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October 15, 2015
Growing to the next level
Capital Markets Day 2015
Jan Frouman
Content Production & Global Sales
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Red Arrow cordially welcomes you to today‘s presentation
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Red Arrow showing aggressive growth
Founded 2010
Footprint in key P7S1 territories established through targeted acquisitions and start-up investments
Since 2012
Strategic focus on mature businesses and key TV markets (USA & UK)
Since 2013
Further geographic expansion/
development through creative partnerships
2014 – 2019
Build scale through identified growth initiatives:
•
Organic growth
•
M&A to continue to build scale across key markets (US, UK)
•
Focus on English-language scripted products
•
Strategically launch and own “big swing” formats
•
Develop ancillary revenues through digital and brand monetization
External revenues (EUR m) Rec. EBITDA (EUR m)
202
124 95
38
11 19 10 4
2012
2011 2013 2014
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CMD target for 2018 already exceeded
150% of our 2018 growth target already achieved by 2015 …
Growth 2012 – H1 2015
Current 2018 growth target
vs. 2012
[external revenue growth, in EUR m]… hence we are raising our 2018 target by EUR 175m
New 2018 growth target
100 275
[external revenue growth, in EUR m]
Key drivers for targeted growth:
• Growing scripted IP portfolio and increasing market demand
• Creation of traveling formats, with ancillary rights potential
• Growing digital presence
• Value accretive bolt-on M&A transactions +175m
100
150
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Continuous improvement in key KPIs
Note: Shows in the catalogue and territories sold to are cumulative 2010 to H1 2015; Territories include sovereign countries and administrative territories; Returning shows with revenues booked in H1 2015
800+
vs. 600+ in H1 2014
46%
vs. 37% in H1 2014
200+
vs. 180 in H1 2014
Number of returning shows
Shows in the catalogue Returning
shows’ rate
Territories sold to
68
vs. 49 in H1 2014
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US continues to be the largest TV production market
Source: Ibisworld“Television Production in the US: Market Research Report” (August, 2015); FX/Nielsen Total est.
production revenues
USD 35bn
Production businesses
~6,700
Annual growth 2010-2015
0.8%
Outlets commissioning
scripted content
~60+
Employment
~120,000
Original scripted series on TV
in 2015
~400
Consolidation has led to more studio attention on non-scripted shows
Proliferation of giant OTT platforms drives growing demand for scripted content
Improving infrastructure and multiple distribution platforms drive digital consumption High market potential:
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USA accounts for 67% of Red Arrow’s global revenues
1) H1 2015 revenue share of Content Production & Global Sales; only relates to revenues booked in H1 2015 2) Partnerships
China
UAE IL
DK/NO
2)
UK D/AU
2) 2)
67%
1)USA
16%
1)4%
1)3%
1)10%
1)2)
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Red Arrow’s portfolio is in line with current US content trends …
Source: P7S1 Format Scouting (briefings at MIP, Natpe, RealScreen, etc.)
MILLENIALS
E.g.: Ctrl Freaks, My Selfie Life
SOCIAL EXPERIMENTS
E.g.: Married At First Sight, Seven Year Switch, The Day The Cash Came
PANEL
E.g.: A League Of Their Own, Fake Reaction, Safe Word
SCRIPTED
E.g.: Bosch, Odd Mom Out, Donny!, Cleverman, Partners in Crime
REAL REALITY
E.g.: Real Men, The Last Alaskans
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… catering to a large array of leading US broadcasters
Note: % of total US production revenues; Includes FY 2015 estimates for US-based production companies (Kinetic Content, Left Right, Half Yard, Fabrik Entertainment)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
OTHER
Producing for
>30
US broadcasters
Limited dependency
on any single outlet
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Group-wide collaboration enables US rights retention
Note: Sales include format and ready-mades Denmark
130+ countries, incl.
Denmark Norway
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Key market trends
• Market consolidation continues (e.g. ITV/Talpa, Endemol/Shine)
• Larger players struggling with aging hits and organizational upheaval
• Small- to mid-size indie M&A options continue to surface in the US
• Many talented executives available for start-ups
• Scripted appetite is growing
• Distributors taking more investment risk to control IP
• Digital market highly active, yet still experimental
• Market valuations remain exceedingly high
• Monetization models remain challenging and fluid
Global scale Rights retention Digital expansion
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Our three key strategic initiatives
Global scale - Expansion of English-language scripted catalogue
• Investment in scripted IP
• Attractive home for leading US show-runners, creators and talent
• Support P7S1 channels with own produced content
Digital expansion
• Establish an L.A. based digital content production company
• Leverage available IP and talent relationships within RA and P7S1 Rights retention - Creation of traveling formats
• Value accretive M&A transactions in non-scripted genres
• Investments in non-scripted development partnerships
• Strategic deficit funding
• Development of formats with strong ancillary revenue potential
1
2
3
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Drive scale with smart US-centric M&A
1 2 3
Expansion of English-language scripted catalogueM&A approach: Majority and minority investments with path to control and 5-7 year partnership model;
staggered management share sale model to mitigate continuity risk Bolt-on non-scripted and scripted acquisitions in key markets
(US and UK) with top creative talent who fit culturally
Deals based on accretive valuations and margins, and long-term/aligned partnership models
To the extent possible, drive genre and customer breadth
Identify succession plans for key assets in key markets
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Recent investments in English-language scripted IP
1 2 3
Expansion of English-language scripted catalogueNew high-stakes genre drama for ABC Australia and SundanceTV US
New scripted comedy series starring
real-life TV personality Donny Deutsch
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Smart format investments & rights-friendly market launches
1 2 3
Creation of traveling formatsMajor new weight loss reality format for US network ABC
US producer Half Yard leverages
rights-friendly UK market
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Newly established US digital hub to drive RA's global digital reach
Driving Red Arrow’s digital content strategy and leveraging existing IP
Building owned and operated media brands and underlying verticals (e.g. Wedding space via Half Yard Productions)
Unlike CDS and Studio71, Ripple Entertainment is not
an aggregator, but will complement the P7S1 digital strategy by:
Driving established and next-generation talent access
1 2 3
Digital expansionCost-effective L.A. based digital content production hub run by leading industry experts
Gayle Gilman and Jason Ziemianski
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