On the nature of reciprocity: Evidence from the ultimatum reciprocity measure 夽
Andreas Nicklisch
a,∗, Irenaeus Wolff
b,caUniversityofHamburg&MaxPlanckInstituteforResearchonCollectiveGoods,Bonn,Germany
bUniversityofKonstanz,Germany
cThurgauInstituteofEconomics(TWI),Kreuzlingen,Switzerland
a rt i c l e i nf o
JELclassification:
C91 D03 D63 Keywords:
Distributionalfairness Experiments
Intention-basedfairness Reciprocity
Ultimatumbargaining
a b s t ra c t
Weexperimentallyshowthatcurrentmodelsofreciprocityareincompleteinasystem- aticwayusinganewvariantoftheultimatumgamethatprovidessecond-moverswith amarginal-cost-freepunishmentoption.Forasubstantialproportionofthepopulation, thedegreeoffirst-moverunkindnessdeterminestheseverityofpunishmentactionseven whenmarginalcostsareabsent.Theproportionoftheseparticipantsstronglydependson atreatmentvariation:higherfixedcostsofpunishmentmorefrequentlyleadtoextreme responses.Thefractionsofpurelyselfishandinequity-averseparticipantsaresmalland stable.Amongthevarietyofreciprocitymodels,onlyoneaccommodates(ratherthanpre- dicts)partsofourfindings.Wediscusswaysofincorporatingourfindingsintotheexisting models.
1. Introduction
Despiteatraditionofresearchonreciprocalbehaviorthatspansalmostthreedecades,thedevelopmentoftheoriesof reciprocalbehaviorstillisfarfromcomplete.Oneindicationisthattherehasbeenaproliferationofreciprocitymodels(e.g., Rabin,1993;DufwenbergandKirchsteiger,2004;Sobel,2005;FalkandFischbacher,2006;Coxetal.,2007)thatallseemto fitspecificsituationsbetterthanothers,andyetthereisnoclearindicationofwhichmodeltochooseinwhatsituation.In his2005reviewarticle,Sobelcriticizestheexistingmodelsofreciprocalbehaviorforpresentingautilityfunctionofothers’
andownincomewithoutprovidinganexplanationforhowmuchweightplayersarelikelytoputonothers’incomerelative totheirown.Morespecifically,allofthemodelspositthattheharshnessofareactiontoanunkindactionisdeterminedby thetrade-offbetweenareductionintheotherplayer’spayoffandthecostsofpunishment.Forcostsofpunishmentthatare sufficientlylow,thesemodelsthereforepredicttheharshest-possiblereactiontoeventheslightestdegreeofunkindness.We
夽 WegratefullyacknowledgethemanyusefulcommentsprovidedbyChristophEngel,BerndIrlenbusch,Hans-TheoNormann,theTWIresearchgroup, anassociateeditor,twoanonymousreferees,andtheparticipantsoftheEconomicScienceAssociationmeeting2011inLuxemburg,the4thMaastricht BehavioralandExperimentalEconomicsSymposium2011,andtheEuropeanEconomicAssociationconference2011inOslo.Wearedeeplyindebtedto JörgOechsslerforpushingusintherightdirection,andtheMaxPlanckSocietyforfinancialsupport.
∗ Correspondingauthorat:SchoolofBusiness,EconomicsandSocialScience,UniversityofHamburg,von-Melle-Park5,20146Hamburg,Germany.
Tel.:+4940428388976;fax:+4940428386713.
E-mailaddresses:andreas.nicklisch@wiso.uni-hamburg.de,nicklisch@coll.mpg.de(A.Nicklisch),wolff@twi-kreuzlingen.ch(I.Wolff).
Konstanzer Online-Publikations-System (KOPS) URL: http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:352-0-320244
https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2012.10.009
argue–andshowempirically–thatthisiswrong.However,aslongasthemarginalcostsofpunishmentarestrictlypositive, itisimpossibletofalsifytheabove-mentionedmodelsalongtheselines:itisalwayspossibletoadjustthereciprocation parameterssuchastoaccommodatethedata,giventhereciprocation-parameterdistributionisleftunspecifiedinthemodel expositions.ThissubstantiatesasecondcriticismSobel(2005,p.407)expresses,namelythattheabilityofintention-based modelsofreciprocitytoaccountforexperimentalresultsis“atributetotheirflexibilityratherthanactualsupportforthe formulation.”Tocorroboratetheargument,weintroducetheultimatumreciprocitymeasurewhicheliminatesthemarginal costsofpunishmentaltogether.Ourexperimentaldatashowthatasubstantialproportionofthepopulationdeviatesfrom themodels’extremepreditioninasystematicway,providingvaluableinsightsintohowexistingmodelsneedtobeamended.
Inarecentcontribution,Coxetal.(2008)abandonthedomainofexplicitfunctionalformsandmakeafirststepto addressSobel’s(2005)firstcriticism.Ourexperimentsuggeststhattheirmodelmaybeanimportantstepforward,being abletoaccommodate27–47%ofourobservationsinadditiontowhatcanbeexplainedusingthemoreconventionalmodels.
Nevertheless,themodelstillispronetoSobel’ssecondcriticismofalackofspecificity:aswediscussinSection3,themodel accommodatesratherthanpredictsourobservations.Thewaysinwhich itfailsonthespecificitydomainwillprovide guidancewithrespecttothedirectioninwhichtorefinethemodel.
Anotherquestionthathasattractedincreasedattentionintherecentscholarlydiscussionisthatofpreferencehetero- geneity.Inthecontextofourgame,thisparticularlyconcernstherelativeimportanceofintention-basedreciprocalmotives andinequityaversion(notablyproposedbyBoltonandOckenfels(2000)andFehrandSchmidt(1999)).Dependingonthe situation,oneortheotherseemstodominate.Infact,thereissomeindicationthatbothplayarole:theresultsofthemini- ultimatumgameexperimentsbyFalketal.(2003)andCoxandDeck(2005)demonstratetheimportanceofbothapproaches.
Whentheproposerhastheoptiontoofferanequaldistributionofearningsandanunequalonefavoringherself,therespon- derrejectsthelattersignificantlymoreoftenthanwhentheproposerhastochoosebetweentheunequalandanevenmore unequaldistributionofearnings(inFalketal.,44.4%versus8.9%).Obviously,thisresultpointstotheimportanceofreci- procity.However,whentheproposerhasnooptionbuttochoosetheunequaloffer,stillasubstantialnumberofresponders (18%)reject.Asthereisnointentiontofavorherselfonthepartoftheproposer,thisobservationsuggeststhatinequity aversionisasecondempiricallyrelevanttriggerforrejections.Otherexperimentshaveshownsimilarpatterns(e.g.,onthe convexultimatumgame,Andreonietal.(2003),onthree-personultimatumgames,Bereby-MeyerandNiederle(2005),and onathree-persongiftexchangegame,ThöniandGächter(2007)).
