Hydrogen supply from
North Africa to the EU
Potentials, costs, and GHG emissions
vorgelegt von
M.Sc. M.Sc.
Sebastian Timmerberg
An der Fakultät III – Prozesswissenschaften
der Technischen Universität Berlin
zur Erlangung des akademischen Grades
Doktor der Ingenieurwissenschaften
- Dr.-Ing. -
genehmigte Dissertation
Promotionsausschuss:
Vorsitzender: Prof. Dr.-Ing. Felix Ziegler
Gutachter:
Prof. Dr. Matthias Finkbeiner
Prof. Dr.-Ing. Martin Kaltschmitt
Prof. Dr. Martin Wietschel
Tag der wissenschaftlichen Aussprache: 22. September 2020
Zusammenfassung
Die Weltgemeinschaft hat sich mit dem Klimaabkommen von Paris im Jahr 2016 darauf
ver-ständigt, die Klimaerwärmung auf maximal 2 °C gegenüber vorindustriellen Temperaturen zu
begrenzen. In diesem Rahmen hat sich die EU das Ziel gesetzt, ihre Treibhausgasemissionen
(THG-Emissionen) zu senken und bis zum Jahr 2050 Treibhausgasneutralität zu erreichen. Eine
zentrale Maßnahme zur Erreichung des Ziels ist ein zunehmender Einsatz von erneuerbaren
Energien. Ihr Anteil am Endenergieverbrauch soll von 20 % im Jahr 2020 auf 32 % im Jahr
2030 steigen. Absehbar werden Windkraftanlagen und PV-Systeme einen deutlichen Beitrag
dazu leisten. Neben erneuerbaren Energien können potenziell auch andere Energiequellen
eingesetzt werden, insofern diese zu geringen THG-Emissionen führen.
Die EU verfügt über ein eingeschränktes Potenzial zur Nutzung erneuerbarer Energien u. a.
durch eine relativ geringe Verfügbarkeit an nutzbaren Flächen zur Stromproduktion in Relation
zur gegebenen Energienachfrage. Im Vergleich weisen nordafrikanische Länder eine deutlich
vorteilhaftere Relation auf. Auf dieser Grundlage untersucht diese Arbeit die Erzeugung von
elektrischer Energie durch Windkraftanlagen und PV-Systeme in Nordafrika für die Erreichung
der Klimaziele in der EU. Aufgrund der beschränkten Transportkapazitäten für elektrische
Energie zwischen Nordafrika und der EU, aber auch aufgrund der vielfältigen
Einsatzmöglichkeiten wird Wasserstoff als Speicher- und Transportmedium betrachtet.
Außerdem werden weitere Wasserstoffproduktionsmöglichkeiten untersucht, die potenziell zu
geringen THG-Emissionen führen. Dabei stehen Untersuchungen zu Potenzialen, Kosten und
THG-Emissionen im Mittelpunkt.
Das technische Potenzial in Nordafrika zur Stromerzeugung auf Basis von Windkraftanlagen
und PV-Systemen, das Flächennutzungsbeschränkungen z. B. durch Siedlung berücksichtigt,
beläuft sich auf über 670 PWh/a (85 % durch PV-Systeme, 15 % durch Windkraftanlagen).
Dem steht eine vergleichsweise geringe Inlandsnachfrage nach Strom aus erneuerbaren
Energien gegenüber. Werden in den nordafrikanischen Ländern Marokko, Algerien, Tunesien,
Libyen und Ägypten die bestehenden politischen Ziele für den Ausbau erneuerbarer
Energienutzung vollständig umgesetzt, würde dies im Jahr 2030 einer Stromerzeugung von
220 TWh Strom durch Windkraftanlagen und PV-Systemen mit einer Gesamtleistung von 63
bis 100 GW entsprechen; d. h. die absehbare Inlandsnachfrage liegt um mehr als drei
Größenordnungen unter dem technischen Potenzial. Daher erscheint es möglich, dass nicht nur
die Inlandsnachfrage in nordafrikanischen Ländern gedeckt werden kann, sondern potenziell
auch große Mengen an elektrischer Energie aus erneuerbaren Energien für Exportzwecke zur
Verfügung stehen können.
Wasserstoff kann in einer kostenoptimalen Kombination von Windkraftanlagen, PV-Systemen
und Elektrolyseuren heute zu Erzeugungskosten ab 13 bis 23 €/GJ an vorteilhaften Standorten
in Nordafrika erzeugt werden
1. Die niedrigsten Wasserstoffgestehungskosten ergeben sich an
Standorten mit einem sehr guten Windenergieangebot, das zu hohen Volllaststunden der
Stromerzeugung führt. An derartigen vorteilhaften Standorten werden die Kosten minimal,
wenn die Kapazität von Windkraftanlagen um den Faktor 1,6 bis 2,2 größer ausgelegt werden
als die Elektrolyseurleistung (zusätzlich PV-System Kapazitäten mit dem Faktor 0 bis 0,2). Die
THG-Emissionen einer solchen Wasserstofferzeugung sind gering mit 6,2 g CO
2-äq./MJ. Die
THG-Emissionen sind somit um 93 % geringer als eine konventionelle Wasserstoffproduktion
mittels Dampfreformierung (86,7 bis 91,1 g CO
2-äq./MJ).
