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Climate-Signal-Map

Change in annual total precipitation

Contact details of editors:

Climate Service Center 2.0 Fischertwiete 1

D-20095 Hamburg

Telephone: +49-(0)40-226 338 0 E-Mail: cs-info@hzg.de

www.climate-service-center.de

On behalf of

Background information

A Climate-Signal-Map shows the mean projected change of a climate parameter averaged for the time period of 2036 to 2065 compared to the average for the time period of 1971 to 2000.

The map is based on a set of 66 climate change projections from a multitude of recent global cli- mate models, resampeled on a regular 5° x 5°

grid. It combines simulations following three dif- ferent emission scenarios.

Projected changes are regarded as robust, if at least 2/3 of all models project changes that are:

- in the same direction (decrease/increase), and - statistically signifi cant, and

- insensitive to small shifts of the reference and scenario time periods.

All areas with robust climate change signals are highlighted with color. All areas with non-robust changes are marked with grey.

More details on the method can be found under www.climate-service-center.de/climate-signal-maps

Legend

Increase in annual total precipitation:

more then/equal to 25 percent ...

more than 15 and less than 25 percent less than/equal to 15 percent ...

Decrease in annual total precipitation:

more than/equal to 25 percent ...

more than 15 and less than 25 percent less than/equal to 15 percent ...

Projected changes not robust ...

© Climate Service Center 2.0, December 2014

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