Theultimatumreciprocitymeasure(urmgame)hasthefollowingstructure:aproposermakesaproposalofhowtodivide anendowmentE.1Therespondercaneitheracceptorreject.Inthefirstcase,theproposalisimplemented,inthesecond, theresponderobtainsafixedfraction,<1,oftheofferxandfreelychoosestheproposerpayofffromtheinterval[0, E−x].Theimportantfeatureoftheurmgameisthat(incontrasttomostothergameswithpunishmentintheliterature) punishmentisfreeofmarginalcosts,onlycomingatacostthatisfixedoncetheofferismade.2Thisfixedcostiseither equaltohalftheofferortothreequartersoftheoffer,dependingonthetreatment.Aswewillshowbelow,modelsof inequity-aversionandreciprocityleadtoverydifferentpredictionsforbehaviorintheurmgame:thefirstclassofmodels predictsthatresponders–iftheyrejectanoffer–leavetheproposerswithapayoffwhichequalstheirearnings.Incontrast, themajorityofreciprocitymodelspredictsthatrespondersleavetheproposerswithzeroearnings.
Theresultsweobtainarestriking.Lessthan10%oftheobservationscanbecharacterizedasstemmingfrompayoff- maximizers,modelsofinequityaversionaccountfor16–18%,conventionalmodelsofreciprocityfor17–38%.3Atthesame time,wefindasubstantialfractionofafourthtypethatdeviatesfromthesepredictionsinasystematicway,whichwecall gradualreciprocators.Theseplayersarecharacterizedbypunishmentpatternsthatleavetheirproposerswithpayoffsthat areincreasingintheoffermadebutgenerallyleadtounequalpayoffs.Moreover,thefractionoftheseplayersisdetermined bythetreatmentparameter.Inthetreatmentwithahighfixedcostofpunishment,20%ofthepopulationseemtoswitch frombeinggraduallyreciprocaltoconformingtoconventionalreciprocitymodels.Theseobservationscallforanextension ofexistingmodelsofreciprocityinthespiritofSobel’sfirstcriticism:acharacterizationofthesituationthatleadstothe predictionofthetypedistributioninducedbythesituation.
InSection5,wediscussanumberofapproaches ofhowtomodifytheexistingmodelsinlightofourobservations.
Inparticular,wecharacterizethegradual-reciprocatortypewithintheframeworkofCoxetal.(2008),havingdismissed theideaofmatchingtheother’sdegreeofkindnessduetoalackofobservationsofthecorrespondingresponse-pattern predictions.Withrespecttoourtreatmenteffect,wenotethatwhatappearsasanauxiliaryassumptionthatis“sometimes (...)useful”(Coxetal.,2008,p.34)seemstobeanessentialingredientofatheoryofreciprocalbehavior.Asanalternative, weproposethesituation’scoercivenessasapromisingexplanation,definedintermsofthegapbetweenthehighestpayoff theplayercanobtaininthegivensituationandthenext-lowerobtainablepayoff.Anevaluationoftheidea’spredictive power,however,isbeyondthescopeofthisarticleandisleftforfutureresearch.
Theremainderofthepaperisorganizedasfollows:Section2introducestheurmgameandpresentstheexperimental designandprocedure.Section3analyzesthegameaccordingtothepayoff-maximizationmodel,inequityaversion,and
1AsymbolstablecanbefoundinAppendixA.
2Forgamesthatallowforachangeintheotherplayer’spayofffreeofmarginalcosts,cf.,e.g.,EngelmannandStrobel(2004),orFismanetal.(2007), whoexaminethisquestioninthedictatorgame.
3Notethatwedonotconsidertheproposersinourgame;cf.Section3.
Proposer
0 E
x Responder
accept reject
0 E κx
y
{E x, x} {y, κx}
{ , }:π π
Fig.1. Gametreeoftheultimatumreciprocitymeasure.
severaltypesofreciprocitymodels,alwaysfocusingonresponderbehavior.Subsequently,weanalyzetheexperimentaldata withrespecttothesepredictionsandpointtotheexistenceofaplayertypethathasreceivedlittleattentionintheliterature sofarinSection4.InSection5,weexplorepossibledirectionsinwhichtoextendexistingmodelsofreciprocalbehaviorto enablethemtopredictthekindofbehaviorobserved.Finally,wesummarizeourfindingsandconcludeinSection6.
2. Thegame,experimentaldesign,andprocedure 2.1. Theultimatumreciprocitymeasure(urmgame)
Liketheclassicultimatumgame,theurmgamehastwoplayers,aproposerandaresponder.Theproposerisgivenan endowmentofEandoffersx,0≤x≤E,totheresponder.Iftheresponderacceptstheoffer,theproposerkeepsE−x,while theresponderearnsx.Iftheresponderrejectstheoffer,theresponderearnsx(theconflictpayoffcr)withacommonly knownparameter∈[0,1),whiletheproposer’sconflictpayoffcpisanyamounty,y∈[0,E−x],whereyisfreelychosen bytheresponder.Therefore,thepayofffunctionsfortheproposer,p,andtheresponder,r,respectively,are
p =
E−x, incaseofacceptancey, otherwise, and
r =
x, in caseofacceptance x, otherwise.Fig.1illustratesthegametreeoftheurmgame.Notethatrestrictingtheresponsesettoy=0andsetting=0yieldsthe standardtwo-personultimatumgame(Güthetal.,1982).Duetotheserestrictions,thestandardultimatumgameprovides littleinformationaboutnegativereciprocityasadriverforrejection(sinceitreducestheresponder’sdecisiontoachoice betweenonlytwoalternatives).Incontrast,byimposingnomarginalcostsonresponderstoalterproposers’payoffsafter arejection,the‘unrestricted’urmgameisabletoprovideaverydetailedpictureofparticipants’motivationsforrejections (aswillbecomeclearfromthediscussionoftheoreticalpredictionsinthenextsection).Inparticular,thelackofatrade-off betweenownmonetaryincomeandproposerpayoffprovidesnewinsightsintothenatureofother-regardingpreferences.
2.2. Experimentaldesignandprocedure
Eachparticipantplayedoneanonymousurmgameeitherintheroleoftheproposerorintheroleoftheresponder.Inthe instructions,wereferredtoproposersaspersonAandtorespondersaspersonB.ThepiesizewassettoE=12Euros.Offers couldonlybemadeinintegers.Inordertoanalyzeindividualheterogeneityofresponsescorrespondingtodifferentoffersin greaterdetail,weappliedthestrategy-vectormethodtoelicitresponders’choices(Selten,1967).Thismeansthatresponders hadtomakeadecisionforeachpossible(integer)offerbeforetheywereinformedabouttheactualoffer.Then,theofferand thecorrespondingresponderdecisiondeterminedthepayoffs.Thisprocedureimpliedthatrespondershadtomakeatotal of13acceptance/rejectiondecisions.Additionally,theyhadtodeterminethepayoffofproposersforanyoffersrejected.
