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Reply to Klitz and Niklasson: Can viral infections explain the cross-sectional Austrian diabetes data?

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LETTER

Reply to Klitz and Niklasson: Can viral infections explain the cross-sectional Austrian diabetes data?

Routes to Diabetes

The vast majority of diabetes patients suffer from type II diabetes. There are several the- ories for potential causes of its development, the most favored being the“exhaustion”of β-cells by chronic excess caloric intake com- bined with inactivity leading to obesity, di- abetes, and cardiovascular disease (1). Viral infection could be a potential cause, however mainly for type I diabetes. Furthermore, autoimmunity might play a role in type I patients (2). A quotation from ref. 3 reads:

“Diabetes is a group of metabolic diseases characterized by hyperglycemia resulting from defects in insulin secretion, insulin ac- tion, or both.. . .Several pathogenic processes are involved in the development of diabetes.

These range from autoimmune destruction of theβ-cells of the pancreas with consequent insulin deficiency to abnormalities that result in resistance to insulin action.. . .Deficient insulin action results from inadequate insulin secretion and/or diminished tissue responses to insulin at one or more points in the com- plex pathways of hormone action. Impair- ment of insulin secretion and defects in in- sulin action frequently coexist in the same patient, and it is often unclear which abnor- mality, if either alone, is the primary cause of the hyperglycemia.”There are known monogenetic defects leading to maturity- onset diabetes of the young-type diabetes. In summary, there are several pathways leading to the same symptom: high glucose level.

None of these paths exclusively explains the causality of the diabetes epidemic.

Ljunganvirus

As discussed in Thurner et al. (4), viral infections can cause diabetes but cannot

explain the peaks found in the Austrian population data as shown explicitly for in- fluenza. We believe that this is also true for a zoonosis. The peaks point to a massive change of an external exposition. There is no rationale why a zoonosis should show a massive change in the entire population given the diverse range of environmental con- ditions, ranging from plains to mountains and humid to dry areas. Zoonoses, like tula- remia or toxoplasmosis, show typical out- breaks of infections, which are localized and seasonal. No such outbreaks were reported in times that would correspond to the peaks in our report (4). Contrary to the argument in Klitz and Niklasson (5), it is unlikely that a zoonosis should affect a large proportion of the young population (if the infection happened after birth), or of the population of pregnant women.

Discussion

An important lesson from ref. 4 is that not only excess caloric intake but also (massive) hypocaloric nutrition in a famine can lead to diabetes. The external exposure can only be detected when it occurs during a vulnerable time: pregnancy. Epigenetic changes may be responsible for this long-acting mechanism (6). Thisfinding opens new opportunities for research because excess caloric intake and famine may address the same metabolic or epigenetic mechanisms. If such mechanisms can be identified, they could become targets for new therapeutic strategies. Important questions that remain are: Can such changes happen only in one direction? Or could ex- ternal factors also reverse such changes if an intervention can be found to make the target

“vulnerable”again?

Stefan Thurnera,b,c,1, Peter Klimeka, Michael Szella,d, Georg Duftschmide, Gottfried Endelf, Alexandra

Kautzky-Willerg, and David C. Kasperh

aSection for Science of Complex Systems, Medical University of Vienna, A-1090 Vienna, Austria;bSanta Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM 87501;cInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria;

dSENSEable City Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139;

eSection for Medical Information Management and Imaging,gGender Medicine Unit, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine III, andhDepartment of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Medical University of Vienna, A-1090 Vienna, Austria;

andfMain Association of Austrian Social Security Institution, A-1031 Vienna, Austria

1Bano G (2013) Glucose homeostasis, obesity and diabetes.Best Pract Res Clin Obstet Gynaecol., pii:S1521–6934(13):30–38.

2Redondo MJ, et al. (2013) Types of pediatric diabetes mellitus defined by anti-islet autoimmunity and random C-peptide at diagnosis.Pediatr Diabetes, 10.1111/pedi.12022.

3American Diabetes Association (2012) Diagnosis and classification of diabetes mellitus.Diabetes Care35(Suppl 1):S64–S71.

4Thurner S, et al. (2013) Quantification of excess risk for diabetes for those born in times of hunger, in an entire population of a nation, across a century.Proc Natl Acad Sci USA110(12):4703–4707.

5Klitz W, Niklasson B (2013) Viral underpinning to the Austrian record of type 2 diabetes?Proc Nat Acad Sci USA110:E2750.

6Lehnen H, Zechner U, Haaf T (2013) Epigenetics of gestational diabetes mellitus and offspring health: The time for action is in early stages of life.Mol Hum Reprod19(7):415–422.

Author contributions: S.T., P.K., M.S., G.D., G.E., A.K.-W., and D.C.K.

wrote the paper.

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

1To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: stefan.

thurner@meduniwien.ac.at.

www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1305494110 PNAS | July 23, 2013 | vol. 110 | no. 30 | E2751

LETTER

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