Three interconnected ASA research domains
Domain 1: Optimal behavior of systems
Major themes:
q Size-‐structured population dynamics and tradeoffs between economic and ecological objectives
q Drivers and impacts of economic growth q Food-‐energy-‐water nexus: Robust
solutions
Key recent publications:
• Aseev and Veliov (2015): Maximum principle for in7inite-‐
horizon optimal control problems under weak regularity assumptions. Proc. Steklov Inst. Math. 291(1):22-‐39
• Ermolieva et al. (2016): Integrated management of land use systems under systemic risks and security targets: A stochastic Global Biosphere Management model. J. Agric.
Econ. 67(3): 584-‐601
• Belyakov et al. (2015): Optimal cyclic exploitation of renewable resources. J. Dyn. Contr. Syst. 21(3):475-‐494
Key projects:
• Energy EfSiciency and Risk Management in Public Buildings (EnRiMa) – supported by EC FP7
• Optimal Research and Extraction Policy towards a Backstop Technology – supported by the Russian Ministry of Education and Science
Three interconnected ASA research domains
Domain 2: Interactions within systems
Major themes:
q Systemic risk in Einancial systems q Role of indirect effects in ecological and
economic systems
q Game-‐theoretic approach for social interactions
Key recent publications:
• Poledna and Thurner (2016): Elimination of systemic risk in 7inancial networks by means of a systemic risk transaction tax. Quant. Fin. 1-‐15
• Kharrazi et al. (2017): Network structure impacts global commodity trade growth and resilience. PLoS ONE 12(2):
e0171184
• Manzoor et al. (2016): Game-‐theoretic insights into the role of environmentalism and social-‐ecological relevance: A cognitive model of resource consumption. Ecol. Mod.
240:74-‐85
Key projects:
• Systemic Risk and Network Dynamics – supported by IIASA’s cross-‐cutting fund
• Resilience, Social Networks and Austrian Security – supported by the Austrian Security Research Programme
Three interconnected ASA research domains
Domain 3: Systems transitions and resilience
of systems
Focus on the state a nd dyn amics of the e ntire s ystem Major themes:
q Agent-‐based modeling for regional economic development
q Role of uncertainty in climate science and meeting sustainability constraints
q Reconciling uncertainty of multiple-‐model ensembles
Key recent publications:
• S
mith et al. (2016): Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions. Nature Climate Change 6(1):42-‐50• Ilmola-‐Sheppard and Strelkovskii (2016): Soft social systems and shocks: an experiment with an agent-‐based model. In: Masys (ed.), Appl. Syst. Think. Soft Oper. Res.
Man. Complex., Springer, 269-‐290
• Kryazhimskiy et al. (2015): Towards harmonizing competing models: Russian forests’ net primary production case study. Tech. For. Soc. Change, 98:245-‐254
Key projects:
• Platform Value Now – supported by Finnish Research Council
• Knowledge-‐based Climate Mitigation Systems for a Low Carbon Economy (COMPLEX) – funded by EC FP7
• Structural Change of the Finnish Economy – a Systems Approach – supported by Finnish Ministry of Employment and Economy