Incontrasttothestandardprocedureofthestrategy-vectormethod,responderswerenotprovidedwithachoicemenu, thatis,adecisionsheetthatpresentsallpotentialoffersinanascendingordescendingorder.Rather,potentialofferswere presentedsequentiallywithoutapossibilityofreviewingearlierdecisions,andtheorderofpossibleoffersdifferedrandomly forallresponders.Weintroducedthisprocedureforseveralreasons.Theone-by-oneprocedurewaschosentomakeeach decisionassalientaspossible.Further,elicitingdecisionsonebyoneincombinationwitharandomorderwasintendedto keepanypotentialexperimenter-demandeffectsmallbyisolatingdecisionsasmuchaspossible:to‘smoothen’aresponse- patternoveralldecisionsoutofatasteforconsistencywouldinflicthighcognitivecostsonparticipants.Consequently,a smoothresponse-patternshouldonlybeobservedifparticipantsexhibitedunderlyingpreferencesgivingrisetoit.Finally, theorderwasrandomlydeterminedforeachparticipantindividually,inordertocontrolforpossibleordereffects.
Theexperimentstartedsuchthatcopiesoftheinstructionswerehandedouttoparticipantsandreadaloud.Subsequently, participants’questionsconcerningtheexperimentswereansweredprivatelybytheinstructors.Finally,allparticipantshad toansweranelectronicquestionnairetestingtheirunderstandingofthegameandthepayoffstructure.4Beforeparticipants answeredthequestionnaire,itwasmadeclearthattheonlypurposeofthequestionnairewastoimprovetheunderstanding oftherulesofthegame.Wronganswerswereprivatelyexplainedandcorrectedbeforetheexperimentstarted.
Aftertheyhadmadeallpayoff-relevantdecisions,responderswereaskedtostatewhichoffertheyconsideredasfair, andwhichoffertheyexpectedtoreceive.Subsequently,werandomlymatchedeachrespondertoaproposerandpayoffs wererealizedaccordingtothedecisionsmade.Participantswereinformedabouttheirpayoffsandaskedtoanswerashort socio-demographicquestionnaire,beforeprivatelybeingpaid.
Inordertolearnmoreaboutthenatureofreciprocalpreferences,weplayedthegameundertwotreatmentconditions.
Inthehigh-condition,thecommonlyknownparameterwassetto=0.5,whileinthelow-condition,weset=0.25.
Aswewillshowbelow,this(ratherinnocent)variationhaslittleimplicationforthepredictionsoftheconsideredsocial- preferencemodels,whilethereareimportantdifferencesinactualbehavior.Intotal,76pairsofproposersandresponders participatedinthehigh-treatment,whilewehad77pairsinthelow-condition.
ThelaboratoryexperimentswereconductedattheEconLabattheUniversityofBonn,Germany,inOctoberandNovember 2006.5Intotal,306participantsparticipated;50%oftheparticipantswerefemale,themedianagewas23years.Participants weremostlyundergraduatestudentsfromvariousfieldsofstudies.Approximatelyonethirdofthestudentswereeconomists ormathematicians.Furtherinformationconcerningthesocio-demographicbackgroundoftheparticipantsissummarized intheonlinesupplementarymaterial(availableonthejournal’swebsite).Averagepaymentwas5.15Euros(noshow-up fee)foranaveragedurationof30min,includingtheinstructiontimeandthetimeforpayingparticipants.
3. Theoreticalpredictions
Ourcentralresearchinterestliesintheempiricalanalysisofreciprocalbehavior.Forthisreason,wewillfocusonthe behaviorofrespondersthroughoutthepaper.Proposerbehaviorisunsuitableforourpurposes:proposalsreflect both proposers’other-regardingpreferencesaswellasproposers’strategicconsiderationsconcerningtheother-regardingpre- ferencesofresponders.
Wewillanalyzeresponders’best-responsefunctionsaccordingtoallmajormodelsthatarepotentialcandidatesfor theexplanationofreciprocalbehavior.Forbrevityandeaseofexposition,werefrainfrompresentingthecompletesetsof equilibriaastheydonotshedfurtherlightonourresearchquestion.Inthefollowing,wediscussthree(groupsof)models, the‘standard’game-theoreticprediction,modelsofinequity-aversion,andintention-basedmodelsofreciprocalbehavior.
Beforewedoso,letusclarifysomenotation.Ifamodelpredictsrejectionofanoffer,itwillhavetospecifyavalueforthe responseythatmaybedifferentdependingontheoffer.Toreflectthis,wewillwritey=y(x)todenotethe(offer)response function.Yet,thereisasecondwaytothinkaboutresponses,whichwillproveusefulparticularlyinthecontextoftreatment comparisons.Forthispurpose,weintroducetheconflict-payoffresponsefunction(definingtheresponseyintermsofthe conflictpayoffrc=x),whichwewilldenotebyy=(cr).
3.1. Purepayoff-maximizingpreferences
Thebestreplyofaresponderexclusivelydrivenbymaterialself-interestisobvious:given0<<1,wehavex>xfor anyx>0,andx=xforx=0.Consequently,payoff-maximizingresponders’bestreplyistoalwaysacceptanypositiveoffer x,andarbitrarilyacceptorrejectaproposalofx=0.Giventhisfeature,wewillnotobservevaluesofyfortheseplayers.Ifat all,weobserveavalueforyinresponsetox=0;however,thetheorydoesnotgiveanypredictionforthisvalue.Therefore, payoff-maximizingresponders’best-responsefunctionisgivenbybrpm:x→(ı,y),whereı∈{0,1}representsrejection,ı=0, oracceptance,ı=1:
brpm(x)=
(1,.) ifx>0,(ı,y) ifx=0, (1)
where(ı,y)∈
(ı,y)|ı∈{0,1},y∈[0,E]
.Ofcourse,notreatmentdifferencesareexpected.
3.2. Inequity-aversepreferences
Inafirststep,notethatinequity-averseresponderswillalwayschoosetoequalizepayoffsafterarejection,sinceitis costlesstoaltertheproposer’spayoffoncethecostsofrejectingaresunk.Inotherwords,theirresponseywillbey(x)=xfor allrejectedoffersx.Whichofferswillberejected?BoththemodelbyFehrandSchmidt(1999)andbyBoltonandOckenfels (2000)predictacceptedoffersxtocomefromaconvexset[x;x],where0≤x<E/2<x≤E.Thespecificvaluesofxandx
4TranslationsoftheGermaninstructionsandthequestionnaireareprovidedintheonlinesupplementarymaterial(availableonthejournal’swebsite).
