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Working Group on the State of the Environment and Nature Conservation

Tallinn, Estonia, 7-11 November, 2016

STATE & CONSERVATION 5-2016

Document title Pre-core indicator ‘Diatom-Dinoflagellate index’ – proposal to shift status to core indicator

Code 4J-6

Category DEC

Agenda Item 4J – HELCOM indicators and assessments Submission date 14.10.2016

Submitted by PEG

Reference STATE & CONSERVATION 2-2015 (paragraph 4J.10 of the outcome)

Background

HOD 48-2015 agreed on the shift of the ‘Diatom/Dinoflagellate index’ from candidate to pre-core indicator (paragraph 3.63 and Annex 4 of the outcome).

HOD 48-2015 agreed on a Lead Country approach for further development work on the core indicators (paragraph 3.64 of the outcome). The Lead Country for the indicator is Germany, with Co-Lead countries Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Poland and Sweden.

The development work on the pre-core indicator has been communicated with the PEG 2016 meeting. The further development work has focused on operationalizing the indicator by developing GES boundaries and exploring how assessment unit specific indicator evaluations can be made.

This document presents the indicator report for ‘Diatom/Dinoflagellate index’ which includes the assessment protocol and GES boundary proposals for Kiel Bay, Bay of Mecklenburg, Arkona Basin, Bornholm Basin, Eastern Gotland Basin.

Action requested

The Meeting is invited to:

 endorse the shift in indicator status from pre-core to core,

 endorse the assessment protocol,

 endorse the assessment unit specific GES boundary proposals for Kiel Bay, Bay of Mecklenburg, Arkona Basin, Bornholm Basin and Eastern Gotland Basin.

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Diatom-Dinoflagellate index – pre-core indicator endorsement proposal

Indicator Report:

Diatom/Dinoflagellate Index

Key message ... 2

Relevance of the core indicator ... 3

Policy relevance of the core indicator ... 3

Results and confidence ... 4

Confidence of the indicator status evaluation ... 5

Good Environmental Status ... 6

GES boundary derivation ... 6

Assessment protocol ... 8

Calculations and data requirements ... 8

Assessment units ... 10

Indicator concept ... 11

Role of diatoms and dinoflagellates in the ecosystem and their potential as indicators ... 11

Monitoring requirements ... 12

Monitoring methodology ... 12

Description of optimal monitoring, ... 12

Current monitoring ... 12

Description of data and up-dating ... 13

Metadata ... 13

Contributors ... 13

Publications ... 13

Publications used in the indicator ... 13

Additional relevant publications ... 14

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Key message

The Diatom/Dinoflagellate index (Dia/Dino index) reflects the dominance patterns in the phytoplankton spring bloom. It has high relevance for the pathway of the food into the pelagic or benthic food web (descriptor 4 of the MSFD). Moreover, it may indicate silicate limitation which is an effect of eutrophication (descriptor 5 of the MSFD).

It is supposed that this indicator is applicable in all regions where diatoms and dinoflagellates are native and have the potential to form blooms, which is almost the entire Baltic Sea. As dinoflagellates are rarely of limnetic origin, it might be not valid in coastal areas of low salinity (e.g. in lagoons, large river plumes and parts of the Gulfs of Bothnia and Finland). Currently, the index is not directly applicable with the Finnish monitoring data (see section “Assessment units”).

GES-boundaries are different in different sea areas. High Dia/Dino indices, i.e. diatom dominance in the spring blooms, are considered to indicate Good Environmental Status (GES). After a regime shift at the end of the 1980s in the Baltic Proper, the diatom/dinoflagellate index recovered. Generally it can be said that most regions of the Baltic Proper have regained a good environmental status after the year 2000.

The phytoplankton monitoring is operational in the whole Baltic Sea using methods prescribed in the COMBINE manual. Currently, a high quality of the data is assured by the experts of the HELCOM Phytoplankton Expert Group (PEG). The confidence of the indicator evaluation will depend on the data frequency. The data have to represent the diatom and dinoflagellate blooms adequately. If the diatom bloom is not sufficiently represented in the data, an alternative Dia/Dino index may be applied, based on silicate consumption data. This indicator is robust; its calculation is simple and traceable. It is a descriptive trend indicator than can hardly be manipulated by measures.

