assumed t o be t h e major modes of food t r a n s p o r t (Parikh, 1981). Road and railway a r e f u r t h e r classified into:

ROAD Good r o a d

Bad r o a d RAILWAY E l e c t r i c

Diesel Steam

The s h a r e s of t h e r o a d network c a n b e termed as good r o a d and t h e s h a r e s of t o t a l railway network i s electrified, o r diesel powered are i n f e r r e d from using national and international d a t a s o u r c e s such as by t h e World Road Federation (1982) and International Railway Statistics (1982) and o r by making suitable assumptions from t h e d a t a of similar countries. The p e r c e n t a g e of bad r o a d and steam-powered railway i s considered residual. The t o t a l e n e r g y consumption by all t h e sub-modes could b e

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TTV

x AD X SRD x [SGR x ERDG

+

( I - S G R ) X ERDB]

ETRAN

=

ton-km

I

r o a d t r a n s p o r t (2)

+

SRW x [SRWC x ERWC

+

SRWD X ERWD

+

SRWE x ERWE]

+

SWR X EWR railway t r a n s p o r t water t r a n s p o r t

I

where TTV is total t r a n s p o r t e d volume in 1000 tons; AD is a v e r a g e distance in km;

SRD i s s h a r e of road; SGR i s s h a r e of good r o a d s in total r o a d t r a n s p o r t ; SRD, SRW and SWR a r e s h a r e s of r o a d , railways, and water t r a n s p o r t in t o t a l t r a n s p o r t ; SRWC, SRWD and SRWE are s h a r e s of coal diesel and e l e c t r i c i t y respectively in railway t r a n s p o r t , where e n e r g y consumed by each mode p e r ton-km is denoted ERWC, ERWD and ERWE respectively; ERDG, ERDB and EWR i s e n e r g y consumed on good and bad r o a d s and f o r water t r a n s p o r t p e r ton-km respectively.

2.5. Food Storage

Preliminary investigations in individual countries suggested t h a t v e r y little e n e r g y w a s r e q u i r e d f o r food s t o r a g e . For example, 800 TOE in Bangladesh, 35 TOE in Tanzania, 35,000 TOE in Brazil. Food i s s t o r e d in houses, warehouses, silos, and t h e like, requiring few lights and occasionally s t a t i o n a r y equipment f o r turning o v e r , loading and dispatching food. Cold s t o r a g e of course, r e q u i r e s e n e r g y but t h a t is of little significance in most developing countries. However, t h e e n e r g y f o r heating and chilling, f o r storing and preserving food had a l r e a d y been taken into account e a r l i e r in t h e food processing activities such as freezing, canning, e t c . The energy f o r r e f r i g e r a t i o n consumed in households, shops and cold s t o r a g e i s assumed to b e negligible in o u r analysis. Thus, food s t o r a g e , although a n important s t e p in t h e PHF system, i s neglected f o r energy-use calculations.

2.6. Household Cooking

This i s t h e l a r g e s t and, unfortunately, t h e l e a s t documented component in t h e l i t e r a t u r e . Household cooking in r u r a l a r e a s and in poor households of urban areas of developing countries i s often done by non-commercial e n e r g y s o u r c e s , i.e.

(23)

g a t h e r e d fuels such as wood, twigs, a g r i c u l t u r a l waste and animal dung, especially by low income g r o u p s ( s e e P a r i k h and Kromer, 1985). Data f o r t h e i r amounts, h e a t contents and efficiencies are obtained using a f e w s u r v e y s , available measurements and indirect methods and had t o b e cross-checked with o t h e r information a s much as possible.

2.6.1. E s t i m a t i o n o f n o n - c o m m e r c i a l energy

Insights obtained from r u r a l e n e r g y s u r v e y s of individual c o u n t r i e s ( s e e Hall, 1982; d e Montalembert and Clement, 1983; Wardle and Pontecorvi, 1981) helped us t o evaluate how much of s u c h fuels were being consumed f o r household cooking and how much f o r o t h e r p u r p o s e s (manure, construction and fodder). However, f o r handling 90 c o u n t r i e s simultaneously, a method of estimating e n e r g y used in house- hold cooking had to b e developed which could b e applied t o a l l t h e countries. Total availability of fuelwood (and c h a r c o a l ) are t a k e n from t h e FA0 F o r e s t r y Yearbook.

