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Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Internal Migration in Israel

Braude, Kobi and Navon, Guy

Bank of Israel

October 2006

Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/9711/

MPRA Paper No. 9711, posted 24 Jul 2008 17:16 UTC

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ืœืืจืฉื™ ืงื ื‘ ืจืงื—ืžื” ืชืงืœื—ืž

ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื”

1

ืŸื•ื‘ื  ืื™ื’ื• ืื“ื™ื•ืจื‘ ื™ื‘ื•ืง

ืŸื•ื™ื“ืœ ืื™ืจืžืืž ืชืจื“ืก 2006.07

ืจื‘ื•ื˜ืงื•ื 2006

______

___________________

ื”ืงื™ื˜ืกื™ื˜ื˜ืกืœ ืชื™ื–ื›ืจืžื” ื”ื›ืฉืœื” ืœืฉ ืจืงื—ืžื” ืจื“ื—ื‘ ืขืฆื‘ืชื” ืจืงื—ืžื” 1

ื™ื“ื™ ืœืข ื•ื ื›ื•ื”ืฉ ืื™ืฆื‘ืง ืœืข ืกืกื‘ืชื”ื‘ ,

ื“ืงืคืžื• ื”ื™ืคืจื’ื•ืžื“ ืฃื’ื ื™ืœืื•ืžืฉ ืชื™ืœื’ื™ืกืœ ืื™ื“ื•ืž ื•ื ื .

ืื’ื•ื–ื™ืžื• ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ื™ืฆื‘ื•ืง ืชืงืคื” ืœืข ืจื•ืž ืœื—ืจื• ื”ืคื™ ืกื“ื” , .

ืชื•ืœื™ืขื•ืžื” ืื”ื™ืชื•ืจืขื” ืœืข ืœืืจืฉื™ ืงื ื‘ื‘ ืจืงื—ืžื” ืชืงืœื—ืž ืจื ื™ืžืก ื™ืคืชืชืฉืžื• ืฉื™ืจืค ื™ื ื•ืจืœ ืื’ ืื™ื“ื•ืž ื•ื ื .

ืจืงื—ืžื” ืชืงืœื—ืž ืœืืจืฉื™ ืงื ื‘ ,

il . gov . boi . www ://

http

ืชื•ืขื“ื” ืœืืจืฉื™ ืงื ื‘ ืชื“ืžืข ืชื ื—ืจื›ื”ื‘ ืชื•ืคืงืฉืž ืŸื ื™ื ื”ื– ืจืžืืžื‘ ืชื•ืื‘ื•ืžื”

ืจืงื—ืžื” ืชืงืœื—ืž ืช ืœืืจืฉื™ ืงื ื‘ ,

"

ื“ ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ 780 91007

Research Department, Bank of Israel, POB 780, 91007 Jerusalem, Israel

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ืจื™ืฆืงืช

ืฉืž ืชื ื™ื™ืคืืž ื•ื– ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืข ืชื•ื—ืค

ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ื•ืจื‘ืขืฉ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื” โ€“

ื—ื•ืชื™ื ื” . ,

ืข ืกืกื‘ืชืžื” ื‘ ืชื™ื‘ ื™ืงืฉืž ืœืฉ ื™ืฆืจื ืื’ื“ืž ืœ

- ื• 1983 ื‘ - 1995 ื”ื ื•ืฉืืจืœ ื‘ืœืฉืž , ืชื

ื“ืขื™ื”ื• ืืฆื•ืžื” ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื• ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ื™ื› ืื™ื“ืžืœืž ืื™ืืฆืžืžื” .

ื”ืจื™ื’ื” :

ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื”ืขืคื•ืช ืื™ื” ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื› โ€“

- ืž ืื™ื–ื•ื—ื 17 ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื”

ืจืงื—ื ื” ืชื• ื•ืคื™ืœื—ื”

ืื™ืจื•ื’ืž ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืœื™ื’ื” ืืข ืชื“ืจื•ื™ื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืชืžืจื• ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ืืข ื”ืœื•ืข ืจื’ื”ืœ ื”ื™ื™ื˜ื ื” ;

,

ื™ื› ืื ื”ืœื•ืขื• ื”ื‘ืฉ ืื™ื” ืื™ื™ื•ืกืž ืœื™ื’ืž ืฉื™ ;

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื— ืื™ืœื“ื‘ื” ื‘

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืŸื™ ื‘

ืŸื–ืืž

ื”ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื‘ื• ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืฃืกื•ื ื‘ .

ืื™ื›ื•ื–ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื— ืื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช ื™ื ืฉ ืื™ื—ืชื ืž ื•ื ื ,

ื™ืจื•ื‘ื™ืฆื” ืŸื•ื™ื“ื‘ ืชื‘ื—ืจื  ืชื•ืกื—ื™ื™ืชื”ืœ ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืชื•ืฉืœื—ื”ื• ืจื•ื‘ืจืคื” :

ื•ื ื .

ืื™ืืฆื•ืž ืœืฉ ื”ืื™ืฆื™

ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื”ืž ืชื•ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ื‘ื•

ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื˜ืจืค ืื™ืงื–ื—ื” ืœืฉ

ื™ืœ ืจืชื•ื™ื‘ ื™

ืื™ื™ืจื‘ืจืค ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง-

ืžื›. ื• ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื”ื‘ื™ื–ืข ืื™ื“ืขืชืž ื•ื ื ืŸื› ืœืฉ

ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืื™ืœื™ื›ืฉืžื• ืื™ืจื™ืขืฆ ืชื•ื’ื•ื– ื‘ืจืงื‘ ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ื‘ ,

ืœื“ื‘ื” ืืฆืžื  . ืื™ื™ื•ืกืž

ืŸื™ื‘

ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืชื ืื™ื‘ื–ื•ืขื” ื™ื“ืขื™ ืž ืื™ื‘ืจ :

ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ื™ื‘ื–ื•ืข ื”

ืŸื•ืคืฆ ืื™ืจืืฉื  ืŸื•ืคืฆื‘

,

ืœ ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืข ืื”ื‘ืฉ ืื™ืงื–ื—ื”ื• ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™

ืื™ ืืฉ ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ื™ื‘ื–ื•ืข ื‘ืจืงื‘ ; ื”

ืื•ืจื“

ืจืชื•ื™ ืื™ื‘ืจ ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืข

ืฅืจืื” ื–ื›ืจืžืœ ืื™ืืฆืžืžื” .

ืชื™ืœื™ืœืฉื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืข ืž

ื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข

ืื™ื˜ืœื•ื‘ ื” ืขืงืจ ืœืข

ืœืฉ ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž ื• ื”ื™ืจืคื™ืจืคื” ื“ื•ื“ื™ืข

ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืœืฉ ืจื‘ืขืžื” .

ืชื•ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืž ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืขืž ืŸื”ื• ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื”ืž ืŸื” โ€“

ืื™ื ื˜ืง ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ โ€“

ืชื•ืœืืฉ ืจืจื•ืขืž ืจืชื•ื™ ืื™ื™ื ื’ื•ืžื•ื”ื• ืชื•ื‘ื•ืฉื— ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž

ื• ื‘ื•ื˜ื™ืง ืจื‘ื“ื‘ ืชืœื“ื’ื”

ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ืจืขืค

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ .

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Internal Migration in Israel* Kobi Braude and Guy Navon

Abstract

This paper characterizes families that changed their locality of residence within Israel โ€“ internal migration. The analysis draws on a nation-wide sample of households in 1983 and 1995, combining the characteristics of the migrants with those of the localities of origin and destination. The findings indicate that: internal migration is of significant scope with 17 percent of the families examined changing their locality; the likelihood of migrating rises with income and educational attainment, and declines with age up to a certain point, after which the latter trend is reversed; localities differ substantially in their balance of migration and the characteristics of the migrants. We further analyze two important processes that have attracted considerable public attention: the rise of the suburbs, and the weakening of the development towns. We find that strong populations leave the metropolitan areas โ€“ in particular, the strongest move to affluent suburbs and rural communities. We also document a significant net flow out of the development towns, especially among young well-educated couples. Those who leave the development towns differ in their destination: Many of those leaving the development towns in the north stay in the region โ€“ the strongest of whom move to rural communities there โ€“ while among those leaving the towns in the south, a larger fraction moves to the center of the country. The net negative migration balance in the development towns is all the more noteworthy considering the longstanding policy to strengthen these towns and the periphery in general. The flow of strong families โ€“ from the metropolitan areas as well as from the development towns โ€“ to smaller and more homogeneous localities has important policy implications regarding the rise in disparities among localities.

____________________

โˆ— The research was carried out in the research room of the Central Bureau of Statistics, using datasets prepared by the Demography and Census Division. We thank Sigalit Shmueli, Hadas Yafeh, and Rachel Mor for preparing the datasets and merging them. We also thank Roni Frish and participants of the Bank of Israel Research Department seminar for helpful comments.

Research Department, Bank of Israel http://www.boi.gov.il

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1 ืื•ื‘ืž. ืฉืž ืชื ื™ื™ืคืืž ื•ื– ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืข ืชื•ื—ืค

ื•ืจื‘ืขืฉ ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื” โ€“

ืื™ื ืฉื” ืŸื™ื‘ โ€“ ื• 1983

- 1995 ืœืฉ ื”ืชืžื•ืจืช.

ื“ื•ื‘ืขื” ืื™ื”ืฉ ืšื›ื‘ ื” ื”ื’ื™ืฆืž

ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื• ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืชื ื‘ืœืฉืž ืจืฉื ื—ื•ืชื™ื  ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™

ืœื› ืœืฉ ื“ืขื™ื”ื• ืืฆื•ืžื”

ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ืœืข ืื™ืžื“ื•ืง ืื™ืจืงื—ืžื‘ ืชืžื™ื™ืงืฉ ื•ื–ืž ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื”ื“ื™ืžื‘ ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื˜ื•ืจื™ืค ืชืžืจื‘ ืจื’ื”ืž .

ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืœืฉ ื˜ืขื•ืžื” ื“ื•ืขื™ืชื” ื—ื›ื•ื ืœ ืœืฉ ื™ืชื˜ื™ืฉื• ืจื“ื•ืกืž ืŸื•ื™ืคืื‘ ืชื“ืงืžืชืž ื•ื– ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืข ,

ื” ืชื•ื“ื‘ื•ืข ืฉื’ื“ื‘,

ื™ื’ื•ืก ืœืฉ ืšืชื—ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื—ื•ืชื™ื  ืœืข ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ื•ื ืชื•ื–ื•ื—ืž ืœืฉ ื™ืคืจื’ื•ืื™ื’ ืšืชื—ื‘ ืืงื•ื•ื“ ื•ืืœื•

ืชื•ืคื  .

ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื”ืขืคื•ืช ืื™ื” ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื™ื› ืื™ื“ืžืœืž ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืขื” ื™ืืฆืžืž ื› :

- ืž ืื™ื–ื•ื—ื 17

ืชื•ืจืงื—ื ื” ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื”

ื•ืคื™ืœื—ื” ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืื™ืจื•ื’ืž ืชื—ื ืืขืค ืชื•ื—ืคืœ)

ืŸื™ื‘ ( ืœ 1983 - 1995 ื‘ืจืงื‘ ืจื’ื”ืœ ื”ื™ื™ื˜ื ื” . ืฉืž

ื—ืค ืชื• ื”ืœื•ืข ื”ืœื ืืข

ืœื™ื’ื” ืืข ืชื“ืจื•ื™ื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืชืžืจื• ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ื”ื™ื™ื˜ื  ืื™ื™ื•ืกืž ืœื™ื’ ืจื—ืืœ ื™ื› ืื ,

ื•ื– ื”ืœื•ืขื• ื”ื‘ืฉ ืื™ืžื“ื•ืง ืื™ืจืงื—ืž .

ืื™ื™ืคืจื’ื•ืื™ื’ ืื™ืจื•ื–ื ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ื•ื ืื™ืžื™ื™ื•ืกืž ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ืื™ืžื•ื“ ืื™ืืฆืžืž ื•ื“ืขื™ืช ืื™ืœื•ืœืข ืื™ื™ืจื•ื–ื ืื™ืขืฆื•ืžืž .

ืื™ืจื•ื–ืื” ืšื•ืชื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ื‘ืจ ืชื•ื ื•ืฉ ืชื•ื•ืกื”ืœ ืื™ื›ืžืชืกืž ื•ื ื .

ืืจืœ , ื”ื ื•ืฉ ืื™ื ื•ืชื  ืœืฉ ื™ืฆืจื ืื’ื“ืž ืœืข ,

ื” ื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืœื›ื‘ ืืžืฆืข ืœืข ืื™ืจื–ื•ื— ืื™ืืฆืžืžื” ื™ื› ืื™ืืจืžื• ืชื™ื‘ื” ืงืฉืž ืชืžืจื‘ ื™

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ื™ื› ืื™ืืฆื•ืž ื•ื ื ืฃืกื•ื ื‘.

ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื”ืžืฉืจื  ืชืกื ื›ื ื• ืชืืฆื•ื™)

ืื™ื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ืื™ืคืงื™ื”ื‘ ( ืœื›ื‘

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื™ื’ื•ืก ืืœื•ื ,

ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื— ืื™ืœื“ื‘ื” ืฉื™

ื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื• ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืŸื–ืืž

ื‘ ื”ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž .

ื” ืชืž ื”ื ื™ื ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืข ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืฉ ืชืœืœื•ื› ื”ื ื•ืžืช ื’ื™ืฆื”ืœ ืชืจืžื™ื™

ืŸื•ืœืฉื›ืœ ืฉืืจืž ืŸื•ื“ื  ื”ื–ื› ืŸื•ื™ืกื  .

ืœืœื’ื‘ ื™ื•ื‘ื™ืจ ื”ืขืคื•ืชื” ืœืฉ ืื™ื“ืžื™ืžื” ืฉืžืœ ืงืจ ืื™ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืž ื•ื ื .

ื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ื” ืจื–ื’ืžื‘ ืชื•ื—ืค ืŸื”ื‘

ื’ื•ื–ื” ื™ื ื‘ ื™ื ืฉ ื›ื™ื™ืชืฉื”

ื•

ื”ืคื•ืงืชื” ืœื› ืšืœื”ืžื‘ ืชื™ื‘ ืงืฉืž ื•ืชื•ืืœ ืชื ืื™ื ื—ื•ื‘ื• ,

ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ื”ืœืฉ ืื™ืจื•ื’ืžื” ืŸ

ื‘ - ื‘ื• 1983 - 1995 ืจื™ื“ื’ื  . ืฉืž ื—ืค ื”

ืจื’ื”ืžื› ืช ื™ ืื ื™ ืœืฉ ืื™ืจื•ื’ืžื” ื‘ื•ืฉ ื”

ื‘ - ื‘ ืจืฉืืž ื”ื ื•ืฉ 1995 -

1983 ืœืฉ ื’ื•ืกืž ืื•ืคื™ื ืื•ื” ืื’ื“ืžื” .

"

ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื

ื”ืขื•ื‘ืง

"

ื™ืจื‘ืขืž ืœื› ืชื ืฃื™ืงืž ื•ื ื™ืื• ืชื™ื‘ ื™ืงืฉืž ืœืฉ ื“ื‘ืœื‘ ื“ื—ื ื’ื•ืกืœ ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืž , ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ืงืฉืž ื•ืชื•ืืฉ ืŸื›ืชื™ื™ืฉ

ื•ืœืœื” ืื™ื ืฉื” ื™ืชืฉ ืŸื™ื‘ ืขืฆื™ื‘ ืชื™ื‘ ืฉื’ื“ื•ื™ .