Relevance of the core indicator

Phytoplankton is the key primary producer in marine ecosystems, and diatoms and dinoflagellates are dominating groups in spring. They play a decisive role as food for higher trophic levels. Shifts in the diatom/dinoflagellate ratio may have high relevance for the nutrition of zooplankton and the following trophic levels. They influence even the benthos as diatom blooms sink quickly down and contribute more food to zoobenthos than dinoflagellates, which stay longer in the water column. The Dia/Dino index is primarily a descriptive trend indicator for changes in the food web, but it may also indicate aggravation in eutrophication.

Policy relevance of the core indicator

This indicator may be applied to the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD), descriptor 4 (Food web) and probably descriptor 5 (Eutrophication). As it deals with the principal pelagic food basis in spring, it establishes a link to the higher trophic levels both in the pelagic and the benthic communities. Assessments on the structure and functioning of the marine food web are requested by the Baltic Sea Action Plan (BSAP) and the (MSFD).

Primary importance Secondary importance BSAP

Segment and Objective:

Eutrophication and biodiversity segment

Thriving and balanced communities of plants and animals

Natural Distribution and occurrence of plants and animals

MSFD

Descriptors and Criteria:

D4, D5, (D1)

4.3.1 Abundance trends of functionally important selected groups/Species (Key trophic groups) 5.2. Direct effects of nutrients: species shift in floristic composition such as diatom/flagellate ratio

1.6. Habitat condition: Condition of the typical species and communities, relative abundance and/or biomass 1.7. Composition and relative proportion of ecosystem components

4.1. Productivity of key species or trophic groups (productivity, biomass)

Other relevant legislation:

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A sort of diatom/dinoflagellate-ratio is already considered by OSPAR, as described in Results. It may have importance in the whole ICES area. The ICES-Working Group on Phytoplankton and Microbial Ecology (WGPME) discussed this ratio and will consider it in the planned „ICES phytoplankton and microbial plankton status report“. The recent status report is available at http://wgpme.net/status-report-now.

Results and confidence

The Dia/Dino index was calculated and discussed by representative members of the HELCOM-

Phytoplankton Expert Group (PEG) for different sea areas and already reported to the CORESET II project.

We don’t want to present the detailed results again but only show some examples in order to explain the principles of the Dia/Dino index on the example of the Arkona Basin. In Figure 1, the peaks of the diatom and dinoflagellate biomass in spring are shown. It becomes obvious that the bloom is met more or less in the different years. We inserted a horizontal line at 1000 µg/L for the suggested threshold that marks roughly 25 % of the average peak biomass of diatoms plus dinoflagellates over the investigation period. If this threshold is applied, the years 1981, 1982, 1983, 1985, 1988, 1992 2006, 2007, 2008, 2012 and 2013 have to be excluded.

Figure 1. Biomass maxima of diatoms and dinoflagellates in each spring since 1979 in the Arkona Basin. The horizontal line marks the biomass threshold suggested as criterion for the applicability of the Dia/Dino index in this region.

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Figure 2. The Dia/Dino index, based on maximum values or mean values of wet weight (March-May), and alternative Dia/Dino index, based on silicate consumption for separate years in the Arkona Basin. The years marked with a cross (X) were excluded from calculations. The red line marks the GES suggested for the regular Dia/Dino index and the green line that for the alternative Dia/Dino index.

In Figure 2, the Dia/Dino indices of all years are shown, but the years that have to be excluded are marked with a cross (X). The indices based on seasonal means (red curves) and those based on maxima of diatom and dinoflagellate biomass (blue curve) are shown in parallel. As already mentioned in section “Calculations and data requirements“, Note 4, these two modes of calculation give similar results. The alternative

Dia/Dino index based on silicate consumption is shown as a green curve. The suggested GES borders are added as horizontal lines. They are explained in Section “Good Environmental State”.

Confidence of the indicator status evaluation

An advantage of this indicator is that the basic data are already collected in running monitoring programs.

Common manuals and reporting formats exist. Long-term data are stored in data banks, primarily the COMBINE database hosted at ICES, and are available.

Due to their high biomass, the data on diatoms and dinoflagellates are more robust than those of rare phytoplankton groups.

