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3 Basics of Adjustment Calculation

3.3 Statistical Hypothesis Inference Testing

3.3.2 Quality Assessment of Adjustment Results

Σvv =QLLBTM−1 AN−1ATM−1+I B ΣLL

| {z }

20QLL

BT

M−1 AN−1ATM−1+IT

BQLL

=QLLBTM−1 AN−1ATM−1+I

02QLLBT

M−1 AN−1ATM−1+IT

BQLL

02QLLBTM−1 AN−1ATM−1+I

BQLLBT

| {z }

=M

M−1 AN−1ATM−1+IT

BQLL

02QLLBTM−1 AN−1ATM−1+I

M AN−1ATM−1+IT

M−1T

BQLL

02QLLBT M−1AN−1ATM−1M

| {z }

=I

+M−1M

| {z }

=I

M−1AN−1AT+I

M−1BQLL

20QLLBT M−1AN−1AT+I

M−1AN−1ATM−1+M−1 BQLL

20QLLBT M−1AN−1ATM−1A

| {z }

=−N

N−1ATM−1+M−1AN−1ATM−1+ +M−1AN−1ATM−1+M−1

BQLL

20QLLBT

−M−1A N−1N

| {z }

=I

N−1ATM−1+M−1AN−1ATM−1+ +M−1 AN−1ATM−1+I

BQLL

20QLLBT

−M−1AN−1ATM−1+M−1AN−1ATM−1

| {z }

=0

+ +M−1 AN−1ATM−1+I

BQLL

20QLLBTM−1 AN−1ATM−1+I

BQLL. (3.61)

The variance-covariance matrix of the unknowns and of the residuals,ΣXˆXˆ andΣvv, are utilized as measures for the quality assessment of the adjusted results.

where the transfer matrixR=QvvPis introduced. Observe if any one componentdLiindLcontains an error, and, in that case how this error will influence all residuals bydvdue to the transfer matrixR. The diagonal element RiiinRis a transfer factor that shows the (partly) impact of the erroneous componentdLion the corresponding residualviinv. This transfer factor is knowns asredundancy numberof the observationLi

ri =Rii. (3.64)

Each redundancy numberrihas a value between0and1. In the extreme case ofri = 1, an error in the observation lican be completely detected in the residualsvi, while in the other extreme case ofri = 0, an error in the observa-tionliis undetectable. Therefore, it is required that the sum of all redundancy numbers, the total redundancyr, is large enough to detect blunders in the observations. The trace of the matrixRleads to the total redundancyras follows

trace R

=

N

X

i=1

ri =r . (3.65)

The redundancy number can be represented as a percentageEV that is known asinfluence on the residuals(German:

Einfluss auf die Verbesserung)

EV =ri100 %. (3.66)

The following rating scale to evaluate the redundancy numbers has gained ground in the practise:

0 % ≤ EV < 1 % observation is not controlled, 1 % ≤ EV < 10 % observation is poorly controlled, 10 % ≤ EV < 30 % observation is sufficiently controlled, 30 % ≤ EV < 70 % observation well controlled,

70 % ≤ EV < 100 % observation can be removed without loss of reliability.

Blunders Detection and Localisation

In order to prevent incorrect adjustment results due to outliers, blunders have to be detected and removed from the observations. Aglobal testis performed as follows to find out if the observations contains blunders. According to Nuzzo (2014), the original purpose of ahypothesis testby Fischer is to study if the adjusted results are predomi-nately occur due to randomness of the observations (null hypothesis). If it is not the case, the mathematical model might be incorrect or the observations might contain blunders (alternative hypothesis). Before we question the mathematical model, we have to be sure that the observations contain no blunders by examining if theempirical reference standard deviationafter the adjustment

s0=  

vTPv

r . (3.67)

coincides with the theoretical reference standard deviationσ0before the adjustment. We can state the null hypoth-esisH0 as

H0 : E s20

02. (3.68)

The alternative hypothesisHAcan take one of the following forms HA : E s20

6=σ02, (3.69)

HA : E s20

> σ02, (3.70)

HA : E s20

< σ02. (3.71)

Now, we have to consider the statistical distribution ofs20. We rearrange Eq. (3.67) as follows s20 = vTPv

r = σ20 σ20

vTQ−1LLv

r =σ02vTΣ−1LLv

r ⇒ rs20

σ02 =vTΣ−1LLv. (3.72)

