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CMB Polarization:

Toward an Observational Proof of Cosmic Inflation

Eiichiro Komatsu (Max-Planck-Institut für Astrophysik) CMB2013, Okinawa Institute for Science and Technology

June 10, 2013

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Has inflation happened?

If anyone asks you this question, your answer must always be:

“We don’t know yet.”

2

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Flatness? Homogeneity?

Aren’t flatness and homogeneity of the universe the proof of inflation?

No. Inflation was invented to explain these

observations. (Except for the very first model by Starobinsky.)

3

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The Key Predictions of Inflation

Fluctuations we observe today originated from quantum fluctuations generated during inflation

There should also be ultra-long-wavelength gravitational waves originated from quantum (or classical)

fluctuations generated during inflation

ζ h ij

4

scalar mode

tensor mode

(5)

We are measuring distortions in space

A distance between two points in space

dl2 = a2(t)e2ζ(x,t)[eh]ijdxidxj

= a2(t)[1+2ζ(x,t)+...][δij+hij(x,t)+...]dxidxj

ζ(x,t): “curvature perturbation” (scalar mode)

hij(x,t): “gravitational waves” (tensor mode)

Area-conserving anisotropic stretching of space: det[eh]=1

5

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We are measuring distortions in space

A distance between two points in space

dl2 = a2(t)e2ζ(x,t)[eh]ijdxidxj

= a2(t)[1+2ζ(x,t)+...][δij+hij(x,t)+...]dxidxj

6

ζ(x,t)>0: more (isotropic) stretching of space

More redshift -> colder photons

The Sachs-Wolfe formula gives dT/T = –ζ/5

(7)

We are measuring distortions in space

A distance between two points in space

dl2 = a2(t)e2ζ(x,t)[eh]ijdxidxj

= a2(t)[1+2ζ(x,t)+...][δij+hij(x,t)+...]dxidxj

7

hij(x,t): anisotropic stretching of space

(8)

Gravitational waves are coming toward you... What do you do?

• Gravitational waves stretch

space, causing particles to move.

8

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Two Polarization States of GW

• This is great - this will automatically

generate quadrupolar anisotropy around electrons!

9

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From GW to

temperature anisotropy

10

Electron

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From GW to

temperature anisotropy

11

Redshift

Redshift

Blueshift Blueshift

Redshift

Redshift

Blues Blues hift

hift

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Scalar Mode

Inflation predicts “nearly scale-invariant spectrum”

which means, for Pζ(k)=<|ζk|2> ~ kns–4, ns is close to unity

Inflation predicts “nearly Gaussian fluctuations”

which means, for fNL ~ <ζk1ζk2ζk3>/[Pζ(k1)Pζ(k2)+cyc.], fNL is much less than unity*

*for single-field canonical models

12

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Scalar Mode: Current Status

ns<1 is discovered at last (i.e., by more than 5σ!)

WMAP9+ACT+SPT+BAO: ns=0.958±0.008 (68%CL)

Beautifully confirmed by Planck+WMAP9 polarization:

ns=0.960±0.007 (68%CL)

Remarkably tight limit on fNLlocal = 2.7±5.8 (68%CL) by Planck

A massive (a factor of 3.4) improvement from WMAP9 Single-field, canonical inflation models agree with all the data:

1–ns ≈ fNL ≈ O(slow-roll parameter) = O(10–2)

13

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Yet

Neither ns<1 nor fNL<1 proves that inflation happened!

We need to detect long-wavelength, scale-invariant

primordial gravitational waves to definitively prove inflation observationally

14

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Energy density spectrum of primordial GW from inflation

Watanabe & Komatsu (2006)

Einflation=1016 GeV CMB scale

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Tool

CMB Polarization!

16

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CMB Polarization

CMB is (very weakly) polarized

17

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“Stokes Parameters”

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Q<0; U=0 North

East

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23 GHz [polarized]

Stokes Q Stokes U

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WMAP

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23 GHz [polarized]

Stokes Q Stokes U

North East

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WMAP

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33 GHz [polarized]

Stokes Q Stokes U

21

WMAP

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41 GHz [polarized]

Stokes Q Stokes U

22

WMAP

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61 GHz [polarized]

Stokes Q Stokes U

23

WMAP

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94 GHz [polarized]

Stokes Q Stokes U

24

WMAP

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How many components?