Alternativ existieren technische Möglichkeiten, Wasserstoff auf Basis der vorhandenen
Erdgasreserven in Nordafrika mit reduzierten THG-Emissionen zu erzeugen. Beispielsweise
wird bei der Methanpyrolyse das eingesetzte Methan in seine Elemente Wasserstoff und
Kohlenstoff zerlegt; d. h. mithilfe derartiger Pyrolyseprozesse kann Wasserstoff aus Erdgas
ohne direkte CO
2-Emissionen bereitgestellt werden. In einer Lebenszyklusbetrachtung treten
jedoch weiterhin deutliche THG-Emissionen (28,0 bis 79,4 g CO
2-äq./MJ) insbesondere durch
die Bereitstellung der Prozessenergie sowie durch die Erdgasversorgung auf. Die
THG-Emissionen am unteren Rand dieser Spannbreite kommen zustande, wenn die für die
Methanspaltung benötigte Prozessenergie mittels erneuerbarer Energien bereitgestellt wird. Die
THG-Emissionen der Methanpyrolyse sind damit mehr als vier- bis fünfmal höher als für
Wasserstoff, der auf Basis von Windkraft- und PV-Anlagen erzeugt wurde.
Eine weitere Alternative ist die Wasserstoffproduktion mittels Dampfreformierung inklusive
CO
2-Abscheidung
und
-Speicherung
(CCS).
Gegenüber
der
konventionellen
Dampfreformierung können durch eine CO
2-Abscheidung die THG-Emissionen im
Lebenszyklus auf 27,4 bis 32,5 g CO
2-äq./MJ reduziert werden. Die hier verbleibenden
THG-Emissionen sind insbesondere auf die Erdgasbereitstellung (d. h. Vorkette) sowie die CO
2-Emissionen zurückzuführen, die aus Kosteneffizienzgründen nicht abgeschieden werden.
Wasserstoff kann durch die Dampfreformierung inklusive CCS zu deutlich niedrigeren
THG-Vermeidungskosten
2von 24 €/t CO
2
produziert werden als durch die Methanpyrolyse (122 bis
278 €/t CO
2). Die geringeren THG-Emissionen bei der Wasserstoffproduktion auf Basis von
PV-Systemen und Windkraftanlagen in Elektrolyseuren können aber nicht die höheren
Wasserstoffgestehungskosten ausgleichen, sodass hier vergleichsweise hohe
THG-Vermeidungskosten von 219 bis 271 €/t CO
2entstehen.
Für einen Transport von Wasserstoff aus Nordafrika in die EU existiert bisher keine
großtechnische Infrastruktur. Es bestehen jedoch vier Erdgaspipelines. Eine potenzielle
(begrenzte) Zumischung von Wasserstoff in den Erdgasstrom ermöglicht bereits heute einen
Wasserstofftransport. Technisch betrachtet kann Wasserstoff bis ca. 10 Vol.-% ohne
wesentliche Anpassungen an der vorhandenen Infrastruktur zugemischt werden. Dies würde
den Transport von 35 bis 84 PJ/a Wasserstoff aus Nordafrika in die EU ermöglichen. Die
Zumischung von Wasserstoff erhöht den Energieverbrauch der Verdichterstationen im
Vergleich zum Transport der gleichen Energiemenge in Form von Erdgas. Daraus ergeben sich
drei- bis viermal höhere Transportkosten für Wasserstoff (2,4 und 5,6 €/GJ) als für Erdgas.
Es kann alternativ auch eine Wasserstoffinfrastruktur neu aufgebaut werden. Dann würde der
Wasserstoff die EU als reines Gas und nicht als Gasgemisch erreichen.
Wasserstoff kann als komprimiertes Gas in Wasserstoffpipelines transportiert werden. Der
Energiebedarf für die Verdichtung auf den Pipelinedruck sowie die Verdichtung zur
Über-windung des Druckabfalls in den Pipelines zwischen Nordafrika und der EU beträgt 8 bis
9 % bezogen auf den Brennwert von Wasserstoff. Daraus ergibt sich eine maximale
Energieeffizienz der gesamten Versorgungskette von der Stromerzeugung bis zur
Wasserstoffbereitstellung von ca. 68 bis 70 %. Es ergeben sich die geringsten
Wasserstoffversorgungskosten von rund 66 €/GJ der betrachteten Optionen. Voraussetzung
für diese niedrigen Kosten ist der Einsatz von Kavernen zur Wasserstoffspeicherung.
Wasserstoff kann als Flüssigkeit bei sehr niedrigen Temperaturen von -253 °C bei
Umgebungsdruck gelagert und transportiert werden. Die Verflüssigung von Wasserstoff
benötigt etwa 17 % des Energiegehalts des Wasserstoffs. Trotz starker Wärmeisolierung
von
Flüssigwasserstofftanks
führen
Verdampfungsverluste
zu
erheblichen
Wasserstoffverlusten. Deshalb ist die Energieeffizienz der gesamten Versorgungskette über
Flüssigwasserstoff niedriger als bei den anderen Optionen und liegt nur bei ca. 46 %.
Entsprechend sind auch die Wasserstoffversorgungskosten mit 93 €/GJ höher als beim
Transport über Pipelines.
Wasserstoff kann auch in flüssigen organischen Wasserstoffträgern (LOHC) gespeichert
und transportiert werden. Dazu wird der Wasserstoff in Nordafrika in einem LOHC
chemisch gebunden, als solcher z. B. mit Schiffen transportiert und der Wasserstoff am Ort
des Verbrauchs freigesetzt. N-Ethylcarbazol (NEC), Dibenzyltoluol (DBT), Toluol (TOL)
und Methanol (MET) werden hier als LOHCs untersucht. Der Wärmebedarf für die
Dehydrierung der LOHCs ist entscheidend für die Energieeffizienz und die Kosten der
Wasserstoffversorgung. Wird diese Wärmenachfrage durch die Verbrennung von
transportiertem Wasserstoff gedeckt, liegt die Energieeffizienz der gesamten
Versorgungskette – je nach eingesetztem LOHC – zwischen 55 und 66 %. Die Verwendung
von Methanol weist dabei die höchste Energieeffizienz auf, da Methanol u. a. die geringste
Dehydrierungsenergie benötigt.
