Unit 11:
Assessment of Different Water Management Alternatives to Reduce Regional Risks
The Marchfeld Case Study
H.P. Nachtnebel
IWHW-BOKU
Structure of presentation
• Objectives
• Description of the Case Study
• Methodology
• Application
• Discussion and Conclusion
Objectives
• A region is exposed to several threats
• An approach has to be developed to identify sound solutions
The Marchfeld region
Historic map
The Marchfeld region
• About 1000 km2
• About 60 000 inhabitants
• Intensive agriculture (sugar beets, vegetables, maize,….)
• Low mean annual precipitation (500- 650 mm/a)
• Major wetlands along the Danube and March river
Major threats in the region
• Overexploitation of groundwater resources
Groundwater abstraction
Trend of groundwater table
Major threats in the region
• Overexploitation of groundwater resources
• Pollution of groundwater resources
Groundwater pollution
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Nitrate concentration in different agricultural regions
Major threats in the region
• Overexploitation of groundwater resources
• Pollution of groundwater resources
• Pollution of surface waters
(waste water is released to small creeks)
Surface water quality
• Surface water bodies exhibited (<1985) low discharge and high organic loads
Sugar factories and food processing
Major threats in the region
• Overexploitation of groundwater resources
• Pollution of groundwater resources
• Pollution of surface waters
(waste water is released to small creeks)
• Some areas are exposed to wind erosion
Wind erosion
• Wind erosion was (is) a severe threat
Major threats in the region
• Overexploitation of groundwater resources
• Pollution of groundwater resources
• Pollution of surface waters
(waste water is released to small creeks)
• Some areas are exposed to wind erosion
• Along the major rivers (boundaries) large wetlands of high ecological value are endangered due to
lowering of groundwater
Major threats in the region
• Overexploitation of groundwater resources
• Pollution of groundwater resources
• Pollution of surface waters
(waste water is released to small creeks)
• Some areas are exposed to wind erosion
• Along the major rivers (boundaries) large wetlands of high ecological value are endangered
City area Vienna
Flood plain forests and wetlands
Areas endangered by wind erosion
Planned irrigation channel network
Management objectives
• Identify water resources management
alternatives which reduce the regional risks originating from identified threats
– Support national objectives (agri prod.,..)
– Ensure water supply (domestic, agriculture, industries)
– Support regional interests (avoid regional losses) – Preserve environmental quality
• Assess and rank alternatives
Management objectives
• Improve national economy
support national self supply with agricultural production equity in regional agricultural incomes
• Improve regional economy
utilise regional resources support regional agriculture preserve jobs in agriculture
• Improve environmental quality
improve surface water quality improve groundwater quality
stabilize the groundwater system reduce wind erosion
preserve wetland areas along the rivers
Objectives, criteria and measurable units
The general objectives require further specification by subgoals, criteria and measurable units
Criteria can be expressed by cardinal (measurable quantities) or ordinal units (qualitative description)
Objectives, criteria and measurable units
The general objectives require further specification by subgoals, criteria and measurable units
Criteria can be expressed by cardinal or ordinal units
Handling uncertainty
• Two indicators describe uncertainty
• Robustness (to internal changes) and
• Independency (of external projects)
Additional information
• Several other projects are in discussion along the Danube as well as the extension of water intake
schemes in the Southern part of the flood plain forest (Auwald). These projects might have some influence on the groundwater regime and therefore the indicator
„Independency“ has been introduced.
Actions and alternatives
• Action A1: provide water from Danube via a gravity channel to the region The lower terrace can be supplied by a gravity channel
The higher terrace needs pumping stations (15 m)
implementation level (0, lower terrace, full irrigation)
• Action 2: Efficient water use
Industrial recirculation of process water
(a reduction from 12,2*106 m3/a (now) to 6-7 * 106 m3/a) Improved waste water treatment (industries, domestic wwt- plants
implementation level (0, full treatment)
• Action 3: Increase wind breakers
reduce wind erosion, reduce evaporative losses, improve micro- climate
implementation level (0,1)
• Action 4: Land use:
changing from water demanding crops to oils seeds, sunflower etc.
împlementation level (0,1)
The alternatives (options)
• The implementation of these alternatives is considered to be independent of each other
• Alternatives could be developed which are between 0 and full implementation. Here we consider only 0, 1.
