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Assimilating global 18 O data into the MIT general circulation model

Charlotte Breitkreuz1 (cbreitkreuz@marum.de), Andr´e Paul1, Martin Losch2, Michael Schulz1

1MARUM - Center for Marine Environmental Sciences and Faculty of Geosciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany

2AWI - Alfred-Wegener-Institut f¨ur Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany

1. Introduction & Motivation

I Combining ocean general circulation models with observational data via data assimilation is a powerful means to obtain more reliable estimates of the ocean’s state.

I We used the adjoint method to assimilate global temperature, salinity and 18O data to estimate the state of the global modern ocean.

I The ability to simulate stable water-isotopes and hence the possibility to directly assimilate 18O opens a wide perspective for

paleo-oceanographic studies, as 18O from calcite shells of foraminifera belongs to the most abundant proxies for the past ocean state.

2. Material and Methods

MITgcm

I coupled ocean - sea-ice general circulation model

I “cubed-sphere” grid with approx. 2.8 horizontal resolution, 15 vertical levels

I enabled with water isotope package including fractionation processes during evaporation

Adjoint method

Figure 1 : The adjoint method for variational data assimilation reduces an objective or cost function by adjusting control variables. Courtesy of T.

Kurahashi-Nakamura.

Control Variables

I initial conditions for salinity, temperature, H162 O and H182 O

I boundary conditions (six types of atmospheric forcing and isotopic ratios in precipitation and water vapor)

I vertical diffusion coefficient Assimilated data

Temperature - monthly means from 1950 - 1980 climatology, World Ocean Atlas database, Locarnini et al. (2010)

Salinity - monthly means from 1950 - 1980 climatology, World Ocean Atlas database, Antonov et al. (2010)

18Osea-water - monthly means, NASA GISS Global Seawater Oxygen-18 database, Schmidt et al. (1999)

3. Results

Figure 2 : Simulated surface 18Ow from our “first guess” forward run without data constraint (upper

panel) and our 200-year optimized run (lower panel) and assimilated GISS 18Ow data (circles).

Figure 3 : Adjustment of control variable 18O in water vapor. Original (upper panel) from the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere

Model (Tharammal et al., 2013) and adjusted (lower panel).

Temp. Salinity 18Ow 0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Normalizedcost

”First guess” forward run 200-year optimized run

Figure 4 : Reduction of the

normalized cost ( = cost function /

number of model-data comparisons) during the optimization for the different data types.

Figure 5 : Zonal mean of simulated 18Ow from our “first guess” forward run without data

constraint (upper panel) and our 200-year optimized run (lower panel) and assimilated GISS 18Ow data (circles). Note that the GISS data does not represent a zonal mean, but values from specific locations.

4. Conclusions and Outlook

I Successful assimilation of temperature, salinity and 18Ow data into the MITgcm, and hence, optimization of the simulated 18Ow distribution in the ocean.

I The adjoint method is an effective tool to

estimate a state of the ocean that is consistent with model physics and with assimilated data.

In the making:

! Application of the adjoint method to estimate the state of the ocean during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 19-23 ka BP).

! Investigation of the constraint given by the limited data coverage of the LGM by

reducing the amount of data for the modern ocean estimate.

Referenzen

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