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(1)

Next Generation Networks (NGNs)

J. Scott Marcus, Director, Project Leader Dieter Elixmann, Department Manager

(2)

Next Generation Networks (NGNs)

• Throughout Europe (and the world), public networks are evolving into

Next Generation Networks (NGN) based on the Internet Protocol (IP).

• Different approaches to financing, business models, the role of government, and the

regulatory approach are visible in different Member States.

(3)

The shift to NGN

Historically, many networks delivered a single service.

With NGN, any network can deliver (nearly) any service.

Transition Voice

Copper

Video

Coax

TV/

Radio

Spectrum

Telco Cable Broadcast

FTTx HFC Spectrum

Telco Cable 3G/4G

Video Audio Voice

NGN Legacy Network

Data

Video Audio Voice

Data

Video Audio Voice

Data

(4)

NGN Core, NGN Access

NGN Core: Replace traditional circuit

switches with IP routers and VoIP gear in order to reduce operating cost and to offer new services.

NGN Access: Drive fibre deeper into the network in order to offer higher speed,

greater reliability and lower operating cost.

(5)

A range of challenges

• Changes in the character of competition

• Changes in last mile remedies

• Challenges in deploying fibre-based NGA

• Migration of interconnection to an IP basis

• QoS and network neutrality

• Challenges during the migration period

• Standardisation and interoperability

• Spectrum management

• Functional separation

(6)

Changes in the nature of competition

• Much of regulation and public policy of

electronic communications deals with market power (SMP).

• The shift to NGN implies changes in the value chain, and thus subtly alters market power.

• Implications for regulation?

- New forms of competition emerge?

- Old barriers remain?

- New barriers emerge?

(7)

Changes in last mile remedies

New challenges with access to trenches, manholes, ducts, building wiring, and other infrastructure.

FTTN/VDSL: the DSLAM moves to the street cabinet.

FTTB/FTTH: a range of access possibilities.

Wholesale broadband access

Data sources: Commission,

13th/14th Implementation Reports

1,405,065

5,444,389 6,015,176

3,816,854 6,174,809

11,602,716 11,600,249

9,402,385

5,841,788 2,919,862

1,994,025 924,410

5,153,440

5,287,864

6,796,849

527,296

5,033,451

6,734,315

2,219,694

7,490,668

51,706 528,106

16,753,997

10,864,404

23,186,785

1,221,826 2,119,655

3,347,576

- 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 35,000,000 40,000,000 45,000,000 50,000,000

2003 Jan 2004 Jan 2005 Jan 2006 Jan 2007 Jan 2008 Jan 2009 Jan

Resale Bitstream access Shared access lines Fully unbundled lines

TOTAL: 46,876,687

TOTAL: 2,725,238

TOTAL: 6,046,851

TOTAL: 13,640,572

TOTAL: 21,121,315

TOTAL: 32,942,493

TOTAL: 41,106,204

(8)

Achieving fibre-based NGN Access

No Member State is likely to achieve full coverage without public stimulus/subsidy.

Only limited prospects of replicating infrastructure.

Cost per home accessed [in €]

Network Type

DE FR SE PT ES IT

VDSL 457 n.v. 352 218 254 433

PON 2,039 1,580 1,238 1,411 1,771 1,110

P2P 2,111 2,025 1,333 1,548 1,882 1,160

Source: WIK report on Next Generation Access for ECTA (2008)

(9)

Functional separation

• Seeks to make non-discrimination more readily enforceable.

• An intrusive remedy that should not be imposed lightly.

• Is not specifically an NGN issue, but could be useful to deal with last mile NGA problems.

(10)

European NGN policy initiatives

• The Review package (including separation)

• Commission draft Recommendation on NGA

• Commission’s Guidelines for State Aid

• Commission’s Recommendation on fixed and mobile call termination

(11)

Recommendations

1. Pending Review package.

2. More use of sub-national markets/remedies.

3. Refine and complete the NGA Recommendation.

4. Better understanding of costs/benefits of NGA.

5. Impact assessment of ways to promote NGA.

6. Political discussion of NGA goals, and means of achieving them.

7. Consider move to Bill and Keep interconnection.

8. Monitor move to IP-based voice interconnection.

9. Continue to look to free high quality spectrum.

(12)

WIK-Consult GmbH Postfach 2000

53588 Bad Honnef Deutschland

Tel +49 (0) 2224-9225-0 Fax +49 (0) 2224-9225-68 eMail info@wik-consult.com www. wik-consult.com

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