Global Footprint and Growing
Oerlikon Coating
Oerlikon Vacuum
Oerlikon Drive Systems
Oerlikon Components Oerlikon
Textile
North America
• Sales
•Customer Support
•Operations ( est. 2009)
Asia
• Sales
• Operations
• Pilot Line
• Technology Center
• Customer Support
& Training
Europe
• Solar HQ
• Operations
• Pilot Line
• Advanced R&D
• Product Development
• Customer Support
& Training
Oerlikon
Solar
Oerlikon
Solar
Intense energy consumption of conventional sources drives CO 2 emission
Energy consumption, particularly power generation, is responsible for CO
2emissions
“Energy production is – by far - the most important driver for emissions of greenhouse gases.”
STERN REVIEW: The Economics of Climate Change
“In 2030, global CO
2emissions will be 70%
more than today … and power generation will account for almost half the increase.”
International Energy Agency: Emissions report
Source: Stern Review “The Economics of Climate Change”; IEA
250 275 300 325 350 375
2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 7.000 8.000
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
CO 2 emissions and concentration in the atmosphere have been rising substantially in the last ~50 years
Source: CO
2concentration: C.D. Keeling, T.P. Whorf et. Al., “Air samples collected at Mauna Loa Observatory Hawaii”;
CO
2emissions: G. Marland, B. Andres, T. Boden, “Global emissions from fossil burning”
CO2 concentration in atmosphere (in ppm)
CO
2emissions from fossil fuels (in M t/year)
CO
2concentration in atmosphere
Carbon emissions from fossil fuels
Pre-industrial CO
2level
CO 2 concentration in atmosphere responsible for global warming and climate change
Upsala Glacier, Arg: Once the biggest in South America, now disappearing at a rate of 200m per year
“According to relevant scientific contributors manmade emissions of carbon dioxide (CO
2) are driving … global climate to unprecedentedly warmer temperatures”
IPCC: Survey of IPCC Climate Experts
“… emissions of carbon dioxide (CO
2), the main gas responsible for climate change, as well as of other 'greenhouse' gases …”
European Commission's Climate Change Campaign
Source: IPCC, European Commission
“According to relevant scientific contributors manmade emissions of carbon dioxide (CO
2) are driving … global climate to unprecedentedly warmer temperatures.”
IPCC: Survey of IPCC Climate Experts
1928
2004
… consequently, the Fossil Fuel Era will be over soon
Energy (fossil sources) for mankind
Years AD
Fossil Fuel Era
Renewables ?
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
Illustration of Fossil Fuel Era Corresponding facts
• Fossil fuel created:
Within the last 600 Million years
• Mankind on earth:
250,000 years
• Fossil Fuel Era:
300 years
(1800 – 2100 AD)
Source: Litsearch
Global Energy Supply until 2100
Source: solarwirtschaft.de
Rural (e.g., water pump)
Ubiquitous
consumer products (e.g., clothing)
Space/ high value (e.g., satellites)
Solar PV enables multiple applications
Residential roof-top
Commercial roof- top
BIPV (building integrated PV)
Power plant/ solar park (Ground- mounted systems, mounting may include tracking)
Roof-top or BIPV installations in villages for public and private buildings
Distributed Centralized
Grid-connected Off-grid
Domestic Non-domestic
Source: IEA, Sarasin; Expert Interviews; Oerlikon analysis
Two major technologies within Solar PV: the established bulk crystalline silicon cells and thin film as challenger
Solar modules based on crystalline silicon
Solar modules based on thin film depositions
Source: Industry Reports; Litsearch
Production:
Solar modules produced on the basis of a (crystalline silicon) wafer
Cell functionality, e.g. contacts for electricity extraction, applied onto crystalline wafer
Economic & ecologic characteristics:
Current silicon shortage makes production significantly more expensive
Relatively high (vs. thin film) CO
2emissions during production due to higher raw material intensity
Market share decreasing
Production:
Modules produced via deposition of very thin films onto a glass substrate
Cell functionality, e.g. contacts, also deposited via thin transparent films
Economic & ecologic characteristics:
Lower module production costs and CO
2emissions due to better raw material
efficiency
Competition of several technologies (e.g., Silicon thin fim, CdTe, CIS/ CIGS) additional driver for cost reductions
Market share increasing
0 50 100 150 200 250
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
GWp
Crystalline silicon Thin film
Oerlikon Solar growth outpaces the photovoltaic market
Ø growth rate 2006-2015
Thin film 74.8%
Crystalline Si 49.4%
Total market 54.0%
(million CHF)
Revenue goals*
>1.000
>700
>300
>140
*Revenues 06-07 pro forma, Solar as stand-alone segment from 08
Installed production capacity / Solar
Primary Production Technologies for Solar Cells
Substrate Cell Issues
Technology
Crystalline Silicon
Thin Films
Cost
Silicon Supply
Large Scale Mfg.