Die Wasserstoffproduktion mittels Elektrolyse auf Basis von erneuerbaren Energien führt zu
geringen und den geringsten THG-Emissionen der betrachteten Erzeugungsoptionen. Die
hohen ungenutzten Potenziale erneuerbarer Energien in Nordafrika ermöglichen langfristig
auch die Produktion großer Mengen über diesen Produktionsweg. Kurzfristig ist jedoch die
verfügbare Transportkapazität beschränkt. Eine Beimischung in Erdgaspipelines ist eine
energiewirtschaftlich darstellbare Option, bei der jedoch ein Erdgas-Wasserstoffgemisch in die
EU transportiert wird und somit kein reiner Wasserstoff für Anwendungen wie Brennstoffzellen
zur Verfügung steht. Für den Transport großer Mengen reinen Wasserstoffs ist der Aufbau einer
Transportinfrastruktur notwendig. Hierfür bestehen eine Reihe an technischen Möglichkeiten.
In einem eingeschwungenen Zustand mit einer ausreichenden Auslastung weist insbesondere
der Transport über Wasserstoffpipelines Vorteile in Bezug auf Energieeffizienz und Kosten auf.
Summary
The nations of the world have set targets to keep the increase in global average surface
temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Accordingly, the EU has set the goal of
reducing its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and becoming greenhouse gas neutral by 2050.
A key measure to achieve this goal is the increased use of renewable energy. Their share of
final energy consumption is to rise from 20% in 2020 to 32% in 2030. Wind turbines and PV
systems will make a significant contribution to this. Additionally, other energies can potentially
be used, if they lead to low life cycle GHG emissions.
The EU has a limited potential for harvesting domestic renewable energies, largely due to the
relatively low availability of usable land for electricity production in relation to the given energy
demand. In comparison, North African countries have a much more advantageous relation. On
this basis, this paper investigates the generation of electrical energy by wind turbines and PV
systems in North Africa in the context of the EU climate targets. Due to the limited transport
capacities for electrical energy between North Africa and the EU and the manifold application
possibilities, hydrogen is considered as a storage and transport medium. In addition, further
hydrogen production options using energy resources in North Africa are investigated, which
potentially lead to low GHG emissions. The focus lays upon the consideration of potential,
costs and GHG emissions.
The technical potential for electricity generation in North Africa based on wind turbines and
PV systems, taking into account land use restrictions such as settlement, amounts to over
670 PWh/a (85% from PV systems, 15% from wind turbines). This contrasts with a
comparatively low domestic demand for electricity from renewable energies. The North African
countries of Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya and Egypt proclaimed political targets for the
expansion of renewable energy. If they are fully implemented, this would correspond to the
generation of 220 TWh of electricity by wind turbines and PV systems with a total capacity of
63 to 100 GW in 2030; i.e. the foreseeable domestic demand is more than three orders of
magnitude below the technical potential. Therefore, not only domestic demand in North African
countries can be met, but potentially large amounts of electricity from renewable energy sources
can also be made available for export purposes.
Hydrogen can be produced today
3in a cost-optimal combination of wind turbines, PV systems
and electrolysers with production costs from 13 to 23 €/GJ in advantageous locations in North
Africa. The lowest hydrogen production costs are found at locations with a very good wind
energy supply, which leads to high full load hours of electricity generation. At such
advantageous locations, the costs become minimal when the capacity of wind turbines is 1.6 to
2.2 times greater than the electrolyser capacity (plus PV system capacities with a factor of 0 to
0.2). The GHG emissions of such hydrogen production are low at 6.2 g CO
2-eq./MJ. GHG
emissions are therefore 93% lower than conventional hydrogen production by steam methane
reforming (86.7 to 91.1 g CO
2-eq./MJ).
Alternatively, there are technical possibilities to produce hydrogen with reduced GHG
emis-sions on the basis of existing natural gas resources in North Africa. In methane decomposition
processes, for example, the methane (natural gas) is decomposed into the elements hydrogen
and carbon; i.e. hydrogen can be provided from natural gas without direct CO
2emissions by
means of such decomposition processes. In a life cycle perspective, however, significant GHG
emissions (28.0 to 79.4 g CO
2-eq./MJ) occur, particularly as a result of the provision of process
energy and natural gas supply (i.e. upstream emissions). Lower end GHG emissions occur when
the process energy required for methane decomposition is provided by renewable energy
sources. Thus, GHG emissions from methane pyrolysis are at least 4 to 5 times higher than for
hydrogen produced on the basis of electricity from wind turbines and PV systems.
Another alternative is hydrogen production by steam methane reforming with CO
2capture and
storage (CCS). Compared to conventional steam methane reforming, a CO
2capture can reduce
the life cycle GHG emissions to 27.4 to 32.5 g CO
2-eq./MJ. The remaining GHG emissions are
mainly due to the supply of natural gas (i.e. upstream) and CO
2emissions, which are not
captured due to cost efficiency reasons. Hydrogen can be produced by steam methane reforming
with CCS at significantly lower GHG abatement costs of 24 €/t CO
2than by methane pyrolysis
(122 to 278 €/t CO
2). However, the lower GHG emissions from hydrogen production based on
PV systems and wind turbines in electrolysers cannot compensate for the higher hydrogen
production costs (219 to 271 €/t CO
2).
