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DHAKA, FRIDAY MAY 24, 2013

14

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THE GENERAL

ELECTIONS ON MAY 11 CONSTITUTED THE FIRST

‘REGULAR’ TRANSFER OF POWER BETWEEN TWO CIVILIAN GOVERNMENTS IN PAKISTAN.

UNDOUBTEDLY, THIS IS A MILESTONE IN THE COUNTRY’S CHEQUERED POLITICAL HISTORY

he general elections on May 11 constituted the first ‘regular’ transfer of power between two civilian governments in Pakistan.

Undoubtedly, this is a mile- stone in the country’s che- quered political history, and therefore it does not come by surprise that this event was caught up in an extraordinary way the media’s attention in Pakistan, South Asia as well as on a global scale. The walk of around 60 per cent of Pakistan’s vote bank to the ballot for the 14th National Parliament as well as for the provincial assemblies was portrayed by enthusiastic observers as an event which could function as the greatest game changer in Pakistan’s political landscape.

Regardless of this artificial atmosphere of democratic transition created by the party leaders during the campaign- ing period, analysts are now starting to evaluate the reality on the ground on the basis of the official results which are becoming increasingly avail- able. Due to the relatively active Pakistan Election Commission (EPC) and the various international institu- tions and organisations observing the elections, fore- most the European Union Election Observation Mission (EU EOM); or the Free and Fair Election Network (FAFEN), or Reporting Democracy International (DRI) increas- ingly more data are becoming available – in addition to the tremendous amount of infor- mation provided by the Pakistan’s domestic and inter- national media.

However, to begin with, from a retro-perspective point of view one has to state that the 2013 elections were highly unpredictable. Due to numer- ous old and new ‘wild cards’, it was very difficult to forecast a credible outcome of the polls.

However, one can identify sev- eral elements which deter- mined the electoral process and which need to be taken into consideration in order to evaluate the outcome. First of all, there were the Taliban- induced massive disturbances which created an atmosphere of terror and anxiety. This not only seriously hampered the elections but also raised ques- tions regarding the legitimacy of the elections, even before the actual voting process start-

ed. The 2013 elections, with respect to the electoral cam- paigning process and the elec- tion day itself, were the blood- iest elections in Pakistan’s his- tory. More than 200 Pakistanis lost their life and at least 700 got injured.

Next, there was the so-called Imran Khan-phenomenon.

The cricketer-turned-politician and his political party PTI emerged as an ‘unknown fac- tor’ which gained increasing popularity during the cam- paigning period, especially among the urbanised, young and new voters. Before having an accident during his last public event, he carried out a vigorous campaign which gained much publicity in the media, and therefore made the established political forces nervous. Nevertheless, one of the latest pre-poll surveys came to the finding that 28 per cent of the Pakistanis still did not know Imran Khan. This was the highest ‘don’t know response’ regarding Pakistan’s leading politicians. This made it difficult to assess the PTI’s impact on the election out- come. Much linked with the Imran Khan factor was the appearance of the youth and new voters as an unknown ele- ment in the country’s vote bank. The question which emerged was – do they vote at all. If so, will they break out of traditional, family or commu- nity orientated voting behav- iour or will they go to ballots for a protest vote?

Fourth, also an element of unpredictability was a rein- vigorated and relatively active Election Commission. Most noteworthy, the Commission was able to overhaul the com- plete list of those eligible to vote. Therefore 37 million bogus names got removed and 36 million new names were added. In addition to that, the Commission drew attention to themselves by declaring numerous established politi- cians ineligible for elections due to possession of fake degrees and other offenses. In total, more than 1.000 nomi- nation papers got rejected.

Also an unknown factor was the ‘female vote’. There was much talk about the increase of the registered female voters and that compared to the 2008 elections more than twice as many female candidates com- pared the one who contested

the elections. But, as in 2008, the big question remained: will the increase in female voters and candidates translate into a higher female voter turnout?

And, will Pakistan see split fam- ily voting (i.e. different voting behaviour within a house- hold)? And will the PTI with its woman’s wing be able to bank on this?

To sum up, the overall ques- tion is how much this election might be a key for change and may or may not lie down the foundation for a more stable future of Pakistan.

