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Discussion of assumptions and interpretation of model parameters

9.6 Precision of parameter estimates

11.2.2 Discussion of assumptions and interpretation of model parameters

parts with the dominance times resulting from the inverse Gaussian HMM assumptions, which allows model fitting also to short data sections and comparison across clinical groups. In addition, the HBMi also provides a relation to potential underlying neuronal processes, as discussed in the following and illustrated in Figure 11.6.

Both HBMi-processes P and B are assumed Brownian motions with drift which may be interpreted as the activity difference between neuronal populations. Implicitly, this assumes mechanisms of self-excitation, cross-inhibition and adaptation across these neuronal popula-tions, as proposed by various authors (Brascamp et al., 2009; Gigante et al., 2009). Without explicitly modeling such mechanisms in order to reduce the number of parameters and allow model fitting, the parameter sets are reduced to the mean driftsν and the borders b. Analo-gously to the HBMc, the speed of the drifts could be considered related to the inverse of the connection strengths within and across populations that engage in self excitation and cross inhibition. The borderb, in analogy to the HBMc, could be considered related to the size of the respective populations under consideration. The use of different borders allows fitting of highly various response patterns and can be motivated as follows.

In the HBMi, the perception process P has two borders, bS ≥ bU for the stable and the unstable state. This suggests different population sizes of neurons involved in the stable and unstable state. TypicallybS > b > bU, suggesting that in the stable state, the activity of the dominant population is increased by joining additional neurons to the population, for example by positive feedback mediated by population S. Vice versa, in the unstable state, only a minimal population is involved in the respective percept, leading to fast changes. Thus, one could assume that the dominant percept population size is decreased by the populationU (red arrows). The active population sizes are indicated by different circle sizes in the first line

of Figure 11.6 and are assumed modulated by the background populationsS and U.

The background process B models the activity difference between S and U and is also associated with two borders, ˜bS and ˜bU. The assumption regarding resetting of B at percept change is technically necessary to generate independent dominance times and to thus allow straightforward model fitting (compare Section 12.2). In the picture of Figure 11.6 it can be motivated as follows. PopulationS is capable of offering positive feedback to the currently active population,L orR, which results in an increased population size as described above.

S is also activated by the active population. Therefore, a percept change causes a resetting to zero. However, if S had shown high previous activation (above ˜bS), the activity of S can increase rapidly again, causing another stable dominance time. In contrast, in case of weak previous activation (below ˜bS), the unstable population U is taking over, marking the transition to an unstable state. With opposite signs, i.e., negative drift and a small new border

˜bU, the process proceeds analogously. Similar to the mean drift terms νS andνU, the drift νB is not necessarily constant but describes the mean drift of B during the period of blank display. During continuous presentation the background process is of no relevance as its drift vanishes during presentation phases and moreover the drift of P is generally given byν0. In addition to the potential neurophysiological interpretations of the model parameters, we give here a relation of the parameters to the response patterns. Interestingly, the seven HBMi parameters allow the reproduction of highly variable response patterns as are also observed in the empirical data sets (e.g., Figure 1.3). The following quantities, which are easily derived from the parameters, offer a straightforward pattern interpretation.

11. A hierarchical Brownian motion model

L

+

R

+

+ +

S U

+ +

+ + + +

P

B

Figure 11.6: Motivation of HBMi assumptions. The populations Land R being active during continuous presentation are visualized by the medium circles. During stable phases in intermittent presentation the population size is increased (large circles), whereas during unstable phases it is decreased (small circles). The populations S and U are responsible for the hidden state. Excitations are visualized by green arrows and inhibitions by red arrows.

First, the parameter sets (bS, νS) and (bU, νU) can be interpreted analogously to the parameters (b, ν0) in continuous stimulation (Section 11.1.2). That means, an increase in the border (bS orbU) increases the mean dominance time and decreases the CV in the respective state. An increase in the drift (νS orνU) decreases the mean dominance time, while also decreasing the CV. Recall that the CVs of dominance times during stable and unstable states are given by

CVS := 1/p

2bSνS and CVU := 1/p

2bUνU, respectively.

Figure 11.7 illustrates examples with small CVS (panels A-D) and large CVS (panels E-H).

Second, the parameters ˜bS and νB can be interpreted best when compared to bS andνS as follows. Consider the expected fraction of ˜bS reached by the background process at the end of a stable dominance time,

Expected duration of a stable dominance time Expected duration untilB reaches ˜bS

= 2bSS

˜bSB = 2bSνB

˜bSνS ,

which is related to the transition probability from stable to unstable state. In case of a small background border ˜bS < bS and smallνS, the probability ofB crossing ˜bS until percept change is high, such that the process remains stable. Figure 11.7 A, B, E and F show such parameter combinations. An analogous term can be derived in comparison to the parameters ˜bU andνU. Third, the parameter ˜bU is related to the number of dominance times in the unstable state observed before changing to the stable state. Recall that the drift ofB is negative during unstable phases. Therefore, a large value of ˜bU implies a low probability to reach ˜bU until the percept change. This implies a high expected number of dominance times in the unstable state, or a low transition probability from the unstable to the stable state. Figure 11.7 B, D, F and H show examples with large values of ˜bU.

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11. A hierarchical Brownian motion model

11. A hierarchical Brownian motion model

Figure 11.7: Impact of HBMi parameter values on the response pat-terns. Examples of simulated response patterns are shown for different values of the three quantities CVS, 2bSνB/˜bSνS and ˜bU. The quantities for panels A-H were CVS = {0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,1,1,1,1},2bSνB/˜bSνS = {4,4,0.4,0.4,4,4,0.4,0.4},

˜bU = {0,3,0,3,0,3,0,3}.

Starting positions We discuss the starting positions P0, which is −bS with probability πstart,S and −bU else, and B0= 0. Thus, the first dominance time is distributed like all other dominance times. ChoosingP0 asbU or bS does not change the distributions and as we are only interested in the alternation behavior it does not matter whether the starting perception is left or right. Choosing a starting point different from a border for the perception process leads to a different distribution of the first dominance time which we do not observe in the data. A nonzero starting value for the background process also imposes challenges as then the probability to remain in the current state would be different for the first dominance time which is not justified by the data or theoretical reflections.