So far, there is no large-scale infrastructure for transporting hydrogen from North Africa to the
EU. However, there are four natural gas pipelines. A potential (limited) blending of hydrogen
into the natural gas flow allows a hydrogen transport today. Hydrogen can be injected up to
approximately 10 % by volume without any major adjustments to the existing infrastructure.
This would enable the transport of 35 to 84 PJ/a hydrogen from North Africa to the EU. The
blending of hydrogen increases the energy consumption of the compressor stations compared
to transporting the same amount of energy in the form of natural gas. This results in transport
costs for hydrogen (2.4 and 5.6 €/GJ) that are 3 to 4 times higher than for natural gas.
Alternatively, a new hydrogen infrastructure can be installed. In this case, hydrogen would
reach the EU as a pure gas and not as a gas mixture.
Hydrogen can be transported as compressed gas in hydrogen pipelines. The energy required
for compressing the hydrogen to the pipeline pressure and to overcome the pressure drop in
the pipelines between North Africa and the EU is 8 to 9 % based on the higher heating value
of hydrogen. A hydrogen supply via pipelines shows an energy efficiency of ca. 68 to 70 %
for the entire supply chain from power generation to hydrogen supply. This results in the
lowest hydrogen supply costs of around 66 €/GJ among the considered options. A
prerequisite for these low costs is the use of caverns for hydrogen storage.
Hydrogen can be stored and transported as a liquid at very low temperatures of -253 °C at
ambient pressure. The liquefaction of hydrogen requires about 17 % of the energy content
of hydrogen. Despite strong thermal insulation of liquid hydrogen tanks, evaporation losses
lead to considerable hydrogen losses. Therefore, the energy efficiency of the entire supply
chain via liquid hydrogen is lower than with the other options and is only about 46 %.
Accordingly, the hydrogen supply costs of 93 €/GJ are also higher than for a transport of
hydrogen via pipelines.
Hydrogen can also be stored and transported in Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers (LOHC).
In North Africa, hydrogen is chemically bound in a LOHC, transported as such e.g. by ships
and released at the point of consumption. LOHCs are N-ethylcarbazole (NEC),
dibenzyltol-uene (DBT), toldibenzyltol-uene (TOL) and methanol (MET). The heat required for dehydrogenation
of the LOHCs is a crucial factor for determining the energy efficiency and the cost of
hydrogen supply. If this heat demand is covered by the combustion of transported hydrogen,
the energy efficiency of the entire supply chain - depending on the LOHC used - is between
55 and 66 %. The use of methanol has the highest energy efficiency, since methanol requires
the least dehydration energy.
Hydrogen production by electrolysis on the basis of renewable energies leads to the lowest
GHG emissions of the considered generation options. Therefore, this production method has a
long-term right to exist in terms of GHG reduction targets. The high unused potential of
renewable energies in North Africa also enables the production of large quantities via this
production route. In the short term, however, the available transport capacity is limited.
Blending hydrogen in natural gas pipelines is a viable option from an energy perspective.
However, a natural gas-hydrogen mixture is transported to the EU and pure hydrogen is
therefore not available for applications such as fuel cells. For the transport of large quantities
of pure hydrogen, the development of a transport infrastructure is necessary. There are a number
of technical possibilities for this. In a steady state with sufficient capacity utilisation, transport
via hydrogen pipelines in particular has advantages in terms of energy efficiency and costs.
List of publications
Following publications (publisher’s version) are implemented in this thesis in chapter 3.
Publication I:
Timmerberg, S.; Sanna, A.; Kaltschmitt, M.; Finkbeiner, M. (2019):
Re-newable electricity targets in selected MENA countries – Assessment of
available resources, generation costs and GHG emissions. In: Energy
Reports 5, S. 1470–1487. DOI:
10.1016/j.egyr.2019.10.003
.
Publication II:
Timmerberg, S.; Kaltschmitt, M.; Finkbeiner, M. (2020): Hydrogen and
hydrogen-derived fuels through methane decomposition of natural gas –
GHG emissions and costs. In: Energy Conversion and Management: X
7, S. 100043. DOI:
10.1016/j.ecmx.2020.100043
.
Publication III:
Timmerberg, S.; Kaltschmitt, M. (2019): Hydrogen from renewables:
Supply from North Africa to Central Europe as blend in existing pipelines
– Potentials and costs. In: Applied Energy 237, S. 795–809. DOI:
10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.030
.
Publication IV:
Niermann, M.; Timmerberg, S.; Drünert, S.; Kaltschmitt, M. (2021):
Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers and alternatives for international
transport of renewable hydrogen. In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy
Reviews 135, S. 110171. DOI:
10.1016/j.rser.2020.110171
.
Table of contents
Zusammenfassung ... I
Summary ... IV
List of publications ... VII
1
Introduction ... 1
1.1
Transition of the EU’s energy system ... 3
1.2
Hydrogen as energy carrier ... 6
2
Research objective and outline ... 13
3
Results ... 18
3.1
Publication I ... 18
3.2
Publication II ... 37
3.3
Publication III ... 53
3.4
Publication IV ... 69
4
Synthesis ... 85
4.1
Energy resources ... 85
4.2
Hydrogen production ... 89
4.3
Hydrogen transport ... 95
4.4
Critical discussion ... 99
5
Conclusion ... 106
6
Further research questions ... 110
1 Introduction
With the Paris Agreement from 2016, the nations of the world have declared the target to hold
the increase in global average surface temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels.
Fur-thermore, it was agreed that efforts shall be pursued to limit the increase to 1.5 °C in order to
“significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change” [1]. The reduction of greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions is declared as the primary measure to limit global warming. In this
context, a remaining anthropogenic CO
2budget was determined between 420 and 1,170 Gt
4,
which is the estimated amount of CO
2that can be emitted leading to a temperature increase of
1.5 or 2 °C, respectively. Under the assumption that current global emission levels remain
constant, this budget would be exhausted in the year 2028 or 2046 [2]. Thus, significant and
fast action is necessary to hold these challenging targets.