Crop r e s i d u e s : t h e t o t a l availability of a g r i c u l t u r a l r e s i d u e s is estimated by mul- tiplying t h e t o t a l production of t h e c r o p commodities whose r e s i d u e s are used as fuel by t h e p e r unit r e s i d u e availability coefficient. The assumed coefficients f o r t h e d i f f e r e n t commodities are given in Table 3. Of c o u r s e , t h e r e are wide varia- tions between d i f f e r e n t v a r i e t i e s of paddy or oil seeds, etc., b u t t o simplify t h e analysis only a n a v e r a g e value w a s taken for a l l c o u n t r i e s f o r a given c r o p .

Animal dung is estimated by considering dung coefficients p e r animal (World Bank, 1979) which are 1 , 0.75, 0.3, 0.15 and 0.005 f o r c a t t l e , h o r s e s , pigs, s h e e p and goats, and poultry, respectively. In a l l t h e t h r e e fuels, t h e potential availabil- ity i s k e p t as a n u p p e r limit. The lower limit could b e z e r o , if no t r a d i t i o n e x i s t s o r if o t h e r fuels adequately m e e t t h e cooking needs. Thus, t h e s u r v e y s and o t h e r information was used t o estimate t h e a c t u a l u s e within t h e s e u p p e r limits.

(24)

Table 3. Crop r e s i d u e coefficients f o r c r o p commodities

Coefficient p e r ton

Commodity of main p r o d u c t

Paddy 1.22

Wheat 1.00

Maize 2.00

Sorghum 2.00

Barley 1.00

S u g a r c a n e 0.30

Rye 1.00

Millet 2.00

Oats 1.00

Tobacco 0.80

Groundnuts 0.30

Sunflower 2.00

Cotton 3.00

Cotton s e e d s 0.25

Soya bean 1.00

J u t e 1.50

Cassava 0.40

Coconut oil 3.40

Coffee, b e r r i e s 1.00

C o c o a b e a n s 1.50

2.6.2. E s t i m a t i o n of c o m m e r c i a l energy

Even commercial e n e r g y f o r cooking in u r b a n areas and affluent r u r a l house- holds, such as k e r o s e n e , liquid petroleum gas (LPG), n a t u r a l g a s and, occasionally, e l e c t r i c i t y could not b e estimated directly.

Data f o r commercial e n e r g y s o u r c e s are obtained from t h e Yearbook of World Energy S t a t i s t i c s (1980) as well as national s t a t i s t i c a l publications. I t i s assumed t h a t t h o s e used f o r cooking are k e r o s e n e , LPG, n a t u r a l g a s and coal. The use of e l e c t r i c i t y f o r cooking a r e assumed to b e negligible.

In o r d e r to estimate t h e s h a r e s of t h e s e s o u r c e s f o r household cooking infor- mation w a s collected from national d a t a s o u r c e s of s e v e r a l c o u n t r i e s , w h e r e v e r available. Typically, n a t u r a l g a s used in households amounted to less than 5 p e r - c e n t of total consumption; most of i t went f o r power, industries and f e r t i l i z e r s . In t h e case of LPG, t h e s h a r e of households w a s around 40

-

8 0 p e r c e n t . All house-

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hold consumption of LPG and n a t u r a l g a s was assumed t o b e exclusively f o r cook- ing, b u t in t h e case of coal, p a r t of i t was a t t r i b u t e d t o heating. Accordingly, among t h e c o u n t r i e s using coal f o r household purposes, w e s e p a r a t e d t h e c o u n t r i e s t h a t r e q u i r e household heating. Depending on t h e s e v e r i t y of t h e i r climate and t h e p e r c e n t a g e of t h e population a f f e c t e d , a c e r t a i n quota (ranging from 8

-

40 p e r - c e n t ) was deducted f o r heating and t h e r e s i d u e a t t r i b u t e d t o food p r e p a r a t i o n .

Kerosene: Depending upon t h e e x t e n t of electrification, k e r o s e n e is used f o r lighting and t o some d e g r e e f o r cooking. The s h a r e f o r cooking was estimated by subtracting t h e volume r e q u i r e d f o r lighting from t o t a l household consumption. A number of r u r a l e n e r g y s u r v e y s confirm t h a t t h e quantity of k e r o s e n e r e q u i r e d p e r p e r s o n annually f o r lighting i s about 4kg. Consequently t o obtain a country's t o t a l requirement of k e r o s e n e f o r lighting i t suffices to multiply t h e population without e l e c t r i c i t y by 4kg. In some c o u n t r i e s t h e household use of k e r o s e n e w a s r e p o r t e d t o b e l e s s t h a n 4kg p e r person. In such c a s e s , k e r o s e n e was e n t i r e l y allocated t o lighting.

