33
1 S ta tis tic a l S tu d ie s a n d C o n su lt in g
1.1
E x p e rie n c e
StatisticalConsultingcoversawidespectrum:•Knowledgeandskilloftheclientandtheconsultant
•Goalsoftheproject“HowshouldIinterpretthisoutput?”“Areviewerhascriticizedthefollowing:...HowcanIjustifymyapproach?”“IhavebeentoldtodoaConjointAnalysis.Whichprogramdoesthisforme?”“Ihavehereaninterestingdataset.Iwouldliketoapplymultivariatemethods.”
34
Roles:Statisticianis
•consultantwithalimitedtask(limitedliability)
•responsibleforadequatestatisticalanalysisofthedata
•partnerintheproject,fromplanningtoreporting/article
35 .1
cCommunication
•Whoposesthe(scientific)problem,andtowhomshouldtheanswerbetargeted?Whateffortwillthetargetedpersonsmaketounderstandtheanswer?
−→Typeofanswer,approachesthatcanbeunderstood.
•Whatknowledgedothetargetedpersons–thespecialists–thestatisticianshave?
•Howmucheffortcanbeinvested?(Money,time,energy)
36
Criticalpoints.Atthebeginningclarify:
•theproblem(“scientific”question).Informalquestionsareok.attheoutset,butmustbemadeprecise!
−→leadstomethodology=modelsandprocedures
•structureofthedata:Howhave/willtheybegenerated?Searchforgroupings–blocks,–”main/subplot”/”within/betweensubjects”–”closeness”inspaceortime.
37 .1
eWhyisdatastructureimportant?Statistics=model+estimationofparametersestimationwithoutindicationofprecisionismeaningless−→”standarderror”−→confidenceintervalortest.
Determinationofs.e.needsindependentobservations(oragoodmodelforthedependencies)If(positive)correlationsamongobservationsareneglected,
−→s.e.willbeunder-estimated
−→tooshortconfidenceintervalsor”liberaltests”(=wrong!)
Lookforindependentgroupsofobservations!Doanyanalysisyoulike,asforindividualobservations,thenusebootstrapovergroupstogetprecision.