The European Union
5(EU) is committed to the Paris Agreement. Thus far, the EU is a major
emitter of GHGs with a share of 8 % of globally emitted GHGs in 2017 [3]. Between 1990 and
2018, the EU energy sector caused between 75 to 76 % of EU’s annual GHG emissions
6[4].
The existing GHG targets and strategies therefore focus on the reduction of GHG emissions
primarily within the energy sector. One central measure to achieve this goal is to increase the
use of renewable sources of energy. Thus, a share of 32 % of the EU’s final energy is targeted
to come from renewable sources by 2030 [5].
However, the renewable energy potential in the EU is limited and contrasts a high energy
demand. The energy consumption per surface area is high with 4 to 86 TJ/(a km²) (Figure 1).
Thus, the land area available for harnessing renewable energy with conversion technologies
such as wind turbines and photovoltaic (PV) systems is low compared to the energy
consumption. Furthermore, the EU member states are highly populated (16 to 414 people/km²
[6, 7]) and thus, large settlements and other restrictions limit the land area available for energy
generation systems using renewable sources of energy.
The EU’s neighbouring countries in North Africa are characterized by significantly different
circumstances. Area-specific primary energy consumption in Morocco, Algeria, Libya and
Egypt are between 1 to 4 TJ/(a km²) and thus, much lower than in many EU countries. Also the
population densities are lower (18 to 98 people/km²) [6, 7]. Thus, a high potential for harnessing
renewable energies contrasts a comparatively low energy demand. Thus, making use of North
African energy potentials for providing renewable energy to the EU is the central idea pursued
in this thesis.
For the transport of renewable energy from North Africa to the EU this thesis focus’ on
hydrogen. Hydrogen can be produced with a high energy efficiency (> 60 %) by water
electrolysis powered by electricity e.g. from wind turbines or photovoltaic (PV) systems [8–
11]. As such, hydrogen can be deployed as a carrier for renewable energy associated with low
4
Related to 67
thpercentile of transient climate response [2].
5EU-27 is considered if not stated differently.
GHG emissions [12] and thus used to contribute to two central energy policy targets of the EU:
decreasing the amount of GHG emissions from the energy sector and increasing the share of
renewable energies.
Figure 1: Area-specific energy consumption in Europe and North Africa in 2018, data from [6, 7]
Besides being a carrier for energy from renewable sources, hydrogen can also be produced with
reduced GHG emissions from fossil fuel energy; North African countries show substantial
proved reserves especially for crude oil and natural gas [7]. For example, CO
2capture and
storage can be applied to a steam methane reforming process, thereby reducing the CO
2emis-sions of hydrogen production from natural gas [13]. Another alternative is to produce hydrogen
by methane decomposition. The process yields solid carbon and emits in theory no CO
2into
the atmosphere [14]. Thus, hydrogen produced by such processes from fossil fuel energy can
potentially be used to contribute to achieve EU’s GHG emission reduction targets. Rrenewable
energy and fossil-based hydrogen production pathways might compete with one another at least
within a transition period.
However, the transport of hydrogen from North Africa to the EU can be challenging. No
designated infrastructure for transporting large amounts of hydrogen exists or is planned.
Several technological approaches compete against one another, each showing distinct
advantages and disadvantages regarding costs or energy demand [15, 16]. For example,
hydrogen can be stored within liquid organic hydrogen carrier (LOHC) to be transported in
ships or trucks; i.e. in conventional (existing) transport chains. However, the installation of
plants for the loading of the LOHC in North Africa and the unloading of these LOHCs within
the EU are still required. Hydrogen can also be transported as liquid hydrogen at very low
temperatures. This import option requires a designated transport infrastructure to maintain the
very low temperatures throughout the full supply chain. However, the hydrogen reaches the EU
in a pure form, thus, ready to be used after re-gasification. Additionally, the transport of
compressed hydrogen in pipelines is a potential transport option, but requires the installation of
several thousand kilometres of pipelines.
Large pipelines already connect North Africa and the EU to transport natural gas. Natural gas
is a gas mixture consisting mainly of methane; but also trace elements like hydrogen may be
contained within the natural gas [17]. Increasing this share is another potential way transporting
hydrogen to the EU that is already in place. However, adding hydrogen to natural gas can
0 - 4
4 - 14
14 - 38
38 - 86
National primary energy
consumption by surface
area [TJ/(a km²)]
require adjustments to the infrastructure and might change transport capacities of existing
pipe-line systems [18].
Against this background, this thesis investigates North African energy resources, their use for
the production of hydrogen and its subsequent transport to the EU. The following introductory
sections give more details about the energy supply and demand in the EU, the potential role of
hydrogen towards an energy sector with lower GHG emissions including various hydrogen
production and transport options. The outline of this dissertation follows in chapter 2.
1.1
Transition of the EU’s energy system
The EU climate change mitigation targets are cornerstones for developments in the energy
sector. The EU targets a reduction of
20 % lower GHG emissions in 2020 compared to 1990
40 % lower GHG emissions in 2030 compared to 1990
Net-zero GHG emissions in 2050 [5]
The GHG reduction targets are also incorporated into the EU’s energy policy with three out of
five main aims directly relating to the reduction of GHG emissions for the energy provision
[19]. The “2030 climate & energy framework” includes EU-wide targets and policy objectives
for the period from 2021 to 2030. Besides the GHG emission reduction target, a minimum share
of 32 % renewable energy in the final energy consumption is proclaimed. This target was
revised from 27 % upwards in 2018 and will be reviewed again in 2023 for another potential
upward revision [5].