5ExperimentswerecomputerizedusingzTree(Fischbacher,2007).Fortherecruitmentofparticipants,weusedORSEE(Greiner,2004).
dependontheparametersofthemodel,notablyon(sinceitdeterminesthemonetaryearningsincaseofaconflict)and theimportancetheindividualresponderplacesonequityconcerns.Toindicatethedependencebetweenxand,andxand ,wewillwritexandx.Bothmodelswouldsuggesttheretobeheterogeneityinthecut-offvaluesforrejections,whileall modelsofinequityaversionmaketheuniquepredictiony(x)=x.Insummary,weobtainthefollowingbest-replyfunction bria:x→(ı,y):
bria(x)=
(0,x) ifx>xorx<x,(1,.) ifx≤x≤x. (2)
Thepredictedtreatmenteffectsareevident:anincreaseinshiftsbothacceptancethresholds‘inwards’towardstheegali- tarianpayoffdistribution(E/2,E/2).Withrespecttoresponsesasafunction(cr)ofconflictpayoffs,notreatmentdifferences areexpected.
3.3. Intention-basedpreferences
Forourdiscussionofthesemodels,wesub-dividethisclassintofoursub-classes:(i)oneinwhichutilityfunctionsconsist ofalinearcombinationofownincomeandareciprocityterm(whichitselfisaproductofseveraltermsasdescribedbelow, cf.Rabin,1993;Levine,19986;DufwenbergandKirchsteiger,2004;FalkandFischbacher,2006),(ii)thenon-linearmodel ofCoxetal.(2007),(iii)modelsmixingreciprocityconcernsandinequalityaversion,andfinally,(iv)themodelpresented byCoxetal.(2008).
‘Linear’reciprocitymodels.Inthemodelssubsumedunderthisclass,utilityisalinearcombinationofownincomeand reciprocity.Here,reciprocityisaproductofthreeterms.Thefirstweightstheimportanceofreciprocalbehaviortothe person.Thesecondtermcapturesthekindnessoftheotherplayer’spastbehavior.Offersarerankedfromunkind(i.e.,small) tokind(i.e,large)ones,suchthatthetermforanofferwhichisneitherkindnorunkindiszeroandincreases(decreases) monotonicallywitheachrankabove(below)thatoffer.Consequently,unkindoffershavenegativevaluesandkindoffers havepositivevalues.Thethirdtermmeasuresthedegreeofkindnessintheperson’sreaction.Again,responsesareranked suchthataresponsethatisneitherkindnorunkindcorrespondstoavalueofzero,andresponsesabove(below)thatleadto valuesincreasing(decreasing)monotonicallywitheachrank.Duetothemonotonicityofkindness,acceptedoffersforman interval:ifrejectinga(un)kindofferyieldslessutilitythanacceptance,rejectingaless(un)kindofferyieldsalsolessutility thanacceptance.
Atthetimeoftheresponder’sdecisionintheultimatumreciprocitymeasure,thereciprocityweightandthekindness termintheactingplayer’sutilityfunctionarefixed.Consequently,maximizationofutilityincombinationwiththepossibility ofchoosingtheproposer’spayofffreeofmarginalcostimpliesthefollowingforrejectedoffers:thebestreplytoanyunkind offerxmustbethemostunkindresponsepossible,thatis,y(x)=0,∀x<x.Conversely,anyrejectedkindoffermustbe answeredwithy(x)=E−x,∀x>x,thekindestresponsepossible.Inotherwords,therecannotbearejectionfollowedbya responsey(xr),sothat0<y(xr)<E−xr.Asfortheinequity-aversionmodelsabove,theswitchingpointbetweenacceptance andrejectionisplayer-specificandgenerallycannotbepredicted.Thepredictedbest-replyfunctionbrrl:x→(ı,y)isgiven by:
brrl(x)=
⎧ ⎪
⎨
⎪ ⎩
(0,E−x) ifx>x, (1,.) ifx≤x≤x
(0,0) ifx<x.
(3)
Notreatmentvariationsarepredictedwithrespecttoy(x)or(cr).Theloweracceptancethresholdxriseswith,asa highermakesrejectionlesscostly.Atthesametime,thereisnoclearpredictionwithrespecttox:whileahigherimplies ahigher‘conflict’payoffx,italsoleadstoalowerpotentialforrewardingactions:E−x<E−xfor>.Therefore,the signofthechangeintheupperacceptancethresholddependsontheweighttheresponderplacesonreciprocity.
Non-linearmodelsofreciprocity.EventhoughCoxetal.(2007)proposearemarkablemodelthatgeneralizestheabove reciprocity-modelsinanimportantway,ityieldsthesamepredictionsforresponderbehaviorintheultimatumreciprocity measureasthe‘linear’reciprocitymodels.Infact,utilityisagainalinearcombinationofownincomeandareciprocity term,wherethelattermultipliestheproposer-payoffwithan“emotional-state”function.isafunctionoftheproposer’s previousbehavior,andtherefore,afixedfactoratthetimeoftheresponder’sdecision.Consequently,theargumentsfrom ourdiscussionofthe‘linear’modelscarryoverandhence,thepredictedbest-replyfunctionhasthesameformasEq.(3) above.
6Strictlyspeaking,themodelofLevine(1998)isdifferentfromtheothermodelslistedinanumberofimportantaspects.However,thebestrepliesare verysimilar,givenLevine(1998)definesaplayer’sutilityfunctionasalinearcombinationofallplayers’monetarypayoffs.
my money
your money
6 5
4 3
2 1
0
086421012
payoff set for rejections n HIGHκ
offer payoff set for reject ons in LOWκ
Fig.2.Payoffspaceforresponders.
Mixedapproach.AspecialvariationofreciprocitymodelsistheapproachbyCharnessandRabin(2002)whichmixes reciprocityconcernsandinequalityaversion.7Inthismodel,aresponder’sutilityfunctionaddsownpayoffandtheproposer’s payoff,weightedbyatermthatintegratesinequalityaswellasreciprocityconcerns.Inparticular,thisweightislowered iftheproposerreceivesmoremoneythantheresponderandiftheproposermisbehaves.However,eveniftheweightfor reciprocitydependsonthedegreeofmisbehavior(asintheextendedmodelintheappendixofCharnessandRabin,2002), thesumofweightsiseitherpositiveornegative.8 Onceagain,thesameargumentsasforthe‘linear’reciprocitymodels apply,leadingtothesamepredictions.
Generalapproachtoreciprocity.Coxetal.(2008)presenttheirnovelapproachtoreciprocalbehaviorwithintheframework oftheproposer-payoff–responder-payoffspace.Inthisspace,thechoicesetSoftheresponderconsistsofonepointandaray paralleltotheproposer-payoffaxis.Thepointdescribestheoffer,whiletheraycharacterizespossiblepayoffcombinations incaseofarejection,asdepictedinFig.2.Noticethatourtreatmentvariationdoesnotchangethelocationofthepoint,but shiftstherayinlow-closertotheproposer-payoffaxiscomparedtothesituationinhigh-.
