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CLUDEX - Climate Change and urban densification – heat exposure and ventilation under current and future climate, current urban structure and future urban densification

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Wolfgang Loibl (wolfgang.loibl@ait.ac.at)1

, Ghazal Etminan

1

, Doris Österreicher

2

, Matthias Ratheiser

3

, Simon Tschannett

3

, Milena Vuckovic

1,

Karoline Walal

1 1 AIT - Austrian Institute of Technology GmbH, Center for Energy, Sustainable Buildings and Cities Unit, Giefinggasse 6, 1210 Wien.

2 Universität für Bodenkultur, Institut für Raumplanung, Umweltplanung und Bodenordnung, Peter Jordanstr. 82, 1190 Wien.

3 Weatherpark GmbH, Gardegasse 3, 1070 Vienna,

CLUDEX - Climate Change and urban densification –

heat exposure and ventilation under current and future climate, current urban structure and future urban densification – 1

st

results

ACRP 10 reference: KR17AC0K13790: Project duration: 3/2018 - 2/2019)

OBJECTIVES:

CLUDEX examines the impact of urban densification on (current and future) urban climate in Vienna’s 12th district Meidling.

3D city models of the current urban structure and a densification scenario will show the areas’

building growth potential according to the maximum building height targets.

Effects of urban densification on local climate will be examined through microclimate simulations

Thermal comfort will be modelled for building - and rooftop extensions

Adaptation measures will be discussed with stakeholders (In project year 2)

Adaptation effects will be simulated under future climate conditions

• Results shall feed into urban planning guidelines.

Figure 1: Building structure and densification potential in Vienna’s 12th district. Top: current building structure:, bottom densification scenario according to the Vienna zoning plan. (Sources: AIT:

3D model, densification scenario, Wien MA18,:

height zoning map)

CURRENT AND FUTURE URBAN CLIMATE FRAMEWORK:

METHODS:

3D city model generation

• The 3D city model is derived by extruding the buildings' footprints to 3D objects using their height information.

• The densification potential is modeled, based on height zoning information.

Urban climate simulation:

• Reclip:century HADCM3 simulation results from the AR4 A1B GHG scenario with 10x10 km grid spaceing has been downscaled to 4x4 and 1x1 km for Greater Vienna,

• Model: COSMO-CML with urban extension

• Simulation: 1960 to 2100, results: hourly data.

Microclimate simulations:

• Simulation tools: EMVI-MET V3;SOLWEIG Grasshopper/Ladybug

• Simulation runs: duration 3 days

• Simulation resolution 2 m

Figure 2: Tropical nights per year - decadal average 2011-2020 and 2041-2050. (Source reclip:century simulations, COSMO-CML- HADCM3 A1B scenario, downscaled to 1x1 km through COSMO-CML)

1

st

RESULTS: IMPACT OF DENSIFICATION ON URBAN MICRO-CLIMATE

Changes in heat exposure because of densification: Mean Radiant Temperature (MRT) pattern of a very hot day for a sample area – in Meidling (Reference day: August 10, 2014).

During day time the densification scenario leads to more shade and thus lower MRT and ambient air temperature,

Night time is affected by higher MRT because of heat trapping due to “deeper” street canyons and more heat storage in the extended building volumes.

Figure 3: Current building structure (base case, (left) - and densification scenario (right), extending building heights to the height zoning maximum.

Figure 4: MRT during a hot summer day (24 hours average) for the base case (left) and the densification scenario (right).

Figure 5: MRT- differences between base case and densification scenario as day-time average (left) and night-time average (right).

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