1. CMB: Tν

~ ν

0

2. Synchrotron (electrons going around magnetic fields): Tν

~ ν

–3

3. Free-free (electrons colliding with protons): Tν

~ ν

–2

4. Dust (heated dust emitting thermal emission): Tν2 5. Spinning dust (rapidly rotating tiny dust grains):

Tν~complicated

You need at least THREE frequencies to separate them! 25

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Physics of CMB Polarization

CMB Polarization is created by a local temperature

quadrupole anisotropy. 26

Wayne Hu

(27)

Principle

Polarization direction is parallel to “hot.”

27

North

East

Hot Hot

Cold Cold

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Stacking Analysis

• Stack polarization images around

temperature hot and cold spots.

• Outside of the Galaxy mask (not shown), there are 11536 hot spots and 11752 cold spots.

28

WMAP

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Radial and Tangential Polarization Patterns

around Temp. Spots

All hot and cold spots are stacked

“Compression phase” at θ=1.2 deg and

“slow-down phase” at θ=0.6 deg are predicted to be there and we observe them!

The 7-year overall significance level: 8σ

29

WMAP

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Quadrupole From

Velocity Gradient (Large Scale)

30

Potential Φ

Acceleration

a=–∂Φ

a>0 =0

Velocity

Velocity in the rest

frame of electron e e

Polarization

Radial None

ΔT Sachs-Wolfe: ΔT/T=Φ/3

Stuff flowing in

Velocity gradient

The left electron sees colder photons along the plane wave

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Quadrupole From

Velocity Gradient (Small Scale)

31

Potential Φ

Acceleration

a=–∂Φ–∂P

a>0

Velocity

Velocity in the rest

frame of electron e e

Polarization

Radial

ΔT Compression increases

temperature Stuff flowing in

Velocity gradient

<0

Pressure gradient slows down the flow

Tangential

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32

• The 9-year overall

significance level: 10 σ

WMAP

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Planck Data!

33

Planck Collaboration I (2013)

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E-mode and B-mode

Gravitational potential can generate the E-

mode polarization, but not B-modes.

Gravitational

waves can generate both E- and B-modes!

B mode

E mode

34

(35)

Two Polarization States of GW

• This is great - this will automatically

generate quadrupolar anisotropy around electrons!

35

(36)

From GW to CMB Polarization

36

Electron

(37)

From GW to CMB Polarization

37

Redshift

Redshift

Blueshift Blueshift

Redshift

Redshift

Blues Blues hift

hift

(38)

From GW to CMB Polarization

38

Gravitational waves can produce

both E- and B-mode polarization

(39)

No detection of B-mode polarization yet.

B-mode is the next holy grail!

Po la ri za tio n Po w er Spectrum

39

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“Tensor-to-scalar Ratio,” r

r = [Power in Gravitational Waves]

/ [Power in Curvature Perturbation]

= <h ij,k0 h ij,k0* >/<| ζ k0 | 2 > at k

0

=0.002 Mpc

–1

Inflation predicts r <~ 1

40

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WMAP 9-year results

(Hinshaw, Larson, Komatsu, et al. 2012) r<0.12 (95%CL)

41

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WMAP 9-year results

(Hinshaw, Larson, Komatsu, et al. 2012)

Planck confirms our results

42

Planck Collaboration XXII (2013)

r<0.12 (95%CL)

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Next Step

A bench-mark model: Starobinsky’s R2 inflation (1980)

ns=0.96 and r=0.005.

ns confirmed. Can we ever reach r=O(10–3)?

43

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B-mode is faint

Lensing contamination forces us to go to large angular scales E-mode from

grav. potential

B-mode [predicted]

44

Katayama & Komatsu (2011)

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How low should noise be?

Due to lensing, an experiment with

noise < 5uK arcmin is equivalent to the

“noiseless”

experiment.

45

Katayama & Komatsu (2011)

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Katayama & Komatsu (2011) 46

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Lensing severely

limits the precision with which we can determine the

value of r.

