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Empirical results

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We find that DPs have a positive and significant impact on land rents, indicating that there is rent extraction of government payments by landowners. This impact is not only statistically significant, but is also economically significant. An increase of one additional euro per hectare in DPs increases land rents by 13 to 25 euro cents, corresponding to a capitalisation rate of 13% to 25%. Since renting is widespread in several EU-NMS and most landowners are absentee landowners who live in urban areas or who are no longer active in agriculture, the payments will flow out of the agricultural sector and are, to a large extent, missing their goal of improving the livelihoods of rural inhabitants.

In addition, we find that the level of capitalisation depends on market imperfections. In particular, credit market imperfections are important as well as the country’s farm structure, which affects transaction costs and imperfect competition (bargaining position) in the land rental market.

Capitalisation of DPs is higher in more credit-constrained markets, with the level of capitalisation ranging from 40 euro cents (in the case of poorly functioning credit markets) to 16 euro cents per additional euro of DPs (in the case of well-functioning credit markets). DPs may reduce farmers’ credit constraints, for example because farmers may use them as collateral for bank loans (Latruffe et al., 2010). As a consequence, the marginal productivity of agricultural land increases which will in turn

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boost the demand for agricultural land, as theoretically shown by Ciaian &

Swinnen (2009).

With respect to farm structure, we find that capitalisation of DPs is lower in countries characterised by a significant share of agricultural land used by corporate farms, reflecting a stronger bargaining position of the farmers. Per additional euro of DPs, the level of capitalisation in the land rental price ranges from 21 euro cents, if all land is used by individual farmers, to 4 euro cents if all land is used by corporate farms. Hence, in the countries where the farm structure is dominated by corporate farms, the level of capitalisation of DPs is found to be lower, suggesting that transaction and stronger bargaining positions of the tenants temper capitalisation.

4. Conclusion

In this chapter, we analyse the impact of increasing DPs on land rents in six new EU member states. In these countries, agricultural subsidies largely increased as a result of their EU accession. We find that up to 25% of DPs is capitalised in land rents. In addition, the results show that capitalisation of DPs is higher in more credit-constrained markets, while capitalisation of DPs is lower in countries where more land is used by corporate farms, reflecting a stronger bargaining position of corporate farms in these countries.

All this clearly illustrates the importance of reforms focused on improving the bargaining position of farms and on improving access to input and output markets, and particularly credit markets, as well as of reforms of sectors ‘surrounding agriculture’. Such reforms are not only crucial to improve access to land by farmers and to induce structural change in the sector, but also to ensure that agricultural subsidies are not missing their goal of improving the livelihoods of rural inhabitants in the EU-NMS.

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