A problem with low-frequency monitoring is that the maximum of the bloom is normally not

detected/sampled and also the duration of the bloom cannot be determined. Whereas dinoflagellate blooms may last longer, the quickly growing and quickly disappearing diatom blooms can hardly be

represented (cf. Lips et al. 2014). Therefore an alternative Dia/Dino index is introduced as a second option.

Precondition for a reliable calculation of the alternative Dia/Dino index is a sufficient temporal coverage of silicate data from beginning of February to the end of May in order to find the most realistic maxima and minima.

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Good Environmental Status

The indicator evaluates the Good Environmental Status (GES) as a deviation of the spring phytoplankton community from the status during a reference period. The status of the phytoplankton is described by the ratio of diatoms and dinoflagellates during spring. As the reference conditions for the Dia/Dino index, are different in different sea areas, the GES boundaries are dependent on the area.

For the areas between Kiel Bay and the Eastern Gotland Basin, assessment unit specific GES boundaries are suggested as shown in Table 1.

Table 1: GES boundary proposal for selected areas of the Baltic Sea, separated for the regular and the alternative Dia/Dino index. Region GES (regular Dia/Dino index) GES (alternat. Dia/Dino

index)

Kiel Bay 0.75 0.94

Bay of Mecklenburg 0.75 0.93

Arkona Basin 0.7 0.90

Bornholm Basin 0.6 Still open

Eastern Gotland Basin 0.5 0.8

GES boundary derivation

As GES does not imply pristine conditions, other than pristine conditions may represent a GES. For the purposes of the indicator, the 1980’s have been selected as a reference period, as these are the oldest regularly sampled monitoring data available in most areas. Strong and sudden deviations from the status of the reference period indicate impairment in the environmental status.

In areas of the Baltic Sea where older historical data are available, they may serve as the reference. This is the case for Kiel Bay. Thanks to the early investigations of Lohmann (1908) and Busch (1916-1920),

historical data from Kiel Bay exist and are considered as the reference status period for this area. Even data from Gillbricht (1951) from the years 1949-1950 could be included. Based on the compilation of Wasmund et al. (2008), the diatom and dinoflagellate peaks of each spring were selected during the reference period and the Diatom/Dinoflagellate Index (Dia-Dino index) was calculated. The HELCOM definition of spring from February to April in this region was used. The results are given in Table 2. Also data from more recent years (2001-2003) are inserted into Table 2, but they will be discussed below.

Table 2. The Diatom/Dinoflagellate Index, calculated from seasonal carbon biomass peaks, in historical and more recent years, based on data compiled by Wasmund et al. (2008)

Year Date of diatom maximum

Date of dinoflagellate maximum

Dia/Dino index Original data source

1905 12.4.1905 12.4.1905 0.99 Lohmann (1908)

1906 11.4.1906 11.4.1906 0.87 Lohmann (1908)

1912 3.4.1912 3.4.1912 0.97 Busch (1916-1920)

1913 7.3.1913 13.2.1913 0.95 Busch (1916-1920)

1950 19.3.1950 30.3.1950 0.94 Gillbricht (1951)

2001 13.3.2001 26.3.2001 0.97 Göbel

2002 18.3.2002 2.4.2002 0.92 Göbel

2003 17.2.2003 17.2.2003 0.91 Göbel

Mean Dia/Dino index as reference (1905-1950): 0.94 Historical data From the first 5 lines, i.e. 1905-1950, it appears that the historical Dia/Dino index was always higher than 0.87 with a mean value of 0.94 (Table 1). The question is how far the index can deviate from this sort of

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reference value to still indicate GES. If a deviation of 20 % from the historical mean value is tolerated, a reduction by 0.19 is allowed leading to a suggested GES boundary of 0.75. It implies still a clear dominance of diatoms over dinoflagellates and marks just the middle between the value of balanced diatom and dinoflagellate biomass (Dia/Dino index = 0.5) and total diatom dominance (Dia/Dino index = 1.0). It allows an early warning of a possible long-term increase in dinoflagellates already long before dinoflagellate dominance.

