Ten Years of Polish Inter-Regional Migration Data

TEN YEARS OF POLISH INTER-REGIONAL

~UGRATION

DATA

S.M. Zawadzki

October 1975

~vP-75-122

Working Papers are not intended for dis- tribution outside of IIASA, and are solely for discussion and information purposes.

The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect those of

IIASA.

Ten Years of Polish Inter-regional Migration Data

Foreword

At the December 1974 Conference on National Settlement Systems and Strategies held here at IIASA, I rather casually asked Dr. S.M. Komorowski whether i t would be possible to get some hitherto unpublished inter-regional migration data from his country. Poland's system of voivodships and major cities, plus the civil necessity of registering address

changes, meant that somewhere there had to be what by

'~estern

standards would be a rather complete and elaborate system of migration statistics. To my knowledge, the Eastern European countries, Japan, and Sweden are among the few countries whose population flow statistics might permit a level of hypothesis testing and model calibration well beyond that which is normally possible. Dr. Komorowski said he'd see what

^l

could be done; Dr. Ross MacKinnon gave him a note speci-

fying in some detail what, ideally, we'd like, and six months later came the letter from Prof. Zawadzki and the data which appear in these pages. With their permission we are pleased to publish these highly interesting data for the use of

interested scholars in the IIASA community. To both, our thanks.

Harry Swain

September 1975

KOMISJA PlANOWANIA

PRZY

RADZIE MINISTROW

;\

.,

.

Dear Prof. Swain,

Warszawa, dn..

;';A.~Ytl· ...

197.? .... r.

Enclosed please find the reguired data on inter - regional migration in Poland.

We are very sorry that we kept Mr. MacKinnon waiting for them such a long time. However, the crude data will not be useful to you. Thus, we considered necessary to elaborate them especially in respel:t of the consistency of time series.

The reasons are explained in the attached explanatory note; there has been changes in territorial organisation and division, changes in classification, as well as there was the 1970 population census.

We are very interested in the further development of your study. Please keep us informed d about the achieved progress.

With kind regards,

Sincerely Yours,

f,,·re. telegr.: KOMPLAN

cc: Prof. A. Straszak Prof. R. Domanski Prof. Harry Swain Project Leader

Urban and Regional Systems International Institute

for Applied Systems Analysis

2361 LAXENB URG AUSTRIA

, ••••. ) . . . - - L ~

( ."

Prc)f

.'S:M":Zawadzki

Director, Long-term Planning Dpt.

Poland: Inter -regional migration data

1. For purely technical reasons all tables are in Polish language.

Thus, an English translation of all headings and footnotes are attached to each table.

2. The inter-regional linter -VoivodshiPI migration tables are based on the tables on migratory movements published by G. U. S. IG16wny

Urzqd Statystyczny - Central Statistical Gncel which have been compiled:

- for years 1964 - 1966: using representative I samplel method - for years 1967 - 1973: using full detailed registration data The act of migration - of anyone person - in understood as a

factual and formal change of its permanent residence which involves the crossing of the border of the administrative 'lmit. The change of the permanent residence is subject to compulsory registration and the legislation as well as practical reasons virtually preclude the possibility to avoid such registration.

3. There was an incosistency between the data for 1969 and 1970 - the year of population census - of course, obvious Itheir origin should be trace{ to the previous population census as well as to the

period in which the tables have been compiled using representative - sample - estimations I . To secure consistency data for 1963 and 1968 have been estimated basing on the 1970 census and effective increments previously registered Inatural increment .t ^migration

balance I . This estimation is given in table A.

4. The residuals in the population balances for 1968 - 1973 results from:

al changes in administrative organisation Ithe number of basic units, previously villages, was reduced, thus creating a new larger basic unit - the commune; some changes in regions

_'border~

was realted with/; this happen the 1st January, 1973.

- 2 -

b/ changes in the criteria of classification /beginning with the 1st January, 1973/ - pcople rcgistered as temporary residents for a period of time longcI" than 2 months have been considered as migrants. Table B shm:,,"s the differences caused by this change.

17th July, 1973

- 3 -

Table A Headings:

===========

'!i..

<:!e_~~~:!~<:

_- VOivodship / considered as a region/; major towns which have a status equal to voivodship are also 'considered

q.s

regions.

Ludnosc - population lin thousClllds/

Przyrost. nat. - natural increment Saldo migr. - migration balance Przyrost rzecz. - actual increment S zac. wlasny - our estimation

GUS - G. U . S. /Central Statistical Office/ estimation roznica - difference

further headings are using the same expressions Rows:

=======

Polska og61em: Poland total

M. st . Warszawa - Capital town - Warsaw

M.