The e n e r g y r e q u i r e d f o r cooking i s given by

ECOOK

=

(HF), x Sk x ECRk k

where S is t h e s h a r e of t h e t o t a l available fuel used f o r cooking; HFk i s available household fuels of t y p e k (commercial and non-commercial); and ECRk i s e n e r g y content according t o oil substitution units given in Table 1.

Although t h e r e s u l t s of many village s u r v e y s c a r r i e d o u t by FA0 and t h o s e quoted by Hall et al. (1982) were consulted f o r checking purposes, t h e y were not d i r e c t l y c a r r i e d o v e r into t h e analysis. Many consistency c h e c k s were applied and t h e f i g u r e s were t e s t e d along with national energy balances, when available.

In some c a s e s , t h e s e l e c t e d commodity b a s k e t s were multiplied by t h e fuel r e q u i r e d p e r unit t o cook them, t o c h e c k e n e r g y use from t h e demand side r a t h e r

(26)

than supply. Finally, t h e s h a r e of household e n e r g y w a s c h e c k e d a g a i n s t t h e c o u n t r y ' s o v e r a l l consumption to see if i t was compatible with t h a t country's e n e r g y balances, income, population a n d similar indicators.

In s p i t e of t h e s e c h e c k s , some anomalies remain. F o r example, t h e consump- tion of bio-fuels i n many of t h e African c o u n t r i e s seems v e r y high a n d may include o t h e r uses, f o r example, r u r a l industries. On t h e o t h e r hand, t h e f i g u r e s f o r k e r o s e n e f o r cooking in some of t h e oil-producing c o u n t r i e s , a n d S r i Lanka a n d Ghana a p p e a r t o b e v e r y high a n d it i s s u s p e c t e d t h a t k e r o s e n e assigned to house- hold cooking may b e d e v i a t e d toward t r u c k s , k e r o s e n e - o p e r a t e d r e f r i g e r a t o r s a n d o t h e r devices.

I t i s evident t h a t t h e total energy-use in t h e PHF system (EPHF) i s given by

EPHF

=

EPROC

+

ETRAN

+

ECOOK (4)

w h e r e EPROC i s e n e r g y r e q u i r e d f o r processing; ETRAN i s e n e r g y r e q u i r e d f o r t r a n s p o r t ; a n d ECOOK i s e n e r g y r e q u i r e d f o r cooking.

(27)

3. Results of the Energy-Accounting Model for the PHF System

In t h e p r e s e n t c h a p t e r , t h e r e s u l t s of t h e energy-accounting model f o r t h e y e a r 1980 are discussed. Unfortunately, i t i s not possible t o include p r i n t o u t s of country-wise t a b l e s indicating all t h e numerical r e s u l t s . T h e r e f o r e , only regional a g g r e g a t e s are given supplemented by some observations of i n t e r e s t from indivi- dual countries. A s t h i s gives a n incomplete p i c t u r e , country-level r e s u l t s are included in histrograms indicating o r d e r s of magnitudes and p a t t e r n s . Even h e r e , only 5 0 major c o u n t r i e s are indicated while r e f e r r i n g t o .the full p a p e r by H r a - bovszky et al. (1984) f o r f u r t h e r details. The o u t l i e r s are discussed specially t o i l l u s t r a t e why t h e y d i f f e r from t h e rest of t h e countries.

3-1. General Information

In addition t o t h e inputs r e q u i r e d f o r individual sub-sectors, t h e r e i s a com- mon pool of d a t a used in t h e study as given in Table 4 These relate t o population, urbanization, t o t a l e n e r g y consumed within t h e country, area and f o r e s t area.

Although t h e y are taken from s t a n d a r d s o u r c e s as indicated in t h e footnotes, t h e y are given h e r e t o s e r v e as r e a d y r e f e r e n c e s f o r t h e r e a d e r s who may wish t o apply c r o s s c h e c k s o r t o c o n s t r u c t and v e r i f y c e r t a i n indicators of t h e i r own choices.

3.2. Energy in Post-Harvest Processing Industries

3.2.1. Food Volumes Processed

If accounted in unprocessed forms, t h e volumes a d d up t o 1,262 m t (of which 614 m t i s s u g a r c a n e alone). A s illustrated in Table 5 , in 1980, in Africa, Latin America, t h e Near E a s t and t h e F a r East, t h e food volumes p r o c e s s e d commer- cially, in t e r m s of output p r o d u c t s excluding home processing was 54, 196, 56 and 281 million tons (mt), respectively. A s f o r t h e 90-country sample as a whole, 587 m t of commodities were processed. A s shown in Table 5 , in p e r c a p i t a terms, t h i s

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Table 4. General indicators f o r t h e f o u r regions and t o t a l

(1) Totz!