However, even though these general elections constituted

a very big step in the right direction, it is argued here that Pakistan is still relatively far away from being a fully-fledged democracy. Elections are after all a vital ingredient of democ- racy, but it is most definitely not the only ingredient that makes a democracy. And therefore Pakistan’s prospects for democracy, peace, and sta- bility should not be exagger- ated. In fact, the current state of Pakistan’s democracy would be better described with terms like illiberal democracy, par- tial democracy, low intensity democracy or defect democ- racy. For that one can bring up following arguments:

As said, democracy goes far beyond the technical aspects of elections. This means that democracy is not only based on people’s sovereignty but also on liberty and equality. To fulfil these three core demo-

cratic requirements free and fair political participation is a condition sine qua non. This means that universal and active suffrage, passive right to vote (meaning the eligibil- ity for election), and political as well as civil rights must be guaranteed. Subsequently, there must be the opportuni- ty given to formulate freely opinions, interests and demands. Most important therefore is to ensure the right of freedom of speech as well as the right to association and demonstration in the public arena. Democracy is also char- acterised by the existence of

individual rights of protections which means in practice the grant of protection of life, free- dom and property. This cov- ers also the protection against terror, torture or undue inter- vention into personal life, both on behalf of the state and on behalf of private or anti-sys- temic forces like the Taliban and other religious funda- mentalist groups.

Looking at the elections as well as at the electoral cam- paigning the weeks before election day, we have to state that Pakistan is still far away of matching this commonly accepted democratic under- standing. And this is due to several reasons.

First, the passive right to vote got challenged. The Taliban and other extremist groups have been able to carry out several types of activities to disturb the democratic

process. Most noteworthy is the selective targeting of can- didates especially through direct physical attacks. Being confronted with potentially life-threatening situations, a large number of the leading politicians did not, or only very limitedly, join the public cam- paigning of their parties. This is a severe challenge towards free and fair political compe- tition. Especially in a Pakistan which is marked by an extraor- dinary cult of personality, beside mass communication trough cell phones, comput- ers and TV the personal inter- action between candidates

and the electorate is of crucial significance.

The moderate success of the PTI, which spent substantial efforts in mobilizing voters through the internet, can be seen as a strong indication thereof. However, the threat- ening of the candidates deter- mines clearly a limitation of the rights of freedom of expres- sion, association and infor- mation. As such it significant- ly hampered the opportunity for free political participation of the candidates.

Second, the active suffrage got challenged. During the election campaign more than one hundred people died due to Taliban attacks. This creat- ed without doubt an ambience of fear. Despite the relatively high voter turnout one should remain sceptical regarding the assessment of this phenome- non. First, there could be even

a higher voter turnout.

In this context we have to stress that taking the results of the 2008 General Elections, which was around 44%, as a point of reference does not help at all. The 2008 election with its very specific context, especially the prevailing deep mistrust regarding potential manipulations, is not compa- rable in this direction. Second, the fact that there was a threat or the possibility of a life- threatening situation is already enough to define a challenge towards the right of exercising the active suffrage.

The third indication that Pakistan is not a liberal democracy is that there are serious doubts regarding the realization of the universal suf- frage. In other words, it remains difficult to identify whether the implementation of gender equality in the polit- ical sphere has been ensured yet. The 37.5 million Pakistani women that were registered for voting make up 41 per cent of the country’s female vote bank. However, Pakistan’s female population amounts to around 49 per cent, which means that approximately 10 million women did not get registered for voting. Demands for the increase of reserved seats for women in the National Assembly as well as in the provincial assemblies got ignored by the political leadership.

There is also not much improvement when it comes to the inclusion of women in the internal decision making process of political parties nor to the option to set up inter- nal elections for female can- didates. In consequence, the opportunity for Pakistan’s female citizenry remains still much limited to aggregate their interests via female politi- cians and parliamentarians into the political process. The fact that the 2013 elections were enriched with more than double the number of female candidates than in the 2008 elections does not distract from the fact that Pakistan’s political landscape is still marked by remarkable gender gaps.