ื™ื› ืื™ืขืฉืชื” ืชื•ื ืฉ ื™ืœื•ืข ืชื ืœืœื•ื› ื•ื ื™ื ืื’ื“ืžื” ืงืจ โ€“

ื”ื™ื” ืจื‘ื›ืฉ ืื“ื

ื‘ ืฅืจืื‘ - ืœืœื›ื”ืœ ื”ื™ื” ื™ื•ืฉืข 1983 ืื’ื“ืžื‘

ืจืงื—ืžื” ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืœืฉ ืชื“ืงื•ืžืžื” ื”ืจื“ื’ื”ื” ืชื•ืจืžืœ . ืื’ื“ืž ื•ื ืชื•ืฉืจืœ ,

ืœื•ื“ื’ ื™ืฆืจื :

17,199 ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืž ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืœื›ืž ื“ื‘ื›ื  ื—ืชื  ืชื•ื’ืฆื™ื™ืžื” ,

ื”ืœื•ื—ืช ื™ืœืขื‘ ืื” ืจืงื—ืžื” ื™ืืฆืžืžื• ,

ื”ื‘ื—ืจ ืื” ืœืฉ ื”ื‘ื›ืจื”ื• ื”ืœื“ื•ื’ื‘ ื•ืœื—ืฉ ืื™ื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ืื™ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉืœ ืืชื•ื ืื™ืจืฉื•ืง ื•ื ื โ€“

ื™ื’ื•ืก ื”ืžื›ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืŸื› ืœืข ืจืชื™ .

ืœ , ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืž ืชื“ื—ื•ื™ืž ืชื•ื‘ื™ืฉื—

ื” ื™ื› ื”ืืจื  โ€“ ืŸ

ื‘ ืชื•ื ืชื™ืืœ ื™ื—ืจื›ื” ืกื™ืก ื•

ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืœืฉ ื”ื• ,

ืŸ

ื ื™ื™ื ืขืชืžื” ื™ืื“ื•ื•ื‘ ืชื•

ื™ืจืงื™ืขื” ืชื• ืขื™ืคืฉืž ืฃืื• ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘ ืšื•ื ื™ื—ื” ืชื›ืจืขืž ืชื•ื›ื™ืื‘ ืชื•

ื”ื™ืœืข .

ืœืฉ ื•ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ ืกื™ืกื‘

ื•ื ืชื•ืฉืจืœ ื“ืžื•ืขื” ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ืชื™ื‘ื” ื™ืงืฉืž ืœืฉ ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื” ื“ื‘ืœืžืฉ ืื•ื”

ื› ืื•ื” ืื’ ืœืœื• ื•ืžืฉ ืชื

ืœืฉ ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ื•ืชื•ื ืœืฉ ื•ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืชืื• ืื™ื ืฉื”ืž ืชื—ื ืœื›ื‘ ืชื™ื‘ื” ืงืฉืž ืœืฉ ืื™ืจื•ื’ืžื” ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™

ื•ื™ื‘ืฉื•ืช ืจืคืกืž ืŸื•ื’ื› ,

ื“ื•ืขื• ื•ื‘ ืชืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ื™ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืœืฉ ื”ื– ื˜ื•ืจื™ืค .

ื™ ืœ ื•ื ืœ ืจืฉืคื™ื ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ืœืœื› ืชื ื’ื•ื•ืก

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืื’ื“ืžื‘ืฉ

ืจืชื•ื™ื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื—ื” ืื” ื•ื ืชืขื“ืœืฉ ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื” ื™ืค ืœืข ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืจืคืกืžืœ ืœื“ื•ื’ :

ื™ื” ื™ ื‘ื•ืฉ ืŸื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืŸืž ื•ืงื—ืจืž , ,

ื•ืชืกื ื›ื”ื• ืื™ื ื—ื•ื‘ ื•ื ื ื”ื– ื’ื•ื•ื™ืก ืกื™ืกื‘ ืœืข .

ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืชื ืื™ืจื’ื”ืž

ืกื ื›ื ื”) ืื™ ืืฆื•ื™ื”ื• ืื™ ื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ื‘ ( ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ื• ืื™ื ื•ืฉื” ืื™ืขื™ื‘ืฆืž

ืชื•ื‘ื•ืฉื— ืชื•ืขืคื•ืช ืจืคืกืž ืœืข .

ื—ื•ืชื™ื  ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ื”ื‘ืจ ืชื•ื‘ื™ืฉื— ืœืขื‘ ืื•ื”

ืชื•ืื™ืฆืž ืชืคืงืฉืž ื•ื– ื”ืจื™ื’ื” . ืชืื˜ื‘ืž ืื™ื” :

ืœืฉ ื”ื‘ื•ื’ืช ืชื™ืจื•ื‘ื™ืฆ ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืžืœื• ืงื•ืฉื” ืชื•ื—ื•ื›ืœ ืื™ื˜ืจืคื”

ืœืฉ ื”ืชื—ืœืฆื” ื•ื ื”ื ื•ืœืฉื›ืœ ื“ื“ืž ืชื•ื•ื”ืœ ื”ืœื•ื›ื™ ืื™ื” ;

ืชืžื™ื™ื•ืกืž ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž ืœืฉ ืืงื–ื•ื— ื•ื ืืชืฉืœื•ื—ืœ ,

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืื‘ ืื™ืจื•ื–ื ื•ื

ืฅืจ ืœืฉ ื”ื‘ื™ื–ืข ; ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™

ื”ื™ื•ืฉืข ืจื•ื–ื ื•ื

ื“ื™ืขื”ืœ ืืฉ ื”ื™ืขื‘ ืœืฉ ื”ืžื•ื™ืง ืœืข ืื’ ,

ืŸื•ืฉืืจ ื‘ืœืฉื‘ ืื ื”ืฉืง

ืฃื ื•ื ื“ื•ื“ืžืœ ื™ื”ืž ืฉืจื•ืคืžื‘ ืจื™ื“ื’ื”ืœ

ื”ืจื™ื’ื” .

ืค ื‘ืจ ืŸื™ื™ื ืข ืชืœืขื‘ ืื™ื” ืชื™ืžื™ื  ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž ืœืฉ ืจืฉืงื”ื‘

ื‘ , ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘

ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืžื” ืื™ื ืฉ ืšืจื•ืืœืฉ ืšื›ื‘ ื‘ืฉื—ืชื”ื‘ ,

(6)

ืฃื ืชื•ื‘ื•ืจืง ืื™ืชืขืœื• ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืฉ ืชื™ื‘ื—ืจืžื” ื”ืกื™ืจืคืœ ืšื› ืœื› ื‘ืจ ืœืงืฉืž ื”ืกื—ื™ื™ ืชืจื”ืฆื•ืžื” ืชื™ืจื•ื‘ื™ืฆื” ืื™ื˜ืจืคื” ืœืฉ ืื™ืจื•ื’ืžื” ืื•ืงืž ืœืข ืขื™ืคืฉื”ืœ ืŸื•ื™ืกื ื‘ ืื™ืจื›ื™ื  ืื™ื‘ืืฉืž ื”ืชืฆืงื”

") ื”ื™ืจืคื™ืจืคื” ื“ื•ื“ื™ืข

"

,

"

ื•ื–ื™ืค ืจ

ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื "

ื“ื•ืขื• ื” .(

ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื” ืื™ืžื•ื—ืช ืŸื•ื•ื’ืž ืœืข ืชื•ื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ืชื•ื›ืœืฉื” ื”ืœ ืฉื™ื• ืชื•ืื™ืฆืž ืชื‘ืฆืขืž ืื’ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค .

ืชื•ืืžื’ื•ื“ ืจืคืกืž ื”ื– ืจืฉืงื”ื‘ ืจื™ื›ื–ื  ืจื•ื‘ืจืค ื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช :

ืขืงืจืงื‘ ืฉื•ืžื™ืฉ ื™ืกื•ืคื“ , ืื™ื™ืชืจื•ื‘ื—ืช ืื™ื˜ื‘ื™ื” ,

ืชื•ื™ืชืฉืช) ,

ื“ื•ืขื• ืชื•ืžืžื•ื™ (

ืฉืœื—ื” ืœืฉ ืืžืฆืข ืื™ื ื™ื–ืžื” ืื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช , ื•

ื™ ืช ื™ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ื• , ืœืฉ ืื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช ื• ืชื•ืœื“ื‘ืชื”

ื’ื” ื‘ื•ื˜ื™ืงื” ืชืจื‘

ืŸื™ื‘ ื™ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ืื•ื™ื› ื™ืจื•ื‘ื™ืฆื” ืŸื•ื™ื“ื” ืจื—ื ื‘ืงืขืž .

ืž

ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืฉ ื”ื™ืชื•ืขืคืฉื”ืœ ืชื•ื™ื•ืกื—ื™ื™ืชื” ื˜ืขืž ืืœ ื”ืœื’

ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื™ืฉืืจ ื“ืฆืž ืœืฉืžืœ ,

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืชืกืกื•ื‘ืž ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืชื‘ื™ื–ืขืž ืื™ืœื‘ื•ืกื”

.

ืž ื•ื ื ืื™ื—ืชื  ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื— ืื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช ื™ื ืฉ ื™ืจื•ื‘ื™ืฆื” ืŸื•ื™ื“ื‘ ืชื‘ื—ืจื  ืชื•ืกื—ื™ื™ืชื”ืœ ืื™ื›ื•ื–ื”

ืจื•ื‘ืจืค : ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื”

ืชื•ืฉืœื—ื”ื• ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข

ืจื•ื‘ืจืคื” . ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ื™ืจืขืž ืชื•ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืœืฉ ื”ืื™ืฆื™ื‘ ืื˜ื‘ืชืž ืื™ื 

ืœ ื™ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™

ื™ื•ื˜ื™ื‘ื• ืื™ืจื—ื ื•

ื™ืœ ืจืชื•ื™ื‘ ืื™ืงื–ื—ื” ืœืฉ ืืจื‘ืขืžื‘ ืงื”ื‘ื•ืžื” ื™

ืื™ื™ืจื‘ืจืค ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ

ื”ืœื“ื’ ืืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืืฉ ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง-

ื“ื•ืืž ืื•ืจื“ื‘ื• ืŸื•ืคืฆื‘ ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืœืฉ ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื”ื‘ื™ื–ืขื‘ ืื˜ื‘ืชืž ื™ื ืฉื” ืšื™ืœื”ืชื” . ืœืฉ ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ื‘ ,

ืชื•ื’ื•ื–

ืฆ ืื™ืœื™ื›ืฉืžื• ืื™ืจื™ืข ืชืจืงื—ื ื” ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ื‘ืจืงื‘ ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืœืฉ ื•ื˜ื  ื”ื‘ื™ื–ืขื” ืจื•ืขื™ืฉ .

ืื™ื ืฉื‘

1995-1983 ืœืข ื“ืžืข

ื• ืŸื•ืคืฆื‘ ืื™ื–ื•ื—ื 6 -

ืื•ืจื“ื‘ ืื™ื–ื•ื—ื 11 ืืฆืžื  .

ืœื“ื‘ื” ืื™ื™ื•ืกืž ืื™ื‘ื–ื•ืขื” ื™ื“ืขื™ ืŸื™ื‘ ืชื

ื” ืื™ืจื•ื–ืื” ื™ื ืฉื‘ ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืื™ื‘ืจ :

ืž ื™ื‘ื–ื•ืข ื” ืŸื•ืคืฆื‘ ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืื™ืจืืฉื 

ื”ืคื™ื— ื•ื ืŸื•ืคืฆื” ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืืงืœื— ,

ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ื‘ ,

ืื”ื‘ืฉ ืื™ืงื–ื—ื” ืœ ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืข ,

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง

ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืื•ืจื“ื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ื™ื‘ื–ื•ืข ื‘ืจืงื‘ ; ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืข ืจืชื•ื™ ืื™ื‘ืจ

ื–ื›ืจืžืœ

ืฅืจืื” ืื•ืจื“ื‘ ืื’. ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ื”ืœื™ื›ืฉืž ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืขื” ืŸืž ืื™ื›ืฉื•ืž ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืงื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ืฃืงื™ื”ื‘ ื™ื› ืื ,

ืŸื•ืคืฆื‘ ืจืฉืืž ืจืชื•ื™ ืŸื˜ืง ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื‘ ืื™ื“ืขืชืž ื•ื ืืฉ ืื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืชื” ืŸื™ื‘ ื‘ืจ ืŸื•ื™ืžื“ ืฉื™ .

ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืขื‘ื• ืื™ ืจื‘ืขืž :

ืชื•ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืž ืœืฉ ืž

ื™ ืชื ื•ื•ื’ืž ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ื™ืœืขื‘ื• ืื™ืœื•ื“ื’ ืื™ื™ื ื•ืจื™ืข ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ืื™ื™ื ื’ื•ืžื•ื”ื• ืื™ื ื˜ืง ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ

.

ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ืื™ื ื™ื™ื ืขืž ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืขืž ืชื™ืœื™ืœืฉื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืข ืื™ืืฆืžืžื” ืื•ืฉืž ืื’

ืฉ ืื™ื“ืžื•ืข ืื” ื“ื•ื’ื™ื ื‘

ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืžืœ ืชืจื”ืฆื•ืžื”

ืœ ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ื“ื•ื“ื™ืข ื”ืœื

.

ืฆ ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž ืฉื•ื‘ื™ื’ ืชืขื‘ ืื™ืฉื“ื— ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืชืžืงื”ืœ ืกื—ื™ื‘ื• ืจื•ื‘ืจืคืœ ืกื—ื™ื‘ ืชื™ืจื•ื‘ื™

ืŸื•ื‘ืฉื—ื‘ ืื™ื‘ื”ืœ ื™ื•ืืจ

ืชื•ืฉืœื—ืœ ืชื•ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ื“ืจืคื”ื” ืšื™ืœื”ืช ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ืื™ืืฆืžืžื” ืชื ื• ื‘ื•ื˜ื™ืงื” ืชื ืœื™ื“ื’ื”ืœ ืœื•ืœืขื” ,

ืชื

ืšื•ื ื™ื—ื” ืชื•ื›ื™ืื‘ ืื™ืจืขืคื” ืšื™ืœื”ืช โ€“

ืจื‘ืขืžื”ื• ืจื•ื‘ืจืคื”ืž ื“ืจืคื  ื™ืชืœื‘ ืงืœื— ื•ื ื™ื”ืฉ

ืชื•ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืœืฉ

ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ ืื™ืกืกื•ื‘ืž-

ืœ. ื”ืœืื› ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืชืžืงื” ืฉื™

ืจื•ืžืื› , ืชื•ื™ื•ืขืžืฉืž ืื’ ,

ืชื ื™ื—ื‘ืž ื™ื ื–ื‘ื–ื‘ ืฉื•ืžื™ืฉ

ืขืงืจืงื‘ ื“ื•ืขื• ืชื•ื™ืชืฉืชื‘ ืชืคื“ื•ืข ื”ืขืงืฉื” , .

ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืขื” ื”ื ื‘ืž ืŸืžืงืœื“ื› ื•ื ื™ื”

ืงืจืค : ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ืœืข ืชื•ืจืคืกื” ืชื ืจืงื•ืก 2 ืงืจืค .

ื’ื•ื•ื™ืก ืชื ืจื™ื‘ืกืž 3

ืชื” ืชื ืจืืชืžื• ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ืœ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืค

ืœื›ื‘ ื”ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื• ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืชื•ื—ืช ืกื•ืคื™ื˜

ืจืื•ืชืž ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ืกื™ืกื‘ .

ื‘ ืงืจืค 4 ื” ื™ืžืจื– , ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื‘ ืื™ืจืื•ืชืž ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื• ืงืจืค

5 ืงืจืค . ื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืชื‘ื• ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื‘ ื“ืงืžืชืž 6

ื• ืจื•ื‘ืจืคื” ืงืจืค

ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืขื‘ 7 ื‘ ืื™ืื‘ื•ืž ืื™ืืฆืžืžื” ืชื•ื™ื•ืขืžืฉืžื‘ ืŸื•ื™ื“ื• ืื•ื›ื™ืก .

ืงืจืค 8 ื”ื“ื™ืžืื” ืชื•ืืฆื•ืช .

ืื™ื—ืคืกื ื‘ ืชื•ืื‘ื•ืž ืชื™ืจื˜ืžื•ื ื•ืงืื” .

2 ืชื•ืจืคืกืชืจื™ืงืก .

ืŸืชื™ื  ืชื ืงืœื—ืœ ืœ ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืข ืชื•ืจืคืกื”

ื”ืฉื•ืœืฉ ืื™ืžืจื– ืจื•ืื™ืชื‘ ื“ืงืžืชืž ืŸื•ืฉืืจื” :

ื™ืคืงื™ื”

ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืื™ื™ืคืจื’ื•ืื™ื’ ืื™ืจื•ื–ื

ื”ืงื•ืกืขืชื• ืจื•ื‘ืจืค ื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช ืœืข ืืชืขืคืฉื”ื• ื™ื ืฉื” .