Responderpreferencesarerepresentedbyindifferencecurves∈,whereisaplayer’sindifference-curvesetfor agivensituation.Toillustrate,indifferencecurvesofpayoff-maximizingplayersarelinesparalleltotheproposer-payoff axis,thoseofinequity-averseplayersareeitherconvex(BoltonandOckenfels,2000)orpiece-wiselinearwithakinkat the45-degreeline(FehrandSchmidt,1999),indifferencecurvesinthe‘linear’reciprocitymodels(aswellasinthe‘mixed’
modelbyCharnessandRabin,2002)arestraightlinesthatareeitherupward-sloping(negativereciprocity)ordownward- sloping(positivereciprocity),whilethemodelofCoxetal.(2007)generalizesthe‘linear’reciprocitymodelsbyallowing theindifferencecurvestobenon-linear;however,theirslopecannotchangesigns.Irrespectiveoftheirshape,indifference curvesalwayscanberankedsuchthatissaidtobe‘higher’thanifpointsassociatedwitharepreferredtopoints associatedwith.Finally,wheneverwetalkaboutthe-definedpointinS,wemeanthepointassociatedwiththehighest indifferencecurveinwhichstillisinthechoicesetS.9
AtthecenteroftheapproachbyCoxetal.(2008)aretwobasicdefinitions,oneconcernsperceivedkindnessandthe otherkindnessin(re-)actions.First,letusdefineperceivedkindness,or“generosity”.Inthismodel,thenotionofgenerosity isattachedtoresponders’opportunitysets,or,moreprecisely,toopportunitysetsaftertheyhavebeenalteredbytheaction oftheproposer.10Particularly,considerthesetSxofpossiblepayoffcombinations(p,r)whichproposerandresponder cangainaftertheproposerhaschosenx.Letusdefine ˆi(x)=sup
i Sxfori=p,r.AsetSxiscalled“moregenerousthan”a setSx if(i) ˆr(x)−ˆr(x)≥0and(ii) ˆr(x)−ˆr(x)≥ˆp(x)−ˆp(x).Inotherwords,theproposerismoregenerousby choosingxthanbychoosingxif(i)theproposer’schoiceofxoverxdoesnotleadtoadecreaseinthemaximumpayoff
7Infact,theapproachbyFalkandFischbacher(2006)alsorepresentsamixtureofreciprocityandinequalityconsiderations,asreciprocationbythe responderistriggeredbyproposerchoicesthatleadtounequalpayoffs.
8Thisassertionisnotcompletelycorrect.Underaspecificparametercombination,theextendedmodelintheappendixofCharnessandRabin(2002) allowsforrejectionsinconjunctionwithresponderutilityincreasinginproposerincomeifthelatteriscloseto0,anddecreasingifitisaboveathreshold ofx−b,wherebmeasureshowstronglyanundeservingpoorestsocietymemberisdisregarded.Inthatcase,responsesarepredictedtobey(x)=max{0, x−b},i.e.,theresponsefunctionisparalleltotheresponsefunctionofaninequity-averseplayer(neglectingthecornersolutionsforlowx).Aswefind onlytwooutof153participantsinourdatawhoseresponsepatternisinlinewiththisprediction(apartfromtheinequity-aversionequivalentb=0),we holdthatthisspecialcasecanbeneglectedforeaseofexposition.Thespecificparameterconstellationrequiresthatthecombinedweightplacedona Rawlsiansocialoptimum,ı,isclosetoone(butı<1),thespiteparameterwithrespecttoundeservingplayers,f,issufficientlysmall,f<ı/(1−ı),andthe undeservingarenotdisregardedinthetotal-surplus-maximisingpart,i.e.,k≈0fortheparameterkmeasuringthediscountingofundeservingproposers’
payoffsinthispart,norintheRawlsiansocial-welfarepart,i.e.,b<xforsomerejection-worthyoffers.
9Wedonotrefertothispointasthetangentialpoint,asincaseofacceptanceaswellasforsomeofthemodels,itwouldbeinadequatetospeakof tangents:therecannotbeatangenttoapoint,andinsomecases,the(highest)indifferencecurvewillhaveakinkatthe-definedpoint.
10Strictlyspeaking,thenotionofanopportunitysetasusedbyCoxetal.(2008)wouldruleoutapplicationoftheirmodeltoourgame,astheyrequire opportunitysetstobeconvex.However,wedonotseewhynon-convexityofopportunitysetswouldleadtoproblemsintheanalysis.Hence,wedropthe convexityassumption,asweareconvincedthattheirmodelisanimportanttooltounderstandbehaviorinourgame.
(a)
my money
your money
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
024681012 (b)
my money
your money
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
024681012
Fig.3.Indifferencecurves(a)and(b)(beingmorealtruisticthan).
therespondercanearn,and(ii)theincreaseofresponder’spayoffasaresultofdecisionxcomparedtoxisnotlessthanthe correspondingincreaseintheproposer’spayoff.Accordingtothisdefinition,anofferxintheurmgameismoregenerous thanxifandonlyifx≥x.
Second,letusdefinekindnessinaction,whichistermed“altruism”.Altruismreferstototheresponder’sutilityfunction ur(r,p)andthecorrespondingcurvatureoftheresponder’sconvexindifferencecurvesinthepayoff-space{(p,r)}.
Forconvenience,itisdefinedintermsofaplayeri’swillingness-to-payforamarginalincreaseinthepayoffofplayerj, WTPi=[∂ui(i,j)/∂j]/[∂ui(i,j)/∂i],ratherthani’smarginalrateofsubstitutionMRSi=1/WTPi.Theresponder’sutility functionur(r,p)issaidtobe“morealtruisticthan”ur(r,p)ifWTPr≥WTPr,∀(r,p).Equivalently,theutilityfunction associatedwithindifferencecurvesismorealtruisticthanthefunctionassociatedwithif,comparedto,thecurves inarerotatedcounter-clockwise(compareFig.3).Asaconsequence,theproposerpayoffpinthe-definedpointin Sxmustnotbesmallerthanpinthe-definedpointinthesameset.
Withinthisframework,reciprocityisdefinedasfollows:aproposer’sdecisionleadingtoSxratherthanSx(Sxbeing moregenerousthanSx)inducesindifferencecurvesratherthanonthepartoftheresponder(withur(r,p)more altruisticthanur(r,p)).Looselyspeaking,moregenerousoffersleadtomorealtruisticpreferences.
Havingoutlinedthemodel,wenowapplyittotheurmgame.Recallthattheconvexindifferencecurvesarerotated clockwiseforlessgenerousoffers.Thatis,thesmallertheoffer,thesteeper–orflatter,incaseofupward-slopingcurves –theindifferencecurves.Asaconsequence,theintersectionbetweenthehighestindifferencecurveandthechoiceset decreasesorremainsconstant,butneverincreasesintheproposer-payoffdimensionforoffersofdecreasinggenerosity.11 Sincealteringtheproposer’spayoffiscostlessandinf
pSx=0,∀x(i.e.,thelowerboundofthechoicesetdoesnotchangefor differentoffers)wecanconcludethatfortworejectedoffersxandxsuchthatx>x,y(x)≥y(x)musthold.