Also in the northern Baltic Proper and the Gulf of Finland historical data from 1903-1911 show that diatoms were clearly dominant at that time. Even if the data presented by Hällfors et al. (2013) are relative data, we tried to calculate a historical Dia/Dino index from their “relative importance” information, which results in an index of 0.67. If this value is taken seriously and a deviation by 20 % is allowed, we may calculate a GES boundary of 0.54. This is close to the reversal point of 0.5 between diatom and dinoflagellate dominance.

For the Baltic Proper we suggest tentatively a GES boundary of 0.5. A Dia/Dino index > 0.5, i.e. diatom dominance, is indicating GES.

The GES boundary for the alternative Dia/Dino index are derived from those of the regular Dia/Dino index.

The linear correlation between the data of these two Dia/Dino indices is calculated as shown in Figure 3.

The example of the Arkona Basin (Figure 2) shows that GES has failed in the years 1991, 1996 and 1999.

Control by means of the alternative Dia/Dino index gives the same result. The regular Dia/Dino index of the year 2007 must not be calculated because the bloom criterion of 1000 µg/L was not reached. In that case, the alternative Dia/Dino index may be tried, which clearly indicates GES for that year.

Figure 3. Derivation of the GES for the alternative Dia/Dino index (based on silicate) from that of the regular Dia/Dino index (based on biomass) by regression between both.

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Assessment protocol

Calculations and data requirements

The analysis required for the indicator evaluation is that the biomass of planktonic diatoms is divided by the biomass of autotrophic (+ mixotrophic) dinoflagellates. In order to let this indicator range from 0 to 1, the ratio is calculated as follows:

Dia/Dino index = Biomass of diatoms

Biomass of diatoms + Biomass of dinoflagellates

The following conditions have to be fulfilled for the analysis to be valid:

 The data must be based on a representative sample of the upper mixed water layer (see Note 1)

 Only the autotrophic (inclusive mixotrophic) part of the pelagic community has to be included (see Note 2)

 The biomass has to be given in wet weight (see Note 3)

 Seasonal mean values have to be inserted into the formula (see Note 4)

 The Dia/Dino index refers only to the spring season (see Note 5)

 The spring biomass maxima of diatoms or dinoflagellates have to exceed a threshold (see Note 6) Note 1: For practical reasons, a representative sample from the upper mixed layer irrespective of the sampling depth should be sufficient. Only in spring, the upper mixed layer is rather deep and comprises the whole euphotic (trophogenic) layer. Deep chlorophyll maxima, frequently formed by dinoflagellates, seem to rarely occur in spring. The influence of day-time is low, and thus the time of day need not be considered in the sampling guidelines.

Note 2: Diatoms are always considered as autotrophic, but dinoflagellates may also be mixotrophic or heterotrophic. The mode of nutrition is difficult to identify. Pigmented dinoflagellates are considered as autotrophs. Even the chloroplasts are sometimes hard to recognize. The bloom-forming dinoflagellates of the spring (Peridiniella catenata, Biecheleria baltica, Gymnodinium corollarium, Scrippsiella hangoei (cf.

Klais et al. 2013) are autotrophs. A minor error in a few doubtful dinoflagellates will not affect the index.

Note 3: The biomass in the numerator and denominator has to be given in the same units. Wet weight or carbon units can be used, but as carbon data are frequently lacking in older data, wet weight is preferred. If carbon units are used the Dia/Dino index is skewed. As large diatoms have a big vacuole that contains only little organic carbon, the Dia/Dino index will be lower in comparison with that based on wet weight.

However, especially in spring, when small diatoms dominate, the deviation is not as large as in other seasons and may be acceptable. An example from the Gdansk Basin (Figure 4) shows that results based on either wet weight or carbon are very close to each other, except for the year 2011 when large cells of Thalassiosira baltica occurred in significant amounts.

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Figure 4.Trends in the Dia/Dino index in the Gdansk Basin. Comparison between use of the wet weight (brown curve) and carbon (violet curve).

Note 4: If sampling dates or numbers of samples are very irregularly distributed during the spring months, monthly means have to be calculated before seasonal means are calculated from the monthly means. An easier calculation is that based on the peaks of diatoms and dinoflagellates within the spring period.

Surprisingly, the Dia/Dino indices based on mean values and maximum values do not deviate much. Both are shown in Figure 2 as blue and red curves. We suggest applying the mean values as it considers also the duration of the bloom.