ืงืกื•ืข ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ , ืชืจื•ืฆ ื•ื

ืื™ืžื™ื•ืกืž ืชื•ื‘ืฉื™ื™ืชื”

ื” ื‘ืœ ืชืžื•ืฉืชืœ ื”ืชื›ื– ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ื‘ื• ื™ืจืคื™ืจืคื” ื™ืจื•ื–ืืžื• ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ื™ืจืขืž ืชื™ืœื™ืœืฉื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”

ืœื ื”

ืฅืจืื” ื–ื›ืจืž ืฉ ืื•ืฉืž ื‘ืจ ืŸื™ื™ื ืข ืจืจื•ืข ืืฉื•ื ื” .

ืช ื™ื›ื™ืœื” ื ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืจื•ื–ื™ืค ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืžืœ ื“ื•ื’ื™ื ื‘ ื•ื“ืžืข ื”ืœื ืืจื–ื” .

ืื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ืชืจื™ืงื—ื‘ ืงืกื•ืข ืชื•ืจืคืกื‘ ื™ืฉื™ืœืฉื” ืชื™ื ื•ืจื™ืข-

ื—ื•ืชื™ืค ื™ืจืขื‘ ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉ) ื”ืงื•ืฆืž ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉ ,

ื”ื“ืขื•ื ืฉ ( ืจื•ืคื™ืฉืœ

(7)

ืชื•ื›ื™ื ืื™ื™ื—ื” ืœื›ื‘ . ื™ืžืจื– ื—ืžื” ืง ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื‘ ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืชืž ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื”ืฉ ืืฆืžื  ืจ ื”ื•ื‘ื’

ืชื• ื™ื›ื• , ืื‘ืจืงื‘ ื˜ืœื•ื‘

ื” ืจื•ืขื™ืฉ ืชื•ื’ื•ื– ื” ืื™ืจื™ืขืฆ .

ืื™ืจื•ื–ื ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ืื™ื™ืคืจื’ื•ืื™ื’

ืฅื™ืฉืคื™ืœื• ืจื—ืฉ )

1980 ืฉ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ืžื•ืกืจืค ืœืข ืื™ื›ืžืชืกืž ( ืœ

ืžืœื”

"

ืœืฉ ืŸื•ื•ื™ื›ื”ื• ื”ืžืฆื•ืขื” ืชื ืื™ื ื—ื•ื‘ื• ืก

ืื™ื ืฉื‘ ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืื™ื™ืขื‘ื˜ ืื™ืจื•ื–ื ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” 1961-1976

ืืœื• ืชื™ืจื•ื–ืื” ื”ืžืจื‘ ืื™ืžืจื–ื‘ ืงืกื•ืข ืจืžืืžื” .

ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื‘ ืืžืฆืข ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื”

ื ื™ื—ื‘ืž ื™ื› ืื™ืืฆื•ืž ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” . ืช

ืœืœื•ื›ื” ืฃืงื™ื”ื” ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืฉ ื”ื‘ื•ืจ ,

ืœืช ืŸื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืž ื™ืœื•ืฉื‘ื• ืื™ืœื•ื“ื’ื” ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืชืฉื•ืœืฉื‘ ื“ืงืžืชืž ื‘ื™ื‘ื-

ืื’ ืื” ืื™ื™ืจืงื™ืขื” ืืฆื•ืžื” ื™ืจื•ื–ื ื™ื›ื• ,

ืื™ื™ืจืงื™ืขื” ื“ืขื™ื” ื™ืจื•ื–ื ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ืจื•ืขื™ืฉ ืชื ื™ื—ื‘ืž .

ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืชืฉื•ืœืฉื‘ ื™ื› ืื™ืืฆื•ืž ืื” , ืื™ื 

ื™ืจื•ืขื™ืฉื” ื•ืžืฉืจื  ื

ืจืชื•ื™ื‘ ืื™ื›ื•ืžื ื” ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืจื•ื–ื™ืค ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืžื• ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ืคืงื™ื”ืœ ืชืขื’ื•ื  ืจืžืืžื‘ ืชืจื›ื–ื•ืžืฉ ืชื ื™ื™ื ืขืž ื”ืขืคื•ืช .

:

ืื™ืืจืž ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” ื™ื›

ืŸื™ื‘ื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืž ื”ืžืฆืžื˜ืฆื” ืื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ ืœืฉ ืชื™ืจื•ื–ื-

- ื‘ ืื™ื–ื•ื—ื 4.3 -

ืœ 1965 - ืื™ื–ื•ื—ื 2.6

ืชื ืฉื‘ 1972 ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืจื•ื–ื™ืค ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž ืชื ืชื•ืคื›ืœ ืชื•ื ื•ื›ื ื” ืชื•ืฉืœื—ื”ื‘ ืชืื– ืื™ืจื™ื‘ืกืž ืื” . ืžืž .

ืืฆ ืื•ื” ืฃืกื•ื 

ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ื™ื› ื™

ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืืž ืจืชื•ื™ ืจื’ื”ืœ ื”ื˜ื•ื  ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื”ืกื ื›ื” ืชืžืจ ืชืœืขื‘ ื” ื™

ื”ืฉืœื— ื” .

ืฅื™ืฉืคื™ืœ ) 1993 ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืจื•ื–ื™ื‘ ืชื•ืžื’ืž ืชื ื—ืชื ืž ( ื”

ืื™ื ืฉื‘ ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ื”ื–ื•ื›ื™ืจื• 1992-1948

ื™ื› ืืฆื•ืž ืื•ื” .

ืื™ื ื•ื•ื™ื› ื™ื ืฉื‘ ืื™ื ืฉื” ืšืจื•ืืœ ื”ืœืขืค ืฅืจืื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืคืฆื” ืŸืž ืชื™ืฆืจืื” ื”ืžืจื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ื–ื•ื›ื™ืจืœ:

ืŸื•

ืชื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ื”ืžืจื‘ ื”ืจื•ื–ื™ื‘ืœื• ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืœื ืื•ืจื“ื”ื• ืž ืŸื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืšื•ืชื‘ ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืจื•ื–ื™ื‘ .

ื“ืžืœ ื™ื›

ื• ืื™ืจืฆืง ืื™ืงื—ืจืžืœ ืื™ื” ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืชื™ื‘ืจืž ื™ื›

ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉื‘ ืœืœื› ืšืจื“ื‘ ื”ื•ื•ืœืž ื•ื ื™ื ืื™ืจื•ื’ืžื” ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘ ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉื”

ื”ืงื•ืกืขืชื” ืจื•ื–ื ื” ืชื•ื ืฉ ื™ืœื•ืข ืชื™ื™ื ืคื” ืœืฉ ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืžื” .

- ื”ื• 50 - ื”ื™ืจืคื™ืจืคืœ 90 ื’ืœ ื”ืžืจืช

ืœืฉ ืจื™ื”ืž ืœื•ื“ื™

ืืฉ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืืœื•ื ,

ืฅืจืื” ื–ื›ืจืžืœ ืื™ืจื’ื”ืž ืื™ืœื•ืขื” ืšืฉืžื”ื‘

ืื™ืคืงืฉืžืฉ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืชืž ืงืœื—ื› ,

ืงื•ืฉื” ืชื•ื—ื•ื› ืชื ื”ืฉื—ืžื”ืœ .

ื”ืž ืงืœื—ื‘ืฉ ืŸื™ื™ืฆืž ืจื‘ื—ืžื” , ื™

ืื™ื‘ืฉื•ืชื” ืจืคืกืž ืื•ืจื“ื‘ื• ืŸื•ืคืฆื‘ ืื™ื™ื ื•ืจื™ืขื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™

ื› ืšืฉืžื‘ ืœื“ื’ ืืœ -

ื”ื ืฉ 25 ืจืžื•ืœื› ,

ื™ื•ื‘ื™ืจื” ืœื› ืชื ื”ื–ื–ื™ืง ืฅืจืื” ื–ื›ืจืžืœ ืื”ืž ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ,

ืื›ื•ืชืœ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื”ื• ื™ืขื‘ื˜ื” .

ืื™ืฉืฉืืž ื•ืœื ืื™ืืฆืžืž ื•ืชื ืขื˜ืœ

ื”ืœื•ื›ื™ ื”ื ื™ื ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืจื•ื–ื™ืคืœ ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืžืฉ ืšื› ืœืข ืื™ืขื™ื‘ืฆืžื• ืื™ืžื“ื•ืง ืื™ืืฆืžืž

ืŸืžื– ืšืจื•ืืœ ื”ื™ืคื›ื‘ ืื™ื™ืงืชื”ืœ .

Gabriel, Justman, and Levy 1987)

ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื™ืžืจื– ืœืข ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื‘ ืื™ืฉืžืชืฉืž ( ื• ืื™ื™ืจื•ื–ื-

ืชื ืื™ืงื“ื•ื‘

ื™ืฉ ืœืข ืื™ื™ืจื•ื–ื ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืœืฉ ืืชืขืคืฉื” ืž ื“ื—ื ืœื› ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ืจื•ืข

- ื‘ ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืื™ื™ืขื‘ื˜ื” ืื™ืจื•ื–ืื”14 -

1980 .

ืชื ืื™ื—ืชื ืž ืื” ืจื•ื–ื ืœื›ืœ ืจื’ื”ืœ ืชื•ืจื‘ืชืกื”ื”

ืœืฉ ื”ื“ื™ืžื ืชื•ืขืฆืžืื‘ ืœื“ื•ืž

Multinomial Logit ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” .

ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื”ืฉ ืšื›ืœ ืชื•ืคื™ืงืข ืชื•ื™ื•ื“ืข ืื™ืืฆื•ืž -

ืฅืจืื” ื–ื›ืจืžืœ ืื™ืฉืœื—ื” ื”ื™ืจืคื™ืจืคื” ื™ืจื•ื–ืืž ื”ืชื™ื™ื” 1980 :

ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ืจื›ืฉ ืชืœื—ื•ืช ื™ื› ืืฆืžื  ืจื•ื–ืื‘

ื” ืจื•ื–ื ืชืžื•ืขืœ ื“ืขื™ ื”

ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืข ืงื”ื‘ื•ืžื• ื™ื‘ื•ื™ื— ืŸืคื•ืื‘ ื”ืขื™ืคืฉืž ืืฆื•ืž

ืจื•ื–ื ื•ืชื•ืืœ ืœ ;

ืชืžืจ ื” ืื”ื™ื ื™ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืข ืชืงื”ื‘ื•ืž ืชื™ื‘ื•ื™ื— ื”ืขืคืฉื” ืืฆื•ืžื” ืจื•ื–ืืœ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ื“ืขื™ื” ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืขื•ื ื™ืž ;

ืชืงื”ื‘ื•ืž ืชื™ื‘ื•ื™ื— ื”ืขืคืฉื” ื“ืขื™ื” ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœื“ื•ื’ืœ ืชื™ืœื™ืœืฉ ื”ืขืคืฉื” ืืฆื•ืžื” ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืจื•ื™ืขื” ืจื•ืขื™ืฉืœ ;

ื’ื”ื” ืœืข ืชืงื”ื‘ื•ืž ื•ื ืžืž ื”ืจื™

ืฃืกื•ื ื‘ . ืจืžืืžื” , ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœืข ืชื™ืœื™ืœืฉ ื”ืขืคืฉื” ืื™ืจื•ื–ื ื™ื ืฉ ืŸื™ื‘ ืงื—ืจืžืœ ื™ื› ืืฆื•ืž

ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ืชื•ืงื”ื‘ื•ืž ืชืžืจื‘ ืื”ื™ื ื™ื‘ ื” ื™ื› ืื™ืงื™ืกืž ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” .

ืฆืžืž ืื™ื ืžื•ืช ืื™ื› ื”ืจืขืฉื”ื‘ ืฉ

ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื”

ืจื•ื™ื“ ืจื•ืคื™ืฉื‘ ืชื ื™ื™ืคื•ืืž ืœืืจืฉื™ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืงื•ืกืขืช ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉื‘ ืืœื• ,

Portonov . )

1998 ืž ( ื’ื™ืฆ ืื™ืžื•ื“ ืื™ืืฆืžืž .

ืื™ืจืงื—ืž ืื™ืžื™ื™ื•ืกืž ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ื•ื ืื™ืจื•ื–ื ืœืข

ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ื™ื—ืžืง ื™ืœืื™ื–ื•ืขื• ืŸืฉื— , )

1989 ื”ื‘ื™ื–ืขืœ ืชื•ื‘ื™ืกื” ืชืื• ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ืชื ืื™ื‘ื–ื•ืขื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืชื ืื™ื ื—ื•ื‘ ( ืจืงื—ืžื” .

ืื™ื ืฉื‘ ืจื™ืขื” ืชื ื•ื‘ื–ืขืฉ ืื™ืฉื ืืœ ื•ื—ืœืฉื ืฉ ืื™ื ื•ืœืืฉ ืœืข ืกืกื‘ืชืž 1983-1986

ื™ื› ืื™ืืฆื•ืž ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” . ืื™ื‘ื–ื•ืขื”

ืื” ื™ื ื‘ ืจืงื™ืขื‘ 30-35

ืื™ืื•ืฉื  , ืื™ื–ื ื›ืฉื ,

ื™ื›ืฉืž , ืื™ืœ ืื™ื™ืฉืคื•ื—ื• ืื™ื™ืžื“ืงื ืชื•ืขื•ืฆืงืž ื™ืœืขื‘ , ืืชื™ื‘ืจืž ื™ื›ื• ,

ืื™ืจื™ื›ืฉ ืชื•ื™ืชื“ื” ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉื‘ ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ืื™ื›ื•ืžื ื• ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ืœืฉ ื”ืจืงื•ื™ื” ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉื‘ ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ืื™ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื”ื‘ื™ื–ืขื” ื™ืจื•ืขื™ืฉ .

.

(8)

ืฉ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ ืื™ื‘ื–ื•ืขื” ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ื“ื™ืจืคืž ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ื‘ื™ื‘ืก

ืจื—ื ื–ื•ื—ืžืœ ื•ื‘ื–ืขืฉ ื•ืœื ืŸื™ื‘ืœ ืชื•ื˜ื•ื  ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืž .

ื”ืœ ื• ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ืชื‘ืจืงื‘ ืจื’ ืŸื‘ื•ืจ

ืž ื‘ ื“ื•ื‘ืขืœ ืšื™ืฉืž ื”

ื“ื’ื ืž. ืื™ื“ื™ื—ื™ , ืื™ืจื™ืขืฆ ,

ืื™ืœื™ื›ืฉืžื• ืœ ืจื•ื‘ืขืœ ืื™ื˜ื•ื 

ืชื•ื–ื•ื—ืž

ืื™ืจื—ื ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ืœ ืฅื•ื—ืžืฉ ื”ืงื•ืกืขืช ืจื•ื–ืืœ ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืข ืืœื•ื› ื˜ืขืžื›ื• ืฉ ืื™ืจื™ื‘ืกืž ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” .

ืขื™ื ืžื” ื”ื™ื” ืจื•ื™ื“ื”

ืจื™ืขื” ืชื‘ื™ื–ืขืœ ื™ืจืงื™ืขื” ื‘ืจืงื‘ ืจืงื™ืขื‘ โ€“

ืŸื™ื•ืœื” ื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืขื” ื”ืงื•ืกืขืช ืื•ื” ื•ืชื•ื‘ื™ืฉื—ื‘ ื™ื ืฉื” ืขื™ื ืžื” .

ืจืงื™ืขื‘ ,

ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืขื” ืœืฆื ื•ื–ืืœ ืฅื•ื—ืž ืœื

ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ืจ ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ื› ืื™ื‘ืฉื—ื ื” ืื™ืžืจื•ื’ .

ืื™ื™ื ื•ืœื™ื— ื™ืกื—ื™ ืŸื•ื’ื› ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ืœ ืื™ ืื™ื™ืชื“-

,

ืื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ ืฆ ืืœืฉ ื˜ืขืžื› ื™ื•ืœื™ื‘ ืชื•ื™ื•ืจืฉืคื ื•ื ืื™ื‘ืจืข- ืจื™ืขื” ืชื‘ื™ื–ืขืœ ืชื™ื–ื›ืจืžื” ื”ื‘ื™ืกื› ื•ื ื™ื•

.

