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NGA regulation in Europe:

What progress has been made?

Dr. Ulrich Stumpf

„Fiber to the Masses / Roadmap for 2023 vision of Turkey”, Telcoder Conference, Izmir, 16 March 2012

(2)

Lessons from

standard broadband

(3)

Unbundling and bitstream have turned broadband into a more competitive market

Share of broadband connections

Source: COCOM (2011), BAKOM, ICTA

(4)

Unbundling and bitstream have had an important role in driving up broadband penetration, including for higher speeds

Broadband penetration in % of homes

Source: IDATE (2011); OECD (2011)

(5)

AT BE

DE DK

ES

FR

HU

IE

IT NL

PL PT RO

SE UK

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Broadband penetration

Wholesale access

Source: COCOM (2011)

Unbundling and bitstream have had an

important role in driving up broadband

penetration, including for higher speeds

(6)

Where do we stand in

ultrafast broadband?

(7)

Unbundling and bitstream are not yet effective in ultrafast broadband

• Fibre-to-the-curb (FTTC)

- No relevant unbundling of copper sub-loop - No relevant VDSL bitstream, except Germany

• Fibre-to-the-home (FTTH)

- No relevant unbundling, except Netherlands and France - No relevant fibre bitstream

• A mix of reasons: Not imposed vs. not technically feasible vs. not economically viable

(8)

Risk of decreasing competition in overall broadband market …

Share of broadband connections

Source: COCOM (2011), BAKOM, ICTA

(9)

… and risk of negative impact on take-up of ultrafast broadband

Source: WIK based on FTTH Council/IDATE (2011)

FTTH/B

(10)

… and risk of negative impact on take-up of ultrafast broadband

Source: WIK based on FTTH Council/IDATE (2011)

FTTN (VDSL + DOCSIS 3.0)

(11)

More effective access regulation in ultrafast broadband is called for

• Need for unbundling and bitstream in ultrafast broadband, except where competition is effective

• Where physical unbundling is not technically feasible or not

economically viable, need for an effective virtual substitute = virtual unbundled local access (VULA)

• This is a bitstream product with access at local level that mimics pricing and characteristics of unbundling

(12)

More on this in new WIK report

WIK NGA Progress Report commissioned by ECTA covering 17 countries, including Turkey:

http://www.wik.org/index.php?id=studiedetails&L=1&tx_ttnews[tt_ne ws]=1411&tx_ttnews[backPid]=85&cHash=9d5167c145ca8928094e e4feb41548d2

(13)

- Thank you for your attention -

(14)

Dr. Ulrich Stumpf wik-Consult GmbH Postfach 2000

53588 Bad Honnef

eMail u.stumpf@wik-consult.com www. wik-consult.com

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