The historical development of EU’s GHG emissions and the share of renewable energy since
1990 is shown in Figure 2. The 2020 GHG target of the EU is likely to be met and the GHG
emissions decreased already by 19 % in 2017 compared to 1990. The preceding GHG targets
require a reduction of 20 % within 10 years and another reduction of 60 % in the following 20
years, always in reference to the GHG emissions in 1990. The required speed to reduce GHG
emissions increases from the 2020, 2030 to the 2050 targets and strong changes in the energy
provision system are necessary to reach these speeds.
As means of GHG emission mitigation, the final energy share provided on the basis of
renewable sources of energy rose from 10 % in 2004 to 19 % in 2018 (Figure 2). This share is
close to the 2020 target of 20 % renewable energy related to the final energy consumption [5]
which this target is expected to be reached. The next EU target is 32 % of renewable energies
related to the final energy consumption by 2030 [5]. No targets regarding the use of renewable
energies have been published yet for the period after 2030.
The growth of renewable energy within the EU is particularly realised through an increasing
use of electricity provided by renewable sources of energy. Especially electricity production
from wind turbines and PV systems increased significantly; e.g. the amount of electricity
produced from wind turbines grew 13 %/a between 2004 to 2018 [4]. A total wind turbine
capacity of 205 GW has been in operation in 2019 and 15.4 GW have been newly installed in
this year [20]. The total PV capacity is lower with 117 GW by the end of 2018 [21]; however,
the growth rate is much higher than for wind turbines with 44 %/a between 2004 to 2018 [4].
The newly installed capacity of PV systems summed up to 17 GW in 2019 [21] and therefore,
more PV than wind turbine capacity has been installed in 2019. Currently, wind turbines
pro-duce roughly the same amount of electricity as hydropower stations, which was the major
producer of renewable electricity within the EU and still is on a global scale. As electricity
production from hydropower stations stays on a similar level [4], it can be expected that in 2020
more electricity will be produced from wind turbines than from hydropower stations for the
first time.
Figure 2: Share of fuels in final energy consumption and political targets in the EU, data from [4, 5]
A strong expansion of electricity production from wind turbines and PV systems is likely to
continue in an accelerated manner in order to fulfil the GHG reduction targets. The final
required amount of electricity produced from renewable sources of energy in 2050 depends
(e.g.) on developments such as the energy demand, the energy efficiency and the costs of
alternative energy conversion technologies able to provide energy with low GHG emissions.
Accordingly, assumptions about these developments show a strong impact on the estimations
for future renewable energy installations; thus, the results of published assessments vary
significantly and show a wide bandwidth. For scenarios with a high share of renewable
electricity in the EU in 2050 the required wind and PV capacity is estimated between 231 and
1,489 GW [22]. For a 100 % renewable energy scenario, i.e. including the full energy demand
of all sectors to be covered by renewable energy, more than 8 TW are derived [23].
Large suitable areas must be available for the installation of these large amounts of wind
turbines and PV systems. However, technological and land cover conditions limit the capacities
that can be installed per area. Technological constraints for the installation of wind turbines and
PV systems are e.g., the interference between individual system components such as the wind
turbulences adjacent turbines exert on each other [24, 25]. The installable capacity per area –
called the power density – of onshore wind turbines and utility-scale PV systems are 3 and
48 MW/km², respectively [26, 27]. Besides these technological restrictions, also the land cover
constrains the installable capacities. Restrictions can be geological circumstances such as high
slopes. Additionally, the current land use can limit the installation of wind turbines or PV
0%
50%
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1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
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Electricity
Solid fossil fuels
Natural gas
Oil and petroleum products (w/o biofuel)
Heat
Other fuels
Share of renewables
GHG emissions
Political targets
systems considerably; e.g. one significant limiting factor in highly populated areas are
settle-ments [24].
The EU covers 4.2 Mio. km², counts more than 446 Mio. inhabitants, and consumes 43 EJ final
energy (status 2018). The respective population density of 106 people/km² and area-specific
energy demand of 10.2 TJ/(a km²) is significantly higher than in other industrialized regions
such as within the USA (33.6 people/km² and 6.6 TJ(a km²)) [4, 6, 28]. Accordingly, the EU
areas suitable for exploiting renewable energy are under high pressure to be used for energy
generation purposes, if a high share of renewable energies is targeted to achieve the GHG
reduction targets. Germany is an extreme example of illustrating the difficulty: Germany shows
a final energy consumption of 9.3 EJ in 2018 [4]. It contrasts a technical potential for electricity
production by wind turbines and PV systems of 1.2 EJ/a (wind) and 1.1 to 2.6 EJ/a (PV),
respectively [25]. Thus, Germany’s domestic technical renewable energy potentials are clearly
below the current final energy consumption. Accordingly, if a high share of renewable energy
in Germany’s final energy consumption is targeted to achieve the GHG reduction goals outlined
above, the import of renewable energy from other countries seems inevitable. However, on an
EU level, the domestic renewable energies suffice the energy demand, but a high pressure to
exploit the existing renewable energy resources remains [22, 29].
Some neighbouring countries of the EU show a comparatively relaxed ratio of energy
consumption, surface area, and population; i.e. the pressure on renewable energy sources is
comparatively low. For example, the North African countries Morocco, Algeria, Libya, and
Egypt consume 82 % less final energy than the EU [4, 28]. They cover 5.5 Mio. km² exceeding
the land surface of the EU and the population is 59 % smaller than the EU population [6]. Thus,
more area is potentially available for harnessing renewable sources of energy.