No foreground is included yet here.

Katayama & Komatsu (2011) 47

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Curse you, FG, I curse you...

Even in the science channel (100GHz), foreground is a few orders of magnitude bigger in power at l<~30

B-mode power spectrum

48

Katayama & Komatsu (2011)

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Gauss will help you

Don’t be scared too much: the power spectrum captures only a fraction of information.

Yes, CMB is very close to a Gaussian distribution. But, foreground is highly non-Gaussian.

CMB scientist’s best friend is this equation:

–2lnL = ([data]i–[stuff]i)T (C–1)ij ([data]j–[stuff]j)

where “Cij” describes the two-point correlation of CMB and noise

49

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WMAP’s Simple Approach

Use the 23 GHz map as a tracer of synchrotron.

Fit the 23 GHz map to a map at another frequency (with a single amplitude αS), and subtract.

After correcting for “CMB bias,” this method removes foreground completely, provided that:

Spectral index (“β” of Tνβ; e.g., β~–3 for synchrotron) does not vary across the sky.

50

[data]=

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Limitation of the simplest approach

The index β does vary at lot for synchrotron!

We don’t really know what β does for dust (just yet)

Planck Sky Model (ver 1.6.2)

51

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Nevertheless...

Let’s try and see how far we can go with the simplest approach. The biggest limitation of this method is a

position-dependent index.

And, obvious improvements are possible anyway:

Fit multiple coefficients to different locations in the sky

Use more frequencies to constrain the index

52

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We describe the data

(=CMB+noise+PSMv1.6.2) by

Amplitude of the B-mode polarization: r [this is what we want to measure at the level of r~10–3]

Amplitude of the E-mode polarization from gravitational potential: s [which we wish to marginalize over]

Amplitude of synchrotron: αSynch [which we wish to marginalize over]

Amplitude of dust: αDust [which we wish to marginalize over]

53

(54)

54

Methodology: we simply maximize the following likelihood function

(55)

L

signal part

noise part

(after correcting for CMB bias)

55

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Here goes O(N 3 )

A numerical challenge: for each set of r, s, αSynch and αDust, we need to invert the covariance matrix.

For this study, we use low-resolution Q&U maps with 3072 pixels per map (giving a 6144x6144 matrix).

56

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We target the low-l bump

This is a semi-realistic configuration for a future

satellite mission targeting the B-modes from inflation.

B-mode power spectrum

57

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Two Masks and Choice of Regions for Synch Index

“Method I” “Method II”

58

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It works quite well!

For dust-only case (for which the index does not vary

much): we observe no bias in the B-mode amplitude, as

expected.

For Method I (synch+dust), the bias is Δr=2x10–3

For Method II (synch+dust), the bias is Δr=0.6x10–3

Results (3 frequency bands: 60, 100, 240 GHz)

Katayama & Komatsu, ApJ, 737, 78 (2011)

59

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OK, it is unbiased, but

What about the error bar (precision) on r?

60

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Foreground does inflate the error bars on r.

For r=0.001 with lensing, the error bar is inflated by a factor of two.

The inflation of

error bars seems

unavoidable: the bias can be eliminated,

but it comes with the expense...

lines: FG-free prediction circles: simulation

61

Katayama & Komatsu (2011)

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Please see

A poster presentation by Natsume et al. for an update on this foreground cleaning method

(63)

Also see

The workshop summary on “Polarized Foreground for CMB”

which was held at MPA last year

http://www.mpa-garching.mpg.de/~komatsu/meetings/fg2012/

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Conclusion

The biggest obstacle toward an observational proof of inflation using B-mode polarization is Galactic foreground

The simplest approach is already quite promising

Using just 3 frequencies gets the bias down to Δr<10–3

The bias is totally dominated by the spatial variation of the synchrotron index.

How to improve further? We can use 4 frequencies: two frequencies for synchrotron to constrain the index

The biggest worry: we do not know much about the dust index variation (yet; until next year). Perhaps we should have two

frequencies for the dust index as well

The minimum number of frequencies = 5 64

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Department of Mathematics, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin 53706 Current address: Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia