World Energy Demand and Economic Outlook

Figure 12. World marketed energy consumption, 1990-2035:History:EIA, International Energy Statistics data-base (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/

emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Table 1. World marketed energy consumption by country grouping, 2007-2035: 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 13. World marketed energy consumption:

OECD and Non-OECD, 1990-2035:History:EIA, Inter-national Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Pro-jections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 14. Shares of world energy consumption in the United States, China, and India, 1990-2035: History:

EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Figure 15. Marketed energy use in Non-OECD econo-mies by region, 1990-2035:History: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 16. World marketed energy use by fuel type, 1990-2035:History:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.

gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 17. Coal consumption in selected world regions, 1990-2035:History:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.

gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 18. World electricity generation by fuel, 2007-2035:History:Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 19. Renewable electricity generation in China by energy source, 2007-2035: 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 20. World nuclear generating capacity by region, 2007 and 2035:2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 21. OECD and Non-OECD total gross domestic product, 1990-2035:History:IHS Global Insight,World Overview(Lexington, MA, various issues).Projections:

Derived from IHS Global Insight,World Overview, Third Quarter 2009(Lexington, MA, November 2009); and EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washington, DC, April 2010), AEO2010 National Energy Modeling System, run AEO2010R.D111809A, web site www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo.

Table 2. World gross domestic product by country grouping, 2007-2035:History:IHS Global Insight,World Overview(Lexington, MA, various issues).Projections:

Derived from IHS Global Insight,World Overview, Third Quarter 2009(Lexington, MA, November 2009); and EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washington, DC, April 2010), AEO2010 National Energy Modeling System, run AEO2010R.D111809A, web site www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo.

Figure 22. World marketed energy consumption in three Economic Growth cases, 1990-2035: 1990-2007:

EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Figure 23. World oil prices in three Oil Price cases, 1990-2035:EIA,Annual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washington, DC, April 2010), web site www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo.

Figure 24. World marketed energy consumption in three Oil Price cases, 2007-2035:2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web

site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 25. World marketed energy consumption by fuel in three Oil Price cases, 2035:EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 26. World liquids consumption by sector in three Oil Price cases, 2035: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Chapter 2. Liquid Fuels

Figure 27. World liquids consumption by region and country group, 2007 and 2035:2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. 2035: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 28. World liquid fuels production in three cases, 2007 and 2035:2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.

gov/emeu/international. 2035: EIA, Generate World Oil Balance Model (2010).

Table 3. World liquid fuels production in the Refer-ence case, 2007-2035:2007:EIA, Office of Energy Mar-kets and End Use.Projections:EIA, Generate World Oil Balance Model (2010).

Figure 29. World total liquids production, 1990-2035:

1990-2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international.Projections:EIA, Generate World Oil Bal-ance Model (2010).

Figure 30. World production of unconventional liquid fuels in three cases, 2007 and 2035:2007:EIA, Office of Energy Markets and End Use. 2035: EIA, Generate World Oil Balance Model (2010).

Figure 31. World liquids consumption by sector, 2007-2035: 2007: Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 32. World oil prices in three cases, 1980-2035:

EIA,Annual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washington, DC, April 2010), web site www.eia.

gov/oiaf/aeo.

Table 4. World oil prices in four cases, 2008-2035:EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washington, DC, April 2010), web site www.eia.

gov/oiaf/aeo.

Figure 33. Non-OPEC conventional liquids production by region, 2007 and 2035: 2007:EIA, Office of Energy Markets and End Use. 2035: EIA, Generate World Oil Balance Model (2010).

136 U.S. Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2010

Figure 34. OPEC conventional liquids production by region, 2007 and 2035:2007:EIA, Office of Energy Mar-kets and End Use. 2035:EIA, Generate World Oil Bal-ance Model (2010).

Figure 35. World proved oil reserves by geographic region as of January 1, 2010: “Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production,” Oil & Gas Journal, Vol. 105, No. 48 (December 24, 2009), pp. 22-23.

Table 5. World oil reserves by country as of January 1, 2010: “Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production,”

Oil & Gas Journal, Vol. 105, No. 48 (December 24, 2009), pp. 22-23.

Chapter 3. Natural Gas

Figure 36. World natural gas consumption, 2007-2035:

2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Figure 37. Change in world natural gas production by region, 2007-2035:EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 38. Natural gas consumption in North America by country, 2007-2035:2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010); andAnnual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washing-ton, DC, April 2010), AEO2010 National Energy Modeling System, run AEO2010R.D111809A, web site www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo.

Figure 39. Natural gas consumption in OECD Europe by end-use sector, 2007-2035:2007:Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of Novem-ber 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international.

Projections:EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 40. Natural gas consumption in OECD Asia by country and end-use sector, 2007 and 2035: 2007:

Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics data-base (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/

emeu/international. 2035: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Figure 41. Natural gas consumption in Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia, 2007-2035:2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 42. Natural gas consumption in Non-OECD Asia by country, 2007-2035: 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 43. OECD natural gas production by country, 1990-2035:1990-2007:EIA, International Energy Statis-tics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.

gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, Interna-tional Natural Gas Model (2010); and Annual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washington, DC, April 2010), AEO2010 National Energy Modeling Sys-tem, run AEO2010R.D111809A, web site www.eia.

gov/oiaf/aeo.

Table 6. World natural gas production by region and country in the Reference case, 2007-2035:2007 and 2008:

EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010); and Annual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washington, DC, April 2010), AEO2010 National Energy Modeling System, run AEO2010R.D111809A, web site www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo.

Figure 44. OECD Europe natural gas production, 1990-2035: 1990-2007:Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 45. Middle East natural gas production, 1990-2035:1990-2007:EIA, International Energy Statis-tics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.

gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, Interna-tional Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 46. Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia natural gas production, 1992-2035: 1992-2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 47. Africa natural gas production, 1990-2035:

1990-2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 48. Non-OECD Asia natural gas production, 1990-2035: 1990, 2000, and 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 49. China natural gas production, 1990-2035:

1990, 2000, and 2007: Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 50. Central and South America natural gas pro-duction, 1990-2035: 1990-2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 51. OECD North America net natural gas trade, 2007-2035: 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/

emeu/international. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010); andAnnual Energy Outlook 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010) (Washington, DC, April 2010), AEO2010 National Energy Modeling System, run AEO2010R.D111809A, web site www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo.

Figure 52. OECD Asia net natural gas trade, 2007-2035:

2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 53. Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia net natural gas trade, 2007-2035: 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 54. Non-OECD Asia net natural gas trade, 2007-2035: 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/

emeu/international. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 55. Middle East net natural gas trade, 2007-2035:

2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 56. Africa net natural gas trade, 2007-2035:2007:

EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 57. Non-OECD Central and South America net natural gas trade, 2007-2035: 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2010).

Figure 58. World natural gas reserves by geographic region as of January 1, 2010: “Worldwide Look at Reserves and Production,” Oil & Gas Journal, Vol. 105, No. 48 (December 24, 2009), pp. 22-23.

Figure 59. World natural gas reserves by region, 1980-2010: 1980-1993: “Worldwide Oil and Gas at a Glance,”International Petroleum Encyclopedia(Tulsa, OK:

PennWell Publishing, various issues).1994-2010:Oil &

Gas Journal(various issues).

Table 7. World natural gas reserves by country as of January 1, 2010:“Worldwide Look at Reserves and Pro-duction,”Oil & Gas Journal, Vol. 105, No. 48 (December 24, 2009), pp. 22-23.

Chapter 4. Coal

Figure 60. World coal consumption by country group-ing, 1980-2035: 1980-2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 61. Coal share of world energy consumption by sector, 2007, 2020, and 2035: 2007: Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Figure 62. OECD coal consumption by region, 1980, 2007, 2020, and 2035:1980 and 2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 63. Non-OECD coal consumption by region, 1980, 2007, 2020, and 2035:1980 and 2007:EIA, Interna-tional Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projec-tions:EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 64. Coal consumption in China by sector, 2007, 2020, and 2035: 2007:Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Table 8. World coal production by region, 2007-2035:

2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010) and EIA, IEO2010 NaProjec-tional Energy Modeling System run IEO2010.D050710A.