The surface area and the population are a rough estimate for the pressure to exploit renewable
energy potentials and e.g. neglect the availability of the renewable energy resource. However,
North African countries also show a beneficial resource availability: wind turbines and PV
systems can provide electricity above 3,000 h/a and 2,000 h/a, respectively, in large regions at
full load [30, 31]. In Germany, the full load hours are clearly lower; on average onshore wind
turbines and PV systems produce 1,797 h/a and 980 h/a at full load [32]. Additionally, the
beneficial renewable energy resources in North Africa lead to a high utilization of wind turbines
and PV systems, allowing for lower energy provision costs compared to the use of such systems
within the EU.
The North African countries have a tradition of exporting energy to the EU; fossil energy
exports are a very important revenue for the respective domestic economy [33]. In 2017,
Algeria, Egypt, Libya, and Tunisia exported 4.3 EJ of fossil energy carrier to the EU. Their
exports covered 6 % of the crude oil and fossil fuel-based petroleum products and 10 % of the
natural gas imported by the EU (Figure 3) [4]. Algeria shows the highest energy exports to the
EU. Also Libya exported large quantities, but since 2010 the energy exports from Libya are
strongly influenced by the political instability [4].
Thus, fossil energy supply chains and associated infrastructure are well established being a
potential starting point for an export of a molecular energy carrier produced on the basis of
renewable sources of energy. However, such a potential export of renewable energy must also
consider the domestic energy demand, which increased considerably in the past [6, 34] and will
probably also grow in the years to come due to e.g. an ongoing population growth [6].
Further-more, North African countries aim for an increase use of renewable sources of energy [35]
mainly due to economic considerations [33]. Additionally, they also signed the Paris Agreement
and, therefore, must decrease the GHG emissions of energy provision [1]. However, the export
of renewable energy is a potential future revenue source after phasing out the export of fossil
fuel energy within a de-fossilized world.
Figure 3: Development of energy transports from North Africa to the EU (NG: natural gas, Oil: oil and
petroleum products, data from [4], energy conversion factors according to [7])
1.2
Hydrogen as energy carrier
Hydrogen is seen as an important linking element enabling an efficient GHG neutral energy
system [36–38].
Hydrogen can be produced based on a variety of
o
energy carrier (electrical energy, liquid and gaseous fuels, etc.) and of
o
processes with low direct CO
2emissions (electrolysis, methane decomposition, etc.).
Hydrogen can be stored (pressure tanks, caverns, etc.) enabling to
o
balance situations of shortages or excess of non-dispatchable energy sources and to
o
transport energy (as LOHC, liquid hydrogen, etc.) in large quantities.
Hydrogen can be used
o
in many energy conversion technologies (fuel cells, internal combustion engines, etc.)
leading to low direct GHG emissions as well as for a
o
large range of applications (stationary electricity production, mobile electricity
production for vehicles, heating, etc.).
Accordingly, hydrogen can be a link between the energy sectors electricity, transport, and
industry. The coupling of these sectors is a widely discussed strategy towards GHG neutral
energy systems as it enables an efficient integration of non-dispatchable renewable energy
sources with a high energy efficiency [39]. Sector coupling extends and support the strategy of
electrification [37, 40].
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[P
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Algeria (NG)
Egypt (NG)
Libya (NG)
Algeria (Oil)
Electrification as one of the most important measures for GHG reduction aims primarily at a
wide use of electricity-based energy applications [41–43]. One reason is that electricity is
basi-cally pure exergy allowing for a high theoretical efficiency for the transformation into other
forms of useable energy; i.e. substituting conventional energy-based with electricity-based
end-use applications can potentially reduce the overall energy consumption [39, 40]. Furthermore,
electrical energy can be produced directly by wind turbines and PV systems and therefore, on
the basis of renewable sources of energy characterized by a high global potential [41–43].
However, a wide-scale application of electrical energy applications leads to several challenges
that hydrogen can potentially offset. The electrical energy system requires a balance between
electricity generation and consumption at any point in time. Hydrogen can be produced with a
temporal flexibility through water electrolysis – and this during times when the electricity
supply exceeds the demand [44]. Hydrogen can also be used to supply energy when the
electricity demand exceeds the supply from non-dispatchable renewable energy. For such
purposes, hydrogen can be stored with a high energy efficiency on a large scale e.g. in
geological formations [45]; thus, longer periods with limited availability of a renewable source
of energy can be balanced.
Moreover, certain existing energy applications cannot be powered by electricity directly. For
example, current and foreseeable battery technology shows an energy density too low to power
commercial sea shipping or long-distance flights [8, 39, 46]. The application of hydrogen as a
final energy carrier is one potential alternative to power such applications. Alternatively,
hydrogen can also be used as a feedstock for the production of liquid or gaseous fuels with
specific fuel characteristics, i. e. used within the transportation sector. For example, a
Fischer-Tropsch process can be applied to produce liquid and gaseous hydrocarbons; however, a carbon
source (e.g. CO
2) is necessary. Based on theses processes fuels similar to gasoline, diesel, or jet
fuel can be produced partly based on process technology operated already on large scale (e.g.
crude oil refineries). As part of such a standardized fuel, hydrogen can be used indirectly within
existing internal combustion engines and thus, within the current transport fleet [47, 48].
Furthermore, hydrogen based applications can contribute to mitigating GHG emissions in the
industrial sector such as the steal, glas, or chemical industry. In certain industrial processes
hydrogen can replace current energy carrier. For example, current steel production by the blast
furnace process uses coke for the reduction of iron ore leading to considerable CO
2emissions.
In the direct reduction process, the iron ore is reduced by hydrogen, which directly avoids CO
2emissions [49].