Note 5: The Dia/Dino index reflects the conditions during the spring bloom because this is the most prominent bloom in the annual cycle. The strongest effect of eutrophication (new nutrients) and global warming is expected in spring. Other arguments for using spring data are given in Note 3. Spring is defined as the period from February to April in the Kattegat/Belt Sea area and from March to May in the Baltic Proper (see also Carstensen et al. 2004).

Note 6: It has to be assured that the bloom was met. We suggest a biomass threshold of 1000 µg/L which has to be exceeded either by the diatoms or the dinoflagellates as a criterion. If this value is missed, the regular Dia/Dino index must not be calculated. The suggested value may be adapted to the specific conditions in different regions.

Note 7: Missing the diatom bloom may have two consequences: (1) The regular Dia/Dino index cannot be calculated because the threshold was missed (Note 6) or (2) the biomass threshold is just passed but the Dia/Dino index is unusually low nevertheless. In that case the diatom biomass can be calculated on the basis of silicate consumption as suggested by Wasmund et al. (2013). The resulting alternative Dia/Dino index is calculated as follows:

Dia/Dino index = [Si(max) − Si(min)] ∗ 100 [µgC /L]

[Si(max) − Si(min)] ∗ 100 + wet weight [µg /L]of dinoflagel.∗ 0.13

The silicate consumption is converted to diatom growth in carbon units by use of the factors N:Si = 1.25 mol/mol (Sarthou et al., 2005), C:N = 6,625 (Redfield et al., 1963) and the molar mass of carbon; the combined factor is roughly 100 (1.25*6.625*12.01=99.5). The wet weight of dinoflagellates is converted to carbon units by a factor of 0.13 (Edler 1979). The alternative Dia/Dino index is normally higher than the regular Dia/Dino index because the silicate consumption estimates the maximal possible diatom biomass (cf. Figure 2). Therefore, different GES values have to be derived.

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Assessment units

The characteristics for this indicator are different in the different sea areas of the Baltic Sea and require derivation of assessment unit specific GES-boundaries. This was clearly outlined by Klais et al. (2011), see Error! Reference source not found.5. GES values have to be determined for each assessment unit

eparately. Thus the evaluation using the assessment protocol must also be carried out separately for each assessment unit (Figure 6).

The intention is to make the assessment unit areas as large as possible without including areas of

completely different characteristics. For example, it has to be tested whether the ‘Northern Baltic Proper Finnish Coastal waters’ (Finnish Archipelago), ‘Northern Baltic Proper Swedish Coastal waters’ (Stockholm Archipelago) and ’Northern Baltic Proper Estonian Coastal waters’ (West Estonian Archipelago) can be combined with the open Northern Baltic Proper. It has also to be tested, whether the coastal waters may be combined with the open sea of the different assessment units.

In the southern part of the Gulf of Riga the possibility to combine coastal- and off-shore assessment units was tested by separating the coastal, transitional and central waters (Figure 7). For the Gulf of Riga it seems to be appropriate to pool these data. Also for Kiel Bight, open sea and coastal stations were separately tested and they agreed in their Dia/Dino indices (Table 3).

Figure 5. Spatial variability in the proportion of dinoflagellates in the pelagic community in spring. The thick contour line separates dinoflagellate dominance (>0.5) and diatom dominance (<0.5), Klais et al. (2011).

Please note that a high proportion in this figure relates to a low Dia/Dino index.

Figure 6. Assessment units according to HELCOM

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Figure 7.Trends of the Dia/Dino index in the southern Gulf of Riga, separated for coastal, transitional and central stations. Index based on wet weight peak values of spring (March to May), Latvian data; all years that had data from 1-3 months were included.

Table 3. Dia/Dino indices based on maximum values in Kiel Bight, separated into open sea water and coastal water, for 2006-2010.

Year Open sea water Coastal water

2006 0.94 0.95

2007 0.97 0.99

2008 0.86 0.97

2009 0.87 1.00

2010 0.99 0.99

Preliminary tests of this indicator were already conducted in the framework of the projects CORESET II and a German project supported by Bundesamt für Naturschutz (BfN).

Currently, the index is not directly applicable with the Finnish monitoring data, since Finnish open sea monitoring does not cover spring season, and defining the GES targets for the Finnish coastal areas is not applicable at the moment due to lack of sufficient monitoring data (the Finnish coastal monitoring has started only in 1990’s).