Whichofferswillberejected?Likeinanyoftheothermodelspresented,themodelproposedbyCoxetal.(2008)assumes thatutilityfromownincomeistradedoffagainstasecondutilitycomponentthatisinfluencedbyothers’income.Ifthe responderrejectsanoffer,theutilitygainsfromthissecondcomponentmustoutweighthedecreaseinone’sownincome.
Hence,therespondermusthaveapositiveWTPinresponsetoverygenerousoffers(e.g.,rejectingx≥xandrespondingby y>E−x)–althoughthisscenarioappearshardlyintuitiveatthefirstglance–orhaveanegativeWTPforpinresponse toveryungenerousoffers(e.g.,rejectingx≤xandrespondingbyy<E−x),sothatacceptedofferscomefromaconvexset [x;x].Thespecificvaluesofxandxagaindependontheimportancetheindividualresponderplacesonreciprocity.Thus, weobtainthefollowingbest-replyfunctionbrre:x→(ı,y):
brre(x)=
(0,y(x)) ifx>xorx<x,(1,.) ifx≤x≤x. (4)
wherey(x)mustsatisfy∂y/∂x≥0.
Withrespecttotreatmenteffects,wefirstturntochangesintheoffer-responsefunctiony(x).Inresponsetoanincrease in,themodelallowsforbothmonotonicincreasesandinvarianceatanygivenlevel,merelyrulingoutreductionsinthe
11Strictlyspeaking,thisargumentrequirespreferencestohavetheincreasingbenevolenceproperty,whichCoxetal.(2008)defineasawillingnesstopay fortheotherplayer’sincomethatdoesnotdecreaseinownincome.
my money
6 5
4 3
2 1
0 your money 086421012
payoff set for rejections in LOWκ
payoff set for rejections in HIGHκ
offer
Fig.4. Examplefortheinfluenceofavariationonofferacceptance.
response.12Turningtotreatmenteffectsontheconflict-payoffresponsefunction,recallthatourtreatmentvariationdoes notalterthesupremumofrinthesetSxforagivenofferx,sincethevalueofchangestheray,butnotthepoint(i.e.,the offer,whichdefinesthesupremum).Hence,thetreatmentvariationdoesnotchangethegenerosityofoffers.13Ontheother hand,thesameconflictpayoffcrisassociatedwithdifferentoffersinthedifferenttreatments:underalow,ahigheroffer isassociatedwiththesameconflictpayoffthanunderahigh.Atthesametime,higheroffersareattachedtohigherlevels ofgenerosityandtherefore,metwithhigherdegreesofaltruism.Asaconsequence,theconflict-payoffresponsefunction (rc)maydifferbetweenthetreatments:for<,thesameconflictpayoffcr=x=ximplies(x)≥(x).
Withrespecttoacceptancethresholds,themodelpredictsadecreaseoftheacceptancethresholdxfordecreasing.To seethis,taketheofferxthatmakestheresponderindifferentbetweenacceptingandrejectingunder.Letusnowdecrease .Recallthatachangeinleavestheresponder-payoffsupremumunaffectedandhence,indifferencecurvesdonotchange astheresponder’sdegreeofaltruismremainsthesame.Butwiththeindifferencecurvesremainingthesameandtheray ofSxshiftingleft,therespondermustnowprefertoaccepttheoffer,asshowninFig.4.Bythesametoken,changing maychangetheupperthresholdx.Bytheconvexityofpreferencesandthelinearitywithrespecttovariationsofofthe maximum-possiblereward(E−x),itisimmediatelyobviousthatanincreaseincannotbeassociatedwithanincreasein theupperacceptancethreshold(andmoreoftenthannot,itwillleadtoadecreaseinx).
Intheprecedingparagraphs,wehavepresentedqualitativepredictionsthatcanbederivedfromthegeneralmodelby Coxetal.(2008).Virtuallyallofthesepredictionshavebeenweak,inthesenseexemplifiedbythestatementthat“foroffers ofdecreasinggenerosity,theresponsecannotincrease.”Byemployingweakinequalitiesinalloftheirdefinitions,Coxetal.
(2008)encompassalloftheexistingmodelpredictionsinoneframework.Themodelwouldbeabletoaccountevenfor offer-responsefunctionsequaltoastrictlypositiveconstant,incontrasttoanyoftheothermodels.Itdoesplaceanumber ofrestrictionsonbehaviorthatcanbeexpected,mostnotablyperhapstherequirementofacertaindegreeofconsistency.
However,itdoesnotmakeclearpredictionsliketheremainingmodelspresented.Inotherwords,whatthemodelgainsin generality,itloosesintermsofspecifity.Weconsiderthisanimportantshortcomingandbrieflyreviewpotentialdirections ofmodelrefinementtoeschewthisprobleminSection5ofthisarticle.Topreparethefloorfortheresults,wesummarize thepredictionsfromthedifferentmodelsinTable1.
4. Results
Westructurethepresentationofourresultsasfollows:first,wecharacterizerejectionbehaviorofresponders.Second,we analyzeresponsepatterns.Third,wesystematicallyrelateresponsepatternstorejectionbehavior.Werelegatepresentation ofdataonoffers,expectedoffers,aswellasofrole-contingentaveragepayoffstotheonlinesupplementarymaterial(available onthejournal’swebsite),asthesearenotinthefocusofthisstudy.
4.1. Rejections
84%ofactualoffersin thehigh- condition(81%inthelow-condition) wereaccepted.Followingourtheoretical discussionfromtheprevioussection,wedefineanupperandaloweracceptancethresholdforeachresponderi,xiandxi, asfollows:
12Onceagain,thisrequiresinvokingtheincreasingbenevolenceproperty,cf.footnote11.
13Strictlyspeaking,thisstatementisnotcorrect.Please,refertothediscussioninSection5forwhyweholdtheaboveassertiontobeinthespiritofthe model.
Table1
Predictionsofthemodelsdiscussed.
Responsey(x)tooffers 0<x<x x>x
Payoff-maximization Notapplicable:alloffersareaccepted
Inequityaversion x x
Reciprocity(linear/non-linear/mixed) 0 E−x
Coxetal.(2008) ∂y/∂x≥0 y>E−x,∂y/∂x≥0
Treatmenteffectony(x) 0<x<x x>x
Payoff-maximization Notapplicable:alloffersareaccepted
Inequityaversion + +
Reciprocity(linear/non-linear/mixed) 0 −
Coxetal.(2008) +or0 −
Acceptancethresholds ∂x/∂ ∂x/∂
Payoff-maximization Notapplicable:alloffersareaccepted
Inequityaversion + −
Reciprocity(linear/non-linear/mixed) + (0/−or0/0)
Coxetal.(2008) +or0 −or0
Note:Derivationsforpredictionsunderexcessivelyniceoffersareomitted.
Table2
Numbersofrespondersaccordingtoacceptancethresholds.
xi xi
−1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 10 11 12
high- 0 3 5 5 9 42 11 1 1 1 10 64
low- 1 8 6 9 19 27 6 1 0 1 5 71
xi = max{x|ıi(x)=1}and
xi =
max{x|x≤6,ıi(x)=0}, if{x|x≤6,ıi(x)=0}=/∅,and−1, otherwise,
(5)
whereıi(x)denotestheacceptancedecisionofresponderiforacertainofferx.Notethatinequityaversionandreciprocity modelspredictregularitywithrespecttorejections,thatis,ıi(x)=1,∀x∈(xi,xi],andıi(x)=0,otherwise.Intotal,32outof 153respondersexhibitrejectiondecisionsthatviolateregularity.Whilethisismorethantypicallyobserved(seeCamerer, 2003),only9ofthem(6%ofallresponders)makemorethanonedecisionthatwouldcontradictregularity.Weattribute theremaining23violationstothedifficultyarisingfromtherandom-orderone-by-onepresentationofpossibleoffers.To accountforthisfactanduseasmuchinformationaspossible,wechosetheabovedefinitionofxi.14Thefurtheranalysis includesthedataofallresponders.Respondersareclassifiedaccordingtotheiracceptancethresholds;Table2reportsthe numberofrespondersineachlowerandupperacceptanceclass,||xi||and||xi||,respectively.
Thelowerthresholdsxiaresignificantlyhigherinhigh-(withanaverageof3.57vs.2.97inlow-,p=0.003;also,ascan beeasilyseenfromTable2,xifromthehigh-treatmentfirst-orderstatisticallydominatesxifromthelow-condition).15 Atthesametime,thetreatmentdifferencebetweenupperacceptancethresholdsxifailstoreachsignificance(11.80vs.
11.91,p=0.114).However,thisisnotastrongindicationthatthereisnoeffect:whilemostrespondersneverrejectanoffer abovetheequalsplit,thenumberofthosewhodoinhigh-(12outof76)isdoublethecorrespondingnumberfromthe low-treatment(6outof77;again,statisticaldominanceholds).
4.2. Responses
Givenourmainresearchinterestliesinthestudyofreciprocalbehavior,responsesfollowingarejectionarethecentral elementinouranalysis.Inthefollowing,wewillidentifyrejectedoffersasxr,sothattheresponsetoarejectedofferisy(xr).
Inlightoftheexploratorynatureofourstudy,wewanttogetascloseaspossibletotherawdata.Therefore,weclassifythe responsefunctionsaccordingtomutuallyexclusivetypecategories.Wedefinethetypesbasedonthetheoreticalpredictions summarizedinTable1,focussingonthenegative-reciprocitypart,giventhereislittlevarianceinthedomainofpositive
14Ourqualitativeresultsandstatisticalinferencesdonotchangeifwedefinexiusingthemorestraightforwarddefinitionxi=min{x|ıi(x)=1},indicating therobustnessofourfindings.
15Unlessotherwiseindicated,allcomparisonsarebasedontwo-sidedWilcoxonrank-sumtests.Behaviorofeconomists/mathematiciansandother participantsdoesnotdiffersignificantlywithrespecttoanyvariablemeasured.
Table3
Frequencyofrespondertypes.
High- (in%) Low- (in%)
Null 3 3.9 6 7.8
Accepters 0 0.0 1 1.3
Symbolic 2 2.6 1 1.3
Gentlepunishers 3 3.9 3 3.9
Inequity-averse 14 18.4 12 15.6
Reciprocal:linear 13 17.1 29 37.7
Reciprocal:gradual 33 43.4 20 26.0
Between 3 3.9 3 3.9
Unclassified 5 6.6 2 2.6
Total 76 77
reciprocity.Participantswhoseresponsescouldnotbefittedintothecategoriesdefinedbythepresentedmodelswere groupedaccordingtothebroadcharacteristicsoftheirresponses.
Null.Subjectsfallingintothiscategoryacceptalloffersexceptforoffersx=0,inwhichcasetheyrespondbyy(0)=0.This behaviorcanbeclassifiedaseitherselfish,inequity-averseorreciprocal,andthereforedoesnotprovidemuchinformation aboutthenulls’motivations.
Accepters.Subjectsfallingintothiscategoryacceptalloffers.
Symbolic.Subjectsfallingintothiscategoryacceptmostoffersbutrejectatleastone.However,theirrejectionisonly symbolic–theyadministertheproposertheamountthelatteraskedfor:y(xr)=E−xr.
Gentlepunishers.Subjectsfallingintothiscategoryrejectsomeoffersbutleavetheproposerbetteroffthanwhatthey wereofferedforxr<6,i.e.,y(xr)>xr.
Inequity-averse.Inequity-averseplayersconformtothepredictionsofthecorrespondingmodels:whenevertheyreject anofferxrwhichtheydoforatleasttwooffersx,theyrespondbychoosingy(xr)=xr.
Reciprocal:linear.Subjectsfallingintothiscategoryconformtothepredictionsofallmajorreciprocitymodels:whenever theyrejectanofferxrwhichtheydoforatleasttwooffersx,theyrespondbypunishingtheotherplayerasharshlyas possible,y(xr)=0.
Reciprocal:gradual.Subjectsfallingintothiscategoryexhibittwocharacteristics:(i)theyarenotinequity-averseplayers and(ii)theirofferresponsefunctionfulfillsy(xj)≥y(xi)foranypairofrejectedoffersxiandxjsuchthatxi<xjandy(xj)>y(xi) foratleastonesuchpair.
Between.Subjectsarecategorizedtofallinbetweentheothercategoriesiftheyrejectvariousoffersandchoosey(xr)such thattheywouldbelongtodifferentcategoriesfordifferentxr.
Table3summarizestheresultsofourclassificationanalysis.16Wemakethefollowingobservations:First,takinginto accountallresponsepatternsthatcouldpotentiallyresultfrompreferencesofapayoff-maximizingplayer–null,accepters, onesymbolictypeineachtreatmentplusonegentle-punisher–wecountonly13participants(4inhigh-,9inlow-)out of153(8%).Hence,comparedtotypicalresultsfromothervariationsoftheultimatumgame(e.g.,seeAndreonietal.,2003), theurmgameyieldsmuchless‘selfish’behaviorbyresponders.17
Second,thesumofallplayerswhosebehaviorcanbedescribedbyoneofthetheoreticmodelsoutlinedinSection3 excludingthemodelbyCoxetal.(2008)makesupforonly31outof76inhigh-and50outof77inlow-.Inother words,conventionalmodelsaccountforonlyabout40%(65%)oftheobservedresponsepatternsinhigh-(low-).More specifically,weobserveastable16-18%inequity-averseplayers,whilethenumberbelongingtodifferentsubclassesof reciprocitydifferssubstantiallyacrosstreatmentconditions.Mostparticipantsnotexhibitingbehavioraspredictedbythe abovemodelscanbecategorizedasgraduallyreciprocal.ThemodelofCoxetal.(2008)canaccountfortheseobservations.