Table 9. World coal flows by importing and exporting regions, Reference case, 2008, 2020, and 2035:2008:SSY Consultancy and Research, Ltd.,SSY’s Coal Trade Fore-cast, Vol. 17, No. 4 (London, United Kingdom, June 2009); and EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2008, DOE/EIA-0121(2008/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2009). Projections: EIA, IEO2010 National Energy Modeling System run IEO2010.D050710A.

Figure 65. Coal imports by major importing region, 1995-2035: History: SSY Consultancy and Research, Ltd.,SSY’s Coal Trade Forecast, Vol. 17, No. 4 (London, United Kingdom, June 2009), and previous issues; Inter-national Energy Agency, Coal Information 2009 (Paris, France, August 2009), and previous issues; and EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2008, DOE/EIA-0121(2008/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2009), and pre-vious issues; Btu conversions from short tons are esti-mates by EIA’s Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting.Projections:EIA, IEO2010 National Energy Modeling System run IEO2010.D050710A.

138 U.S. Energy Information Administration / International Energy Outlook 2010

Figure 66. Coal imports to Asia by major importing region, 2007 and 2035:2007:EIA,Quarterly Coal Report, DOE/EIA-0121(2007/4Q) (December 2007); and derived from SSY Consultancy and Research, Ltd.,SSY’s Coal Trade Forecast, Vol. 17, No. 1 (London, United King-dom, July 2008). 2035: EIA, IEO2010 National Energy Modeling System run IEO2010.D050710A.

Table 10. World recoverable coal reserves as of January 1, 2008:Reserves: United States:EIA, unpublished data from Coal Reserves Database (March 2010). All Other Countries: World Energy Council, Survey of Energy Resources: Interim Update 2009(London, UK, June 2009).

Production: EIA, International Energy Statistics Data-base (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/

emeu/international/contents.html.

Chapter 5. Electricity

Figure 67. Growth in world electric power generation and total energy consumption, 1990-2035: 1990-2007:

EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Figure 68. World net electricity generation by region, 1990-2035:1990-2007:EIA, International Energy Statis-tics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.

gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 69. Non-OECD net electricity generation by region, 1990-2035:1990-2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Table 11. OECD and Non-OECD net electricty genera-tion by energy source, 2007-2035: 2007: Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Figure 70. World net electricity generation by fuel, 2006-2030:2007:Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 71. World net electricity generation from nuclear power by region, 2007-2030:2007:EIA, Interna-tional Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projec-tions:EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Table 12. OECD and Non-OECD net renewable elec-tricity generation by energy source, 2007-2035: 2007:

EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Figure 72. Net electricity generation in North America, 1990-2035:1990-2007:EIA, International Energy Statis-tics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.

gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 73. Net electricity generation in North America by fuel, 2007 and 2035:2007:Derived from EIA, Interna-tional Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. 2035:EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 74. Net electricity generation in OECD Europe by fuel, 2007-2035: 2007: Derived from EIA, Interna-tional Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projec-tions:EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 75. Net electricity generation in OECD Asia, 2007-2035: 2007: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.

gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 76. Net electricity generation in Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia, 2007-2035:2007:EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections:

EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 77. Net electricity generation in Non-OECD Asia by fuel, 2007-2035:2007:Derived from EIA, Inter-national Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Pro-jections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 78. Net electricity generation in the Middle East by fuel, 2007-2035: 2007: Derived from EIA, Interna-tional Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projec-tions:EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 79. Net electricity generation in Africa by fuel, 2007-2035:2007:Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 80. Net electricity generation in Brazil by fuel, 2007-2035:2007:Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2010).

Figure 81. Net electricity generation in Other Central and South America by fuel, 2007-2035: 2007: Derived from EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of November 2009), web site www.eia.gov/emeu/

international. Projections: EIA, World Energy Projec-tion System Plus (2010).

Chapter 6. Industrial Sector Energy Consumption

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