Indicator concept

Role of diatoms and dinoflagellates in the ecosystem and their potential as indicators

Phytoplankton is a basic component of the food web in aquatic ecosystems and influences the global carbon cycle significantly (e.g. Smetacek 1999). Diatoms and dinoflagellates are the main components of the phytoplankton community not only in the Baltic Sea but also in the oceans. Their biomass can reach 6 g/m3 or more in the Baltic Proper.

Strong changes in the diatom/dinoflagellate ratio in spring blooms in the southern Baltic Proper were discovered by Wasmund et al. (1998) and identified by Alheit et al. (2005) as regime shifts. Such regime shifts are of high concern as they impact the whole food web. A dinoflagellate to diatom ratio has already been suggested “to reflect ecosystem state and the quality of the phytoplankton community as food for

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zooplankton” in the GES-REG project final report on food web indicators, September 2013 (Uusitalo et al.

2013, p.9).

The phytoplankton spring bloom does not only feed the pelagic food web, but sinks partly to the bottom where it feeds the benthic food web. Diatoms are much more susceptible to sedimentation than

dinoflagellates and therefore the main contributor of organic matter to the benthos (Heiskanen 1998). Thus the Dia/Dino index may indicate whether the food substances stay primarily in the pelagial or are exported to the benthal. An indicator of the pathway of the food is of high interest for assessing the status of the environment.

Phytoplankton reacts directly to eutrophication by biomass increase, reflected in an increase in chlorophyll- a concentrations, which is already approved as a core indicator. The search for indicator species for

eutrophication was not successful. However, the Dia/Dino index may have an indicator function based on the silicate requirement of diatoms. Eutrophication is mainly caused by anthropogenic input of nitrogen and phosphorus but not silicate. As silicate concentrations decrease with eutrophication, this nutrient may become the limiting nutrient for diatom growth (Danielsson et al. 2008). The Dia/Dino index will be able to indicate severe silicate limitation provoked by eutrophication.

Monitoring requirements

Monitoring methodology

HELCOM common monitoring of the phytoplankton community is described in general terms in the HELCOM Monitoring Manual in the programme topic: Phytoplankton.

The indicator will use the HELCOM monitoring data, which are available since 1979. The methods for sampling, sample analysis and calculation of carbon biomass are described in the COMBINE manual. The COMBINE manual guidelines are under review for inclusion in the HELCOM Monitoring Manual during 2015.

According to an early HELCOM regulation, spring in the Kattegat/Belt Sea area was defined from February to April and in the Baltic Proper from March to May. Sampling is to be carried out within this period for the data to be suitable for the purposes of the indicator.

Description of optimal monitoring,

A weekly sampling is the optimal frequency in order to get enough information on the blooms. Only the spring period is considered. The contribution of data from all contracting parties is necessary to reach a sufficient data coverage. In some areas, it can be reached also by ferrybox sampling.

Current monitoring

Unfortunately, the open sea monitoring activities of many countries have been reduced during the last years. This is in some areas compensated by increasing activities of sampling by ferrybox systems. A detailed scheme of stations and sampling times of recent monitoring activities cannot be given at the moment.

The indicator is operational as:

 A monitoring programme for getting the samples is established (HELCOM COMBINE)

 Samples are taken and processed according to guidelines (COMBINE manual)

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 Data are delivered by experts belonging to the HELCOM Phytoplankton Expert Group (PEG) and are therefore of high quality

 The data are regularly reported and stored in national and international data banks (ICES)

Description of data and up-dating

Metadata

It has to be checked if the ICES data base is comfortable to use for this task. Probably it will be more efficient to contact the partners (TMa) directly for the original data. Phytoplankton biomass data and silicate concentration data are wanted.