• Thus, we have overall 3*2*2*2 = 24 alternatives
Models
• Models are needed to relate actions (alternatives) with outcomes (impacts)
• Groundwater model
• Pollution load (surface and groundwater)
• Wind erosion
• Production model linking water consumption with output
Possible actions (decisions)
Set of actions
Systems approach (decisions)
Set of actions Dynamic state space model
Methodology
• A 2-D unsteady groundwater model was calibrated
• Groundwater recharge was estimated
• Interaction with boundaring rivers was analysed and modeled
• An agro-economic model was applied
• A model for surface water bodies was applied
Groundwater model
• Identification of boundary conditions
• Identification of initial conditions
• Parameter estimation
• The output refers to the spatial distribution and temporal variation of the groundwater table,
dependent on the taken actions
Groundwater model (parameters)
Hydraulic conductivity storage coefficients
Groundwater recharge
Groundwater model
Boundary conditions bottom layer
Groundwater abstraction (industries, domestic) groundwater abstraction (agriculture)
Mean annual water balance
Some results
Iso-lines of groundwater table specific flows
Iso-lines of groundwater table spatial pattern of gw flows
Qualitative evaluation
Assessment of alternatives
• Each alternative has to be assessed with respect to the various criteria
• Asessing the impacts (Impact table)
Impact table
Comparing alternatives
• Electre I was applied
• It uses weights (importance of a criterion) and scales (to measure the difference between two outcomes)
• It is based on a pairwise comparison of alternatives
• The dominance of alternative Ai over Aj is calculated and expressed by the Concordance index C(i,j)
• The weakness of Ai with respect to Aj is calculated by the Discordance Index D(i,j)
ELECTRE: concordance and discordance
• Concordance expresses the dominance of Ai>Aj
• Discordance expresses the weakness of Ai<Aj
• Thresholds are chosen for C* and D*
• We are looking for alternatives having a high C and a low D
i j
kj ki
J k
k Aj
Ai k
Aj
Ai k
A A
all Sc for
Max Z Max Z
j i DI
w
w w
j i CI
_ ) _
) ( , (
2 1 )
, (
, 1
Example
Alternative Weigth Scale
A3 A5
Criteria 1 Net Benefit 4 3 2 5
Criteria 2 Water Quality poor good 1 4
Criteria 3 Energy output 5 2.5 2 5
CI(3,5)=4/5 DI(3,5)=2/4
Range very good-good-acceptable-poor-very poor
1 2 3 4 5
Comparing alternatives
• A preferred alternative should have a high concordance and low discordance
• Alternatives 10, 12, 14, 16 perform well
• What do they have in common ?
- Irrigation of lower terrace (Q2) and modified land use (L2) - Implementation of WWTs (G2) is included in 14 and 16 - 14 and 16 exhibit also much better surface water quality
index
- a full ranking would yield 14>16>10 and 12 - The status quo ranks low
Comparing alternatives (Impact table)
• A preferred alternative should have a high concordance and low discordance
• Alternatives 10,12,14, 16 perform well
The technical solution
• Implementation of an irrigation channel diverting water from the Danube to the area
• Only supply of the lower terrace
• Improvement of industrial water use efficiency
• Implementation of waste water treatment plants
• Implementation of wind breakers in most of the region
• Development of a regional drinking water supply scheme utilising gw in the flood plain
The technical solution
Discussion and Conclusion
• The preferred alternatives have several common features
irrigation of the lower terrace, improved WWT
Discussion and Conclusion
• The preferred alternatives have several common features
irrigation of the lower terrace, improved WWT
Afforestation and implementation of wind
breakers
Discussion and Conclusion
• The preferred alternatives have several common features
irrigation of the lower terrace, improved WWT
• Finally the implementation was executed in the same way (until now)
• Additionally wind breaker facilities were extended
Discussion and Conclusion
• The preferred alternatives have several common features
irrigation of the lower terrace, improved WWT
• Finally the implementation was executed in the same way (until now)
• Additionally wind breaker facilities were extended
Discussion and conclusion
• The preferred alternatives have several common features
irrigation of the lower terrace improved WWT
• Finally the implementation was executed in the same way (until now)
• Additional wind breaker facilities were implemented
• In the last years a modification in the cropping pattern has been observed
Discussion and conclusion
• A company was established to manage the
water distribution from the channel to the fields
• The company wanted to sell the water to cover its operation costs
• Farmers refused to pay and preferred to continue with groundwater pumping
• Finally it was politically decided to recharge the groundwater system and to distribute the water via the gw-system
Discussion and conclusion
• The project has reduced regional risks (water availability, agricultural production,
environmental degradation)
• The project was definitely in the interest of regional economy
• It did not fully support objectives of the national economy
• Public participation (although not legally requested) worked well
Location of the recharge sites
Recharge Sites
Summary and conclusion
• Besides augmentation of the GW level the channel also serves ecological purposes
• Until today only a small amount of water is taken directly from the channel
• Farmers continued to pump from groundwater instead of paying for water
• Two groundwater recharge facilities were built to supply the farms via the groundwater system
• Plans are discussed to apply a similar approach