ืื™ืคืฆืžื”ื• ืœื™ืœื’ื” ืชืžืงื” ืชื•ืฉื“ื— ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืชื•ื“ื•ืงื  26

") ืื™ืคืฆืž ("

ืื™ื ืฉื‘ ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ 1979-1981

ื—ืจื  ื™ืชื•ื‘ืฉื™ื™ืชื” ืšืœื”ืžืž ืงืœื—ื› , ื‘

ืชื›ื™ืฉืžืœ ืŸื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ื™ืจื•ื–ืืž ื”ืœื™ื›ืฉืžื• ื”ืจื™ืขืฆ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื

ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž ืืื” ื”ืœืืฉื” ืชื ืฉื“ื—ืž ื”ืชืœืขื” ,

ืŸืžื– ืšืจื•ืืœ ื—ื™ืœืฆื”ืœ ื”ืœื•ื›ื™ ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืจื•ื–ื™ืค ืชื“ื“ื•ืขืžื” ืชื™ืชืœืฉืžืž .

ืฅื™ืฉืคื™ืœ ) 1986 ื‘ื•ืชื›ื” ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉ ืฅื‘ื•ืง ืœืข ืšืžืชืกืž ( ื•

ืื™ื ืคื” ื“ืจืฉืž ืœืฉ ืช ืŸื›ื• ื•ื ืžืžื• ืœื™ืœื’ื” ืœื ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืชื ืงื“ื•ื‘ื• ,

ืฉื‘ ื•ืžืฆืข ืœื™ืœื’ื” ื™ืจื•ื–ื ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ื 

1961-1983 ืื™ื‘ื” ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื” ืื™ืคืฆืžื”ื• ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืงื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืชืžืงื”ืฉ ืืฆืžื  .

ื”

ืœื™ืœื’ื” ื™ืจื•ื–ืืž ื”ืžื›ื‘ ื™ื‘ื•ื™ื—ืœ ื™ืœื™ืœืฉืž ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืŸื–ืืžื‘ ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉืœ ื™ืœ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื‘ ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ื‘ ืจื›ื™ื  ืจื‘ื“ื” .

ื™ ืŸื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ

ืฅืจืื” ื–ื›ืจืžื• ื”ืคื™ื— ืจื•ื–ืืž ืŸื”ื• ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ ืื™ืจื—ื ืื™ืจื•ื–ืืž ื” .

ื™ ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืื™ื›ืฉื•ืž ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ื™

ื”ืงื–ื— ื”ื™

ื—ื‘ื ื™ืคืœ ืื™ื•ื•ื”ืžื• ื”ืคื™ื— ืœืฉ ืื™ืงื—ื•ืจืž ืื™ืจื‘ืจืค ืจื‘ื—ืžื” ืชื 

ื•ืชืขื“ืœ .

ื”ืจื•ืฉืง ืœื™ืœื’ื” ืœื ื–ื›ืจืžื”ื• ื”ืคื™ื—ืž ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื”,

ืื•ืคื™ื ืจื•ื‘ืจืคื” ื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืชื‘ ืชืื– ืชืžื•ืขืœ.

ืจื•ื–ืื‘ืฉ ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืขืœ ืื™ืขื™ื’ืž ืื ื™ื ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื” , ืื™ื‘ื–ื•ืขื” ืชื™ื‘ืจืž .

ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ ืจื—ื ืจื•ื–ืืœ ืืœื• ื”ืคื™ื— ืจื•ื–ืืœ ื•ื ืฅืจืื” ื–ื›ืจืžืœ ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืข ืœื™ืœื’ื” ื™ืจื•ื–ืืž ื“ื—ื ืชื ืื•ื›ื™ืกื‘ .

ืŸืขื•ื˜ ืจื‘ื—ืžื” ,

ืฉ

"

ืชื•ื™ืจืงื™ืขื” ืชื•ื™ืขื‘ื” ื™ืชืฉ ืชื ืจื•ืชืคืœ ื™ื“ื› ืŸื™ื™ื“ืข ื”ื‘ ืŸื™ืื• ืืฆืžื•ืฆืž ืฃืงื™ื”ื‘ ืื™ื” ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ืœ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืœื™ืœื’ื” ืœืฉ ื™ื‘ืฉ ืื™ืจืขืคื” ืื•ืฆืžืฆื• ืœื™ืœื’ื” ื“ื•ื”ื™ :

ืœื™ืœื’ื” ืŸ ืฅืจืื” ื–ื›ืจืž ืŸื™ื‘ืœ

".

ื“ื’ื ืž ืื™ื” , ืจื•ืฆื™ืœ ื”ืœื•ืœืข ื”ื™ืขื‘

ื”ืฉื“ื— ื‘ื•ื˜ื™ืงื” ืชืœื“ื’ื” : ื”

ื™ืชืจื‘ื— ื™ืœื›ืœื›- ืจื•ื–ืื” ืšื•ืชื‘ ืœืฉืžืœ ื•ืžื› ,

ื™ื“ืจื• ืจืคื› ืŸื™ื‘ืœ ืชื•ืœืขืž ืŸื™ื‘ , ื

ืœืื™ืžืจื› ืŸื™ื‘ื• ,

ืฉื•ื’ ื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ ื‘ื’ืฉ-

.

ืฆื• ืฅื™ืฉืคื™ืœ ื™ืงืกื ืž'

) 1990 ื”ืžืจื”ืฉ ืื™ืืฆื•ืžื• ืœื™ืœื’ื” ื—ื•ืชื™ืคืœ ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื” ืื™ืคืฆืžื” ืœืฉ ืืชืžื•ืจืช ืชื ืื™ื ื—ื•ื‘ (

ืชื™ืชืจื‘ื—ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืœืฉ ืชื™ืœื›ืœื›-

ื”ืœื ื™ืจื•ื–ืื” ืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ืŸืž ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื™ืฆืจืื”ื•)

ืชื ื•ืœืขื” ืื” ืšื›ื‘ื• (

ืœื™ืœื’ื” ื™ืจื•ื–ืืž ื”ืžื›ื‘ ืชืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื”ืžืจื” ืชืื– ืืข .

ื“ื—ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” , ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ ืื™ื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ืื™ืจืขืคื” ืชื ื•ืœื™ื“ื’ื” ืื™ืฉ

ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื”ื• ืื™ืงื™ืชื•ื”

ื”ืคื™ื— ืจื•ื–ืืฉ ืื™ืจื™ื‘ืกืž ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” .

ืœื™ืœื’ื” ืืœื•) ื“ืงื•ืž ืชื ืชื•ื•ื”ืœ ืšื™ืฉืžืž (

ื™ื‘ืฉื•ืช ืœืฉ ื”ืงื•ืกืขืชื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื” ืื™ื ืžื•ื™ืžื• ืื™ืœื™ื›ืฉืž ืื™ื“ื‘ื•ืข ืื‘ื•ืจโ€“

ื› : - ื• ืื™ืจื‘ื’ื” ืŸืž ื–ื•ื—ื 60 -

70

ืื™ืฉื ื”ืž ื–ื•ื—ื ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘

ื— ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืื™ืงืกืขื•ืž ื”ืœื ื”ืคื™

ื•ืžืงื•ื”ืฉ ืื™ืœืขืคืžื” ืชืžื•ืจืช . ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘

ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื”

ืจื•ื–ืื” ืชืœื›ืœื›ืœ ืื™ืžื™ื™ืงื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ืœ ื˜ืจืคื‘ ,

ื”ื˜ืขื•ืž , ื™ืฉื ื ืื” ื”ืœื ืื™ืœืขืคืžื‘ ืื™ืงืกืขื•ืžื” ืชื™ื‘ืจืž :

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื” ืงืจ โ€“

ื™ืž ืื™ืื‘ ืื”ื™ื“ื‘ื•ืขืž ื–ื•ื—ื 27 ื™

ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืื™ืžื™ื™ืง ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ืื™ื ืžื•ื™ืž ืชื•ื—ืค ืื™ื“ื‘ื•ืข ืื‘ื•ืจื‘ ื”ืœืื• ,

.

ื•ืž ืื™ืฉื›ื•ืจ ืื ื™ืืฉ ื˜ืขืžื› ืื’ ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื” ืื™ืœืขืคืžื” ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ ืื™ืจื—ื ืื™ืœืขืคืžืž ืื™ืจืฆ

ืื ืžื•ื ืื™ืฉื›ื•ืจ ืื” .

ื™ืชื•ืจื™ืฉื” ืŸืž ืชื™ืฆื—ืžื› ื

ื•ืžืฆืข ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืื™ืงืงื–ื  ืื” ืื”ืœ

ืงืจื• ื”ืžืฆืข ื”ืฉื“ื—ื” ืชื•ื‘ืฉื™ื™ืชื”ื”ืž ืืชื™ื‘ืจืž ืืœื•ื ,

ื™ื”ืž ื”ื˜ื•ืขื™ืž ื™

ืื™ืงื™ืชื•ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ื‘

ืœื™ืœื’

ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืชื ื™ืชื•ื”ืž ืŸืคื•ืื‘ ื•ื ื™ืฉ ืืœ ืื’ ื”ืฉื“ื—ื” ืชื•ื‘ืฉื™ื™ืชื”ื‘ ืื™ืœืขืคืžื” .

ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ื”ืงื•ืกืขืชื” ืข ืŸื™ื‘ ืื”ื‘ ื”ืงื•ืกืขืชื” ืชื•ื’ืœืคืชื” โ€“

ืœืœื›ื‘ ืœื™ืœื’ืœ ื”ืžื•ื“ ืื™ื™ืชืจื•ืกืžื• ืื™ืžื“ืงืชืž ืื™ืคื  .

ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” ืื™ืžื›ืกืž

ื™ื›

"

ื”ื™ื‘ืฉื•ืช ืจื•ื‘ืข ืจืงื™ืขื‘ ื”ืงื•ืกืขืช ืชื•ืžื•ืงืž ื”ืจืฆื™ ื”ืฉื“ื—ื” ืชื•ื‘ืฉื™ื™ืชื”ื” "

ืชืื– ืื’ื•

ื”ืคื™ื—ืœ ืชื•ืžืžื•ื™ื” ืฃืงื™ื”ื‘ ื‘ืฉื—ืชื”ื‘ ืชืœื‘ื’ื•ืž ื”ื“ื™ืžื‘ ืชื™ื‘ื” ื™ืงืฉืž ืชืžื•ืจืช.

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘ ืจื•ื–ืื” ืชืœื›ืœื›ืœ ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื”

ืื™ื” ืื’ ืชืœื‘ื’ื•ืž ืื”ืœืฉ ื”ื•ื‘ื’ื” ื”ื™ื™ื ืงื” ื—ื•ื› ืชื•ืจืžืœ ,

ืชืฉ ืฃื . ื™ื‘ืฉื• ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืชื ืื™ืขืฆื‘ืž ืŸืคืช ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืื™ืฉื“ื—ื”

ื”ื‘ื™ื‘ืกื‘ืฉ ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ื™ืจืขื‘ ืื”ื™ืชื•ืฉื™ื›ืจ ืชื™ื‘ืจืž ืž ื•ืขื™ื’ื” ืืชื™ื‘ืจืž ,

ื™ ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ ืื™ืงื™ืชื• ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ืจืžื•ืœ ืจืฉืคื ื™ืืฉ ืšื› ,

ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ืชื•ืœื™ืขืคื” ื—ืคื  ืชื ื•ืœื™ื“ื’ื” ืื”ืฉ ื‘ื’ืฉ ืจื•ื–ื ื™ื‘ืฉื•ืช ืชืื– ืชืžื•ืขืœ .

ืฅื•ื—ื‘ืž ื•ืื‘ ืื”ืž ืื™ื‘ืจืฉ , ืจื•ื–ืืž)

ื”ืคื™ื—

ืื”ื™ืชื•ื™ื ืงืž ืจื›ื™ื  ืงืœื— ืšื•ืจืขืœ ืื™ื›ื™ืฉืžืž (

ืจื•ื–ืืœ ืฅื•ื—ืž ื”ืชื‘ื™ื‘ืกื• ื”ืคื™ื—ื‘)

ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” ืื™ืขื‘ื•ืง ืื•ื›ื™ืกื‘ .(

(9)

ื™ื›

"

ื”ืงื–ื™ื— ืืœ ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ ื”ืฉื“ื—ื” ืชื•ื‘ืฉื™ื™ืชื”ื” ื”ืฉื™ืœื—ื” ืฃื ื™ืœื•ืื• ,

ื™ืจื•ื–ืื” ื™ืœื›ืœื›ื” ืกื™ืกื‘ื” ืชื , ".

ืŸื™ื™ืฆืœ ืฉื™

ืชืžืงื” ื“ืขื•ืžืœ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ื”ื›ื•ืžืก ื”ืคื•ืงืชืœ ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืž ืจืงื—ืžื”ืฉ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ื—ื•ื•ื˜ื” ืชื•ืขืคืฉื” ืชื ืจืงื™ืขื‘ ืŸื—ื•ื‘ ืŸื›ืœื•

ืจืฆืงื” .

ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืชื•ืจืคืกื” ืื•ื—ืชื‘

ื”ื– ืื™ืžืจื•ื’ื” ืชื ืชื ื—ื•ื‘ ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืชืžืจื‘

ืจื™ื™ืขืž ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ืœืข ืื™ืขื™ืคืฉืžื” , ื•

ื• ื—ื•ืชื™ืค ืช ืŸื”ื™ืœื

ืšื•ืช ,

ืœืข ืื™ืฉื“ื— ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืชืžืงื” ืœืฉ ื”ืขืคืฉื”ืœ ืฉื’ื“ ืชื‘ื™ื–ืข

ื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข .

ืฃืืœืง ) 1977 ( ืž ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ื“ืงืคืž ื™ื ื•ืชื ื‘ ืฉืžืชืฉื”ืฉ , -

1972 ืฉ ืจื™ื‘ืกืž ,

"

ื™ืจื•ื–ื ืœืฉ ืื™ืงื–ื—ื” ื”ื™ื™ื—ื“ื” ื™ืžืจื•ื’

ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืงืจืฉ ืšื›ืœ ื•ืื™ื‘ื™ ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ื”ืฉืœื—ื” ื”ื™ื™

ื™ื—ืจื–ืž ืืฆื•ืžืž ืจืงื™ืขื‘ , ื”ืœื ืื™ืจื•ื–ืื‘ ื–ื›ืจืชืช ,

".

ืกื™ื ืคื™ืง

) 1983 ื™ื’ื•ืก ืŸื™ื‘ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืชื ื˜ืจืคืž ( ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ืื™ื ืฉื‘ ื”ืคื™ื— ืจื•ื–ืื‘ื• ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ ืื™ื ื•ืฉื” 1975-1979

ืŸื™ื‘ ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื”ื– ืœืœื›ื‘ื• ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข

ื• ื”ืœ ืื™ื›ื•ืžืกื” ืื™ื‘ืฉื•ืžื” ืŸ

ืื•ื” . ื”ื™ื™ื ืฉื” ืชื™ืฆื—ืžื‘ ื™ื› ืงื™ืกืž

ืื™ืขื‘ืฉื” ืชื•ื ืฉ ืœืฉ ืšืคื”

ืจื•ื–ืื” ื“ื—ื ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื”ื“ืฉืœ ืจืžื•ืœื› ,

ืชืฉื—ืจืชืž ื•ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืœืฉ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื‘ื•ืจืฉ ืจื•ื–ืืœ ,

ืื”ืž ื•ื ืื™ืจื—ื ืื™ืจื•ื–ืืœ ื•ื ืžืž ืืœื• ื•ื›ื•ืชื‘ ื ืื˜ื ื•ืคืก ืŸืคื•ืื‘ ื”ื•ื•ื”ืชื” ื”ื– ื”ื“ืฉ .

ื™ ื• ืŸื•ื ื›ืชื” ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืžืœ ื“ื•ื’ื™ื ื‘

ื•ืžื” ืชืจื”ืฆ .