Despite these potential benefits of hydrogen for the transformation of the energy system (and
the industrial sector) towards lower GHG emissions, hydrogen shows a strongly limited market
penetration as an energy carrier. Most of the hydrogen produced globally is used in industrial
applications, i.e. for the production of fertilizer and fuel. In 2018, 51 % of global hydrogen
production (38.2 Mt) has been used for refining purposes and 42 % for ammonia production.
Other applications, including the use of hydrogen as an energy carrier, are clearly of minor
significance and use only 6 % of the globally produced hydrogen [50].
Production. Low GHG emissions of the hydrogen production are a prerequisite for an
increas-ing use of hydrogen in an energy system transformincreas-ing towards GHG-neutrality. In general,
hydrogen production is realised in thermo-chemical or electro-chemical processes, which use
hydrocarbons (C
xH
y) or water (H
2O) as feedstock. As hydrogen is a secondary or final energy
carrier, a primary energy source is necessary for hydrogen production [12, 36, 37].
A wide range of hydrocarbons such as natural gas or coal can serve as feedstock for hydrogen
production. These types of feedstock deliver hydrogen as well as (partly) the energy for the
production process. Water is in some cases added in order to increase the hydrogen yield. Most
prominent production processes are steam methane reforming, autothermal oxidation, and
partial oxidation. All of these processes yield hydrogen and carbon monoxide (CO) or carbon
dioxide (CO
2) [36, 51, 52].
Currently, steam methane reforming is the global dominant hydrogen production process and
natural gas serves as the most important methane source [40]. CO
2capture and storage
technologies (CCS) can be applied to reduce the production related GHG emissions. CCS
systems capture can remove approximately 90 % of the CO
2produced within a steam methane
production processes [52, 53]. However, 10 % of the CO
2emissions remain, as well as the GHG
emissions in the natural gas supply chain may still lead to substantial GHG emissions associated
with the hydrogen production process [51].
Methane decomposition is an alternative thermo-chemical process to produce hydrogen using
this hydrocarbon as a feedstock. This endothermic process does not produce CO
2but solid
carbon (CH
4 C + 2 H
2). The process can be realised in different configurations. One option
is to apply a plasma torch to provide the energy for the reaction. Other configurations apply a
molten metal reactor or a conventional gas reactor. Natural gas can be combusted to provide
the process heat needed to maintain the chemical reaction [14, 54, 55]. Since CO
2emissions
are not produced from the overall process, low life cycle GHG emissions can potentially be the
consequence. However, the GHG emissions related to the supply of the process energy and
related to the natural gas supply remain so that still hydrogen related GHG emissions occur
[51].
Water electrolysis is an electro-chemical process to produce hydrogen from water. The process
applies a conductive electrolyte and electrodes. Here an electrical potential higher than the
decomposition voltage splits water into hydrogen and oxygen [36]. Different configurations of
water electrolysis have been realised to be distinguished by the electrolyte: alkaline, polymer,
and solid-oxide are the major electrolyte types used so far. Alkaline electrolysis is the most
mature technology, followed by polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) electrolysis. Especially,
the latter electrolyser can be efficiently operated with a flexible electricity supply making them
well suitable for a direct combination with wind turbines and PV systems [8, 12, 36, 44]. The
overall water splitting process causes no direct CO
2emissions. However, the electricity supply
needed to operate the electrolyser can be a significant source for GHG emissions. Thus, a
hydrogen production with very low GHG emissions is only possible if electricity associated
with very low GHG emissions is used (e.g. electricity produced by wind turbines or PV
systems) [51].
Using such systems based on wind and solar radiation to power electrolysis can be
economi-cally challenging. The investments for electrolyser are high (370 to 1,300 €/kW in 2020 [11])
so that a high utilization, i.e. high full load hours of the electrolyser is required for hydrogen
production at low specific production costs [56]. However, wind turbines produce electricity
only with a limited amount of full load hours (e.g. 3,000 h/a in good spots), and a direct coupling
with an electrolyser would result in a similar amount of full load hours. In this example, the
electrolyser investments are levelized by a hydrogen production considerably lower than a
continuous electrolyser operation would allow. However, applying a hybrid system including
wind turbines and PV systems for electricity production can clearly increase the full load hours.
A further increase is possible, if the capacity of the installed wind turbines and PV systems are
selected to be higher than the electrolyser capacity [39]. However, under these circumstances
excess electricity production increases. Thus, choosing the capacities of wind turbines and
photovoltaic systems to power an electrolyser can be treated as an economic optimization
problem influenced e.g. by the temporal availability of the renewable energy resource in a
certain location / area.
The production of hydrogen based on renewable sources of energy competes against a
production based on fossil fuel energy, if both processes lead to low GHG emissions. In this
case, the costs of the production can be a decisive factor for the selection of the respective
production process. Currently, electricity production from fossil fuel energy and from
renewable sources of energy lead to similar cost ranges [35, 57]. As the production of hydrogen
from electricity requires an electrolyser leading to extra energy conversion losses and extra
investments, the costs for hydrogen production based on renewable sources of energy tends to
be higher (Figure 4). However, higher costs contrast potentially lower GHG emissions. CO
2abatement costs can be used as an assessment criterion to relate differences in GHG emissions
to cost differences.
Figure 4: Hydrogen production starting from fossil (grey) and from renewable energy sources (green),
dashed area indicates current cost parity between electricity production from fossil and from
renewable energy sources (energy efficiencies η)
Cost parity
En
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Fossil energy chain
Renewable electricity chain
Renewableenergy source
Electricity Hydrogen Natural gas / Oil product Fossil energy source