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Is the rebound of digitalisation unavoidable? Anton Brucherseifer

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(1)

Is the rebound of digitalisation unavoidable?

Anton Brucherseifer

(2)

How to Save the Environment?

2

improve

energy-efficiency of your product

product becomes cheaper

more and more people

start buying your product

(3)

Outline

(4)

Side Effects

4

(5)

Side Effects: Example 1

income effect:

changes in consumption

buy more costly organic food

spend vacations in more

exotic destinations

(6)

Side Effects: Example 2

6

policy measure:

increase cost reduce available income

less environmental effects caused by other purchases

Edgar G. Hertwich: Consumption and the Rebound Effect: An Industrial Ecology Perspective

(7)

Side Effects: Example 3

policy measure:

protect ozone layer

reduce global warming

improve human health

(8)

The E2 Vector

Edgar G. Hertwich: Consumption and the Rebound Effect: An Industrial Ecology Perspective 8

(9)

The E2 Vector (Car Example)

(10)

The E2 Vector on Rebound Effect

Edgar G. Hertwich: Consumption and the Rebound Effect: An Industrial Ecology Perspective 10

(11)

Policy Measures against

Rebound Effect

(12)

Policy Measures against Rebound Effect

12

● mostly concerned with resource and energy efficiency

● efficiency increased

● but absolute environmental pressure still rises

technological improvements

increases in population and consumption

David Font Vivanco, René Kemp, Ester van der Voet: How to deal with the rebound effect? A policy-oriented approach

(13)

Case Study: Rebound Effect as a Policy Issue in the European Union

● searching for the term “rebound effect”

treaties, international agreements, legislation and preparatory acts

● total 35 acknowledge rebound effect

● first mentioned time in 1996, then increasingly

● only 6 legal acts recommend policy to mitigate rebound effect

● no policy action yet

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3 Rebound Mitigation Strategies

14

more efficient greener consume less

David Font Vivanco, René Kemp, Ester van der Voet: How to deal with the rebound effect? A policy-oriented approach Efficiency icon by https://www.flaticon.com/authors/eucalyp

(15)

3 Rebound Mitigation Strategies

improve energy intensity [kWh / CHF]

e.g. more efficient fuel

problem: additional rebound effect

improve emission intensity [CO / kWh]

e.g. enforce renewable

energies as electricity source problem: limited by

downsize individual consumption

e.g. reducing working hours

problem: only wealthy people

have enough financial

(16)

Cap-and-Trade Systems

16

● set a ceiling on a given pressure

● companies can buy and sell the right to pollute

● focus on the desired goal

e.g. limit CO

emissions

● claimed to be “immune to rebound effects”

● requires: impossible to shift to other sectors &

locations

David Font Vivanco, René Kemp, Ester van der Voet: How to deal with the rebound effect? A policy-oriented approach illustrations: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pA6FSy6EKrM&t=150

(17)

Other Policy Pathways

● cap-and-trade systems

● ecotaxes

● awareness, information and moral suasion

● price regulation

● subsidies

● education in business

● technology & innovation

● new business models

(18)

Conclusion

18

● important to understand social changes -> what people do with saved money

● rebound effect is not enough to describe secondary effects

● policies must be designed carefully

● consider a broad range of side effects

● much more research required

Edgar G. Hertwich: Consumption and the Rebound Effect: An Industrial Ecology Perspective

David Font Vivanco, René Kemp, Ester van der Voet: How to deal with the rebound effect? A policy-oriented approach

(19)

Thank You

Let’s start the discussion!

(20)

Rebound Effect in EU Legal Acts

David Font Vivanco, René Kemp, Ester van der Voet: How to deal with the rebound effect? A policy-oriented approach 20

(21)

3 Rebound Mitigation Strategies

(22)

Life-cycle / Enabling / Structural Impact (LES)

Jack H. Townsend, Vlad C. Coroama: Digital Acceleration of Sustainability Transition: The Paradox of Push Impacts 22

(23)

The Mutual Substitutability of Time,

Energy and Information

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