The residualsvare assumed to be normal distributed random variables. Then, the squared residuals are weighted by the inverse of the variance-covariance matrixΣ−1LL. This in turn yields residuals that are divided by their cor-responding variances. Consequently, they are variables that follow a standard normal distribution. According to Pearson, the sum of their squares is conforming toχ2-distribution withrdegrees of freedom. In other words, the variable

χ2r =rs20

σ02 (3.73)

isχ2-distributed. Therefore, we choose the above variable astest statistic. To determine thethreshold valueχ2r,α, an arbitrary chosen error probabilityαrespectively confidence levelS = 1−αhas to be considered. Then, we compare the test statistic with the threshold value for the following four statements

χ2r < χ2r,1−α

2 andχ2r> χ2r,α

2

⇒ RejectH0in favor ofHA : E s20

6=σ02, (3.74) χ2r > χ2r,1−α ⇒ RejectH0in favor ofHA : E s20

> σ02, (3.75) χ2r < χ2r,α ⇒ RejectH0in favor ofHA : E s20

< σ02, (3.76) otherwise we fail to reject the null hypothesisH0. But, in case we reject the null hypothesis, we have to look for individual blunders in the observations. To introduce a measure for removing a single observation that likely con-tains gross error, we assume that the error in an observation mainly affects its corresponding residual. The measure standardised residual(German:Normierte Verbesserung) is defined as

NVi = vi

σv

i

. (3.77)

The computational purpose, we can find an alternative way for computingNVi. We rewrite Eq. (3.61) by means of Eq. (3.62) and the transfer matrix as

Σvv02QvvPQLL=RΣLL. (3.78)

It is often the case that the variance-covariance matrixΣLLis a diagonal matrix. In this case, we can determine the standard deviation of the residualvias follows

σv

i =√ riσl

i. (3.79)

Inserting the above into Eq. (3.77) yields

NVi = vi

√ riσl

i

. (3.80)

The standardised residualNVi follows a standard normal distribution due to the division of the normal distributed residualvi by its corresponding standard deviationσv

i. A standardised normal test or alocal test has to be per-formed to evaluate if an observation contains gross error. But in practise, we can use the following rating scale to assess the standardised residual:

2.5 < NV ≤ 4 gross error possible, NV > 4 gross error most likely.

After we identified an observation as blunder, we can introduce a measure to quantify the magnitude of the gross errorεi,potential blunder(German:Grober Fehler)

GFi = εi

ri = −vi

ri . (3.81)

This ratio describes how the diagonal componentriof the transfer matrixRaffects its corresponding gross error εirespectively−vi. Another question that arises is how large a blunderGFi must be that we are able to detect it.

A measure of detectability of blunder, theboundary value(German:Grenzwert) is introduced as follows GRZWi = σl

iδ0

√ri , (3.82)

64 SHI TESTING|ADJUSTMENT CALCULATION

whereδ0 = 4.13is the non-centrality parameter; for the derivation see Baarda (1968). Consequently, errors that are smaller than theGRZWhas to be regarded as random and therefore they are undetectable.

The workflow of the blunders detection by means of a global test as well as the localisation and removal of blunders as known asdata snooping can summarise as follows. First, after the adjustment, a global test respectively aχ2 -test is performed. If we fail to reject the null hypothesisH0 in favour of the alternative hypothesisHA, it means that the final result is obtained. Otherwise, we have to pinpoint the blunders in the observations by means of the standardised residuals. Second, the observationliwith largest standardised residualNVi has to be removed from the observation vectorL. Third, an adjustment calculation has to be performed and start this workflow from the beginning until we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

The influence of observation error on the parameters

Detectable and removable blunders and their influences are examined in theinternal reliability. The affection of non-detectable blunders on the unknowns analysed in theexternal reliability. A measure that describes the impact of the boundary value on the coordinates of the corresponding point (German:Einfluss des Grenzwertes auf die Koordinatender berührenden Punkte) is introduced as

EGKi = 1−ri

GRZWi . (3.83)

The other measure that describes the impact of a potential blunder on a point corresponding to the measurement (German:Einfluss eines eventuellen groben Fehlers auf den die Messung berührenden Punkt) is introduced as follows

EPi = 1−ri

GFi . (3.84)

For the derivation refer to Baarda (1968).