Fourth, another serious challenge towards the coun- try’s democratic transition are the persistent growing hin- drances towards freedom of speech and opinion. The 2013

elections were an outstanding expression of this trend. The Taliban were threatening par- ticularly secular political par- ties before the electoral cam- paigning and were also attack- ing them during respective public campaign events. In the primary focus of their activi- ties were the PPP, ANP, and MQM. In contrast, political parties which were recognized as having a so-called ‘soft cor- ner’ towards the Taliban, who are willing to negotiate with the Taliban and are working towards the stop of the drone attacks like Imran Khan’s PTI or Nawaz Sharif’s PML-N got largely spared. The tactics of the Taliban in this direction were actually pretty clear: to polarize and divide the civil- ian political landscape either pro or against them. However this means also that the expression of an opinion which was not in favour of or at least neutral towards the Taliban or other religious fun- damentalists had serious con- sequences – risking one’s own life and property!

Finally, the fact that the mil- itary did not intervene in the electoral process did not mean that civilian control is estab- lished.

Holding elections were def- initely a step forward in strengthening civilian self- confidence but at the same time it definitely did not pro- vide a major boost to the notion of civilian supremacy, as perhaps was hoped for.

There is still no formal civilian control over the armed forces.

Decision-making in signifi- cant policy fields will be still influenced by the military. A statement by General Kayani regarding the role of Islam in the country’s politics as well as the role of the armed forces makes clear who continues to call the real shots after the elec- tions. To conclude, without ensuring free and fair political participation and the estab- lishment of civilian control, we can speak about elections but not about consolidation of democracy or democratic transition in Pakistan.

The writer is a lecturer of Political Science and International Relations as well as a senior research fellow in the Department of Political Science, South Asia Institute, Heidelberg University

DR. SIEGFRIED O. WOLF

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General elections in Pakistan: Elections yes, democracy not yet!

MD. SAZEDUL ISLAM

ccording to an estimate of ILO, about 20 lakh workers die due to work-place related accidents across the world annually.

About 12 lakh become maimed and unfit for work being injured in those acci- dents. Over 16 crore workers fall to occupational health haz- ards.

According to Bangladesh Institute of Labour Studies (BILS), 6406 workers were killed in workplace related accidents in Bangladesh in the past 12 years till 2012.

The collapse of Rana Plaza in Savar is a major tragedy for the country. A total of 1,127 bodies were recovered from the disastrous building col- lapse while some 2438 people were rescued alive from the eight-storey building that crashed down on April 24.

The Savar incident shocked not only Bangladesh but also the international community.

The whole world is observing the May Day for protecting the workers’ rights while we are witnessing a tragedy in Bangladesh over the Rana Plaza collapse.

Dr Wajedul Islam, secretary of BILS, said most of industries and factories in our country are unsafe for workers.

BILS acting secretary gener- al Jafrul Hasan said: “We only get information of only those accidents, which are published in the media.We get less infor-

mation on accidents which take place in non-formal sec- tor such as rural workers and

domestic workers.

Occupational sickness are sup- pressed from our knowledge.

Workers can work more and owners can get the assurance of more productivity if there is well and safe working atmos- phere. Hence, BILS’s slogan is:

Safe work place save life and

ensure more production”.

Citing a survey report, Jafrul Hasan said the country’s most of the workers (92.79%) have been suffering from different diseases. Unsafe work place is mainly responsible for this.

Joint initiative by government, non-government organization and owners should be taken for protecting the health of workers and increase their work capacity.

Both Jafrul andWajed called upon all concerned to come forward to protect the rights of workers and strengthen movement to this effect.

In Bangladesh, a number of institutions, including BILS, are working to uphold the interests of workers.

Workers should not be treat- ed as a commodity but the respectable partner of progress, according to BILS.

BILS is working to help strengthen the democratic functioning of the trade unions and improve their services

towards the society.

BILS was established in 1995 with the support and active participation of the major National Trade Union Federations of the country. 13 National TU Federations are associated with it. BILS believes that a just and dem- ocratic society is must to ensure the right of working people.

And as the vanguard of pro- tection of workers' rights, trade unions can play a vital role in establishing such a society.

Keeping this in view, since its inception, BILS has been work-

ing for capacity building of trade unions. BILS regularly contributes to and intervenes in developing policies and laws for working people.

BILS’ aims are to provide training, undertake study and research and share informa- tion on labour and related sub- jects with a view to promote harmonious industrial rela- tions and social justice. The institute takes a comprehen- sive view of labour rights and aims at serving the cause of working people.

Workers in the informal sec- tor, women and child labour, unorganised and organised workforce in the industrial, commercial, governmental and service sectors are the main focus of BILS. Capacity building of trade unions is the principal means of action.

To reach out to the most neglected women workers and to contribute to the elimina- tion of child labours, BILS has undertaken specialised action programs. BILS plays a cata- lyst role in bridging trade unions, civil society and the government on labour market issues.

As a responsible partner in the society the BILS also works for socio-cultural development through its associated NTUCs and by its own. BILS goal is to promote the potential of the trade union movement in pro- tecting the rights of working people and enabling them to face the upcoming challenges of the world.

The issue of workers’ rights

CHRISTOPHER LANE

ow long does it take to mournthedeathofaloved one?Thequestionispecu- liar,evenmildlyoffensive.Recovery from bereavement is a personal process that varies significantly among individuals.While it could takemonthstosurface,grief–inits manyformsandatvariouslevelsof intensity – remains a natural responsetoloss.

But the fifth edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5), produced by the American Psychiatric Association(APA),deemsinvalid the long-accepted understand- ing of bereavement as a highly individual and unpredictable experience. The updated man- ual advises psychiatrists and general practitioners that two weeks is an appropriate inter- val for grief. After that, depres- sion supposedly can be diag- nosed.

In other words, doctors can – and should – be able to distin- guish grief, a normal response to loss, from depression, a men- tal disorder, after just 14 days, when most people would still be coping with the initial prac- ticalities of a loved one’s death.

The implication that mourning should be fast and efficient is both disturbing and unneces- sary.

Moreover, with significant potential for misdiagnosis, defining“acceptable” grief could have serious unintended con- sequences. Allen Frances, who led the previous DSMTask Force

and has 40 years of experience in the field, said that he could not distinguish normal grief from mild depression at two weeks – and “challenge[d] any- one else to do so.”

Of particular concern is the response of primary-care physi- cians, who prescribe 80% of all antidepressants, but often treat many patients per hour. The DSM’s latest revision will increase the number of pre- scriptions by including, among the diagnosed, those experi- encing the kind of transient depression that can also typify grief.

Because the DSM’s influence extends far beyond the United States, the introduction of this change has caused an interna- tional uproar. For example, the British medical journal The Lancet called the proposal“dan- gerously simplistic” and

“flawed,” and warned of the flood of misdiagnoses that would ensue.

Compounding the problem, the DSM’s authority is not lim- ited to health-care institutions.

American schools, courts, and jails consult it daily, in order to determine whether psychiatric treatmentisnecessary andreim- bursable.

Earlier editions of the manu- al were careful not to include grief in diagnoses of depression, because the two conditions – both of which may include insomnia, loss of appetite, list- lessness, and intense mood swings – are easy to confuse.

And, as New York University Professor Jerome Wakefield

points out,“similar normal feel- ings of sadness” can also follow other losses, including “marital dissolution, romantic betrayal, job loss, financial trouble, nat- ural disaster, and a terrible med- ical diagnosis.”

Even after conceding that 14 days is“sometimestoolittletime to permit confident diagnosis”

of major depressive disorder, former PsychiatricTimes editor RonaldW. Pies insisted that“this is true regardless of the‘contex- t’ in which the depressive symp- toms occur.”

Decisions like these – carry- ing monumental implications and difficult to reverse – recent- ly led the US National Institute of Mental Health, which gave its support(andconsiderablefund- ing) to earlier editions, to announce that it is distancing itself from the manual.The insti- tute’s director, Thomas R. Insel, cited DSM-5’s “lack of validity,”

saying that its “diagnoses are based on a consensus about clusters of clinical symptoms, not any objective laboratory measure.”

Today, that consensusis clear- ly missing (whether it ever truly existed is dubious). As the once- imminent promise of identify- ing“biomarkers” for depression recedes into the distant future, the APA is raising the stakes – and increasing pressure on the already vulnerable – by imply- ing that, after two weeks, a per- son’s grief is no longer just grief.

Now, mourning can be a men- tal illness.

Project Syndicate, 2013

The distortion of grief

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