Krakow - Town Krakow

M. 1.6di - Town Lodi

M.

Poznan - Town Poznan

M.

Wroclaw - Town Wroclaw all other are voivodships - regions Footnotes:

==========-=

1/ the figure is by 1,3 thousand persons larger than the estimations for the end of 1970 resulting from the final results of the census because the later introduced by GUS correction was considered

/difference between corrections and administrative delating of residents from the registers/ .

2/ result of the deduction of the "GUS estimation" from "our estimation"

- 4 -

Table B Headings:

===========

Wojewodztwo - voivodship /for further explanations see table A/

1973 rok - year 1973

Saldo migr. z meld. na pob.

CZ"lS. -

migration balance including --- --

registrations of temporary residents / over two months of stay/

Roznica - difference

wg. podz. admin. przed 1. I. 1973r . - following the administrative division before the 1st January, 1973 wg. podz. administr. po 1.1.73 - following the administrative

---

division after the 1st January, 1973 roznl..:a - difference

roznica razem - total difference

Footnotes:

==========

1/ Column 3 = - column 1 - column 2 2/ Column 6

=

column 5 - column 4

3/ Column 7 = column 3

+

column 6 = disparity of balance

4/ additional correction of 0,2 tousand people between the Poznan

and Lodi voivodships /not towns/

- 5 -

Migracje miedzywojewodzkie 1964r - interreginal migrations 1964 kQ - number

Do woj. - to the voivodship Z woj. - from the voivodship

OdElyw - emigration lout - flowl

Haply! - imigration lin - flowl

The same translation is valid for all tables - matrixes for

years: 1964, 1965, 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973

- 6 - two tables

Bilans ludnosci na lata 1964 - 1968 ••••••••••••••• 1969 - 197'

Headings:

- - - - - ---

do wojew. - to the voivodship z 't1ojew. from the vCivodship Polska og61em - Poland total

MiB~cje

miedzy-woJewodzkie - intervoivodships migrations

Erni~racje

- emigrations I foreign out - migrationsl

Odplyw og61em - total outflow

Saldo migracji - migration balance wewn. - internal

zewn. - foreign og61em - total

Ruch naturalny - natural movements urodz. zywe - live births

r.gony - deceases

przyrost naturalny- - natural increment

Ludnosc 31.XII.1963 r - Population on 31st December, 1963 Przyrost rzeczywisty - actual increment

Ludnosc 31.XII.1968 - Population on 31st December, 1968

SUMa niezbilansowana - discrepancy lonly in table for 1969-19731

Rm'1B :

---- ----

Polska og61em: Poland total

Imi~cje

- imigrations Iforeign in - migrationsl

Naplyw og61em - total inflow

TablicaA

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56,6 81,2 55,7 29,1 53,6 51,4 90,0 74,5 55,8 81,4 82,9 51,71,1,

+64,6 +29,(; +1,3 -40,6 -27,3 -29,3 -21,8 -11,1 -13,5 -19,6 +3,9 -29,2 -28,9

12,0 13,6 5,3 8,2 18,2, 65,9 121,8 83,0 58,4 75,4 62,5 103,5 94,1 51,9 110,8 111,8 52,8

+13,6 +13,2 +13,8 -20,7 93,4-5,7 83,5+15,2 129,5+30,6 81,0:-46,8 55,3

1278,8+13,.7 565,3+2,4 749,7+6,5 457,4+,3,8 512,2+0,1 1183,6-22,6 1897,9-17,6 1441,6-13,3 3614,1+20,5 1902,2-26,7 780,7-3,9 2185,5-33.0 1945,7-40,7 1684,1-26,2 980,8,-14,9 1036,9+3,4 2170,7-10,4 1747,4-21,1 886,9-9,0 2543.8-54,8 1984,4-28,9 876,0-9,3

756,2 461,2

1292,5 567,7 512,3 lL61,0 1880,3 1428,3 3634,6 1875,5 776,8 2152,5 1905,0 1657,9 965,9 1040,3 2160,3 1726,3 877,9 2489,0 1955,5 866,7

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13,5 10,8 3,3 6,1 8,2 7,4 16,4 20,8 35,3 7,0 9,9 16,4 10,1 5,1 10,1 9,3 15,2 16,4 10,4 13,8 11,3 10,3

1,0 5,2 1,6 0,2 7,0 9,5 -0,1

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