Efficiency
Thin Film Solar Cell Basics
Manufacturing Order
Thin Film Solar Cell Structure Thin Film Solar
Panels
Glass Lamination Back Contact
PV Material Front Contact
Glass
Thin
Films
Laser Scribers
Define Cells
Key process elements needed for scalable Thin Film PV Manufacturing
LPCVD
Deposit Contacts
PECVD
Deposit PV Material
Micromorph Process Technology– up to 50% more Efficiency
The principle of light trapping to deliver high performance
Best Commercial TCO TCO
Oerlikon TCO
a-Si/ µ-Si
a- Si:H
c-Si:H
Amorph
Micromorph Tandem
Visible Near IR
•Integral to Micromorph process
-High transmission in visible and near IR light spectrums
•The goal is to optimize the haze
to better the performance.
Oerlikon is the leading supplier of silicon thin film turnkey solutions
Source: Oerlikon
TCO 1200 – Proprietary TCO Enables Higher Efficiency
TCO TCO
Clean Laser PECVD Laser Laser Assembly
TCO: Transparent Conductive Oxides TCO
TCO back contact
TCO 1200 – Proprietary TCO Enables Higher Efficiency
TCO TCO
Clean Laser PECVD Laser Laser Assembly
The principle of light trapping
Haze 10-25%
T 400-800 93%
T 400-1100 92%
R s <10 Ohm
KAI 1200 – Proven Technology for PV Layers
- Plasma Box
®for single reactor processing
- 40 MHz for increased deposition rates - Parallel processing (20 reactors) and
load lock for high throughput
PECVD
Clean TCO Laser Laser TCO Laser Assembly
amorph micromorph
2 µm 0.3 µm
LSS 1200: Key to Efficiency and Reproducibility
Pattern 3
Laser Laser Laser
Clean TCO PECVD TCO Assembly
The only system qualified for - mass production
- all 3 laser scribing patterns
Back Contact (TCO) a-Si:H
Glass TCO
Pattern 1 Pattern 2
Pattern 3
Pattern 1 Pattern 2
LSS 1200: Key to Efficiency and Reproducibility
Pattern 3
Laser Laser Laser
Clean TCO PECVD TCO Assembly
The only system qualified for - mass production
- all 3 laser scribing patterns
Pattern 1 Pattern 2
It’s All About Lowering Cost per Watt to Reach Grid Parity
$
W p = Total Cost
Throughput x Power
Turnkey Advanced Manufacturing Lines
Micromorph High Efficiency Tandem Solar Cells Oerlikon
Advantage
Cost of Ownership Development to Grid Parity
Thin Film Si Roadmap
Current small
fabs
Equipment cost decrease
Material cost decrease
Other cost decrease
Tact time decrease
Cell efficiency
increase
Economies
of scale 2010 large
fabs
2007
for 20 MWp fabs
< 1.5 $/Wp (<1.12€*/Wp)
2010
for GWp campuses
< 0.7 $/Wp (<0.52€*/Wp)
0 20 40 60 80 100%
*exchange rate 1€ = 1.34$
Achieving Grid Parity
1.5
1.0
0.5
Cost of ownership
Grid Parity
2010 2009
2008
2006 2007
$/Wp
2011 2012
2007 2008 2009 2010
2012
2.00
CapEx per Watt
3.00 4.00
Module efficiency
10%
9%
8%
7%
2010 2009
2008
2006 2007
Amorph
Micromorph Tandem
Next
Generation Thin-Film
2011 2012 11%
13%
12%
Fab nominal capacity
1 0.3 0.12 0.08 0.04
GW/p
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
c a p a c it y
2012
$/W
3.50
2.50
1.50
GigaFab
(Calculated with an exchange rate of €1.00 =$1.34)