However,itaccommodatesratherthanpredictsthem.Below,weexploreanumberofwaysinwhichourunderstandingof graduallyreciprocalbehaviormaybecharacterizedonthebasisoftheirmodel.
Third,inhigh-,thefractionofplayerscategorizedasgradualreciprocatorsishigherthaninlow-byalmost20%.Atthe sametime,thehigh-fractionoflinear-reciprocalplayersislowerbythesame20%.Inotherwords,thedatalookasifachange infrom0.5to0.25changedtheresponsefunctionofabout20%ofthepopulationsuchthattheynolongerdifferentiatethe severityofpunishmentwithrespecttoanoffer’sunkindness.18Whetherthisisanactualtypeshiftorwhetheritismerely theslopeoftheresponsefunctionbeingshifteddownwardverystronglyissomethingwecannotanswer.Whatwedoknow isthatthefractionofgradualreciprocatorswitharesponse–functionslopelargerthan0.4changesfrom17outof33in
16Notethatweallowedforasingledeviationfromtherespectivepredictions;thiscouldbeanacceptancebelowxioraslightnon-monotonicity,e.g.,for gradualreciprocators.Notdoingsowouldleaveuswith24(12)gradualreciprocatorsinhigh-(low-),andwith20(13)unclassifiedresponders.
17Aplausiblereasonforthisobservationisthatpunishmentcostsarelowerinoursetup.Wearethankfultoananonymousrefereeforpointingthisout.
18A 2-testsuggeststhatthetypedistributionsofparticipantsclassifiableaspayoff-maximising,inequity-averse,linear-reciprocal,graduallyreciprocal, andothers,differbetweentreatments,(p=0.015).
Table4
Meanloweracceptancethresholdsbytreatmentandtype.
Respondertype HIGH LOW
Inequity-averse 4.08 3.50
Reciprocal:linear 3.71 3.31
Reciprocal:gradual 4.00 3.15
high-to5outof20inlow-.Inotherwords,responsesingeneraldogetharsherwithincreasingfixedcostsofpunishment alsowithinthegroupofgradualreciprocators.
Inourview,theseobservationsarecritical:furtherdevelopmentofanyreciprocitymodelshouldaccountforbothgrad- uallyreciprocalbehaviorandwhatlookslikeaparameter-inducedshiftinthetypedistribution,ifitistobeseenasastep forwardinourunderstandingofreciprocalbehavior.Forthisreason,wedevoteSection5tosomeideasonpossibledirections inwhichtoextendexistingmodelsofreciprocity,discussingtheminlightofourobservations.Beforewedoso,weshed somelightontheinteractionbetweenresponsepatternsandrejectionsinthefollowingpart.
4.3. Theinteractionbetweenresponsepatternsandrejections
Inthefollowingparagraph,webrieflyreporttheresultsofacomparisonofloweracceptancethresholdsbetweenthethree maintypes,reportedinTable4.Whilewedonotfindanysignificantdifferencesofloweracceptancethresholdsbetween inequity-averse,linear-reciprocal,andgraduallyreciprocalplayerswithineachtreatment(allpair-wisecomparisonsyield p>0.15),weobserveaverydifferentiatedpictureacrosstreatments.Bothforinequity-averseandlinear-reciprocalplayers, thetreatmentdifferencein loweracceptancethresholdsisinthepredicteddirectionbutclearlyfailstobesignificant (p=0.249andp=0.301,respectively).However,forparticipantsclassifiedasgradualreciprocators,thereisatreatment effect:inlow-,theyacceptsignificantlyloweroffersthaninhigh-(p<0.001).Thusforasubstantialfractionofthese players,fairnessconsiderationsaresubstantiallyinfluencedbyasituationalvariation.Onepossiblereadingofthisisthat playerswithhighacceptancethresholdsexhibitparticularsensitivitytothefixedcostsofpunishment:iftheirresponse functionshiftsenoughsothatinlow-,theyareclassifiedaslinearreciprocators,thiswouldexplainthe(non-)significance ofthetreatmentcomparisonsofbothlinearandgradualreciprocators.Onceagain,furtherresearchisneededtoassessthe plausibilityofthisinterpretation.
5. Generalized-reciprocalbehavior
Inthissection,wesetouttoexplorepossibledirectionsinwhichexistingmodelsmaybechangedtoaccountforour findings.Ourdatacallfortwothings.Thepresenceofasubstantialfractionofparticipantswhocanbecategorizedasgradual reciprocatorscallsforatheoreticcharacterizationofsuchplayers.Andtheshiftinthetypedistributioninresponsetoour treatmentvariationcallsforatheorythatisabletopredictthatshift.Ourdiscussionofwaystomeetthesechallengeswill bedividedintotwoparts.First,wereviewanddiscardasimpleextensionoflinearmodelsofreciprocity.Subsequently,we provideamoredetaileddiscussionwithinthemodelofCoxetal.(2008),payingtributetothefactthatitistheonlyavailable modelabletoaccommodateourfindings.
5.1. Linearreciprocitymodels
Inthereciprocitymodelsreviewedinthispaper,therearetwocomponentsofreciprocalbehavior:anassessmentof theotherplayer’skindness,orgenerosity,andthedegreeofreciprocation,oraltruisminaplayer’sresponse.Linearmodels likeCharnessandRabin(2002),DufwenbergandKirchsteiger(2004),orFalkandFischbacher(2006)aggregateanaction’s degreeofgenerosityintoa(relative)weightthatisputontheotherplayer’spayoff;thedegreeofkindnessof–oraltruismin –aresponsethenfollowsfromthemaximizationoftheweightedpayoffsum.Averysimpleideathatwouldbeabletomeet bothchallengesposedbyourdataistomodifythemodelsbyspecifyingplayers’utilityfunctionsuchthatitismaximizedif thedegreeofaltruismmeetsacertaintarget,namelythedegreeofgenerosityoftheotherplayer’saction.Thisisakintowhat mostlegalsystemsdo:matchingpunishmenttotheseverityofanoffence,ratherthanassigningthemaximumpenaltyto allinfringementsalike.
Inprinciple,therearethreewaystoapplythisideatoourgame;however,onlyoneofthemcanaddressbothchallenges posedbyourdata.Asintheearlierreciprocitymodels,aresponderwouldevaluatekindnessagainstthe‘fairness’orneutrality benchmark(inourgame,presumablycorrespondingtotheequalsplit),sothatthedegreeofgenerositytobematchedis givenbyx/6.Afterarejection,theresponderwouldassigntheproposertheabovefraction(i)oftheproposer’sfairshareof6, yieldingy(x)=6·x/6=x,(ii)oftheproposer’sclaim,sothaty(x)=(12−x)·x/6,or(iii)oftheproposer’sclaimaftershrinking