ืฉ ืฅืจื•ื• ) 1990 ืชื ื—ื•ื‘ (

ืšื•ืชืœ ืชื™ืžืœื•ื’ื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ื ื•ืชื  ืชื ื˜ืจืคื” ืชืžืจื‘

ืื™ื ืฉื‘ ื—ื•ืชื™ืค ื™ืจืข 25 1978-1983

ืœืข

ื“ืงืคืž ื™ื ื•ืชื  ืšืžืก 1983

ื ื™ื ืื™ื™ืงืกืข ืื™ืชื•ืจื™ืฉ ื•ื ื”ื™ื™ืฉืขืช ืœืฉ ืชื—ืชื•ืคืž ืชื™ืชืฉืช ืœืฉ ื”ืžื•ื™ืงืฉ ืชืืฆื•ืžื• , ื”

ืž ืœื™ื“ื’ ืชื ื” ืจื™ืขื” ืœื ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืจื•ืขื™ืฉ ื—ื•ื› ืŸื™ื‘ืœ ืจื™ืขื‘ ืชื™ืชื™ื™ืฉืขืชื” ืชื™ืชืฉืชื” ืฃืงื™ื” ืŸื™ื‘ ืจืฉืงื” ืื™ืชืขืœ ;

ื™ืœื™ืœืฉ ืืงื•ื•ื“ ืื•ื” ื”ืœืฉ ื”ื›ื™ืฉืžื” ื”ืœื ืื™ืจืขื‘ ืชืžื™ื™ืงื” ื”ื™ื™ืฉืขืชื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžืž ืขื‘ื•ื  ืจื‘ื“ื”ืฉ ืชืจืขืฉืž ืชืจื‘ื—ืžื” .

,

ื™ืชื™ืžื“ืช ืงื–ื  ืจื™ืขืœ ืื•ืจื’ืœ ื”ืœื•ืœืข ืฃืื• ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ืื™ื™ื— ืชืžืจ ืงืคืกืœ ื”ืœื•ื›ื™ ื”ื ื™ืืฉ

ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ืชื•ืœืืฉ ื”ืœืขืž ื”ื– ืืฆืžืž .

ืฉืžืžื” ืขื•ื™ืกื” ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž ื™ืคื ืขื‘ ืชื“ืงืžืชืžื” ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ื™ืจืขืœ ืชื™ืชืœ

ืŸืžื•ื™ืž ื™ืชืœื‘ ืื“ื ื—ื•ื› ืื™ืฉืจื•ื“ื” ื”ื™ื™ืฉืขืช .

ืœ ื”ืชืขื“ ืจืข ืœืฉ ืŸืชื™ืžื“ืชื‘ ืชืขื’ื•ืค ื•ื– ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž , ื™

ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืšื•ืฉืžืœ ืŸืชืœื•ื›ื™ื‘ื• ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ื™

ื”ืงื–ื— ื” .

ืคืœื ืจืคืฉื• ื™ืจื“ื  )

1992

ืชืจื™ื’ื”ืœ ืชื•ื‘ื™ืกื” ืชื ืื™ื ื•ืœืืฉ ืชื•ืขืฆืžืื‘ ื•ื ื—ื‘ (

"

ื”ืงื–ื— ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื "

ื—ื•ืชื™ืค ื™ืจืข ืฉื•ืœืฉืž

ืŸื”ื™ืœืื• ื”ื ื•ืžืฉ ืชื™ืจืง) ืงืžืขื” ืœื“ื’ืžื• ืชื™ืœื™ืœื’ื” ืจื•ืฆื— ,

ื™ื›ื• ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ืœ ื™ืจืงื™ืขื” ืขื™ื ืžื” ืื™ื” ื”ืงื•ืกืขืชื” ื™ื› ื•ืืฆืž ืื” .(

ืŸื”ื™ืœื ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื” ืŸืž ืื™ืงื–ื— ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืขื” ื™ื‘ื–ื•ืข ืจ .

ื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืขื‘ ืื™ืงื–ื—ื” ืื™ืงืกืขื•ืžื”ืž ืื™ื‘ ืค

ื—ื•ืชื™ ืืœ ืื™ืจื’ ืืœื ืŸื”ื‘

ืื™ื›ื•ืžืก ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘ ื”ื‘ื™ื‘ืกื• ืื™ืจื•ื’ืž ืชื•ื›ื™ื ืœืฉ ืื™ืœื•ืงื™ืฉืž

.

ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ืื™ื ืค ืชื™ื ื•ืจื™ืข-

ืื™ืจืžืืž ืื™ื“ื—ื

ื” ืชื ื•ื ื—ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”

ื” ืื™ื ืค ืชื™ื ื•ืจื™ืข- ื“ื‘ ื”ืจื•ืฉืง ื”ื ื™ื ืจืฉื ,

"

ื› ื‘ ื™ืœื•ืงื™ืฉ ื”ืงื•ืกืขืช ืŸื•ืจื‘.

ืŸื‘ , -

ืŸื•ืžืจื›ื• ืŸื•ื™ืฆ )

1990 ื“ืงืคืž ืœืฉ ื‘ื—ืจื•ืžื” ืŸื•ืœืืฉื” ื™ื ื•ืชื ื‘ ื•ืฉืžืชืฉื” ( ื”ื” ืชื•ืขื•ื ืช ืชื ืŸื•ื—ื‘ืœ ื™ื“ื› 1983

ืœื ื”ืจื™ื’

ื”ืœื ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉ ืœืฉ ืื™ืงื™ืชื•ื” ืื™ื‘ืฉื•ืชื” ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืชืœ ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื” ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืช ืชื ืชื•ื•ืฉื”ืœ ื™ื“ื›ื• ืŸื”ืžื• ื”ืงื•ืฆืž ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉ

1.

ืื™ื™ืชืจื‘ื— ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ื™ืœืขื‘ ืื ื™ื” ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื” ื™ื› ืื™ืืฆื•ืž ืื™ืจืงื•ื—ื” ื”ืื•ื•ืฉื”ื‘ ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ืื™ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ืื™ื™ืœื›ืœื›-

ืื™ืงื™ืชื•ื” ืื™ื‘ืฉื•ืชืœ ืื™ืงื™ืชื•ื” ืŸืž ืื™ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉื” ื™ื‘ื–ื•ืข ืงืจ ืืœ ื™ื•ืคืฆืœ ื“ื•ื’ื™ื ื‘ :

ื ื›ื ื” ืื’ , ืื ื™ื” ืŸื”ื™ืœื ืื™ืก

ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ืื™ืงื–ื— ืื™ื‘ื–ื•ืขื” ื•ืžื› ื˜ืขืžื› ,

ืจื‘ื“ื‘ ืœื‘ื•ืงืž ืขื“ื™ ืจืชื•ืก ื”ื– ืืฆืžืž ื™ื› ืื™ื ื™ื™ืฆืž ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” . ื”ืจื™ืจื‘

ื”ืœ ืื™ื™ื•ืคืฆ ืืžื•ืงืžื‘ื• ื”ืงื•ืฆืž ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉ ื‘ื•ื–ืขืœ ืื™ื™ื•ืคืฆ ืื™ืงื–ื—ื” ื•ื™ืคืœ ืชื™ืœื™ืœืฉ ื™

ืื™ืฉืœื— ืื™ื‘ืฉื•ืช ืกื ื› ืื” .

ื•ื‘ืงื” ืŸื”ื™ื‘ืฉื•ืชืœ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ืื™ืงื–ื— ืื ื™ื”ืฉ ืื™ืจื™ืขืฆืœ ืจื‘ืขืž ืชื ื—ืชื› ืชื•ืฉืžืฉืž ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉื”ืฉ ืื™ืจืขืฉืž ืื™ืข

ืืฆืžื  ื“ื•ืข .

ื›ืฉื‘ ืจื’ืฉ ื™ืž ืื•ื” ืงื™ืชื•1

ืชื•ื—ืคืœ ืื™ื ืฉ ืฉืžื— ื”ื ื•

ืื™ื ืฉื” ืฉืžื—ื‘ ื”ืชื•ื ื‘ื–ืข ื•ื ืื™ื ืฉ ืฉืžื—ืž ืชื•ื—ืค ื”ื‘ ืจื’ืฉ ื™ืž ืื•ื” ืจื’ื”ืž .

ืชื•ื ื•ืจื—ืื”

ื“ืงืคืžื‘ ื”ืœืืฉื” ืšืžืก ืœืข ื•ื”ื•ื– ืื™ืจื’ื”ืžื• ืื™ืงื™ืชื• .

ืื™ื ืฉ ืฉืžื— ื™ื ืคืœ ืื™ืจื•ื’ืž ืื•ืงืž ื™ื‘ื’ืœ 1983 ื‘ ืจืžื•ืœื› ,

- 1978 .

ื—ื•ืชื™ืค ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืœืœื•ื› ื•ื ื ื™ืื• ืชื•ื™ื ื•ื ื™ื‘ื”ื• ืชื•ืœื•ื“ื’ื” ืื™ืจืขื‘ ืงืจ ื”ืงื•ืฆืž ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉืœ ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืž ืจืงื—ืžื” .

(10)

ื™ืชืจื‘ื—ื” ื“ืžืขืžื” ืœืข ื™ื‘ื•ื™ื— ืŸืคื•ืื‘ ื”ืขื™ืคืฉืž ื”ื ื•ื›ืฉื‘ ืื™ืงื™ืชื•ื” ืื™ื‘ืฉื•ืชื” ืœืฉ ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื”ื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืชืžืจ ื™ื› -

ื”ื™ืœื ืื™ืกื ื›ื ื” ืœืฉ ื™ืœื›ืœื› .

ืŸื•ื—ื‘ืœ ื™ื“ื› ืชื•ื›ื™ืืœ ืขื’ื•ื  ืื™ืจื•ื’ืž ืื•ืงืž ืจื‘ืขืž ืœืข ืื™ืขื™ืคืฉืžื” ืื™ืžืจื•ื’ื”ืž ืงืœื—ืฉ ื”ืจืขืฉื”ื” ืชื

ืชื›ืจืขืž ืšื•ื ื™ื—ื” ,

ืงื“ื‘ ื• ืง ืจื—ืฉื• ืจื‘ื•ืงืจ )

2003 ื ( ื” ืชื™ื‘ ืชื•ื›ื™ื ืชื•ื‘ื™ืฉื— ืช ืšื•ืชื‘ ืื™ืจื•ื’ืž ืื•ืงืž ืชืคืœื—ื”ืœ ืืจื•ื’ื› ื™ื“ื•ืกื™ื” ืจืคืก

ืจื™ืขื” ืชื•ืขืฆืžืื‘ ืชืื– . ืœ ื•ืจื‘ืขื•ื”ืฉ ืื™ื ื•ืœืืฉ

- ืื™ื“ืœื™ ืืข ืชื™ื‘ ื™ืงืฉืž 230 ืจืฉื ,

ืจืื‘ ืšื•ืชื‘ ื”ืจื™ื“ ื•ืจื‘ืข ืขื‘ืฉ-

ืื™ื ืฉื‘ 1995-1999 ืืฆืžื  .

ืื™ืœืืฉื ื” ืœืœื› ื‘ืจืงื‘ ื™ื› ืื™ื ื˜ืง ืื™ื“ืœื™ ืืข ื•ืœื ื•ืœื™ืคื ,

) 0-12 ( ืจืงื™ืขื‘ ืขื ื•ื” ืจื‘ืขืžื” ,

ืœืข ื™ืื• ืจื•ื™ื“ื” ืชื•ื›ื™ื ืชื ืจืคืฉืœ ืŸื•ืฆืจื” ื™ื“ื™- ื“ื‘ืœื‘ ื™ืœื•ืฉ ืœื•ืงื™ืฉ ื”ืชื•ื•ื™ื” ืจืคืกื” ืชื™ื‘ ืชื•ื›ื™ื ื•ืœ

ืœื“ื‘ื” ืืฉืจื  ืืœ .

ื™ืชืจื‘ื— ื“ืžืขืžืž ืชื™ื‘ ื™ืงืฉืž ืŸื™ื‘ ืงื”ื‘ื•ืž ืจืคืกื” ืชื™ื‘ ืชื•ื›ื™ืืœ ืื™ืกื—ื™ื™ืž ืื”ืฉ ืชื•ื‘ื™ืฉื—ื” ืชื ื™ื—ื‘ืž ื”ื ื•ืฉ ื™ืœื›ืœื›-

.

ืŸื™ื™ื•ืฆื™ ืื™ืจื‘ื•ืข ืŸื™ื‘ ืŸื™ื—ื‘ื” ืืœ ืจืงื—ืžื” ื™ื› ืชื•ื ื•ื›ืฉ ืŸื™ื‘ ืจื‘ืขืฉ ื™ืžื• ื”ื ื•ื›ืฉื” ืšื•ืชื‘

ื™ื› ืฃื, ื”ื ื•ื›ืฉื” ืšื•ืชื‘ ืจื‘ื•ืขืฉ ื™ืž

ื•ื ื™ื ื‘ื•ืจืœ ื™ื‘ ืฃื™ืœื—ืž

"

ืก ื“ื•ืขื• ืชืื– . ืื™ืจื‘ื—ืžื” ,

ื•ืงื“ื‘ ืจืื‘ ืšื•ืชื‘ ืื™ืจื‘ืขืž ื™ื› ืŸื›ืชื™ื™ื• ืขื‘ืฉ-

ืชื•ื›ื™ืืฉ ืชื™ื‘ ื™ืงืฉืž

ืชื™ื‘ ืื”ืœ ื”ื‘ื•ืฉื— ืจืคืกื”- ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘

ืข ื” ืชื ื•ื‘ื– ืื•ืฉืž ืจื™ืข

ื™ื› ื•ืจื‘ืกืฉ ืœื“ื‘ื” ืŸื™ื

ื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื™ืชื‘ ืŸื™ื‘

ื•ืชื‘ ืจืคืกื”- ื”ื›

.

3 ืื”ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื•ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”ื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ .

ืœืœื› ืชื ื•ื ื’ื•ื•ื™ืก ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืจืคืกืžืœ ืื’ื“ืžื‘ ืื™ืขื™ืคื•ืžื”

2. ืชืจื“ื’ื” ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ื” ืชืกืกื•ื‘ืž

ืœืฉ ื‘ื•ืœื™ืฉ ืœืข

ื”ืžื› ืื™ื“ืžืž ืื™ืจืืชืžื”

ื™ืคื•ื ืชื ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื”

ืื•ืงืž ืชืจื™ื—ื‘ ืชืขื‘ ืŸื•ื‘ืฉื—ื‘ ืื™ื‘ื”ืœ ืื™ื™ื•ืฉืข ืื™ื˜ืจืคื” ืจืฉืื•

ืื™ืจื•ื’ืžื”

ืื™ืงื”ื‘ื•ืžื” ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืชื ื•ื ืจื“ื’ื” ืชื™ืฉืืจ :

ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™) ื‘ื™ื‘ื ืœืช ,

ื‘ื™ื‘ื ืœืช ื˜ืขืžืœ ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ , ื”ืคื™ื— ,

ืชื•ื™ืจืงื”ื• .(3

ืœ ืืืชื”ื‘ ื•ื ื’ื•ื•ื™ืก ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื” ืจืืฉ ืชื ืœื“ื•ื’

ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื‘ - 1995 ื” , ืž ืงื—ืจืž ื” ืŸื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืž ื‘ื•ืจืงื”

ื• , ืชืžืจ

ืชืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘

ื‘ - 1995 ืื™ื™ื“ื•ื—ื™ ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืื’ ืŸื•ื‘ืฉื—ื‘ ื•ื ืื‘ื” . ืื™ื™ื“ืจื— ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื• ืื™ืฆื•ื‘ื™ืง โ€“

.

ืšื•ืชื™ื—ื” ืฉ ืœ ื”ืžื› ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืœืฉ ื‘ืจ ืจืคืกืž ืจืฆื•ื™ ืื™ื“ืžืž ืšื›ื‘ ื•ืชื•ื‘ื™ืฉื— ืšื ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ืชื’ืฆื” ืชื ืœื‘ืจืกืž ื”ื– ื™ื•ื‘ื™ืจ .

ืžื” ืื•ืงืž ื™ืคื•ื ืชืจื™ื—ื‘ืฉ ื”ื“ื‘ื•ืขื” ืชื ืื˜ื‘ืž ืื•ื”ืฉ ื” ืชื‘ื›ืจื•ืž ื”ื˜ืœื—ื” ืื™ื” ืื™ืจื•ื’

ื‘ ื”ื›ื•ืจื› ืจืคืกืž ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ืขืจื›ื”

ื• ืชื•ืคื•ืœื— ืœืฉ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ื‘ืจ ื‘

ืื™ืœื•ืงื™ืฉ ืŸื•ื•ื’ืž ืชืœืขืคื” ื“ื•ืขื• ืชืื– .

ืชื ืชืคืงืฉืž ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ื ื—ื‘ื”ื” ,

ืื”ื™ื ื™ื‘ ืื™ืžื™ื™ืงื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื—ื” ืื™ืœื“ื‘ื”ื”

ืชืจื›ื™ื ื” ืชื•ื ื•ืฉื”ืž ืืœืขืชืž ืื™ื™ืคืจื’ื•ืื’ ืื™ืจื•ื–ื ื™ืคืœ ื—ื•ืชื™ื ืฉ ื“ื•ืขื‘ ,

ืŸื™ื‘

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืจื•ื–ื ืœื› ืšื•ืชื‘

.

ื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื”ืžื›ื• ื•ื ืจื“ื’ื”ืฉ

ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืœื› ื™ื‘ื’ืœ

ื—ื•ืœื‘ ืื™ื˜ืจื•ืคืž 1

ืœื™ื“ื‘ื”ืœ . ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ื ื•ืชื ืž

ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ืฉ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ื– ื—ื•ืœื‘ ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื” ,

ืšื•ืชืž ื•ื“ื‘ื•ืข ื”

ืื™ืฆื‘ืง ืืœืžื” ืื™ ืจื•ื™ื“ื”ื• ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ื™ื“ืงืคืž ืœืฉ

ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืœื›ืœ ืื™ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืžื• ืœ ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ืšื›ื™ืคืœ .

- ื”ื™ื™ืœืขื” ืชื ืื’ ืื™ืœืœื•ื› 1995 ืื™ืขืฉืชื” ืชื•ื ืฉ ืœืฉ

.

ื”ืžืจื” ื™ื“ื™ ืœืข ืชืจืื•ืชืž ืชื™ืœื›ืœื› ืชื™ืชืจื‘ื—ื” ืชืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ื™ื“ื™ ืœืข ืŸื›ื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื”

ืชืฆื•ื‘ืง ืœื›ื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™

ืœ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ืฅืจืื‘ ืชื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ื” ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืœื› ืœืฉ ืชืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื”ืกื ื›ื” ืื™ื ืฉื” ื™ืชืฉืž ืชื—ื ืœื›ื‘

4. ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืจืคืกืž

ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืœื›ื‘ ืื™ืœืœื›ื ื”

ืื”ื‘ืฉ ืื™ืœื•ื“ื’ื” ืชื•ืžืฉื•

ืœืขืž) 2,000 ืฉืคื  ื  ื—ื•ืœื‘ ืื™ื˜ืจื•ืคืž ( '

- ื—ืคืกื ื‘ืฉ 1 ื—ื•ืœ .

ื’ื™ืฆืž 1

ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ืื”ื™ืœื ืกื—ื™ื™ืชื  ืืœืฉ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ืื’ ืื™ื ื•ืชื  ื• ืื™ืฆื•ื‘ื™ืง ืŸื•ื’ื›)

ื™ ืื™ื™ื“ืจื— ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ืœืœื’ื‘ (

ืื”ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื‘ ืชื•ื™ืขื‘ ื•ื ืื™ื™ื“ื•ื—ื™ื” ืื”ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž .

ืชื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ื” ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื‘ ืชืงืกื•ืข ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืขื” 2

ื• ืšื›ื™ืคืœ ื™ืœ ืกื—ื™ื™ืชื  ืื™ื‘ืจื•ืขืžื• ืื™ื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™

ืื™ื˜ื•ืขื™ืž ื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ ืืœ ืšื , .

ืชืจื“ื’ื”ืž ื”ื ื•ืฉ ื•ื– ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืขื‘ ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ืœ ื’ื•ื•ื™ืกื”

"

ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืชืจื•ืฆ "

ืžืœื” ืœืฉ

"

ืก ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืœืฉ ื•ืœื“ื•ื’ ืœืฉ ืจืงื™ืขื‘ ืชืกืกื•ื‘ืžื” , .

ืื™ื™ื“ื•ื—ื™ื” ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื” ืœืฉื‘ ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ ืจืืฉ ืŸื™ื‘ืœ ื‘ื™ื‘ื ืœืช ืŸื™ื‘ ื•ื ื“ืจืคื”3

ื•ื– ืจื™ืข ืœืฉ ืื™ืœื“ื‘ื”ื‘ ืชื•ืืจืœ ืŸืชื™ื  ื”ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ืœ ื™ื•ื˜ื™ื‘ .

ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžืž ืงืœื—ื‘ ืŸื›ื• ืื™ืืœื™ื’ื” ื‘ื›ืจื”ื‘ ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ ืจืืฉ ืŸื™ื‘ืœ ื”ื ื™ื‘ ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ื‘ ืงืจื‘ ื™ื ื‘ ืชื ื•ื ืœืœื› ืืœ .

ืชืฆื•ื‘ืงื‘ ืืœื ,

ืื™ื™ื“ืจื—ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” .

ืœ ืื™ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืž ื•ื ื4

ื”ืกื ื›ื” ื™ืกื—ื™ื” ืช ื™ืชืจื‘ื—ื” ื“ื“ืžืœ ืืœื• ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืœื›ื‘ ืžืœื” ืœืฉ ื™ืœื›ืœื›-

"

ืื™ืžืขื˜ ื”ืžื›ืž ืชืื–ื• ืก ืฉ ื“ื“ืžื” :

ืœ

ืžืœื”

"

ืจื•ื‘ืข ืื™ื™ืง ืก ืจื•ื‘ืข ืืœ ืšื 1995

1983 ื™ ืจื•ื‘ืข ืงืจ ื‘ืฉื•ื—ืž ื“ื“ืžื” ; ื™

ืŸื•ืชื ื‘ ืื™ื ื™ื™ื ื•ืขืž ื•ื ื ื•ืœื™ืื• ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ืื™ืœื•ื“ื’ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ

ื™ืœ ืื’ ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืžื” ื™

ืื™ื ื˜ืง ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ื” ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ;

ื™ ืžืœื” ื“ื“ืž ืืจื•ื‘ืขืฉ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™

"

ืื™ื™ืง ืก ื” ื™ืคืœ ืื’ื•ืจื“ , ื”ืกื ื›ื”

ื™ืกื—ื™ื” ืช ื‘ - ื”ื”ื– 1995

ื™ืชืจื‘ื—ื” ื“ื“ืžื” ื™ืคืœ ืื’ื•ืจื“ืœ ื™ืจืžื’ืœ ื˜ืขืžื› ื™ืœื›ืœื›-

.

(11)

ื—ื•ืœ :1 ืื™ื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž-

ืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื”ื• ืœืข

ื™ื ืค ืŸืžื– ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ื™ืคืœ ,

1

ื‘ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื” -

ื‘ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื” 1983 -

ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉื” 1995 ืชืžื•ืขืœ1995

1983

ื›ื•ื ' ืื™ืคืœื) ( ื™ืืœื™ื’

0-14 ื™ืืœื™ื’

65 + ื”ืœื›ืฉื” ื”ืกื ื›ื” 2

ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ื›ื•ื 3

' ืื™ืคืœื) ( ื™ืืœื™ื’

0-14 ื™ืืœื™ื’

65 + ื”ืœื›ืฉื” ื”ืกื ื›ื” 2

ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ื›ื•ื 3

' ื–ื•ื—ื) ( ื™ืืœื™ื’

0-14 ื™ืืœื™ื’

65 + ืœื›ืฉื”

2ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”

ืชื™ืกื—ื™

3

ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืž ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ 101 306.3

32.0 8.7

11.5 0.97

417.0 33.6

9.6 12.4

1.07 36.1

1.6 0.9 0.9

0.10

ืช 102

"

ื 329.2

19.9 19.4

10.6 1.05

348.2 17.4

19.1 11.8

1.09 5.8

-2.5 -0.3 1.2

0.04

ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ 103 670.6

29.0 9.9

10.9 1.09

799.5 22.7

13.3 11.8

1.08 19.2

-6.3 3.4 0.9

-0.02

ื”ืคื™ื— 104 ืชื•ื™ืจืง- 348.8

29.2 10.5

10.5 1.05

405.1 22.8

14.3 11.5

1.01 16.1

-6.4 3.8 0.9

-0.04

ืื™ืจืข ืชื•ืœื•ื“ื’ 200 ืชื•ืงื•ื—ืจ- 377.5

31.5 8.6

9.8 0.93

560.1 27.5

11.3 11.1

0.87 48.4

-4.1 2.7 1.3

-0.06

ืชื•ื™ื ื•ื ื™ื‘ ืชื•ื‘ื•ืจืง-

ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื”ืกื ื›ื” 301 327.2

32.4 7.4

10.7 1.12

430.3 26.2

9.3 12.0

1.22 31.5

-6.2 1.9 1.3

0.10

ื”ื›ื•ืžื  ื”ืกื ื›ื” 302 192.8

32.0 7.9

8.8 0.84

266.1 29.1

9.4 10.7

0.83 38.0

-2.9 1.6 1.9

0.00

ืื™ืจื‘ืจืค ืื™ื ื˜ืง) ืื™ื‘ื•ืจืง- (

ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื”ืกื ื›ื” 401 106.4

35.7 6.7

12.3 1.13

223.6 33.0

6.5 13.1

1.37 110.1

-2.8 -0.2 0.8

0.24

ื”ื›ื•ืžื  ื”ืกื ื›ื” 402 112.1

40.2 3.7

11.5 0.88

197.2 38.3

4.0 12.7

0.85 75.9

-2.0 0.2 1.3

-0.03

ืจื—ื ืข 500 ืชื•ืงื•ื—ืจ ื—ื•ืชื™ืค . 303.2

36.2 5.2

9.3 0.83

452.3 31.6

8.2 10.8

0.78 49.2

-4.6 3.0 1.6

-0.06

ืื™ื ื˜ืง 600 ืื™ืงื•ื—ืจ- 116.2

38.0 3.9

10.8 0.84

177.7 35.0

5.1 11.6

0.90 53.0

-3.1 1.2 0.9

0.05

ืื™ื“ืจื— 700 102.8 4

49.7 4.5

0.88 148.9

51.3 3.8

0.87 44.8

1.6 -0.7 0.00

ืื™ืฆื•ื‘ื™ืง 800 117.5

30.4 7.1

12.2 -

118.1 28.8

9.5 12.7

- 0.5 -1.6 2.4 0.5

-

ืื™ื ื˜ืง 900 ืื™ื‘ื•ืจืง- 49.6

33.1 6.5

10.0 0.85

60.1 28.0

9.3 11.1

0.81 21.2

-5.1 2.7 1.1

-0.04

ื”ืก

"

ื› 3,460.2 30.4

9.8 10.5

1.00 4,604.1

27.5 11.3

11.7 1.00

33.1 -2.9 1.4 1.1

-

1 . ืœื› ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ) ื˜ืขืžืœ ืšืก ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ื™ ื”ื™ ( ืื” ืขืฆื•ืžืž ื˜ื•ืฉืค ืœืฉ ื™ื ื•ืชื  ื” ื™ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ื”ืฆื•ื‘ืงื‘ ื”ืžื™ืืชืžื” , ืืœืœ ืœื•ืœืงืฉ ืจืคืกืžื‘ ืื™ื‘ืฉื•ืชื” ื‘ ื™ ื‘ื•ืฉื™ . ื‘ืœื‘ ืื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ ืœืœื•ื› ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืšืก ื“

, ืื™ืจืขื” ืจืชื™ื‘ ืšื

ืชื•ื‘ืจื•ืขืžื” ืœืœื•ื›

ืื’ ืืœ - ืื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ . ื“ื‘ืœื‘ ืื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ืœ ืื™ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืž ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืœื›ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž .

ืšื•ืชืž ื•ื“ื‘ื•ืข ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ืœืฉ ืื™ืืœืžื” ืื™ืฆื‘ืงื”

ื“ืงืคืž ืจื•ื™ื“ื”ื• ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ื™ 1983

ื• - 1995 .

2 . ืœืฉ ืขืฆื•ืžืž ื“ื•ืžื™ืœ ืชื•ื ืฉ ืจืคืกืž ื™ื ื‘

15 ื”ืœืขืžื• .

3 . ื™ื” ืชืฆื•ื‘ืงื‘ ืชื™ื‘ื” ืงืฉืž ืœืฉ ืชืœืœื•ื›ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ื™ืฆืจืื” ืขืฆื•ืžืžืœ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™

.

4 . ืžืœื” ืชืจื“ื’ื”ื‘ ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉืฉ ืื•ืฉืž ื—ื•ืœื”ืž ื”ื˜ืžืฉื•ื” ืื™ื™ื“ืจื—ื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘ ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื”

"

ืื™ื“ืงืคืžื” ื™ื ืฉ ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ืœืฉ ื”ืื•ื•ืฉื” ืจืฉืคืืž ื•ื ื™ื ืื™ื“ืจื—ื” ืชืœื›ืฉื” ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ืก .

(12)

ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื— ืื™ืœื“ื‘ื” ืœืข ืขื™ื‘ืฆืž ื—ื•ืœื” ื™

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ื• ืืœ ืื™ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉ ืœืข ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื‘ ืื™ื™ืจื˜ืžื™ืก-

ื”ืœื ื ืšืจื•ืืœ

ืชื” ื”ืคื•ืง ) 1983-1995 ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžืœ ืจืฉื .(

ื”ืกืกื‘ืชื” ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ื” ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ื ื—ื‘ื”ื”ืฉ ืชื•ืจืžืœ ื™ื› ื‘ืœ ืื™ืฉื  ,

ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืœื“ื•ื’ ืœืข ืงืจ ืคื•ืจื˜ืžืž ืงื—ืจืžื” ,

ืœื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื‘ ืื’ ืื™ืื˜ื‘ืชืž ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ื” ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ืœื“ื‘ื”ื”ืฉ ื™ืจื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื”ื• ืŸื™

ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืฉ ืื™ืืœื™ื’ื” ื‘ื›ืจื”ื‘ื• ืชืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื™

ื” ืœืฉืžืœ ืšื› . ื˜ืœื•ื‘ ,

ืื™ ืืจื•ืขื™ืฉ ื• ืื™ื“ืœื™ื” ืœืฉ ืšื•ืžื ื” ื•ืขื™ืฉ

ืืจ

ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื‘ ืื™ืฉื™ืฉืงื” ืœืฉ ื”ื•ื‘ื’ื” ื•

ืœ ื™ ืื™ื  ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ื˜ืขืžืœ) (

ืื™ืกืกื•ื‘ืžื” ืื™ืจื‘ืจืคื‘ ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ื” ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืชืžืจื• , .

ืืœื” ืื™ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉืœ ืจืฉื ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื‘ ืื™ื™ืจื˜ืžื™ืก-

ื™ ื”ืคื•ืงืชื” ืšืจื•ืืœ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ืื™ื’ื•ืก ื™ื ืฉืœ ืืงืœื—ืœ ืŸืชื™ื  ,

ืื™ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉ :

ืฉืชื” ืชื•ื ืฉ ืชืœื™ื—ืชื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืœืขื” ืœื’ืœ ืืจืงื™ืขื‘ ืื™ืจื•ืฉืงื” ื”ืœืื›ื• ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ืœ ื”ื‘ืจ ื”ื“ื™ืžื‘ ืื™ืจื•ืฉืงื” ืื™ืข

.

ื—ื•ืœืž ืชื•ืœื•ืขื” ืชื•ืขืคื•ืช ื™ืชืฉ ืฉื™ื’ื“ื  ืชื™ืฉืืจ 1

ืŸืชื•ืืฉ , ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ื”ืืจื ืฉ ื™ืคื› , ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืชืœ ืจื•ืฉืงืœ ืŸืชื™ื  ,

ืฅืจืื‘ ื”ืงื™ืชื•ื” ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืฉ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค :

ื) ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืชื•ืฉืœื—ื” ( ืœืฉ ื”ืžื•ื“ ื“ื•ืืž ืšื™ืœื”ืช ื”ืคื•ืงืชื” ืšืœื”ืžื‘ ื•ืจื‘ืข ื”ืคื™ื— ืŸื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื• ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ :

"

ืชื•ืฉืœื—ื” :"

ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ืœืฉ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ืšื•ืžื  ื‘ืฆืง ืื™ืฉื™ืฉืงื” ืœืงืฉืžื‘ ื”ืจื™ื”ืž ื”ื™ื™ืœืข ,

ื”ืจื™ื”ืž ื”ื“ื™ืจื™ ,

ื‘ ื”ืงื™ื—ืฉื• ืื™ื“ืœื™ื” ืœืงืฉืžื‘

"

ืชื•ื›ื™ื "

ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื”

ืขืฆื•ืžืžื”ืž ื™ื˜ื™ื ื‘ืฆืงื‘ ื”ืชืœืข ืืฉ ืชืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” โ€“

ื™ืฆืจืื” ืขืฆื•ืžืžืœ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ื”ื“ืจื™ ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื”ื• ื™ืฆืจืื”

ืืœ ืšื ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืชืžืจ ืชื ื™ื—ื‘ืž ื”ืžื•ื“ ืšื™ืœื”ืช ื”ืจื‘ืข ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ .

ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ืชื ื™ื—ื‘ืž

5. ื”ืžื•ื“ ืšื™ืœื”ืช ื”ืจื‘ืข ืืœ ืื’ ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ืชื•ืจื™ื”ืžื‘ ื”ืœื“ื’ ื”ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื• ืชื•ื ืงื“ื–ื” ืœืฉ

ื”ืืจื ื› , ,

ืจืชื™ื” ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ื‘ ืื™ื“ืจื— ืœืฉ ื”ื•ื‘ื’ื” ืจื•ืขื™ืฉื” ืœืœื’ื‘ ,

ื”ืจื•ืื›ืœ . ื‘ื™ื‘ื ืœืช ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืืฉ ืฃื ื™ื› ืื™ืจื•ืž ื—ื•ืœื” ื™ื ื•ืชื  ,

ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ื™ื˜ื™ื ื‘ืฆืงื‘ ื”ืœื“ื’ ื”ืคื™ื— ืจื•ื–ืื‘ื• ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ื‘ ืจืฉืืž ืื™ื ื•ืฉ ื•ื™ื” ื”ื‘ ืื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืชื” ืจืืฉ ,

ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืชืžืจ :

ื“ื•ืืž ื”ืชืœืข ื”ืชืœืข ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ,

ืœื”ืชื• , ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ืŸื•ืชืž ื”ื™ื” ืชื•ื ืงื“ื–ื”ื” ืšื™ ืชืื– ืืข .

ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ืจืื•ืชืžื› , ,

ืื™ื“ืœื™ ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ื‘ืœืฉื‘ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžืœ ืขื’ื•ื ื” ืœื›ื‘ ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืจืืฉื‘ืฉ ื”ืœืืœ ืื™ืžื•ื“ ื‘ื™ื‘ื ืœืชื‘ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช โ€“

ื™ ืื™ื  .

ืื™ืœื™ื›ืฉืž ืื™ืจื™ืขืฆืœ ื”ื›ื™ืฉืž ื“ืงื•ืž ื”ืชื•ื™ื”ืœ ื”ื‘ืจ ื”ื“ื™ืžื‘ ื”ืืจื ื› ืจื•ืฉืง ืœื“ื‘ื”ื” ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ื”ืชื•ื ืื™ื‘ื–ื•ืขื”)

.(

ื‘) ( ื‘ืจืคื” ืจื• ืœืฉ ืชืฆืื•ืžื” ืืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื” : ื™

ื™ ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื”ืกื ื›ื” ื™ืœืขื‘ ืื™ื ื˜ืง ื•ื ืื™ื™ื ื•ื ื™ื‘ ืื™ื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ืชื‘ืจืงื‘ ืื™ื™ื•ืฆืžื” ,

ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื”

ืื™ื ื˜ืงื” ืื™ืกืกื•ื‘ืžื” ืื™ืจื‘ืจืคื‘ ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ื˜ืœื•ื‘ ืจื‘ื“ื” .

ื“ืข) ืฉื™ื ืฃืœื 20 ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ โ€“

401 ืจืคืกืž :(

ืœื“ื’ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื  ื—ื•ืœ)

' - 1

6( ื”ืคื•ืงืชื” ืšืœื”ืžื‘ ื”ืœืคื›ื•ื” ืืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื• ื”ืœื“ื’ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” .

ืŸื•ืชืž ืจื•ืขื™ืฉื‘ ื™ื› ืื ,

ืจืชื•ื™ ืื™ืจืขื‘ ืื’ , ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื”ืกื ื›ื” ืชื•ืœืขื‘ ืชื•ื‘ื•ืจืงื” ืชื•ื™ื ื•ื ื™ื‘ื”

ืกื•ืคื™ื˜) 301

7.(

ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ื™ืชืฉ

ืชื•ืฆื•ื‘ืง

ืชื™ืžื™ื ืค ื”ืจื™ื’ื” ืœืฉ ืจืฉืงื”ื‘ ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘ ืื™ืฉืจืž ื”ืœื ืŸืž ืชื•ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืชื›ื™ืฉืž ืœืข ืกืกื•ื‘ืž ืื•ื”ืฉ ืื•ืฉืž ,

ืชื•ืงื™ืชื•ื” ืื™ืจืขื” ืื•ืฉืžื• ,

ืœ ื“ื•ื’ื™ื ื‘ืฉ , ื™

ืื™ืจื—ื ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืŸื•ื’ื›)

ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ื•ื 200 ืกื•ืคื™ื˜โ€“

500 ( ืื•ื” ,

ื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ืฃืงื™ื”ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืœืข ืชื˜ื™ืœืงืž ืขื‘ื•ื  ื•ื ื™ื ืšื›ืž ืื’ ืขื‘ื•ื  ื•ืœืœื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื‘ ืจื™ื”ืžื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ื” .

ืื™ื“ืœื™ ืืข ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื‘ ืจื‘ื•ื“ืžืฉ ื”ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืชื‘ื—ืจื” ืœืฉ ื‘ืœืฉื‘ ื˜ืจืคื‘ ,

ื”ืžืฉืจื  ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ืœ ืฃืกื•ื ื‘ .

ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื‘ ืจืชื•ื™ื‘ ื”ืจื™ื”ืžื” ื”ื™ื™ืœืขื” ืื™ืจื‘ืจืคื‘ ื™ .

ื™ ืชื•ื™ื‘ ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ื™ืœืขื‘ ื•ื™ื” ื”ืœื ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ืจื‘ื› ืจ

ืชื ืฉื‘ 1983 ื™ืื‘ ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ืชืคืงืฉืž ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ืืชืกื ื›ื”ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืœืขื”ืฉ ืšื› , ืŸื™ื‘ื” ืŸื•ื™ื•ื•ืฉื”-

ืฅืจืื‘ ื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™- ืชื—ื ื™ื”ื•ื– .

ืจื•ื‘ืจืคื” ืšื™ืœื”ืช ืœืฉ ืชื•ื‘ื•ืฉื—ื” ืชื•ื›ืœืฉื”ื” ื‘ื•ืฉ ืŸื•ื“ื™ืช ืื™ื”ื•

ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืขื” ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ืฅืื•ืž ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ืœืฉ ื”ืžื•ื“ ืšื™ืœื”ืช .

ื™ื” ืชืฆื•ื‘ืงื‘ ืื’ ืืฉืจื  ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื‘ื• ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื‘ ื™

ืื™ืงื—ื•ืจืžื” ืื™ื ื˜ืงื” ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉ ืกื•ืคื™ื˜)

600 ืืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื” .(

ืจื™ื”ืž ืงืœื— 5

ื“ืงืคืžื‘ ืื™ื“ืจื—ื” ืชืœื›ืฉื” ืœืฉ ื”ืจื“ื’ื”ื” ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉืž ืขื‘ื•ื  ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ื‘ ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื‘ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ื”ื“ื™ ื”ื ื˜ืงื”ืœ ืืจื’ืฉ ,

ืชืžื•ืขืœ ืืจื•ื‘ืข ื•ืคืงื–ื ืฉ ื“ื•ืžื™ืœื” ืชื•ื ืฉ ืจืคืกืžื‘ 1983

.

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืจืคืกืžื‘ ืจื›ื™ื ื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ื” 6

ืื™ื™ืจื‘ืจืคื” ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง-

ืชืžื’ื•ื“ ืชื™ืชืœืฉืžืž ืชื•ื™ื ื™ื“ืž ืŸื”ื• ืจื•ื‘ืจืค ื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช ืŸื” ืื˜ื‘ืž

ืœื™ืœื’ื‘ ืื™ืคืฆืžื”ื• ืชื•ื™ื•ืœื—ื ืชื”ื” ื”ืž ืื™ื‘ืจ .

ื™ ื•ืฉื™ ื› ื•ื’ื•ื•ืก ื•ืœืœื” ืื™ื‘

"

ืŸื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžืœ ืื™ื‘ื•ืจืง "

ืชื•ื‘ืจืฉ ืšื›ืœ ื™ื•ื˜ื™ื‘ -

ืž ืชื•ืžืžื•ื™ ืงื—ืจืžื‘ ืŸื” ืชื•ื™ื•ืœื—ื ืชื”ื”ืž ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’

ืœื’ื‘ ืื™ืคืฆืžื”ืž ืื™ื‘ืจื• ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ ื•ื ื™

ื”ืคื™ื—ืž ืชื•ืžืžื•ื™ ืงื—ืจืžื‘ ืื” ืœ .

ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ื‘ 7

ืงื•ืจื™ื” ื•ืงืœ ืจื‘ืขืž ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืื’ ืื™ืœืœื›ื  401 ืจื•ื‘ืจืค ืชืคืงืฉืž ื”ื ื™ื ืชื•ื™ื•ืœื—ื ืชื”ื” ืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื” ื™ื› ืŸื•ืขื˜ืœ ืŸืชื™ื  .

"

ืœื™ื’ืจ "

ื ื™ื“ืž ืืœื ืž ืชื•ื™

ืชื™ืชืœืฉืž ืื™ืจื—ื ืื™ืœื•ืงื™ืฉืž ืชืขื ื•ืžื” ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ื”ืœื“ื’ ืชื•ื™ื•ืœื—ื ืชื”ื” ืืœืœ ืื’ ื™ื› ืŸื™ื™ื•ืฆื™ .

ื‘ 401 - ืื™ื–ื•ื—ื66 ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ื”ื ื•ื“ื  ืจื•ื‘ืจืคื” ืšื™ืœื”ืช ื—ื•ืชื™ื  ืšืจื•ืฆืœ ืชื•ื™ื•ืœื—ื ืชื”ืœ ืชื•ืกื—ื™ื™ืชื”ื” ืชื™ื™ื’ื•ืก . .

(13)

ืจื•ื‘ืจืคืœ ืื™ืžื•ื“ื” ืื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืชืž ื”ืงืœื—ื‘ ื”ื ื•ื–ื  ื”ืœื ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืœืฉ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืž ืชื•ืงื–ื— ืชื•ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ืœืฉ ืจื‘ืขืž โ€“

ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ ืื™ืงื™ืชื•ื• ืื™ืœื•ื“ื’ ืื™ื™ืชืœื™ื”ืง

ืื™ืกืกื•ื‘ืžื• ืื™ื™ื ื’ื•ืžื•ื” ืื™ื ื˜ืง โ€“ ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ื‘ .

ืื’ ืื™ืœืœื›ื  600 ื™

ื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™

ืฉ ืื™ืกืกื•ื‘ืžื” ืŸื™ื™ื•ื•ืœื” ื•ืžืง

ืขื‘ืฉ ืจืื‘ ื‘ื™ื‘ืก ืืชื•ื ,

ื•ื ืจื“ื’ื” ืืœ ืื™ืจื‘ืจืคื›

ืฉ ืื•ืฉืž) ื” ืืœ ืขื‘ืฉ ืจืื‘ ืชื ื•ื ืจื“ื’

ืŸื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื› ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืชื•ืฉืœื—ื”ืœ ืจืฉืงื‘ ืื’ ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ืŸื•ื“ื™ืช ื”ื– ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื” .(

.

ื—ื•ืœื‘ ืชื•ืขืคื•ืช ื™ืชืฉ ืื™ืขืฉืชื” ืชื•ื ืฉ ืชื™ืฉืืจ ืœืฉ ื”ื™ื™ืœืขื” ืœื’ืœ ืชื•ืจื•ืฉืง 1

) : ื ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื‘ ืฅืื•ืžื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ื” (

ืชื•ืœื•ื“ื’ื” ืื™ืจืขื” ืชื•ืงื—ื•ืจืž-

ืกื•ืคื™ื˜) 200 ื•ืงื—ื•ืจืžื” ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื‘ื• ( ืช

ื–ื›ืจืžื” ืŸืž ืกื•ืคื™ื˜)

500 (

ื•ื– ื”ืคื•ืงืชื‘ ืืฉ ื•ื˜ืœืงื ืฉ ืื™ืœื•ืข ืœืฉ ืœื•ื“ื’ื” ืจืคืกืžื” ืชื ืฃืงืฉืž ) .

ื‘ ( ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืชื•ืฆื•ื‘ืง ื”ืžื›ื‘ ืื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜)

200 ,

302 , 500 ืชืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืœืขื” ืŸื™ื‘ ื“ื•ื’ื™ื ื” ื˜ืœื•ื‘ ( ื”ื“ื™ืจื™ื” ืŸื™ื‘ืœ

ืŸื•ืืคืงื” ื•ื)

ืšืœื”ืžื‘ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื‘ (

ื”ืคื•ืงืชื” ื”ืœื ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ืœ ื•ืขื™ื’ื”ืฉ ืื™ืœื•ืขื” ื™ื•ื‘ื™ืจืž ืขื‘ื•ื  ืจื‘ื“ื” .

ืืชืกื ื›ื” ืšื ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื”ืœื›ืฉื” ื™ืœืขื‘ ื•ื™ื” ืจืฉื ,

ื”ื›ื•ืžื  ื”ืชื™ื™ื” ืฅืจืื‘ ืชื•ื ื•ืฉืืจื” ืื™ื ืฉื‘ .

ื”ืงื™ืชื•ื” ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืฉ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื‘ ืชื•ื“ืงืžืชื”ื‘ืฉ ืชื•ื‘ื™ืฉื—ื” ืชื ืชื•ืฉื™ื—ืžืž ื•ืœืœื” ืชื•ืขืคื•ืชื” ื™ืชืฉ

ืื™ืœื•ืขื” ื™ื•ื›ื™ื ื‘ ื—ื•ืชื™ืคื” ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ื™ื‘ื’ืœ ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ื‘ ืŸื•ื›ื  ืจื‘ื“ื” .

ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ื”ืืจื ืฉ ื™ืคื› ืŸื›ืฉ , ื—ื•ืœื‘ ืื™ื™ืคืจืฆืžื” ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ,

1 ื™ืขื™ื‘ืฆืžื” , ื”ืชืœื›ืฉื”ื‘ื• ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื‘ ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ืœืข ื

ืื™ืœื•ืขื” ืชืขื’ื”ืž ื”ื‘ืจ ื”ื“ื™ืžื‘ ืื™ืขื‘ื•ื  ,

ืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื” ืื™ืจื™ืชืกืžื• ,

ื•ืœื ืชื•ืจื™ื™ืข ืœืฉ ื”ืงื™ืชื•ื” ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืชื ื™ื—ื‘ืž ื“ื•ืืž ืชื™ืชื™ื™ืขื‘ื• ื”ื›ื•ืคื” ืชื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ื”ื‘ื™ื–ืข โ€“

ืœืฉ ื“ื•ื—ื™ื™ื‘ ,

ืชื•ืงื–ื—ื” ืชื•ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” .

ืจื•ืžืื› ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืž ืœืฉ ืชื™ืžื™ื ืคื” ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื‘ ืชื“ืงืžืชืž ื•ื– ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืข , ื—ื•ืœ .

ื” ืœืœื› ืชื ืจืืชืžื” 1 ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื

ืœื•ืœืข ื”ื ื•ืžืชื” ืชื ืชื•ื•ืขืœ ืื”ื‘ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ื™ื‘ื’ืœ

ื—ื•ืœ . ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ ืืชื•ื ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ืชื ื’ื™ืฆืž 2

ื™ื ื•ืชื  ืœืข ืšืžืชืกื”ื‘ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื”

ื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ื”) ืชื• ื“ื‘ืœื‘ ืื™ื“ืœื™ื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ื‘ืœืฉื‘ ( ืื™ืื•ืฉื  ืชื•ื’ื•ื–ื› ื”ืœื ืชื™ื‘ ื™ืงืฉืž ื•ื ืจื“ื’ื” .

ื”ืฉื™ืื” ืื”ื‘ ื“ืงืคืžื” ืชื ืฉื‘)

ื™ืืœื™ื’ื‘ ( 25-55 ื•ื– ื”ืจื“ื’ื” . ืžื‘ ื”ืžื™ืืชืž

ื—ื•ื•ื˜ ืื•ืฆืžืฆืœื• ื”ื“ื•ื‘ืขื” ืืฉื•ื ืœ ื“ื—ื•ื™

ืฃืกื•ื  ืŸื•ืจืชื™ ืฉื™ ืื™ืืœื™ื’ื” ื•ื•ืฉื” :

ื ืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื” ืชื ื™ื—ื‘ืž ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืŸื™ื‘ ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž

ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื”ื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืŸืžื– ืšืจื•ืืœ

ืœืข ืšืžืชืกื”ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืœื›

ืชื•ื™ื˜ื” ืจื•ืฆื™ืœ ื”ืœื•ืœืข ืื™ืœื“ื‘ื” ืœืœื’ื‘ ืœืฉืžืœ ,

ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื‘ ืื™ื ืงื–ื” ืจื•ืขื™ืฉ ,

ืื™ืจื™ืขืฆื” ืชื•ืจื•ื“ื” ืœืฉืž ืขืฆื•ืžืžื‘ ืชื•ื›ื•ืžื  ืืชืกื ื›ื”ื• ืืชืœื›ืฉื”ืฉ ืจืชื•ื™

ื”ืจืฆ ืœื™ื’ ืชืฆื•ื‘ืงื‘ ืชื“ืงืžืชืžื” ื”ืื•ื•ืฉื”.

ื”ืœื ืชื•ื™ื˜ื” ื”ื ื™ื˜ืงืž ืจืชื•ื™ .

ื—ื•ืœ

ื—ื•ืœ ืœืฉ ื”ืœืืœ ืื™ืžื•ื“ ืื™ืืฆืžืž ื”ืœืขืž 2

1 ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืœื›ืœ ืกื—ื™ื™ืชื”ืฉ , ื—ื•ืชื™ื ื” ืชื ืื™ืœื™ื‘ื’ืž ืจืฉืื› ืื’ :

ืชื ื™ื—ื‘ืž ื”ืคื™ื—ื• ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ ืœืฉ ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ืชื•ืฉืœื—ื” ืœืข ืจื•ืจื™ื‘ื‘ ืขื™ื‘ืฆื”ืœ ืŸืชื™ื  ืื™ื“ืœื™ื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ื‘ืœืฉื‘ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžืœ ืจืคืกืž ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ื‘ืฆืง ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื”ื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื”ื• ืชื™ื‘ื” ื™ืงืฉืž

ืื™ืจื‘ืจืคื” ืœืฉ ืฅืื•ืžื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ื” ,

ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ืืชืกื ื›ื”ื‘ ื”ื™ื™ืœืขื”ื• ืื™ืกืกื•ื‘ืžื” ื“ื•ื’ื™ื  ืšื•ืช ื”ื™ื™ืœืข ื•ื˜ืœืงืฉ ืื™ื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื” ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื‘ ืฅืื•ืžื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ื” ืŸื›ื• ,

ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ืืชืกื ื›ื”ื‘ ื”ื“ื™ืจื™ื” ื•ื ืŸื•ืืคืงื” ืŸื™ื‘ืœ ืืชืœื›ืฉื”ื‘ ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ื” ืŸื™ื‘ .

ืชื•ืืฆื•ืชื‘ ื™ื ื•ืจืงืขื” ืŸื•ื™ืžื“ื” ืชื•ืจืžืœ ื” ืื™ืœื“ื‘ื”ื” ,

ืชืžืฆื•ืข ื™ื› ืื™ืฉื™ื—ืžืž ืชื•ื—ื•ืœื” ื™ื ืฉ ืŸื™ื‘ ืื™ื™ืชื•ืžื›

"

ืชื•ืฉืœื—ื” "

ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืšืก ื™ื ื•ืชื ื‘ ื“ื‘ืœื‘ ื™ืงืœื— ื™ื•ื˜ื™ื‘ ืชืœื‘ืงืž ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื” ื—ื•ืœ .

ื‘ื™ื‘ื ืœืช ืชื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ื ื™ื› ื”ืืจื” 1

ื“ื•ืืž ืŸื•ืชืž ื‘ืฆืงื‘ ื™ื› ืื ื”ืคื•ืงืชื” ืšืœื”ืžื‘ ื”ืœื“ื’ ื—ื•ืœ .

ืจืชื•ื™ ืฃื™ืจื— ืšื™ืœื”ืช ืœืข ื“ืžืœืž 2 ื‘ื™ื‘ื ืœืชื‘ :

ื“ื•ื’ื™ื ื‘ ,

ืื™ืจื—ืื” ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžืœ ื ืžื ืชืจืžืฉื  ,

ื ื”ืœื•ืข ืฃืื•) ืชื™ืกื—ื™ื” ืŸืชื•ื›ื™ื (

ื”ืœื›ืฉื”) ื”ืกื ื›ื” , ืชื•ืจื’ื” ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืœืฉ (

ื”ื‘ ืŸืจืคืกืžื‘ ืชืจื›ื™ื  ื”ื“ื™ืจื™ ืšื•ืช ืšื , ื‘ ืืฉ ื“ืจื™ ืื™ื“ืœื™ื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ื‘ืœืฉื‘ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืจืคืกืž :

- ืื™ื–ื•ื—ื 15 ื”ืคื™ื—ื‘ ืื’ .

ืฅืจืื” ืจืืฉืœ ื”ืื•ื•ืฉื”ื‘ ื“ื•ืืž ื™ื˜ื™ื ื‘ืฆืงื‘ ืœื“ื’ ืื•ื” ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ื‘ื• ื“ืจื™ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืจืคืกืž ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืšืกืฉ ื“ื•ืขื‘ .

ื”ืžื•ื“ื‘ ืœื“ื’ ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ื‘ ื”ื– ืจื•ืขื™ืฉืž ื™ืฆื—ื‘ ืœื“ื’ ื”ื‘ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืจืคืกืž ื™ืฆืจืื” ืจื•ืขื™ืฉืœ

ืšืกื‘ ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ื” ืŸื™ื‘ ืจืขืคื” .

ืื™ื“ืจื—ื” ื‘ืจืงื‘ ื”ื•ื‘ื’ื” ื”ื“ื•ืœื™ื” ืจื•ืขื™ืฉืœ ื”ืืจื ื› ืจื•ืฉืง ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ื‘ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืจืคืกืžื‘ื• ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืื™ืืฆืžืžื” .

ืชื•ื—ื•ืœื” ื™ื ืฉื‘ ืื™ืžื•ื“ ืื™ื ื™ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืžื‘ ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื”ื• ื”ืœื›ืฉื”ื” ืชื•ื—ืชืคืชื” ื™ื‘ื’ืœ .

(14)

ื—ื•ืœ 2 ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื™ืกื•ืคื™ื˜ : ืงืฉืž ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž-

ืื™ื“ืœื™ื” ืœื•ื“ื™ื’ ื‘ืœืฉื‘ ืชื™ื‘ื” ื™

1

ื‘ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื” -

ื‘ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื” 1983 -

ื™ื•ื ื™ืฉื” 1995

ืื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืžื‘ ืชืžื•ืขืœ 1995

1983

ื™ืงืฉืž ืชื™ื‘ ืื™ืคืœื) ( ื”ืœื›ืฉื”

2

ืื™ื ืฉ) ( ื”ืกื ื›ื”

ืชื™ืกื—ื™

3

ื“ื“ืž) ( ื™ืงืฉืž

ืชื™ื‘ ืื™ืคืœื) ( ื”ืœื›ืฉื”

2

ืื™ื ืฉ) ( ื”ืกื ื›ื”

ืชื™ืกื—ื™

3

ื“ื“ืž) ( ื™ืงืฉืž

ืชื™ื‘ ื–ื•ื—ื) ( ื”ืœื›ืฉื”

2

ืื™ื ืฉ) ( ื”ืกื ื›ื”

ืชื™ืกื—ื™

3

ื“ื“ืž) (

ืœื•ืคื•ืจื˜ืž ืื™ื ื™ ืื™ืœืฉื•ืจื™ 101 42.9

12.5 1.01

47.1 13.3

0.95 10.0

0.8 -0.1

ืช 102

"

ื 41.9

11.1 0.97

35.7 12.9

1.18 -14.8

1.8 0.2

ืŸื“ ืฉื•ื’ 103 111.3

11.5 1.09

114.7 12.7

1.11 3.1

1.3 0.0

ื”ืคื™ื— 104 ืชื•ื™ืจืง- 53.3

11.3 1.10

50.6 12.4

1.02 -4.9

1.2 -0.1

ืื™ืจืข ืชื•ืœื•ื“ื’ 200 ืชื•ืงื•ื—ืจ- 56.3

10.3 0.92

74.8 11.9

0.85 32.9

1.7 -0.1

ืชื•ื™ื ื•ื ื™ื‘ ืชื•ื‘ื•ืจืง-

ื›ื” 301 ื”ืกื  ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ 54.6

11.6 1.15

66.6 13.2

1.30 22.1

1.6 0.1

ื” 302 ื  ื”ืกื ื› ื”ื›ื•ืž 24.9

8.96 0.80

33.9 11.6

0.81 36.0

2.6 0.0

ืื™ืจื‘ืจืค ืื™ื ื˜ืง) ืื™ื‘ื•ืจืง- (

ื”ื”ื•ื‘ื’ ื”ืกื ื›ื” 401 16.5

13.0 1.05

37.0 14.1

1.41 124.2

1.1 0.4

ื”ื›ื•ืžื  ื”ืกื ื›ื” 402 14.9

11.8 0.94

28.8 13.4

0.79 93.6

1.5 -0.1

ืจื—ื ืข 500 ื—ื•ืชื™ืค ืชื•ืจื™ื™ 43.2

9.5 0.87

60.2 11.6

0.73 39.3

2.1 -0.1

ืื™ืงื•ื—ืจ ืื™ื ื˜ืง 600 17.1

10.5 0.67

26.1 12.4

0.89 53.3

1.9 0.2

ืื™ื“ืจื— 700 13.0

0.68 13.7

0.52 5.9

-0.2

ืื™ืฆื•ื‘ื™ืง 800 17.6

13.1 17.0

13.7 -3.5

0.6

ืื™ื‘ื•ืจืง ืื™ื ื˜ืง 900 7.1

10.0 0.66

8.4 12.2

0.85 18.2

2.2 0.2

ื”ืก

"

514.4 ื› 11.2

614.7 12.6

19.5 1.5

1 . ืื™ืกื—ื™ื™ืชืž ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื” ืงืจ

ืื™ืื•ืฉื  ืื™ื“ื•ื”ื™ ืชื•ื’ื•ื–ืœ ,

ื™ืืœื™ื’ื‘ ื”ืฉื™ืื” ืื”ื‘ 25-55

. ื” ืื™ื ื•ืชื  ) ื˜ืขืžืœ ืกืž ' ืชื™ื‘ ื™ืงืฉืž ( ื˜ื•ืฉืค ืขืฆื•ืžืž ืื”

ื” ื™ื ื•ืชื  ืœืฉ ื™

ื”ืžื™ืืชืžื” ื”ืฆื•ื‘ืงื‘ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ .

ืšื•ืชืž ื“ื‘ื•ืข ืœืฉ ืื™ืืœืžื” ืื™ืฆื‘ืงื”

ื™ื“ืงืคืž ืจื•ื™ื“ื”ื• ืŸื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” 1983

ื• - 1995 .

2 . ืขืฆื•ืžืžื” ื“ื•ืžื™ืœื” ืชื•ื ืฉ ืจืคืกืž ื’ื•ื–ื” ื™ื ื‘ ืœืฉ

) ื•ื’ื•ื– ืŸื‘ื• ืชื™ื‘ื” ืงืฉืž ืฉืืจ .(

3 . ืžืœ ืชื™ืกื—ื™ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ืชืฆื•ื‘ืงื‘ ืชื™ื‘ื” ืงืฉืž ืœืฉ ืชืœืœื•ื›ื” ื”ืกื ื›ื”ื” ื™ืฆืจืื” ืขืฆื•ืž

.

ื™ื ืฉ ืŸื™ื‘ ื”ืื•ื•ืฉื”ื” ื”

ืชื•ื—ื•ืœ ื” ืชื•ื‘ื™ืฉื— ืชื ื”ืฉื™ื’ื“ืž ืชื•ื“ืงืžืชื”

ื‘ ืŸื•ื™ื“ื” ืšืฉืžื”ื‘ ืื™ื™ืชื—ืคืฉืžื” ืชื™ื‘ื” ื™ืงืฉืž .

ืื™ื›ื™ืœื”ืช ืชื“ื“ื—ืž ื•ื– ืชื•ื“ืงืžืชื”

ืื™ื™ืชื•ืขืžืฉืž ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืœืฉ ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืชื•ื˜ืœื—ื”ื‘ ื™ื•ื˜ื™ื‘ ื™ื“ื™ืœ ืื™ืื‘ื” ,

ืจืฉืื• ,

ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืœื› ื™ื ื•ืชื ื‘ ืชืžื™ื™ื•ืกืž ื”ื“ื™ืžื‘ ืชืขืœื‘ื  ืืชืžืฆื•ืข .

4 ืื™ื ื•ืชื ื”ืกื™ืกื‘ . ืื™ื˜ืจืค:

ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืž , ื•

ื™ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™

ื” ื—ื•ืชื™ื  ืœืฉ ืื™ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ื” ื™ื ื™ื™ืคืืž ื”ื™ื™ืกื•ืœื›ื•ืื” ืœืœื›ืœ ืกื—ื™ื‘ ืŸื” ,

ืื”ื‘ ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžืœ ืกื—ื™ื‘ ืŸื”ื• ืœืข ืกืกื‘ืชื” ,

ื  ื™ื ื•ืช ืœื›

ืž ื“ื—ื ื“ืงืคืžื” ืื™ ) ื• 1983 - 1995 ื“ืจืคื ื‘ ( ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ื—ื•ืชื™ื ืœ ืฉืžืฉืœ ืื™ืœื•ื›ื™ ืื ื™ื ืื™ื“ืจืคื ื” ืื™ืฆื‘ืงื” ืืœื•ื . ื™ื“ื› .

ื”ืจื™ื’ื”ื” ืชื ืŸื•ื—ื‘ืœ ืงืคืžื” ื™ื ืฉ ืชื ื‘ืœืฉืžื” ืฅื‘ื•ืง ืืข ื“ื•ื‘ืขืœ ืฉื™

ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืž ืŸืชื•ื ืจื—ื ื‘ื•ืงืขืœ ืชื ืž ืœืข ืื™ื“

ื”ืคื•ืงืชื” ืšืœื”ืžื‘ ืฅื•ื—ื  ืŸื› ื•ืžื› .

ืื™ื ืฉื”ืž ืชื—ื ืœื›ื‘ ื”ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืœืฉ ืื™ืจื•ื’ืžื” ื‘ื•ืฉื™ื™ ืœืฉ ืงื™ื™ื•ื“ืž ื™ื•ื”ื™ื– ืจืฉื ืŸื•ืชื  ,

ืžืœื”

"

ืก ื”ื“ื™ืžืขื” ื“ื—ื•ื™ืžื‘

ื•ื ืชื•ืฉืจืœ

ื’ื•ืก ืชื ืชื•ื”ื–ืœ ืชื ืž ืœืข ื‘ืœื•ืฉืžื” ืฅื‘ื•ืงื” ืœืฉ ืจื™ื”ื– ื“ื•ื‘ื™ืขืœ ื•ื ืฉืจื“ื  ืฃืกื•ื ื‘ .

ืชื•ื—ืคืฉืžื” ืฉ

ืจื•ืงื—ืœ ื•ื ื ื•ืฆืจื‘ .

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