Population (2) S h a r e of Non-

Agric.Pop.

Indicatorst

(3) Area

(4) Total e n e r g y used with non-

comm. e n e r g y MTOR 70 302 103

(5) Total comm.

energy used MTOR 39 264 98 223

,

Units

t All indicators are calculeted for each country and then added or averaged for the world regions.

MTOR

-

millions of tons of oil replacement M

-

Million

- lo6

Source: F A 0 Production Yearbook (1981) and Yearbook of World Energy S t a t i s t i c s (1980)

amounted t o 0.15 tons in Africa, 0.56 tons in Latin America and 0.28 tons in t h e

Latin Near F a r

Africa America E a s t E a s t

Near E a s t and 0.22 tons in t h e F a r East, with a n a v e r a g e of 0.27 tons p e r person.

This c l e a r l y shows t h e importance of t h e d i e t a r y p a t t e r n s .

90 Countries Total o r Average

The s h a r e s of cereals in t h e t o t a l volume processed are t h e l a r g e s t , because grain constitutes t h e i r s t a p l e food, and most of t h e g r a i n c r o p s need t o b e pro- cessed. The s h a r e s of cereals are 65 p e r c e n t f o r Africa, 35 p e r c e n t f o r Latin America, 69 p e r c e n t f o r t h e N e a r E a s t and 77 p e r c e n t f o r t h e F a r East.

T h e r e a r e some country-specific f e a t u r e s in addition t o t h e above f a c t o r s . For example, s h a r e s of s u g a r in Mauritius i s 90 p e r c e n t and Cuba i s 78 p e r c e n t ; Colombia, Mexico and Argentina have high s h a r e s in livestock and some African countries, Brazil and S r i Lanka have high s h a r e s in cassava, coffee and tea respectively. Alcoholic b e v e r a g e s are v e r y important f o r Latin America and Africa compared t o t h e Near East and t h e F a r East, and this may b e due t o c u l t u r a l o r religious differences.

(29)

-

21

-

Table 5. Energy f o r food processing and s h a r e s of d i f f e r e n t commodities

*The total or average for each geographic region does not include all the countries of the region b u t only those indicated in the l i s t in Annex 1.

All indicators are calculated for each country and then added or averaged for the world regions.

KCOR

-

kilograms of 011 replacement M

-

Million

-

10'

Source: Hrabovszky e t al. (1984) Indicators*

(1) Total volumes p r o c e s s e d (2) Commercial

e n e r g y consumed (3) Total e n e r g y

consumed (4) S h a r e of

non-commercial (5) P e r c a p i t a (6) P e r ton of food

processed (7) S h a r e of e a c h

commodity in commercial/

t o t a l e n e r g y (8) C e r e a l s (9) S u g a r

(10) Vegetable oils (11) Fruits & veg.

(13) Livestock &

milk products (14) Fish

(15) Alcoh.bev.

(16) Other

The importance of livestock and milk products depends upon t h e d e g r e e of urbanization and income levels. For example, in Latin America and t h e Middle E a s t , it r a n k s second, whereas in t h e o t h e r two regions under study i t r a n k s t h i r d .

Units

10%

M

M X

KGOR KGOR

%

%

%

%

%

% X X

3.2.2. Energy Consumption in Food Processing

The ranking of commodities in e n e r g y consumption need not follow t h e s a m e

Latin Near F a r

Africa America E a s t E a s t

54 196 56 281

1.8 7.4 2.0 5.9 3.4 19.7 2.5 17.2

46 62 21 66

9.4 56.6 12.3 13.5 62.3 100.8 44.8 61.2

26/17 11/5 30/27 25/10 5/42 1/62 22/35 0/63 27/15 8/3 12/10 27/9

2/1 1/1 2/2 1/0

9/5 47/18 24/19 16/5 0/15 o/o O/O 2/1 29/16 30/11 9/7 28/10

1/1 1/1 0.0 0.0

p a t t e r n as t h e volumes p r o c e s s e d because of t h e d i f f e r e n t e n e r g y consumption 90 Countries

Total o r Average

587 17.1 42.8 60 19.6 73.0

20/10 35/60 17/7

1/1 30/10 1/1 27/11 1/0

involved f o r e a c h commodity. Non-commercial energy i s mainly used in s u g a r c a n e

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(bagasse). Some r i c e husk and t h e i r by-products are a l s o burned f o r h e a t neces- s a r y f o r drying. The rest of t h e processing, such as milling, freezing and canning, is done with commercial energy.

In Table 5, commercial and non-commercial e n e r g y are discussed s e p a r a t e l y . I t indicates t h a t in 1980 in Africa. 1.8 million TOR commercial e n e r g y w a s spent; in Latin America 7.4 million TOR; in t h e Near E a s t 2 million and in t h e F a r East 6 mil- lion. Although t h e differences among countries in e n e r g y in p e r t o n processed output (about 29 KGOR/ton a v e r a g e ) are v e r y small, t h e differences in p e r c a p u t consumption are l a r g e

-

being f o u r times higher in Latin America t h a n in Africa and F a r East. This happens because in Africa and F a r E a s t much of t h e food con- sumed does not even e n t e r t h e processing system (but t h e amounts which d o e n t e r i t consume similar amounts of e n e r g y p e r ton processed).

The s h a r e s of individual commodities in t h e t o t a l energy consumed in t h e PHF system are interesting in t h a t livestock and milk p r o d u c t s are often in f i r s t o r second position, e x c e p t f o r Africa where such processed foods are consumed in smaller quantities, more being e a t e n in unprocessed form. Strangely enough, and e x c e p t f o r t h e Middle East, e n e r g y f o r producing alcoholic b e v e r a g e s i s t h e next highest

-

o r t h e f i r s t

-

f o r Africa, and e x c e e d s energy consumption by c e r e a l s which are essential t o basic nutrition. This i s simply because b e v e r a g e s r e q u i r e twenty times more e n e r g y p e r t o n as a r e s u l t of t h e high quantity needed f o r bot- tling and bottles.

The exceptions are t h e Philippines, Korea, Cyprus, Argentina, Congo, Gabon, Venezuela, where t h e s h a r e of alcoholic beverages is l a r g e compared with t h e regional a v e r a g e , whereas in Malaysia, Nigeria, Gambia, S i e r r a Leone, Paraguay and Sudan, t h e s h a r e of vegetable oil i s l a r g e .

Figure 2 illustrates how d i e t a r y and cropping p a t t e r n s and income levels determine t h e magnitude of t h e p e r c a p i t a energy f o r food processing.

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L - E

0 k a

a E 2

€ 0 0 0 =u

E l e

- s z g

O O m 4 LL 0

Figure 2. Total energy in food processing

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When non-commercial energy i s included t h e s h a r e of s u g a r i s t h e l a r g e s t

-

consuming as much as 35 t o 6 3 p e r c e n t of total energy use at t h e regional level and also f o r most individual countries growing sugarcane. This means a d e c r e a s e in t h e s h a r e s of o t h e r commodities. For Africa, Latin America, t h e Near East and t h e F a r East, t h e p e r caput total energy consumption r i s e s t o 9.4, 56.5, 12.4 and 19.6 KGOR/Cap and e n e r g y p e r ton processed r i s e s t o 62, 101, 45 and 6 1 KGOR/ton respectively. The s h a r e of non-commercial e n e r g y in total e n e r g y f o r food pro- cessing i s 46, 62, 21, and 66 p e r c e n t respectively.

For t h e 9 0 countries, t h e t o t a l e n e r g y s p e n t i s 43 MTOR and commercial e n e r g y 1 7 MTOR, giving p e r c a p u t 20 and 8 KGOR respectively. This amounts t o 7 3 and 29 KGOR p e r ton processed.

3.3. Patterns of Transport and Energy for Food Transport

Food commodities constitute t h e l a r g e s t item in all t r a n s p o r t in most develop- ing countries. A s mentioned e a r l i e r , t h e volumes of food t r a n s p o r t e d have been estimated from available d a t a on u r b a n population, t h e a v e r a g e distances and modes of t r a n s p o r t s . These t h r e e elements make up t h e p a t t e r n s of t r a n s p o r t p r e s e n t e d below, t o g e t h e r with t h e corresponding estimates of e n e r g y consump- tion.

3.3.1. Patterns of transport

-

volumes, distances and modes

A summary r e l a t e d to t h e s e p a t t e r n s i s given in Table 6 f o r e a c h of t h e regions studied. The volumes t r a n s p o r t e d f o r Africa. Latin America, t h e Near East, and t h e F a r East, are 44, 156, 5 3 and 424 million tons, respectively. The a v e r a g e distances a r e respectively, 374, 500, 372 and 460 km. The s h a r e s of road:rail:water f o r Africa, Latin America and t h e Near East a r e not v e r y different from e a c h o t h e r e x c e p t in t h e F a r East where they a r e 42:52:6, bringing t h e 90 country a v e r a g e t o 63:31:7. This i s because India., Pakistan and Korea have high

(33)

s h a r e s of railways. The s h a r e s of water t r a n s p o r t a r e significant only in countries f o r t h e F a r East. A t a country level t h e s h a r e is e i t h e r z e r o o r 1 0 p e r c e n t if t h e r e is a c e n t r a l r i v e r o r coastal shipping. Correspondingly, t h e s h a r e s of r o a d and r a i l d e c r e a s e . The s h a r e s of good r o a d and bad r o a d also v a r y little between regions.

Total e n e r g y in t r a n s p o r t a p p e a r s t o depend on t h e following f a c t o r s :

-

population o r population density

-

s h a r e of u r b a n population

-

a v e r a g e distance

-

t o t a l a r e a

-

food e x p o r t s

3.3.2. Energy Consumption for Food Transport

A s shown in Table 6 energy consumption f o r food t r a n s p o r t e d in 1980 i s estimated t o b e 1 million TOR in Africa; 5 million TOR in Latin America; 1 million TOR in t h e Near E a s t and 4 million TOR in t h e F a r East.

In terms of p e r c a p u t e n e r g y consumption, this means 3 KGOR p e r person in Africa, 15 KGOR in Latin America, 6 KGOR in t h e F a r E a s t and 3 KGOR in t h e Near East. However, in terms of p e r ton of food t r a n s p o r t e d this means 26, 33, 24 and 2 1 KGOR of t h e r e s p e c t i v e regions.

The s h a r e s of r o a d , r a i l and water in t h e e n e r g y consumption are approxi- mately 95:4:1 e x c e p t f o r t h e F a r E a s t where it is 78:21:1. This changed p a t t e r n as compared t o s h a r e of modes in volume t r a n s p o r t e d a r i s e s because i t t a k e s 4 t o 5 times more e n e r g y t o t r a n s p o r t one ton-km by r o a d compared t o r a i l t r a n s p o r t . Thus, a l r e a d y high s h a r e s of r o a d in t h e t o t a l volumes become even h i g h e r when e n e r g y consumption s h a r e s a r e compared.

The f a c t o r s mentioned above explaining t h e divergences from t h e a v e r a g e

(34)

Table 6. P a t t e r n s of food t r a n s p o r t and e n e r g y consumption

I n d i c a t o r s t

(1) Amounts t r a n s p o r t e d (2) Ton-km

(3) S h a r e of r a i l in t o t a l t r a n s p o r t (4) S h a r e of r o a d in

t o t a l t r a n s p o r t (5) S h a r e of good r o a d s

in r o a d t r a n s p o r t (6) Total e n e r g y s p e n t (7) S h a r e of e n e r g y s p e n t

in r o a d t r a n s p o r t

Units

Latin Near F a r Africa America E a s t E a s t

18%

1 0 tkm

% MTOR

90 Countries Total o r

(8) P e r c a p i t a I KGOR 3.1 14.8 6.2 5.1

(9) P e r ton t r a n s p o r t e d KGOR

1

25.5 33.2 23.5 2::;

1

26.1

t All i n d i c a t o r s a r e calculated f o r each c o u n t r y and t h e n added o r averaged f o r t h e world re- gions.

(1) Amounts t r a n s p o r t e d a r e derived b y multiplying share o f non-agriculture population. Total amounts o f 70 commodities a r e considered f o r each c o u n t r y .

(2) Obtained b y multiplying (1) w i t h average d i s t a n c e s .

( 3 ) + ( 4 ) S h a r e o f rail and road, when not available i n c o u n t r y s t a t i s t i c s i s i n f e r r e d f r o m t h e indica- t o r s such a s t o t a l t r a c k k i l o m e t e r s , railway wagons, road-km, number o f t r u c k s e t c . T h e remainder i n each i s done b y w a t e r t r a n s p o r t , i.e. b y coastal and r i v e r t r a n s p o r t .

(5) T h e s h a r e o f good roads i n t o t a l road t r a n s p o r t , I f not available, i s i n f e r r e d b y looking a t t h e s h a r e s o f asphalt o r paved roads i n t o t a l r o a d - k m T h e remainder i s assumed t o be t r a n - sported on bad roads.

(6) Total e n e r g y s p e n t is obtained b y

where t h e f i r s t , second and t h i r d t e r m s r e p r e s e n t rail, road and w a t e r t r a n s p o r t . T h e multi- pliers f o r each mode o f t r a n s p o r t a r e t h e e n e r g y norms.

(7) Energy s p e n t on road t r a n s p o r t divided b y t h e t o t a l energy given i n (6) (8) Energy f o r t r a n s p o r t per c a p i t a

-

(6) / population

(9) Energy per t o n t r a n s p o r t e d

-

(6)/(1)

become even more visible at individual c o u n t r y level. Indeed. while p e r c a p u t e n e r g y consumption v a r i e s more with p a r a m e t e r s such as e x p o r t

-

o r import

-

urbanization and income levels, e n e r g y consumption p e r ton i s more sensitive t o a v e r a g e d i s t a n c e s (size of c o u n t r y and location of u r b a n c e n t r e with r e s p e c t t o f a r m a r e a s ) and modes of t r a n s p o r t . T h e r e f o r e , i t does not v a r y a s much from region t o region.

(35)

T h e s e o b s e r v a t i o n s could b e confirmed e v e n m o r e by o u t l i e r s s u c h as India, Libya, Sudan, Mexico, Argentina, Tanzania, Angola with l a r g e a v e r a g e d i s t a n c e s a n d a number of small c o u n t r i e s with small d i s t a n c e s of 40 t o 150km. F o r example, Argentina, a n e x p o r t e r which r e q u i r e s 6 3 KGOR p e r c a p u t e n e r g y b u t only 49 KGOR p e r ton. On t h e o t h e r hand, Saudi Arabia, a n i m p o r t e r r e q u i r e s 8 KGOR p e r c a p u t b u t 2 8 KGOR p e r ton. In both c a s e s , t h e p e r c a p u t f i g u r e s d i f f e r m o r e widely t h a n p e r t o n f i g u r e s . The v a r i a t i o n s in p e r t o n f i g u r e s are mainly d u e t o d i f f e r - e n c e s in a v e r a g e d i s t a n c e s (and occasionally t o d i f f e r e n c e s in modes of t r a n s p o r t ) . F o r example, t h e a v e r a g e d i s t a n c e of t r a n s p o r t in Argentina i s a p p r o x i m a t e l y twice t h a t of Saudi Arabia.

3.4. Energy for Cooking

Cooking i s t h e l a r g e s t s u b - s e c t o r of t h e PHF system. A s shown in Table 7 , s h a r e s of non-commercial e n e r g y in t o t a l e n e r g y used f o r cooking a r e 85 p e r c e n t f o r Africa, 42 p e r c e n t f o r Latin America, 2 1 p e r c e n t f o r t h e Near E a s t a n d 7 8 p e r - c e n t f o r t h e F a r East. The s h a r e s of wood in non-commercial s u p p l i e s in t e r m s of million TOR are c l o s e t o 9 5 p e r c e n t o r more, e x c e p t in t h e Near E a s t . F o r t h e same r e g i o n s , t h e t o t a l u s e of e n e r g y f o r cooking i s 3 0 , 3 9 , 1 7 a n d 7 2 million TOR r e s p e c t i v e l y , with p e r c a p u t e n e r g y consumption of 82, 1 1 3 , 8 4 a n d 5 7 KGOR r e s p e c t i v e l y . The s h a r e s of cooking non-commercial e n e r g y in national u s e of non-commercial e n e r g y f o r a l l p u r p o s e s are f o r Africa 81 p e r c e n t , f o r Latin Amer- i c a 44 p e r c e n t , f o r t h e Near E a s t 7 2 p e r c e n t a n d f o r t h e F a r E a s t 7 7 p e r c e n t . The remaining non-commercial e n e r g y i s used f o r food p r o c e s s i n g , r u r a l i n d u s t r i e s and household heating.

The s h a r e s of commercial e n e r g y f o r cooking o u t of t o t a l commercial e n e r g y amount t o 11 p e r c e n t f o r Africa, 9 p e r c e n t f o r Latin America, 1 4 p e r c e n t f o r t h e Near E a s t a n d 7 p e r c e n t f o r t h e F a r E a s t . The s h a r e s f o r cooking, o u t of o v e r a l l e n e r g y s o u r c e s , amount t o 42, 13, 16 a n d 24 p e r c e n t r e s p e c t i v e l y , f o r t h e f o u r

(36)

Table 7. E n e r g y f o r cooking

t All i n d i c a t o r s a r e calculated f o r each country and then added o r averaged f o r t h e world re- gions.

I n d i c a t o r s t (1) Total e n e r g y

used in cooking (2) S h a r e of commercial

in t o t a l e n e r g y (3) S h a r e of wood in

non-commercial

(4) S h a r e of e a c h r e s o u r c e used f o r cooking

a. k e r o s e n e b. wood c. a g r . w a s t e d. dung (5) P e r c a p i t a

cooking e n e r g y

(6) S h a r e of t o t a l cooking e n e r g y in t o t a l e n e r g y u s e (7) S h a r e of wood in

non-commercial e n e r g y u s e

(1) Includes cmmercial and non-commercial energy and given in million t o n s of oil replacement un- its (MTOR)

(4) S h a r e of cooking use in t o t a l use of each energy resource, i.e. t h e r e s t of kerosene is used f o r lighting and o t h e r purposes. The r e s t of fuel wood used f o r r u r a l industries. The r e s t of agricultural w a s t e f o r fodder, construction and other purposes. The r e s t of dung f o r manure and o t h e r purposes.