The current study was primarily based on HELCOM data freely available from the ICES data bank and diverse national contributions. Additional data for the western Baltic Sea were contributed by the State Agency for Agriculture, Environment and Rural Areas, Flintbek, Germany (LLUR) and the State Agency for Environment, Nature Protection and Geology (LUNG). Detailed analyses in the German waters were carried through in the frame of a project supported by Bundesamt für Naturschutz (BfN). The evaluation of the southern part of the Eastern Gotland data was supported by the National Marine Fisheries Research Institutes (NMFRI) statutory activity and Polish National Environmental Monitoring (PMŚ). Further data originated from the Estonian Marine Institute, University of Tartu (EMI), Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Västra Frölunda (SMHI), Latvian Institute of Aquatic Ecology, Department of Marine Monitoring and Finnish Environment Institute, Marine Research Centre (SYKE). In this report, only examples of preliminary results are shown; they may be updated by members of the HELCOM-PEG.

Contributors

Norbert Wasmund 1, Jeanette Göbel 2, Andres Jaanus 3, Marie Johansen 4, Iveta Jurgensone 5, Janina Kownacka 6, Sirpa Lehtinen 7

1 Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research, Warnemünde, Germany (IOW)

2 State Agency for Agriculture, Environment and Rural Areas, Flintbek, Germany (LLUR)

3 Estonian Marine Institute, University of Tartu, Estonia (EMI)

4 Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Västra Frölunda, Sweden (SMHI)

5 Latvian Institute of Aquatic Ecology, Riga, Latvia (LIAE)

6 National Marine Fisheries Research Institute, Gdynia, Poland (NMFRI)

7Finnish Environment Institute, Marine Research Center, Helsinki, Finland (SYKE)

Publications

Publications used in the indicator

Alheit,J., C. Möllmann, J. Dutz, G. Kornilovs, P. Loewe, V. Mohrholz and N. Wasmund (2005). Synchronous ecological regime shifts in the central Baltic and the North Sea in the late 1980s. ICES J. Mar. Sci.

62: 1205-1215.

Busch, W. (1916-1920). Über das Plankton der Kieler Föhrde im Jahre 1912/13. Wiss. Meeresunters., N.F., Abt. Kiel 18, 25-142.

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Carstensen, J., Helminen, U., and Heiskanen, A.-S. (2004). Typology as a structuring mechanism for phytoplankton composition in the Baltic Sea. Coastline Reports 4, 55-64.

Danielsson, A., Papush, L., and Rahm, L. (2008). Alterations in nutrient limitations - Scenarios of a changing Baltic Sea. J. Mar. Syst. 73, 263-283.

Edler, L., Ed. (1979). Recommendations on methods for marine biological studies in the Baltic Sea.

Phytoplankton and chlorophyll. The Baltic Marine Biologists Publ. No. 5. Malmö.

Heiskanen, A.-S. (1998). Factors governing sedimentation and pelagic nutrient cycles in the northern Baltic Sea. Monographs of the Boreal Environmental Research 8, 1-80.

Hällfors, H., Backer, H., Leppänen, J.-M., Hällfors, S., Hällfors, G., and Kuosa, H. (2013). The northern Baltic Sea phytoplankton communities in 1903-1911 and 1993-2005: a comparison of historical and modern species data. Hydrobiologia 707, 109-133. doi: 10.1007/s10750-012-1414-4.

Klais, R., T. Tamminen, A. Kremp, K. Spilling and K. Olli (2011). Decadal-Scale Changes of Dinoflagellates and Diatoms in the Anomalous Baltic Sea Spring Bloom. PLoS ONE 6(6): e21567.

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0021567

Klais, R., Tamminen, T., Kremp, A., Spilling, K., An, B.W., Hajdu, S., et al. (2013). Spring phytoplankton communities shaped by interannual weather variability and dispersal limitation: Mechanisms of climate change effects on key coastal primary producers. Limnol. Oceanogr. 58, 753-762.

Lips, I., N. Rünk, V. Kikas, A. Meerits and U. Lips (2014). High-resolution dynamics of the spring bloom in the Gulf of Finland of the Baltic Sea. J. Mar. Syst. 129: 135-149.

Lohmann, H. (1908). Untersuchungen zur Feststellung des vollständigen Gehaltes des Meeres an Plankton.

Wiss. Meeresunters., N.F., Abt. Kiel 10, 130-370

Uusitalo, L., H. Hällfors, H. Peltonen, M. Kiljunen, P. Jounela and E. Aro (2013). Indicators of the Good Environmental Status of food webs in the Baltic Sea, GES-REG project final report on food web indicators, September 2013.

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