(5) Total natural gas + coal + LPG + kerosene used f o r cooking / national use of all commercial energy

Units

MTOR

%

%

%

%

%

% KGOR

%

%

(6)- (1)/(5) from Table 4. This is accounted in useful energy t e r m s which give low weights t o non-commercial energy uses. If accounted in primary energy t e r m s , t h e s h a r e may i n c r e a s e by a f a c t o r of two o r so.

regions.

Latin N e a r F a r Africa America E a s t E a s t

29.6 39.4 16.9 71.8

15.0 58.3 78.6 21.8

97.5 98.1 85.7 88.5

67.0 92.8 95.5 72.1

85.2 71.8 75.6 91.8

10.2 3.5 12.1 21.9

8.8 0.7 11.4 27.0

82.4 113.0 83.6 56.6

11.4 8.7 13.6 7.1

42 13 16 24

The e x t e n t of e n e r g y u s e f o r cooking d e p e n d s on:

90 C o u n t r i e s Total o r Average

157.8 35.8 92.2

82.8 85.1 14.0 14.5 72.4

9.0

21

-

e n e r g y availability, r e p r e s e n t e d by i n d i c a t o r s s u c h as f o r e s t area or fossil e n e r g y production;

-

income level a n d urbanization

(37)

-

d i e t a r y and cropping p a t t e r n s

-

amount of food e x p o r t s ( o r imports)

Figure 3 shows p e r c a p i t a use of energy used f o r cooking including non- commercial energy. I t demonstrates c l e a r l y how income levels, e n e r g y availability and food e x p o r t s determine t h e magnitudes.

9.5.

The

T o t a l P H F S y s t e m

Having examined t h e individual sub-sectors w e now t u r n t o t h e o v e r a l l PHF system. I t is evident t h a t t h e major f a c t o r s affecting t h e magnitude of e n e r g y con- sumption, s h a r e s of commercial energy and r e l a t i v e importance of individual sub- s e c t o r s are usually among t h e following:

-

population and i t s s h a r e of u r b a n population

-

p e r c a p u t income

-

d i e t a r y p a t t e r n s , grain, c a s s a v a and cropping p a t t e r n s (meat eaters o r s u g a r c a n e growers);

-

size of t h e country o r magnitudes of t h e a v e r a g e distances

-

food and e n e r g y i m p o r t e r s o r e x p o r t e r s

-

e n e r g y availability (wood o r oil).

3.5.1. Energy C o n s u m e d in the P H F S y s t e m

A s shown in Table 8 t o t a l e n e r g y consumed in t h e PHF system in 1980 in Africa, Latin America, t h e Near E a s t and t h e F a r E a s t works o u t t o b e 34, 64, 21 and 93 million TOR respectively. In p e r c a p u t t e r m s t h i s i s 95, 184, 102 and 73 KGOR f o r t o t a l e n e r g y and 20, 102, 182 and 20 KGOR respectively, f o r commercial e n e r g y alone. I t is evident t h a t f o r commercial e n e r g y t h e income e f f e c t s are more impor- t a n t than f o r t o t a l e n e r g y including non-commercial. I t should be pointed o u t t h a t t h e t o t a l e n e r g y f i g u r e s in t e r m s of primary e n e r g y would b e much l a r g e r

-

(38)

Less Forests Middle Income, Moderate Energy Importers Energy Availability Ethiopia Ghana Ivory Coast Madagascar Mauritius Morocco Niger Senegal Sierra Leone El Salvador Jamaica Egypt Turkey Bangladesh Burma Sri Lanka India Pakistan Angola Mozambique Uganda Upper Volta Cuba Peru Cyprus Syria Malavsia

High Income or Energy Availability Algeria Kenya Nigeria Bolivia Columbia Ecuador Paraguay Brazil Iraq Chile Saudi Arabia* Mexico Trinidad & Tobago Sudan Panama Argentina Venezuela Philippines haila and Indonesia Korea, Rep. Guatemala Iran I

I I

0-70 I 71 -90 91-110 111-130 > 150 I KGORICapita

I

131-150

I

*Saudi Arabia is an exception with high income and energy availability

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